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OFK Vršac vs Metalac GM Result & Analysis

Date: 08/05/2024
Time: 15:00
Final 1-0
OFK Vršac
OFK Vršac
Vs
46%
35%
18%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Metalac GM
Metalac GM
Serbia: Prva Liga
Referee: -
1 Model Analysis2 Goal Analysis3 Team Strengths Analysis4 Props Analysis5 Double Chance6 Home & Away Over/Under7 Handicap8 Half Time Goals O/U9 Half Time Home & Away O/U10 Second Half Goals O/U11 Second Half Home & Away O/U
12 Top picks for this game14 Squad value15 Games History16 Overall Statistics17 League Table

🎯 1. Model Analysis

OFK Vršac win✓ Hit
46.3%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
35.3%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Metalac GM win✗ Miss
18.4%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

OFK VršacOFK Vršac

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-310W01L00D23L23L01L21W00D13L20WH·JED11/03A·RAD17/03H·DUB23/03A·RFK30/03H·GRA03/04A·OFK07/04H·TEK15/04H·MLA22/04A·SLO28/04H·RFK02/05
Avg total
2.2
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
1.2
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.870.971.000.470.731.47
vs Stronger (4)1.251.501.502.001.001.00
vs Similar (26)0.810.880.920.230.691.54
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %37% (+3pp vs league)
This opponent (Metalac GM) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Metalac GMMetalac GM

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-402L21W10W02L20W01L42W32W11D12LA·MAC10/03H·SLO17/03A·IND23/03A·JED29/03H·RAD02/04A·DUB08/04H·RFK14/04H·RAD21/04A·RFK28/04H·SLO02/05
Avg total
2.7
Avg scored
1.4
Avg conceded
1.3
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.930.971.270.930.601.00
vs Stronger (2)1.500.502.000.001.001.00
vs Similar (28)0.891.001.211.000.571.00
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %37% (+3pp vs league)
This opponent (OFK Vršac) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

7%15%22%29%20%029%127%214%36%42%51%6+
The model estimates around 1.7 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 1 (29%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
50.5%
Under 1.5
49.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
23.1%
Under 2.5
76.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
8.7%
Under 3.5
91.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
30.2%
No
69.8%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
0-0
20.3%
1-0 ✓
19.4%
1-1
13.1%
2-0
11.1%
0-1
9.8%
2-1
6.4%
3-0
4.0%
1-2
3.4%
OFK Vršac goals ↓
Metalac GM goals →
01234
020%9.8%3.2%0.6%0.1%
119%13%3.4%0.7%0.1%
211%6.4%1.9%0.4%0.1%
34.0%2.3%0.7%0.1%0.0%
41.1%0.6%0.2%0.0%0.0%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = OFK Vršac goals (down), columns = Metalac GM goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
OFK Beograd
1.97
Jedinstvo Ub
1.81
Indjija
1.59
Tekstilac Odžaci
1.54
Semendrija 1924
1.51
OFK Vršac
1.43
Macva
1.38
Radnički Sr. Mitrovica
1.35
Dubočica
1.35
Grafičar
1.30
Mladost Novi Sad
1.24
Sloboda Uzice
1.24
Metalac GM
1.22
Kolubara
1.16
RFK Novi Sad
0.84
Radnički Novi Beograd
0.70
OFK Vršac is 0.22 points better than Metalac GM in terms of average points per game (1.43 vs 1.22).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
OFK Beograd
1.70
Grafičar
1.38
Jedinstvo Ub
1.38
Indjija
1.24
Tekstilac Odžaci
1.19
Kolubara
1.14
Semendrija 1924
1.08
RFK Novi Sad
1.00
Macva
0.97
Mladost Novi Sad
0.95
Sloboda Uzice
0.92
OFK Vršac
0.89
Dubočica
0.89
Radnički Novi Beograd
0.86
Metalac GM
0.86
Radnički Sr. Mitrovica
0.81
OFK Vršac is 0.03 goals better than Metalac GM in terms of goals scored per game (0.89 vs 0.86).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Tekstilac Odžaci
0.73
Macva
0.78
OFK Vršac
0.84
Semendrija 1924
0.84
OFK Beograd
0.86
Radnički Sr. Mitrovica
0.86
Indjija
0.95
Metalac GM
1.03
Mladost Novi Sad
1.03
Dubočica
1.03
Jedinstvo Ub
1.05
Sloboda Uzice
1.05
Kolubara
1.24
Grafičar
1.46
RFK Novi Sad
1.68
Radnički Novi Beograd
1.84
OFK Vršac is 0.19 goals better than Metalac GM in terms of goals conceded per game (0.84 vs 1.03).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

OFK VršacOFK Vršac

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-210W00D00D02L12L00D20W00D10W20WH·JED11/03A·RAD17/03H·DUB23/03A·RFK30/03H·GRA03/04A·OFK07/04H·TEK15/04H·MLA22/04A·SLO28/04H·RFK02/05
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.4
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.400.470.600.270.200.67
vs Stronger (4)0.751.001.001.500.500.50
vs Similar (26)0.350.380.540.080.150.69
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %60% (+27pp vs league)
This opponent (Metalac GM) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Metalac GMMetalac GM

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-200D01L00D01L00D01L20W10W00D01LA·MAC10/03H·SLO17/03A·IND23/03A·JED29/03H·RAD02/04A·DUB08/04H·RFK14/04H·RAD21/04A·RFK28/04H·SLO02/05
Avg total
0.7
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
0.4
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.300.500.400.470.200.53
vs Stronger (2)1.000.501.000.001.001.00
vs Similar (28)0.250.500.360.500.140.50
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %57% (+23pp vs league)
This opponent (OFK Vršac) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
OFK Vršac over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
OFK Vršac over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
OFK Vršac over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Metalac GM over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Metalac GM over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Metalac GM over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

OFK VršacOFK Vršac

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-300D01L00D21W11D01L01L00D03L00DH·JED11/03A·RAD17/03H·DUB23/03A·RFK30/03H·GRA03/04A·OFK07/04H·TEK15/04H·MLA22/04A·SLO28/04H·RFK02/05
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.470.500.400.200.530.80
vs Stronger (4)0.500.500.500.500.500.50
vs Similar (26)0.460.500.380.150.540.85
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %63% (+30pp vs league)
This opponent (Metalac GM) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Metalac GMMetalac GM

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-202L20W10W01L20W00D22D22D11D11DA·MAC10/03H·SLO17/03A·IND23/03A·JED29/03H·RAD02/04A·DUB08/04H·RFK14/04H·RAD21/04A·RFK28/04H·SLO02/05
Avg total
2.0
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.630.470.870.470.400.47
vs Stronger (2)0.500.001.000.000.000.00
vs Similar (28)0.640.500.860.500.430.50
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %67% (+33pp vs league)
This opponent (OFK Vršac) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
OFK Vršac over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
OFK Vršac over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
OFK Vršac over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Metalac GM over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Metalac GM over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Metalac GM over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Under 3.591.3%-------✓ Hit
Under 2.576.9%-------✓ Hit

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
OB (28)
€18m
MAC (19)
€4m
GRA (19)
€4m
OV (22)
€4m
JU (20)
€3m
S1 (23)
€3m
DUB (17)
€1m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
OB (10)
€6m
MAC (7)
€2m
OV (9)
€1m
GRA (8)
€1m
JU (9)
€1m
S1 (7)
€1m
DUB (7)
€1m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
OB (8)
€4m
OV (4)
€1m
MAC (3)
€1m
JU (2)
€1m
S1 (6)
€1m
GRA (3)
€1m
DUB (2)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
OB (10)
€8m
GRA (8)
€2m
MAC (9)
€2m
OV (9)
€1m
JU (9)
€1m
S1 (10)
€1m
DUB (8)
€1m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

5 previous meetings
2
OV wins
1
Draws
2
MG wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

OFK Vršac vs Metalac GM · H/A from OV
DateH/AGameScore
06/03/24AMetalac GM Vs OV1-1
23/09/23HOV Vs Metalac GM1-0
28/05/23HOV Vs Metalac GM1-4
12/11/22HOV Vs Metalac GM1-0
15/08/22AMetalac GM Vs OV4-1

