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OFK Vršac vs Grafičar Result & Analysis

Date: 03/03/2025
Time: 13:00
Final 0-1
OFK Vršac
OFK Vršac
Vs
56%
28%
16%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Grafičar
Grafičar
Serbia: Prva Liga
Referee: -
1 Model Analysis2 Goal Analysis3 Team Strengths Analysis4 Props Analysis5 Double Chance6 Home & Away Over/Under7 Handicap8 Half Time Goals O/U9 Half Time Home & Away O/U10 Second Half Goals O/U11 Second Half Home & Away O/U
12 Top picks for this game14 Squad value15 Games History16 Overall Statistics17 League Table

🎯 1. Model Analysis

OFK Vršac win✗ Miss
56.4%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
27.5%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Grafičar win✓ Hit
16.1%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

OFK VršacOFK Vršac

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-320W10W20W20W30W21W00D01L12L10WH·DUB03/11A·ZEM10/11H·SEM16/11A·JAV23/11H·MAC01/12A·IND07/12H·RAD15/12A·MLA14/02H·BOR21/02A·SLO26/02
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
1.4
Avg conceded
0.4
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.170.831.200.331.131.33
vs Stronger (1)1.001.00--1.001.00
vs Similar (29)1.170.831.200.331.141.36
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %60% (+27pp vs league)
This opponent (Grafičar) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

GrafičarGrafičar

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-420W13L00D03L11D11D02L00D14L31WH·IND04/11A·MLA11/11A·SLO16/11A·SLO30/11H·DUB08/12A·SEM14/12H·FK 18/12H·MAC15/02A·RAD23/02H·BOR27/02
Avg total
2.4
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
1.5
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.271.431.470.931.071.93
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (19)1.051.531.330.890.802.10
vs Weaker (11)1.641.271.671.001.601.60
Clean sheet %23% (-10pp vs league)
This opponent (OFK Vršac) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

7%14%21%28%11%021%128%220%312%45%53%6+
The model estimates around 2.3 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (28%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
68.1%
Under 1.5
31.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
40.4%
Under 2.5
59.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
20.1%
Under 3.5
79.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
42.2%
No
57.8%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-0
14.6%
1-1
12.6%
2-0
12.4%
0-0
11.2%
2-1
9.0%
3-0
6.5%
0-1 ✓
6.1%
3-1
4.7%
OFK Vršac goals ↓
Grafičar goals →
01234
011%6.1%2.7%0.6%0.1%
115%13%4.2%1.0%0.2%
212%9.0%3.3%0.8%0.1%
36.5%4.7%1.7%0.4%0.1%
42.6%1.9%0.7%0.2%0.0%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = OFK Vršac goals (down), columns = Grafičar goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Radnik Surdulica
2.11
Javor
1.86
Mladost Novi Sad
1.76
Macva
1.54
FK Vozdovac
1.49
Grafičar
1.43
OFK Vršac
1.32
Borac Cacak
1.30
Zemun
1.30
FK Trayal
1.24
Semendrija 1924
1.14
Dubočica
1.11
Radnički Sr. Mitrovica
1.08
Sloven Ruma
1.05
Indjija
0.86
Sloboda Uzice
0.84
OFK Vršac is 0.11 points worse than Grafičar in terms of average points per game (1.32 vs 1.43).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Radnik Surdulica
1.73
Grafičar
1.32
Borac Cacak
1.24
Zemun
1.24
Javor
1.19
Mladost Novi Sad
1.16
Dubočica
1.16
FK Trayal
1.14
Macva
1.08
FK Vozdovac
1.03
OFK Vršac
0.92
Indjija
0.89
Semendrija 1924
0.84
Sloven Ruma
0.84
Radnički Sr. Mitrovica
0.78
Sloboda Uzice
0.62
OFK Vršac is 0.41 goals worse than Grafičar in terms of goals scored per game (0.92 vs 1.32).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Radnik Surdulica
0.51
Javor
0.68
FK Vozdovac
0.78
Mladost Novi Sad
0.84
Macva
0.89
Radnički Sr. Mitrovica
0.95
OFK Vršac
1.05
Sloboda Uzice
1.14
Semendrija 1924
1.19
Sloven Ruma
1.19
Zemun
1.19
FK Trayal
1.19
Borac Cacak
1.32
Grafičar
1.32
Indjija
1.41
Dubočica
1.54
OFK Vršac is 0.27 goals better than Grafičar in terms of goals conceded per game (1.05 vs 1.32).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

