Oguzsport’s recent 0-1 loss to FC Stăuceni and a winless streak at home suggest a defensive struggle, while FC Stăuceni’s 2-1 victory on the road and a 2-game winning run underline their offensive form. The model predicts an away win with a 44% chance, a draw at 25%, and a home win at 31%. The expected total goals are 3.3, with the most likely total of 3 goals at 22%. The single most likely scoreline is 1-1, carrying an 11% probability. Oguzsport averages 0.0 goals scored and 2.0 conceded at home against stronger opposition; FC Stăuceni averages 1.9 scored and 2.3 conceded away against weaker teams. Suggested picks include Under 7.5 (98.1%), Under 6.5 (95.0%), Home under 3.5 goals (93.7%), Away under 3.5 goals (89.1%), Under 5.5 (88.5%), Away +2 handicap (85.3%), Over 1.5 (84.9%), and Away over 0.5 goals (83.5%).
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🎯 1. Model Analysis
Oguzsport win
30.8%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw
24.8%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
FC Stăuceni win
44.3%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
Oguzsport
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.1
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
1.1
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.14
1.57
1.08
1.75
1.19
1.44
vs Stronger (4)
1.25
1.25
0.00
2.00
1.67
1.00
vs Similar (17)
1.12
1.35
1.00
1.43
1.20
1.30
vs Weaker (7)
1.14
2.29
1.50
2.25
0.67
2.33
Clean sheet %
29% (+6pp vs league)
This opponent (FC Stăuceni) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
FC Stăuceni
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.5
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
2.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
2.03
1.33
2.43
0.64
1.69
1.94
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (10)
1.80
1.00
2.50
0.50
1.33
1.33
vs Weaker (20)
2.15
1.50
2.40
0.70
1.90
2.30
Clean sheet %
40% (+18pp vs league)
This opponent (Oguzsport) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 3.3 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 3 (22%).
Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
84.9%
Under 1.5
15.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
63.7%
Under 2.5
36.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5
Over 3.5
41.5%
Under 3.5
58.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to score
Yes
65.5%
No
34.5%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
11.0%
1-2
9.0%
2-1
7.4%
2-2
6.7%
0-2
6.1%
0-1
5.8%
1-3
5.4%
0-0
4.8%
Oguzsport goals ↓
FC Stăuceni goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
4.8%
5.8%
6.1%
3.7%
1.6%
1
4.6%
11%
9.0%
5.4%
2.4%
2
4.1%
7.4%
6.7%
4.0%
1.8%
3
2.0%
3.7%
3.3%
2.0%
0.9%
4
0.8%
1.4%
1.2%
0.7%
0.3%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Oguzsport goals (down), columns = FC Stăuceni goals (across).
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💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
FC Stăuceni
2.53
Floreşti
2.07
Spartanii Selemet
1.94
FCM Ungheni
1.91
Iskra
1.80
Univer Comrat
1.73
Zimbru II
1.64
FC National Ialoveni
1.49
Vulturii Cutezători
1.49
Oguzsport
0.86
Făleşti
0.73
Victoria Bardar
0.68
Oguzsport is 1.67 points worse than FC Stăuceni in terms of average points per game (0.86 vs 2.53).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
FC Stăuceni
3.00
Floreşti
2.87
FCM Ungheni
2.59
Spartanii Selemet
2.53
Univer Comrat
2.00
FC National Ialoveni
1.95
Vulturii Cutezători
1.95
Iskra
1.93
Zimbru II
1.86
Victoria Bardar
1.23
Făleşti
1.14
Oguzsport
1.09
Oguzsport is 1.91 goals worse than FC Stăuceni in terms of goals scored per game (1.09 vs 3.00).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
FC Stăuceni
0.80
Floreşti
0.87
Spartanii Selemet
1.37
FCM Ungheni
1.55
Zimbru II
1.59
Oguzsport
1.64
Univer Comrat
1.68
FC National Ialoveni
1.78
Vulturii Cutezători
1.78
Iskra
1.93
Făleşti
2.55
Victoria Bardar
2.91
Oguzsport is 0.84 goals worse than FC Stăuceni in terms of goals conceded per game (1.64 vs 0.80).
