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OFK Vršac vs Grafičar Result & Analysis

Date: 19/10/2022
Time: 13:00
Final 0-2
OFK Vršac
OFK Vršac
Vs
35%
29%
36%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Grafičar
Grafičar
Serbia: Prva Liga
Referee: -

🎯 1. Model Analysis

OFK Vršac win✗ Miss
34.8%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
28.8%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Grafičar win✓ Hit
36.4%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

OFK VršacOFK Vršac

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-420W00D21W12L01L10W11D00D24L21WH·PRO19/08A·RAD27/08H·FK 31/08A·MAC04/09H·JED11/09A·LOZ17/09A·RAD28/09H·SLO03/10A·IMT08/10H·RAD14/10
Avg total
2.1
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
1.0
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.231.151.500.671.001.57
vs Stronger (1)2.004.00--2.004.00
vs Similar (12)1.170.921.500.670.831.17
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %38% (+5pp vs league)
This opponent (Grafičar) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

GrafičarGrafičar

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-510W31W51W11D20W21W24L12L11D31WH·IMT20/08A·ŽEL27/08H·FK 31/08A·PRO05/09H·FK 10/09A·JED17/09H·SLO29/09A·RAD03/10H·IND08/10A·MET15/10
Avg total
3.3
Avg scored
2.1
Avg conceded
1.2
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game2.381.152.671.172.141.14
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (7)2.141.002.330.672.001.25
vs Weaker (6)2.671.333.001.672.331.00
Clean sheet %23% (-10pp vs league)
This opponent (OFK Vršac) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

7%13%20%26%9%017%126%222%314%47%55%6+
The model estimates around 2.6 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (26%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
74.9%
Under 1.5
25.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
48.7%
Under 2.5
51.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
26.8%
Under 3.5
73.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
54.6%
No
45.4%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
13.7%
0-0
8.5%
0-1
8.4%
1-2
8.3%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
8.1%
0-2 ✓
6.4%
2-0
6.1%
OFK Vršac goals ↓
Grafičar goals →
01234
08.5%8.4%6.4%2.8%0.9%
18.2%14%8.3%3.7%1.2%
26.1%8.1%5.4%2.4%0.8%
32.6%3.5%2.3%1.0%0.3%
40.8%1.1%0.7%0.3%0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = OFK Vršac goals (down), columns = Grafičar goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
IMT Novi Beograd
2.03
Železničar Pančevo
1.84
Grafičar
1.62
Indjija
1.46
Proleter Novi SAD
1.43
Radnički Sr. Mitrovica
1.43
Jedinstvo Ub
1.43
Sloboda Uzice
1.38
OFK Vršac
1.30
Metalac GM
1.30
Macva
1.30
Radnički Novi Beograd
1.22
Loznica
1.11
FK Trayal
1.08
RFK Novi Sad
1.00
FK Zlatibor
0.89
RAD
0.81
OFK Vršac is 0.32 points worse than Grafičar in terms of average points per game (1.30 vs 1.62).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Grafičar
1.76
Železničar Pančevo
1.70
IMT Novi Beograd
1.70
RFK Novi Sad
1.43
Indjija
1.24
Jedinstvo Ub
1.22
Radnički Sr. Mitrovica
1.16
Metalac GM
1.14
Sloboda Uzice
1.14
Proleter Novi SAD
1.13
Loznica
1.08
OFK Vršac
1.05
RAD
1.00
Macva
1.00
FK Trayal
1.00
FK Zlatibor
0.97
Radnički Novi Beograd
0.86
OFK Vršac is 0.70 goals worse than Grafičar in terms of goals scored per game (1.05 vs 1.76).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Železničar Pančevo
0.95
Indjija
0.95
IMT Novi Beograd
0.97
Radnički Sr. Mitrovica
1.03
Jedinstvo Ub
1.03
Proleter Novi SAD
1.03
Macva
1.08
Sloboda Uzice
1.11
OFK Vršac
1.14
Metalac GM
1.14
Grafičar
1.24
FK Trayal
1.24
Radnički Novi Beograd
1.35
FK Zlatibor
1.46
Loznica
1.46
RAD
1.70
RFK Novi Sad
2.86
OFK Vršac is 0.11 goals better than Grafičar in terms of goals conceded per game (1.14 vs 1.24).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