OFK VršacOFK Vršac

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-210W00D10W10W20W11D00D00D01L00DH·DUB03/11A·ZEM10/11H·SEM16/11A·JAV23/11H·MAC01/12A·IND07/12H·RAD15/12A·MLA14/02H·BOR21/02A·SLO26/02
Avg total
0.8
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.2
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.570.470.670.200.470.73
vs Stronger (1)0.001.00--0.001.00
vs Similar (29)0.590.450.670.200.500.71
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %67% (+33pp vs league)
This opponent (Grafičar) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

GrafičarGrafičar

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-200D12L00D01L10W01L01L00D01L10WH·IND04/11A·MLA11/11A·SLO16/11A·SLO30/11H·DUB08/12A·SEM14/12H·FK 18/12H·MAC15/02A·RAD23/02H·BOR27/02
Avg total
0.9
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.600.600.730.530.470.67
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (19)0.370.790.440.780.300.80
vs Weaker (11)1.000.271.170.170.800.40
Clean sheet %53% (+20pp vs league)
This opponent (OFK Vršac) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
OFK Vršac over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
OFK Vršac over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
OFK Vršac over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Grafičar over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Grafičar over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Grafičar over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

OFK VršacOFK Vršac

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
10-110W10W10W10W10W10W00D01L11D10WH·DUB03/11A·ZEM10/11H·SEM16/11A·JAV23/11H·MAC01/12A·IND07/12H·RAD15/12A·MLA14/02H·BOR21/02A·SLO26/02
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.2
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.600.370.530.130.670.60
vs Stronger (1)1.000.00--1.000.00
vs Similar (29)0.590.380.530.130.640.64
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %77% (+43pp vs league)
This opponent (Grafičar) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

GrafičarGrafičar

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-320W01L00D02L01L10W01L00D13L21WH·IND04/11A·MLA11/11A·SLO16/11A·SLO30/11H·DUB08/12A·SEM14/12H·FK 18/12H·MAC15/02A·RAD23/02H·BOR27/02
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.670.830.730.400.601.27
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (19)0.680.740.890.110.501.30
vs Weaker (11)0.641.000.500.830.801.20
Clean sheet %40% (+7pp vs league)
This opponent (OFK Vršac) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
OFK Vršac over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
OFK Vršac over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
OFK Vršac over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Grafičar over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Grafičar over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Grafičar over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Under 3.579.9%-------✓ Hit

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
RS (26)
€9m
JAV (21)
€5m
ZEM (22)
€5m
MAC (19)
€4m
GRA (19)
€4m
OV (22)
€4m
FV (20)
€3m
S1 (23)
€3m
BC (20)
€3m
DUB (17)
€1m
OFK Vršac and Grafičar have a similar squad value (both €4m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
RS (10)
€3m
ZEM (9)
€2m
MAC (7)
€2m
JAV (9)
€2m
OV (9)
€1m
GRA (8)
€1m
BC (10)
€1m
FV (9)
€1m
S1 (7)
€1m
DUB (7)
€1m
OFK Vršac and Grafičar have a similar attack value (both €1m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
RS (5)
€2m
ZEM (5)
€1m
OV (4)
€1m
MAC (3)
€1m
JAV (2)
€1m
S1 (6)
€1m
FV (3)
€1m
GRA (3)
€1m
BC (3)
€0m
DUB (2)
€0m
OFK Vršac and Grafičar have a similar midfield value (both €1m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
RS (11)
€4m
JAV (10)
€3m
GRA (8)
€2m
MAC (9)
€2m
OV (9)
€1m
S1 (10)
€1m
BC (7)
€1m
ZEM (8)
€1m
FV (8)
€1m
DUB (8)
€1m
OFK Vršac and Grafičar have a similar defence value (both €1m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

5 previous meetings
1
OV wins
1
Draws
3
GRA wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

OFK Vršac vs Grafičar · H/A from OV
DateH/AGameScore
28/09/24AGrafičar Vs OV1-1
03/04/24HOV Vs Grafičar2-3
22/10/23AGrafičar Vs OV1-2
23/03/23AGrafičar Vs OV4-2
19/10/22HOV Vs Grafičar0-2

