PythiaFootballPythiaFootballBETA Free Picks Fixtures League Stats Team Stats Player Stats Pro Picks PRO Research Head-to-Head Validation Pricing Log in
← Back

OFK Vršac vs Semendrija 1924 Result & Analysis

Date: 16/11/2024
Time: 12:00
Final 2-0
OFK Vršac
OFK Vršac
Vs
47%
34%
19%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Semendrija 1924
Semendrija 1924
Serbia: Prva Liga
Referee: -
Match preview & prediction

Defensive solidity will shape this encounter, as OFK Vršac has conceded just 0.29 goals per game at home against similarly ranked opponents, while Semendrija 1924 concedes 1.38 away. The model favours a home win with a 47% probability, a draw at 34% and an away win at 19%. The expected total goals is 1.7, with the most likely total of one goal at 28%. The single most likely scoreline is 0-0, carrying a 19% chance. OFK Vršac’s home form shows 1.07 goals scored per match, and Semendrija 1924’s away form averages 1.08 goals scored. Suggested picks include Under 3.5 at 90.3% and Under 2.5 at 75.0%. The home side’s recent run of LWWWW, just after a 1-2 loss to Borac Cacak, and Semendrija’s unbeaten streak of DDDWW with a 1-1 draw against TSC Backa Topola, add context to the tight, low-scoring forecast.

Results analysis

OFK Vr\u0161ac’s recent run of four wins after a defeat set the stage for a strong home performance, while Semendrija 1924’s unbeaten streak in their last five games promised a resilient visit. The model predicted a Home win with a 47% probability, and that call was correct as OFK Vr\u0161ac triumphed 2-0. The most likely total was 1 goal, but the match produced 2, a figure that still fell under the model’s Under 3.5 (90.3% confidence) and Under 2.5 (75% confidence) selections, both of which hit. The final score of 2-0 confirmed the favoured result and the majority of the model’s picks.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

OFK Vršac win✓ Hit
46.9%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
34.5%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Semendrija 1924 win✗ Miss
18.6%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

OFK VršacOFK Vršac

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-411D13L10W11D20W24L10W00D20W10WH·MLA08/09A·BOR16/09H·SLO23/09A·GRA28/09H·FK 04/10A·RAD13/10H·SLO19/10A·FK 26/10H·DUB03/11A·ZEM10/11
Avg total
2.1
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.071.031.130.471.001.60
vs Stronger (3)1.001.672.003.000.501.00
vs Similar (27)1.070.961.070.291.081.69
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %50% (+17pp vs league)
This opponent (Semendrija 1924) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Semendrija 1924Semendrija 1924

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-320W10W11D02L00D01L20W03L21W21WH·RAD07/09A·FK 14/09H·ZEM23/09A·JAV02/10H·IND07/10A·MLA15/10H·SLO20/10A·FK 26/10H·SLO03/11A·DUB11/11
Avg total
1.9
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.171.031.200.801.131.27
vs Stronger (2)1.500.50--1.500.50
vs Similar (28)1.141.071.200.801.081.38
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %40% (+7pp vs league)
This opponent (OFK Vršac) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

7%14%21%28%19%028%128%215%37%42%51%6+
The model estimates around 1.7 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 1 (28%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
52.7%
Under 1.5
47.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
25.0%
Under 2.5
75.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
9.7%
Under 3.5
90.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
31.8%
No
68.2%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
0-0
19.0%
1-0
18.8%
1-1
13.3%
2-0 ✓
11.2%
0-1
9.5%
2-1
6.8%
3-0
4.2%
1-2
3.6%
OFK Vršac goals ↓
Semendrija 1924 goals →
01234
019%9.5%3.3%0.7%0.1%
119%13%3.6%0.7%0.1%
211%6.8%2.0%0.4%0.1%
34.2%2.5%0.8%0.2%0.0%
41.2%0.7%0.2%0.0%0.0%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = OFK Vršac goals (down), columns = Semendrija 1924 goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Radnik Surdulica
2.11
Javor
1.86
Mladost Novi Sad
1.76
Macva
1.54
FK Vozdovac
1.49
Grafičar
1.43
OFK Vršac
1.32
Borac Cacak
1.30
Zemun
1.30
FK Trayal
1.24
Semendrija 1924
1.14
Dubočica
1.11
Radnički Sr. Mitrovica
1.08
Sloven Ruma
1.05
Indjija
0.86
Sloboda Uzice
0.84
OFK Vršac is 0.19 points better than Semendrija 1924 in terms of average points per game (1.32 vs 1.14).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Radnik Surdulica
1.73
Grafičar
1.32
Borac Cacak
1.24
Zemun
1.24
Javor
1.19
Mladost Novi Sad
1.16
Dubočica
1.16
FK Trayal
1.14
Macva
1.08
FK Vozdovac
1.03
OFK Vršac
0.92
Indjija
0.89
Semendrija 1924
0.84
Sloven Ruma
0.84
Radnički Sr. Mitrovica
0.78
Sloboda Uzice
0.62
OFK Vršac is 0.08 goals better than Semendrija 1924 in terms of goals scored per game (0.92 vs 0.84).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Radnik Surdulica
0.51
Javor
0.68
FK Vozdovac
0.78
Mladost Novi Sad
0.84
Macva
0.89
Radnički Sr. Mitrovica
0.95
OFK Vršac
1.05
Sloboda Uzice
1.14
Semendrija 1924
1.19
Sloven Ruma
1.19
Zemun
1.19
FK Trayal
1.19
Borac Cacak
1.32
Grafičar
1.32
Indjija
1.41
Dubočica
1.54
OFK Vršac is 0.14 goals better than Semendrija 1924 in terms of goals conceded per game (1.05 vs 1.19).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