OFK VršacOFK Vršac

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
02/05/24HOV Vs RFK Novi Sad2-0
28/04/24ASloboda Uzice Vs OV3-1
22/04/24HOV Vs Mladost Novi Sad0-0
15/04/24HOV Vs Tekstilac Odžaci2-1
07/04/24AOFK Beograd Vs OV1-0
03/04/24HOV Vs Grafičar2-3
30/03/24ARFK Novi Sad Vs OV3-2
23/03/24HOV Vs Dubočica0-0
17/03/24ARadnički Novi Beograd Vs OV1-0
11/03/24HOV Vs Jedinstvo Ub1-0

Metalac GMMetalac GM

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
02/05/24HMG Vs Sloboda Uzice1-2
28/04/24ARFK Novi Sad Vs MG1-1
21/04/24HMG Vs Radnički Novi Beograd3-2
14/04/24HMG Vs RFK Novi Sad4-2
08/04/24ADubočica Vs MG1-0
02/04/24HMG Vs Radnički Novi Beograd2-0
29/03/24AJedinstvo Ub Vs MG2-0
23/03/24AIndjija Vs MG0-1
17/03/24HMG Vs Sloboda Uzice2-1
10/03/24AMacva Vs MG2-0

📊 16. Overall Statistics

OFK Vršac
OFK Vršac
Serbia: Prva Liga
Recent: 3 Wins / 2 Draws / 5 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLWDLW1.26
HomeDLWDW1.69
AwayDLLLL0.79
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %32%46%17%
AVG goals1.941.732.17
Over 1.5 %52%46%58%
Over 2.5 %32%23%42%
Over 3.5 %16%12%21%
Scored0.941.040.83
Conceded1.000.691.33
BTTS38%31%46%
Clean Sheet40%54%25%
Corners---
Cards---
Metalac GM
Metalac GM
Serbia: Prva Liga
Recent: 5 Wins / 1 Draws / 4 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLWWDL1.38
HomeWWWWL1.73
AwayLWLLD1.00
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %34%46%21%
AVG goals2.102.231.96
Over 1.5 %62%58%67%
Over 2.5 %28%35%21%
Over 3.5 %16%23%8%
Scored1.061.310.79
Conceded1.040.921.17
BTTS48%46%50%
Clean Sheet34%46%21%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1OFK BeogradOFK Beograd3773
59%
2.0
6332+31
2.6
76%
43%
19%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
18
6481.70.9
-
2Jedinstvo UbJedinstvo Ub3767
54%
1.8
5139+12
2.4
68%
46%
19%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1111.41.1
-
3IndjijaIndjija3759
46%
1.6
4635+11
2.2
68%
43%
16%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.20.9
-
4Tekstilac OdžaciTekstilac Odžaci3757
41%
1.5
4427+17
1.9
51%
32%
16%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.20.7
-
5Semendrija 1924Semendrija 19243756
38%
1.5
4031+9
1.9
62%
41%
5%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1111.10.8
-
6OFK VršacOFK Vršac3753
38%
1.4
3331+2
1.7
49%
22%
11%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
1110.90.8
-
7MacvaMacva3751
35%
1.4
3629+7
1.8
51%
32%
11%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
2121.00.8
-
8Radnički Sr. MitrovicaRadnički Sr. Mitrovica3750
35%
1.4
3032-2
1.7
41%
19%
11%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.80.9
-
9DubočicaDubočica3750
32%
1.4
3338-5
1.9
57%
27%
8%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
1010.91.0
-
10GrafičarGrafičar3748
32%
1.3
5154-3
2.8
78%
59%
32%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
1121.41.5
-
11Mladost Novi SadMladost Novi Sad3746
30%
1.2
3538-3
2.0
65%
24%
14%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.91.0
-
12Sloboda UziceSloboda Uzice3746
30%
1.2
3439-5
2.0
59%
24%
16%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.91.1
-
13Metalac GMMetalac GM3745
30%
1.2
3238-6
1.9
57%
27%
14%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.91.0
-
14KolubaraKolubara3743
27%
1.2
4246-4
2.4
70%
35%
30%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.11.2
-
15RFK Novi SadRFK Novi Sad3731
22%
0.8
3762-25
2.7
65%
49%
35%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.01.7
-
16Radnički Novi BeogradRadnički Novi Beograd3726
16%
0.7
3268-36
2.7
78%
49%
30%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.91.8
-
Serbia: Prva Liga 2023/24 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Serbia: Prva Liga stats & trends →

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