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Oguzsport vs Victoria Bardar Prediction & Stats

Date: 04/09/2026
Time: 14:00
Oguzsport
Oguzsport
Vs
44%
25%
31%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Victoria Bardar
Victoria Bardar
Moldova: Liga 1
Referee: -
Match preview & prediction

Oguzsport’s recent 0-1 loss to FC Stăuceni leaves them looking defensive, yet their home form shows a balanced 1.33 goals scored and conceded against stronger opposition, hinting at a resilient attack. Victoria Bardar, fresh from a 3-2 win, has a more potent away scoring average of 1.56 but also concedes 2.78 goals to weaker teams, suggesting they may struggle to keep the scoreline tight. The model projects a high-scoring affair with an expected 3.3 goals, most likely totaling three goals. The single most probable scoreline is 1-1, carrying an 11.2 % chance. Home win is the favoured outcome, with a 44 % chance, draw 25 %, and away win 31 %. Suggested picks include Under 7.5 (98.2 %), Under 6.5 (95.2 %), Away under 3.5 goals (93.7 %), Home under 3.5 goals (89.5 %), Under 5.5 (88.8 %), Home +2 handicap (85.0 %), Over 1.5 (84.6 %), and Home over 0.5 goals (83.0 %).

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Oguzsport win
43.7%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw
25.0%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Victoria Bardar win
31.3%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

OguzsportOguzsport

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-500D02L10W11D32W25L10W20W00D01LA·VIC03/04H·UNI10/04A·ZIM17/04H·FĂL24/04A·UNI06/05A·SIR16/05A·VIC31/07A·FC 07/08H·FĂL14/08A·FC 22/08← Super LigaLiga 1 →
Avg total
2.1
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
1.1
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.141.571.081.751.191.44
vs Stronger (4)1.251.250.002.001.671.00
vs Similar (17)1.121.351.001.431.201.30
vs Weaker (7)1.142.291.502.250.672.33
Clean sheet %29% (+6pp vs league)
This opponent (Victoria Bardar) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Victoria BardarVictoria Bardar

Last 10 – goals for & against
60-602L00D26L43W11D11D01L01L32W02LA·SHE21/03H·OGU03/04A·FCM10/04A·OLI18/04H·UNI24/04A·FCM06/05H·OGU31/07A·FĂL08/08H·FC 15/08H·FC 28/08← Super LigaLiga 1 →
Avg total
3.0
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
1.9
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.172.631.252.381.072.93
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (16)1.002.061.002.001.002.14
vs Weaker (14)1.363.291.572.861.143.71
Clean sheet %3% (-19pp vs league)
This opponent (Oguzsport) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%11%17%22%5%011%121%222%318%412%511%6+
The model estimates around 3.3 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 3 (22%).
Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
84.6%
Under 1.5
15.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
63.1%
Under 2.5
36.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5
Over 3.5
41.0%
Under 3.5
59.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to score
Yes
65.2%
No
34.8%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
11.2%
2-1
9.0%
1-2
7.5%
2-2
6.7%
2-0
6.1%
1-0
5.8%
3-1
5.3%
0-0
4.9%
Oguzsport goals ↓
Victoria Bardar goals →
01234
04.9%4.7%4.2%2.1%0.8%
15.8%11%7.5%3.7%1.4%
26.1%9.0%6.7%3.3%1.2%
33.6%5.3%3.9%1.9%0.7%
41.6%2.4%1.7%0.9%0.3%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Oguzsport goals (down), columns = Victoria Bardar goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
FC Stăuceni
2.53
Floreşti
2.07
Spartanii Selemet
1.94
FCM Ungheni
1.91
Iskra
1.80
Univer Comrat
1.73
Zimbru II
1.64
FC National Ialoveni
1.49
Vulturii Cutezători
1.49
Oguzsport
0.86
Făleşti
0.73
Victoria Bardar
0.68
Oguzsport is 0.18 points better than Victoria Bardar in terms of average points per game (0.86 vs 0.68).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
FC Stăuceni
3.00
Floreşti
2.87
FCM Ungheni
2.59
Spartanii Selemet
2.53
Univer Comrat
2.00
FC National Ialoveni
1.95
Vulturii Cutezători
1.95
Iskra
1.93
Zimbru II
1.86
Victoria Bardar
1.23
Făleşti
1.14
Oguzsport
1.09
Oguzsport is 0.14 goals worse than Victoria Bardar in terms of goals scored per game (1.09 vs 1.23).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
FC Stăuceni
0.80
Floreşti
0.87
Spartanii Selemet
1.37
FCM Ungheni
1.55
Zimbru II
1.59
Oguzsport
1.64
Univer Comrat
1.68
FC National Ialoveni
1.78
Vulturii Cutezători
1.78
Iskra
1.93
Făleşti
2.55
Victoria Bardar
2.91
Oguzsport is 1.27 goals better than Victoria Bardar in terms of goals conceded per game (1.64 vs 2.91).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Oguzsport or Draw
68.7%
Avg Implied -
44%
25%
31%
covers Oguzsport + Draw
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Oguzsport or Victoria Bardar
75.0%
Avg Implied -
44%
25%
31%
covers Oguzsport + Victoria Bardar
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw or Victoria Bardar
56.3%
Avg Implied -
44%
25%
31%
covers Draw + Victoria Bardar
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

Home & Away Over/Under

How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Oguzsport over/under 0.5
Over
83.0%
Under
17.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Oguzsport over/under 1.5
Over
52.9%
Under
47.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Oguzsport over/under 2.5
Over
26.2%
Under
73.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Oguzsport over/under 3.5
Over
10.5%
Under
89.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Victoria Bardar over/under 0.5
Over
77.3%
Under
22.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Victoria Bardar over/under 1.5
Over
43.6%
Under
56.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Victoria Bardar over/under 2.5
Over
18.6%
Under
81.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Victoria Bardar over/under 3.5
Over
6.3%
Under
93.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⚖️ 7. Handicap

Handicap

The handicap is applied to Oguzsport, so a minus line means Oguzsport give that many goals of a start and Victoria Bardar receive them. At -1, Oguzsport must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Oguzsport win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Oguzsport)
Oguzsport -2
10.5%
Draw -2
13.5%
Victoria Bardar +2
76.0%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap -1 (Oguzsport)
Oguzsport -1
24.0%
Draw -1
19.7%
Victoria Bardar +1
56.3%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +1 (Oguzsport)
Oguzsport +1
68.7%
Draw +1
16.3%
Victoria Bardar -1
15.0%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +2 (Oguzsport)
Oguzsport +2
85.0%
Draw +2
9.4%
Victoria Bardar -2
5.6%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

OguzsportOguzsport

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-400D00D00D11D10W14L10W00D00D00DA·VIC03/04H·UNI10/04A·ZIM17/04H·FĂL24/04A·UNI06/05A·SIR16/05A·VIC31/07A·FC 07/08H·FĂL14/08A·FC 22/08← Super LigaLiga 1 →
Avg total
0.9
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.500.890.501.170.500.69
vs Stronger (4)0.750.000.000.001.000.00
vs Similar (17)0.410.880.291.000.500.80
vs Weaker (7)0.571.431.001.750.001.00
Clean sheet %50% (+28pp vs league)
This opponent (Victoria Bardar) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Victoria BardarVictoria Bardar

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-301L00D12L30W10W11D01L00D20W01LA·SHE21/03H·OGU03/04A·FCM10/04A·OLI18/04H·UNI24/04A·FCM06/05H·OGU31/07A·FĂL08/08H·FC 15/08H·FC 28/08← