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OFK Vršac vs Radnički Novi Beograd Result & Analysis

Date: 14/10/2022
Time: 13:00
Final 2-1
OFK Vršac
OFK Vršac
Vs
62%
28%
10%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Radnički Novi Beograd
Radnički Novi Beograd
Serbia: Prva Liga
Referee: -

🎯 1. Model Analysis

OFK Vršac win✓ Hit
62.5%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
27.5%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Radnički Novi Beograd win✗ Miss
10.0%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

OFK VršacOFK Vršac

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-414L20W00D21W12L01L10W11D00D24LA·MET15/08H·PRO19/08A·RAD27/08H·FK 31/08A·MAC04/09H·JED11/09A·LOZ17/09A·RAD28/09H·SLO03/10A·IMT08/10
Avg total
2.3
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
1.3
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.171.171.400.601.001.57
vs Stronger (1)2.004.00--2.004.00
vs Similar (11)1.090.911.400.600.831.17
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %42% (+8pp vs league)
This opponent (Radnički Novi Beograd) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Radnički Novi BeogradRadnički Novi Beograd

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-320W02L02L03L10W01L00D02L21W00DH·LOZ20/08A·RAD27/08H·IMT31/08A·ŽEL05/09H·FK 10/09A·PRO18/09H·FK 24/09A·JED28/09H·GRA03/10A·SLO09/10
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
1.1
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.541.151.000.500.141.71
vs Stronger (3)0.672.001.001.500.003.00
vs Similar (10)0.500.901.000.000.171.50
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %38% (+5pp vs league)
This opponent (OFK Vršac) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

7%14%21%28%15%026%128%218%39%43%51%6+
The model estimates around 2.0 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (28%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
59.1%
Under 1.5
40.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
31.1%
Under 2.5
68.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
13.5%
Under 3.5
86.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
29.3%
No
70.7%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-0
20.3%
2-0
16.0%
0-0
15.1%
1-1
10.6%
3-0
8.0%
2-1 ✓
7.2%
0-1
5.5%
3-1
3.6%
OFK Vršac goals ↓
Radnički Novi Beograd goals →
01234
015%5.5%1.5%0.2%0.0%
120%11%2.2%0.3%0.0%
216%7.2%1.6%0.2%0.0%
38.0%3.6%0.8%0.1%0.0%
43.0%1.4%0.3%0.0%0.0%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = OFK Vršac goals (down), columns = Radnički Novi Beograd goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
IMT Novi Beograd
2.03
Železničar Pančevo
1.84
Grafičar
1.62
Indjija
1.46
Proleter Novi SAD
1.43
Radnički Sr. Mitrovica
1.43
Jedinstvo Ub
1.43
Sloboda Uzice
1.38
OFK Vršac
1.30
Metalac GM
1.30
Macva
1.30
Radnički Novi Beograd
1.22
Loznica
1.11
FK Trayal
1.08
RFK Novi Sad
1.00
FK Zlatibor
0.89
RAD
0.81
OFK Vršac is 0.08 points better than Radnički Novi Beograd in terms of average points per game (1.30 vs 1.22).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Grafičar
1.76
Železničar Pančevo
1.70
IMT Novi Beograd
1.70
RFK Novi Sad
1.43
Indjija
1.24
Jedinstvo Ub
1.22
Radnički Sr. Mitrovica
1.16
Metalac GM
1.14
Sloboda Uzice
1.14
Proleter Novi SAD
1.13
Loznica
1.08
OFK Vršac
1.05
RAD
1.00
Macva
1.00
FK Trayal
1.00
FK Zlatibor
0.97
Radnički Novi Beograd
0.86
OFK Vršac is 0.19 goals better than Radnički Novi Beograd in terms of goals scored per game (1.05 vs 0.86).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Železničar Pančevo
0.95
Indjija
0.95
IMT Novi Beograd
0.97
Radnički Sr. Mitrovica
1.03
Jedinstvo Ub
1.03
Proleter Novi SAD
1.03
Macva
1.08
Sloboda Uzice
1.11
OFK Vršac
1.14
Metalac GM
1.14
Grafičar
1.24
FK Trayal
1.24
Radnički Novi Beograd
1.35
FK Zlatibor
1.46
Loznica
1.46
RAD
1.70
RFK Novi Sad
2.86
OFK Vršac is 0.22 goals better than Radnički Novi Beograd in terms of goals conceded per game (1.14 vs 1.35).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