OFK VršacOFK Vršac

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-210W00D10W00D00D00D00D00D21W11DH·PRO19/08A·RAD27/08H·FK 31/08A·MAC04/09H·JED11/09A·LOZ17/09A·RAD28/09H·SLO03/10A·IMT08/10H·RAD14/10
Avg total
0.7
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.2
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.620.380.830.170.430.57
vs Stronger (1)2.001.00--2.001.00
vs Similar (12)0.500.330.830.170.170.50
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %77% (+43pp vs league)
This opponent (Grafičar) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

GrafičarGrafičar

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-210W20W20W00D20W11D12L00D11D11DH·IMT20/08A·ŽEL27/08H·FK 31/08A·PRO05/09H·FK 10/09A·JED17/09H·SLO29/09A·RAD03/10H·IND08/10A·MET15/10
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.150.461.500.500.860.43
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (7)1.290.431.330.331.250.50
vs Weaker (6)1.000.501.670.670.330.33
Clean sheet %62% (+28pp vs league)
This opponent (OFK Vršac) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
OFK Vršac over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
OFK Vršac over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
OFK Vršac over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Grafičar over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Grafičar over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Grafičar over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

OFK VršacOFK Vršac

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-310W00D11D12L01L10W11D00D03L10WH·PRO19/08A·RAD27/08H·FK 31/08A·MAC04/09H·JED11/09A·LOZ17/09A·RAD28/09H·SLO03/10A·IMT08/10H·RAD14/10
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.620.770.670.500.571.00
vs Stronger (1)0.003.00--0.003.00
vs Similar (12)0.670.580.670.500.670.67
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %46% (+13pp vs league)
This opponent (Grafičar) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

GrafičarGrafičar

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-300D11D31W11D00D10W12L12L00D20WH·IMT20/08A·ŽEL27/08H·FK 31/08A·PRO05/09H·FK 10/09A·JED17/09H·SLO29/09A·RAD03/10H·IND08/10A·MET15/10
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.230.691.170.671.290.71
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (7)0.860.571.000.330.750.75
vs Weaker (6)1.670.831.331.002.000.67
Clean sheet %46% (+13pp vs league)
This opponent (OFK Vršac) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
OFK Vršac over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
OFK Vršac over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
OFK Vršac over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Grafičar over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Grafičar over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Grafičar over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 1.574.9%-------✓ Hit
Under 3.573.2%-------✓ Hit

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ŽP (24)
€13m
INB (23)
€12m
MAC (19)
€4m
GRA (19)
€4m
OV (22)
€4m
LOZ (23)
€3m
JU (20)
€3m
OFK Vršac and Grafičar have a similar squad value (both €4m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ŽP (9)
€7m
INB (8)
€4m
MAC (7)
€2m
OV (9)
€1m
GRA (8)
€1m
JU (9)
€1m
LOZ (9)
€1m
OFK Vršac and Grafičar have a similar attack value (both €1m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
INB (3)
€4m
ŽP (4)
€1m
LOZ (5)
€1m
OV (4)
€1m
MAC (3)
€1m
JU (2)
€1m
GRA (3)
€1m
OFK Vršac and Grafičar have a similar midfield value (both €1m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ŽP (11)
€6m
INB (12)
€4m
GRA (8)
€2m
LOZ (9)
€2m
MAC (9)
€2m
OV (9)
€1m
JU (9)
€1m
OFK Vršac and Grafičar have a similar defence value (both €1m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

No previous meetings
0
OV wins
0
Draws
0
GRA wins

Head-to-head

OFK Vršac vs Grafičar · H/A from OV
DateH/AGameScore
No games.