⏱️ Possession
Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Oguzsport or Draw
55.7%
Avg Implied -
31%
25%
44%
covers Oguzsport + Draw
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Oguzsport or FC Stăuceni
75.2%
Avg Implied -
31%
25%
44%
covers Oguzsport + FC Stăuceni
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw or FC Stăuceni
69.2%
Avg Implied -
31%
25%
44%
covers Draw + FC Stăuceni
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
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🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
Home & Away Over/Under
How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Oguzsport over/under 0.5
Over
77.2%
Under
22.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Oguzsport over/under 1.5
Over
43.5%
Under
56.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Oguzsport over/under 2.5
Over
18.6%
Under
81.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Oguzsport over/under 3.5
Over
6.3%
Under
93.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Stăuceni over/under 0.5
Over
83.5%
Under
16.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Stăuceni over/under 1.5
Over
53.7%
Under
46.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Stăuceni over/under 2.5
Over
27.0%
Under
73.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Stăuceni over/under 3.5
Over
10.9%
Under
89.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⚖️ 7. Handicap
Handicap
The handicap is applied to Oguzsport, so a minus line means Oguzsport give that many goals of a start and FC Stăuceni receive them. At -1, Oguzsport must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Oguzsport win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Oguzsport)
Oguzsport -2
5.5%
Draw -2
9.2%
FC Stăuceni +2
85.3%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap -1 (Oguzsport)
Oguzsport -1
14.7%
Draw -1
16.1%
FC Stăuceni +1
69.2%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +1 (Oguzsport)
Oguzsport +1
55.7%
Draw +1
19.8%
FC Stăuceni -1
24.5%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +2 (Oguzsport)
Oguzsport +2
75.5%
Draw +2
13.7%
FC Stăuceni -2
10.9%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Oguzsport
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.9
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.50
0.89
0.50
1.17
0.50
0.69
vs Stronger (4)
0.75
0.00
0.00
0.00
1.00
0.00
vs Similar (17)
0.41
0.88
0.29
1.00
0.50
0.80
vs Weaker (7)
0.57
1.43
1.00
1.75
0.00
1.00
Clean sheet %
50% (+28pp vs league)
This opponent (FC Stăuceni) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
FC Stăuceni
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
1.0
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.83
0.53
1.07
0.21
0.62
0.81
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (10)
0.70
0.50
1.50
0.00
0.17
0.83
vs Weaker (20)
0.90
0.55
0.90
0.30
0.90
0.80
Clean sheet %
63% (+41pp vs league)
This opponent (Oguzsport) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
No half-time model prices for this fixture yet - the form above is the record.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Oguzsport over/under 0.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Oguzsport over/under 1.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Oguzsport over/under 2.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Stăuceni over/under 0.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Stăuceni over/under 1.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Stăuceni over/under 2.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Oguzsport
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.64
0.68
0.58
0.58
0.69
0.75
vs Stronger (4)
0.50
1.25
0.00
2.00
0.67
1.00
vs Similar (17)
0.71
0.47
0.71
0.43
0.70
0.50
vs Weaker (7)
0.57
0.86
0.50
0.50
0.67
1.33
Clean sheet %
46% (+24pp vs league)
This opponent (FC Stăuceni) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
FC Stăuceni
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
1.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.20
0.80
1.36
0.43
1.06
1.12
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (10)
1.10
0.50
1.00
0.50
1.17
0.50
vs Weaker (20)
1.25
0.95
1.50
0.40
1.00
1.50
Clean sheet %
53% (+31pp vs league)
This opponent (Oguzsport) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
No second-half model prices for this fixture yet - the form above is the record.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Oguzsport over/under 0.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Oguzsport over/under 1.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Oguzsport over/under 2.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Stăuceni over/under 0.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Stăuceni over/under 1.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Stăuceni over/under 2.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
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🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Under 7.5
98.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 6.5
95.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home under 3.5 goals
93.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 3.5 goals
89.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 5.5
88.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away +2 handicap
85.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 1.5
84.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away over 0.5 goals
83.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home under 2.5 goals
81.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home over 0.5 goals
77.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 4.5
76.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home +2 handicap
75.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home or Away
75.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 2.5 goals
73.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
Moldova: Liga 1 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Moldova: Liga 1 stats & trends →
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Vulturii Cutezători
Iskra
FCM Ungheni
Univer Comrat
Făleşti
FC National Ialoveni
Victoria Bardar
Zimbru II
Spartanii Selemet
Floreşti