OFK VršacOFK Vršac

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
26/02/25ASloboda Uzice Vs OV0-1
21/02/25HOV Vs Borac Cacak1-2
14/02/25AMladost Novi Sad Vs OV1-0
15/12/24HOV Vs Radnik Surdulica0-0
07/12/24AIndjija Vs OV1-2
01/12/24HOV Vs Macva3-0
23/11/24AJavor Vs OV0-2
16/11/24HOV Vs Semendrija 19242-0
10/11/24AZemun Vs OV0-1
03/11/24HOV Vs Dubočica2-0

GrafičarGrafičar

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
27/02/25HGRA Vs Borac Cacak3-1
23/02/25ARadnik Surdulica Vs GRA4-1
15/02/25HGRA Vs Macva0-0
18/12/24HGRA Vs FK Trayal0-2
14/12/24ASemendrija 1924 Vs GRA1-1
08/12/24HGRA Vs Dubočica1-1
30/11/24ASloven Ruma Vs GRA3-0
16/11/24ASloboda Uzice Vs GRA0-0
11/11/24AMladost Novi Sad Vs GRA3-1
04/11/24HGRA Vs Indjija2-0

📊 16. Overall Statistics

OFK Vršac
OFK Vršac
Serbia: Prva Liga
Recent: 7 Wins / 1 Draws / 2 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWDLLW1.58
HomeWWWDL2.12
AwayWWWLW1.08
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %44%62%27%
AVG goals2.001.672.31
Over 1.5 %60%58%62%
Over 2.5 %26%17%35%
Over 3.5 %14%4%23%
Scored1.081.250.92
Conceded0.920.421.38
BTTS36%21%50%
Clean Sheet50%75%27%
Corners---
Cards---
Grafičar
Grafičar
Serbia: Prva Liga
Recent: 2 Wins / 4 Draws / 4 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDLDLW1.40
HomeWDLDW1.85
AwayLDLDL0.92
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %36%50%21%
AVG goals2.702.692.71
Over 1.5 %78%77%79%
Over 2.5 %50%46%54%
Over 3.5 %32%31%33%
Scored1.381.651.08
Conceded1.321.041.62
BTTS62%62%62%
Clean Sheet24%31%17%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1Radnik SurdulicaRadnik Surdulica3778
62%
2.1
6419+45
2.2
70%
41%
16%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
9
3241.70.5
-
2JavorJavor3769
51%
1.9
4425+19
1.9
59%
32%
11%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
5
2131.20.7
-
3Mladost Novi SadMladost Novi Sad3765
46%
1.8
4331+12
2.0
59%
35%
16%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.20.8
-
4MacvaMacva3757
43%
1.5
4033+7
2.0
51%
32%
22%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
2121.10.9
-
5FK VozdovacFK Vozdovac3755
38%
1.5
3829+9
1.8
51%
24%
16%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1111.00.8
-
6GrafičarGrafičar3753
35%
1.4
4949+0
2.6
84%
46%
30%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
1121.31.3
-
7OFK VršacOFK Vršac3749
35%
1.3
3439-5
2.0
57%
30%
16%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
1110.91.1
-
8ZemunZemun3748
30%
1.3
4644+2
2.4
73%
43%
19%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
5
2111.21.2
-
9Borac CacakBorac Cacak3748
35%
1.3
4649-3
2.6
78%
49%
27%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1011.21.3
-
10FK TrayalFK Trayal3746
32%
1.2
4244-2
2.3
70%
43%
19%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.11.2
-
11Semendrija 1924Semendrija 19243742
27%
1.1
3144-13
2.0
62%
32%
14%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1110.81.2
-
12DubočicaDubočica3741
27%
1.1
4357-14
2.7
81%
49%
30%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
1011.21.5
-
13Radnički Sr. MitrovicaRadnički Sr. Mitrovica3740
22%
1.1
2935-6
1.7
51%
22%
11%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.80.9
-
14Sloven RumaSloven Ruma3739
22%
1.1
3144-13
2.0
54%
30%
22%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.81.2
-
15IndjijaIndjija3732
19%
0.9
3352-19
2.3
68%
43%
22%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.91.4
-
16Sloboda UziceSloboda Uzice3731
19%
0.8
2342-19
1.8
57%
16%
8%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.61.1
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Serbia: Prva Liga 2024/25 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Serbia: Prva Liga stats & trends →

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