OFK VršacOFK Vršac

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
14/10/22HOV Vs Radnički Novi Beograd2-1
08/10/22AIMT Novi Beograd Vs OV4-2
03/10/22HOV Vs Sloboda Uzice0-0
28/09/22ARAD Vs OV1-1
17/09/22ALoznica Vs OV0-1
11/09/22HOV Vs Jedinstvo Ub0-1
04/09/22AMacva Vs OV2-1
31/08/22HOV Vs FK Trayal2-1
27/08/22ARadnički Sr. Mitrovica Vs OV0-0
19/08/22HOV Vs Proleter Novi SAD2-0

GrafičarGrafičar

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
15/10/22AMetalac GM Vs GRA1-3
08/10/22HGRA Vs Indjija1-1
03/10/22ARadnički Novi Beograd Vs GRA2-1
29/09/22HGRA Vs Sloboda Uzice2-4
17/09/22AJedinstvo Ub Vs GRA1-2
10/09/22HGRA Vs FK Trayal2-0
05/09/22AProleter Novi SAD Vs GRA1-1
31/08/22HGRA Vs FK Zlatibor5-1
27/08/22AŽelezničar Pančevo Vs GRA1-3
20/08/22HGRA Vs IMT Novi Beograd1-0

📊 16. Overall Statistics

OFK Vršac
OFK Vršac
Serbia: Prva Liga
Recent: 4 Wins / 3 Draws / 3 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWDDLW1.62
HomeWWLDW2.17
AwayDLWDL1.14
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %46%67%29%
AVG goals2.382.172.57
Over 1.5 %62%67%57%
Over 2.5 %46%50%43%
Over 3.5 %23%17%29%
Scored1.231.501.00
Conceded1.150.671.57
BTTS54%50%57%
Clean Sheet38%33%43%
Corners---
Cards---
Grafičar
Grafičar
Serbia: Prva Liga
Recent: 6 Wins / 2 Draws / 2 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWLLDW2.08
HomeWWWLD2.17
AwayWDWLW2.00
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %62%67%57%
AVG goals3.543.833.29
Over 1.5 %92%83%100%
Over 2.5 %69%50%86%
Over 3.5 %46%50%43%
Scored2.382.672.14
Conceded1.151.171.14
BTTS77%67%86%
Clean Sheet23%33%14%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1IMT Novi BeogradIMT Novi Beograd3775
59%
2.0
6336+27
2.7
68%
49%
30%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
12
4441.71.0
-
2Železničar PančevoŽelezničar Pančevo3768
54%
1.8
6335+28
2.6
65%
46%
30%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
13
7161.70.9
-
3GrafičarGrafičar3760
46%
1.6
6546+19
3.0
84%
57%
32%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
1121.81.2
-
4IndjijaIndjija3754
35%
1.5
4635+11
2.2
62%
35%
22%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.20.9
-
5Jedinstvo UbJedinstvo Ub3753
38%
1.4
4538+7
2.2
70%
32%
14%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1111.21.0
-
6Radnički Sr. MitrovicaRadnički Sr. Mitrovica3753
35%
1.4
4338+5
2.2
62%
41%
24%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.21.0
-
7Sloboda UziceSloboda Uzice3751
30%
1.4
4241+1
2.2
59%
43%
24%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.11.1
-
8Metalac GMMetalac GM3748
32%
1.3
4242+0
2.3
65%
30%
22%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.11.1
-
9OFK VršacOFK Vršac3748
35%
1.3
3942-3
2.2
57%
43%
19%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
1111.11.1
-
10MacvaMacva3748
30%
1.3
3740-3
2.1
65%
43%
19%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
2121.01.1
-
11Radnički Novi BeogradRadnički Novi Beograd3745
35%
1.2
3250-18
2.2
70%
41%
11%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.91.4
-
12Proleter Novi SADProleter Novi SAD3043
40%
1.4
3431+3
2.2
60%
30%
20%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.11.0
-
13LoznicaLoznica3741
27%
1.1
4054-14
2.5
68%
43%
27%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1121.11.5
-
14FK TrayalFK Trayal3740
27%
1.1
3746-9
2.2
65%
46%
16%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.01.2
-
15FK ZlatiborFK Zlatibor3733
19%
0.9
3654-18
2.4
70%
41%
24%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.01.5
-
16RADRAD3730
14%
0.8
3763-26
2.7
78%
49%
27%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.01.7
-
17RFK Novi SadRFK Novi Sad77
29%
1.0
1020-10
4.3
100%
71%
57%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.42.9
-
Serbia: Prva Liga 2022/23 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Serbia: Prva Liga stats & trends →

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