OFK VršacOFK Vršac

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-303L10W00D10W00D00D00D00D00D21WA·MET15/08H·PRO19/08A·RAD27/08H·FK 31/08A·MAC04/09H·JED11/09A·LOZ17/09A·RAD28/09H·SLO03/10A·IMT08/10
Avg total
0.8
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.4
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.580.330.800.000.430.57
vs Stronger (1)2.001.00--2.001.00
vs Similar (11)0.450.270.800.000.170.50
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %83% (+50pp vs league)
This opponent (Radnički Novi Beograd) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Radnički Novi BeogradRadnički Novi Beograd

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-200D00D00D02L00D01L00D01L00D00DH·LOZ20/08A·RAD27/08H·IMT31/08A·ŽEL05/09H·FK 10/09A·PRO18/09H·FK 24/09A·JED28/09H·GRA03/10A·SLO09/10
Avg total
0.4
Avg scored
0.0
Avg conceded
0.4
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.000.310.000.000.000.57
vs Stronger (3)0.000.670.000.000.002.00
vs Similar (10)0.000.200.000.000.000.33
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %77% (+43pp vs league)
This opponent (OFK Vršac) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
OFK Vršac over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
OFK Vršac over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
OFK Vršac over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Radnički Novi Beograd over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Radnički Novi Beograd over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Radnički Novi Beograd over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

OFK VršacOFK Vršac

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-311D10W00D11D12L01L10W11D00D03LA·MET15/08H·PRO19/08A·RAD27/08H·FK 31/08A·MAC04/09H·JED11/09A·LOZ17/09A·RAD28/09H·SLO03/10A·IMT08/10
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.580.830.600.600.571.00
vs Stronger (1)0.003.00--0.003.00
vs Similar (11)0.640.640.600.600.670.67
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %42% (+8pp vs league)
This opponent (Radnički Novi Beograd) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Radnički Novi BeogradRadnički Novi Beograd

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-220W02L02L01L10W00D00D01L21W00DH·LOZ20/08A·RAD27/08H·IMT31/08A·ŽEL05/09H·FK 10/09A·PRO18/09H·FK 24/09A·JED28/09H·GRA03/10A·SLO09/10
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.540.851.000.500.141.14
vs Stronger (3)0.671.331.001.500.001.00
vs Similar (10)0.500.701.000.000.171.17
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %46% (+13pp vs league)
This opponent (OFK Vršac) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
OFK Vršac over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
OFK Vršac over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
OFK Vršac over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Radnički Novi Beograd over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Radnički Novi Beograd over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Radnički Novi Beograd over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Under 3.586.5%-------✓ Hit
BTTS No70.7%-------✗ Miss

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ŽP (24)
€13m
INB (23)
€12m
MAC (19)
€4m
GRA (19)
€4m
OV (22)
€4m
LOZ (23)
€3m
JU (20)
€3m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ŽP (9)
€7m
INB (8)
€4m
MAC (7)
€2m
OV (9)
€1m
GRA (8)
€1m
JU (9)
€1m
LOZ (9)
€1m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
INB (3)
€4m
ŽP (4)
€1m
LOZ (5)
€1m
OV (4)
€1m
MAC (3)
€1m
JU (2)
€1m
GRA (3)
€1m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ŽP (11)
€6m
INB (12)
€4m
GRA (8)
€2m
LOZ (9)
€2m
MAC (9)
€2m
OV (9)
€1m
JU (9)
€1m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

No previous meetings
0
OV wins
0
Draws
0
RNB wins

Head-to-head

OFK Vršac vs Radnički Novi Beograd · H/A from OV
DateH/AGameScore
No games.