OFK VršacOFK Vršac

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-201L12L10W01L00D02L10W00D10W00DH·MLA08/09A·BOR16/09H·SLO23/09A·GRA28/09H·FK 04/10A·RAD13/10H·SLO19/10A·FK 26/10H·DUB03/11A·ZEM10/11
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.570.570.730.270.400.87
vs Stronger (3)0.331.001.002.000.000.50
vs Similar (27)0.590.520.710.140.460.92
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %63% (+30pp vs league)
This opponent (Semendrija 1924) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Semendrija 1924Semendrija 1924

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-210W00D10W02L00D00D00D00D20W00DH·RAD07/09A·FK 14/09H·ZEM23/09A·JAV02/10H·IND07/10A·MLA15/10H·SLO20/10A·FK 26/10H·SLO03/11A·DUB11/11
Avg total
0.6
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.2
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.400.500.380.380.430.64
vs Stronger (2)0.000.50--0.000.50
vs Similar (28)0.430.500.380.380.500.67
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %63% (+30pp vs league)
This opponent (OFK Vršac) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
OFK Vršac over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
OFK Vršac over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
OFK Vršac over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Semendrija 1924 over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Semendrija 1924 over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Semendrija 1924 over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

OFK VršacOFK Vršac

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-210W01L00D10W20W22D00D00D10W10WH·MLA08/09A·BOR16/09H·SLO23/09A·GRA28/09H·FK 04/10A·RAD13/10H·SLO19/10A·FK 26/10H·DUB03/11A·ZEM10/11
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.3
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.500.470.400.200.600.73
vs Stronger (3)0.670.671.001.000.500.50
vs Similar (27)0.480.440.360.140.620.77
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %67% (+33pp vs league)
This opponent (Semendrija 1924) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Semendrija 1924Semendrija 1924

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-310W10W01L00D00D01L20W03L01L21WH·RAD07/09A·FK 14/09H·ZEM23/09A·JAV02/10H·IND07/10A·MLA15/10H·SLO20/10A·FK 26/10H·SLO03/11A·DUB11/11
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.670.600.750.500.570.71
vs Stronger (2)1.500.00--1.500.00
vs Similar (28)0.610.640.750.500.420.83
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %57% (+23pp vs league)
This opponent (OFK Vršac) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
OFK Vršac over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
OFK Vršac over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
OFK Vršac over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Semendrija 1924 over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Semendrija 1924 over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Semendrija 1924 over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Under 3.590.3%-------✓ Hit
Under 2.575.0%-------✓ Hit

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
RS (26)
€9m
JAV (21)
€5m
ZEM (22)
€5m
MAC (19)
€4m
GRA (19)
€4m
OV (22)
€4m
FV (20)
€3m
S1 (23)
€3m
BC (20)
€3m
DUB (17)
€1m
OFK Vršac and Semendrija 1924 have a similar squad value (both €4m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
RS (10)
€3m
ZEM (9)
€2m
MAC (7)
€2m
JAV (9)
€2m
OV (9)
€1m
GRA (8)
€1m
BC (10)
€1m
FV (9)
€1m
S1 (7)
€1m
DUB (7)
€1m
OFK Vršac and Semendrija 1924 have a similar attack value (both €1m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
RS (5)
€2m
ZEM (5)
€1m
OV (4)
€1m
MAC (3)
€1m
JAV (2)
€1m
S1 (6)
€1m
FV (3)
€1m
GRA (3)
€1m
BC (3)
€0m
DUB (2)
€0m
OFK Vršac and Semendrija 1924 have a similar midfield value (both €1m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
RS (11)
€4m
JAV (10)
€3m
GRA (8)
€2m
MAC (9)
€2m
OV (9)
€1m
S1 (10)
€1m
BC (7)
€1m
ZEM (8)
€1m
FV (8)
€1m
DUB (8)
€1m
OFK Vršac and Semendrija 1924 have a similar defence value (both €1m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