OFK VršacOFK Vršac

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
08/10/22AIMT Novi Beograd Vs OV4-2
03/10/22HOV Vs Sloboda Uzice0-0
28/09/22ARAD Vs OV1-1
17/09/22ALoznica Vs OV0-1
11/09/22HOV Vs Jedinstvo Ub0-1
04/09/22AMacva Vs OV2-1
31/08/22HOV Vs FK Trayal2-1
27/08/22ARadnički Sr. Mitrovica Vs OV0-0
19/08/22HOV Vs Proleter Novi SAD2-0
15/08/22AMetalac GM Vs OV4-1

Radnički Novi BeogradRadnički Novi Beograd

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
09/10/22ASloboda Uzice Vs RNB0-0
03/10/22HRNB Vs Grafičar2-1
28/09/22AJedinstvo Ub Vs RNB2-0
24/09/22HRNB Vs FK Trayal0-0
18/09/22AProleter Novi SAD Vs RNB1-0
10/09/22HRNB Vs FK Zlatibor1-0
05/09/22AŽelezničar Pančevo Vs RNB3-0
31/08/22HRNB Vs IMT Novi Beograd0-2
27/08/22ARAD Vs RNB2-0
20/08/22HRNB Vs Loznica2-0

📊 16. Overall Statistics

OFK Vršac
OFK Vršac
Serbia: Prva Liga
Recent: 3 Wins / 3 Draws / 4 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLWDDL1.50
HomeWWWLD2.00
AwayDLWDL1.14
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %42%60%29%
AVG goals2.332.002.57
Over 1.5 %58%60%57%
Over 2.5 %42%40%43%
Over 3.5 %25%20%29%
Scored1.171.401.00
Conceded1.170.601.57
BTTS50%40%57%
Clean Sheet42%40%43%
Corners---
Cards---
Radnički Novi Beograd
Radnički Novi Beograd
Serbia: Prva Liga
Recent: 3 Wins / 2 Draws / 5 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLDLWD1.08
HomeWLWDW2.17
AwayLLLLD0.14
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %31%67%0%
AVG goals1.691.501.86
Over 1.5 %62%50%71%
Over 2.5 %23%17%29%
Over 3.5 %0%0%0%
Scored0.541.000.14
Conceded1.150.501.71
BTTS15%17%14%
Clean Sheet38%67%14%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1IMT Novi BeogradIMT Novi Beograd3775
59%
2.0
6336+27
2.7
68%
49%
30%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
12
4441.71.0
-
2Železničar PančevoŽelezničar Pančevo3768
54%
1.8
6335+28
2.6
65%
46%
30%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
13
7161.70.9
-
3GrafičarGrafičar3760
46%
1.6
6546+19
3.0
84%
57%
32%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
1121.81.2
-
4IndjijaIndjija3754
35%
1.5
4635+11
2.2
62%
35%
22%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.20.9
-
5Jedinstvo UbJedinstvo Ub3753
38%
1.4
4538+7
2.2
70%
32%
14%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1111.21.0
-
6Radnički Sr. MitrovicaRadnički Sr. Mitrovica3753
35%
1.4
4338+5
2.2
62%
41%
24%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.21.0
-
7Sloboda UziceSloboda Uzice3751
30%
1.4
4241+1
2.2
59%
43%
24%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.11.1
-
8Metalac GMMetalac GM3748
32%
1.3
4242+0
2.3
65%
30%
22%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.11.1
-
9OFK VršacOFK Vršac3748
35%
1.3
3942-3
2.2
57%
43%
19%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
1111.11.1
-
10MacvaMacva3748
30%
1.3
3740-3
2.1
65%
43%
19%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
2121.01.1
-
11Radnički Novi BeogradRadnički Novi Beograd3745
35%
1.2
3250-18
2.2
70%
41%
11%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.91.4
-
12Proleter Novi SADProleter Novi SAD3043
40%
1.4
3431+3
2.2
60%
30%
20%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.11.0
-
13LoznicaLoznica3741
27%
1.1
4054-14
2.5
68%
43%
27%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1121.11.5
-
14FK TrayalFK Trayal3740
27%
1.1
3746-9
2.2
65%
46%
16%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.01.2
-
15FK ZlatiborFK Zlatibor3733
19%
0.9
3654-18
2.4
70%
41%
24%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.01.5
-
16RADRAD3730
14%
0.8
3763-26
2.7
78%
49%
27%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.01.7
-
17RFK Novi SadRFK Novi Sad77
29%
1.0
1020-10
4.3
100%
71%
57%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.42.9
-
Serbia: Prva Liga 2022/23 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Serbia: Prva Liga stats & trends →

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