3 previous meetings
1
OV wins
1
Draws
1
S1 wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

OFK Vršac vs Semendrija 1924 · H/A from OV
DateH/AGameScore
05/08/24ASemendrija 1924 Vs OV0-2
26/11/23ASemendrija 1924 Vs OV1-0
18/08/23HOV Vs Semendrija 19241-1

OFK VršacOFK Vršac

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
10/11/24AZemun Vs OV0-1
03/11/24HOV Vs Dubočica2-0
26/10/24AFK Vozdovac Vs OV0-0
19/10/24HOV Vs Sloven Ruma1-0
13/10/24ARadnički Sr. Mitrovica Vs OV4-2
04/10/24HOV Vs FK Trayal2-0
28/09/24AGrafičar Vs OV1-1
23/09/24HOV Vs Sloboda Uzice1-0
16/09/24ABorac Cacak Vs OV3-1
08/09/24HOV Vs Mladost Novi Sad1-1

Semendrija 1924Semendrija 1924

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
11/11/24ADubočica Vs S11-2
03/11/24HS1 Vs Sloven Ruma2-1
26/10/24AFK Trayal Vs S13-0
20/10/24HS1 Vs Sloboda Uzice2-0
15/10/24AMladost Novi Sad Vs S11-0
07/10/24HS1 Vs Indjija0-0
02/10/24AJavor Vs S12-0
23/09/24HS1 Vs Zemun1-1
14/09/24AFK Vozdovac Vs S10-1
07/09/24HS1 Vs Radnički Sr. Mitrovica2-0

📊 16. Overall Statistics

OFK Vršac
OFK Vršac
Serbia: Prva Liga
Recent: 5 Wins / 3 Draws / 2 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLWDWW1.44
HomeDWWWW1.96
AwayLDLDW0.92
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %38%56%20%
AVG goals1.921.482.36
Over 1.5 %56%48%64%
Over 2.5 %22%8%36%
Over 3.5 %14%4%24%
Scored0.961.040.88
Conceded0.960.441.48
BTTS38%20%56%
Clean Sheet44%68%20%
Corners---
Cards---
Semendrija 1924
Semendrija 1924
Serbia: Prva Liga
Recent: 5 Wins / 2 Draws / 3 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLWLWW1.46
HomeWDDWW1.62
AwayWLLLW1.31
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %38%42%35%
AVG goals1.961.792.12
Over 1.5 %64%62%65%
Over 2.5 %40%33%46%
Over 3.5 %6%4%8%
Scored1.021.041.00
Conceded0.940.751.12
BTTS46%42%50%
Clean Sheet40%50%31%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1Radnik SurdulicaRadnik Surdulica3778
62%
2.1
6419+45
2.2
70%
41%
16%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
9
3241.70.5
-
2JavorJavor3769
51%
1.9
4425+19
1.9
59%
32%
11%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
5
2131.20.7
-
3Mladost Novi SadMladost Novi Sad3765
46%
1.8
4331+12
2.0
59%
35%
16%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.20.8
-
4MacvaMacva3757
43%
1.5
4033+7
2.0
51%
32%
22%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
2121.10.9
-
5FK VozdovacFK Vozdovac3755
38%
1.5
3829+9
1.8
51%
24%
16%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1111.00.8
-
6GrafičarGrafičar3753
35%
1.4
4949+0
2.6
84%
46%
30%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
1121.31.3
-
7OFK VršacOFK Vršac3749
35%
1.3
3439-5
2.0
57%
30%
16%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
1110.91.1
-
8ZemunZemun3748
30%
1.3
4644+2
2.4
73%
43%
19%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
5
2111.21.2
-
9Borac CacakBorac Cacak3748
35%
1.3
4649-3
2.6
78%
49%
27%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1011.21.3
-
10FK TrayalFK Trayal3746
32%
1.2
4244-2
2.3
70%
43%
19%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.11.2
-
11Semendrija 1924Semendrija 19243742
27%
1.1
3144-13
2.0
62%
32%
14%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1110.81.2
-
12DubočicaDubočica3741
27%
1.1
4357-14
2.7
81%
49%
30%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
1011.21.5
-
13Radnički Sr. MitrovicaRadnički Sr. Mitrovica3740
22%
1.1
2935-6
1.7
51%
22%
11%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.80.9
-
14Sloven RumaSloven Ruma3739
22%
1.1
3144-13
2.0
54%
30%
22%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.81.2
-
15IndjijaIndjija3732
19%
0.9
3352-19
2.3
68%
43%
22%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.91.4
-
16Sloboda UziceSloboda Uzice3731
19%
0.8
2342-19
1.8
57%
16%
8%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.61.1
-
Serbia: Prva Liga 2024/25 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Serbia: Prva Liga stats & trends →

← all matches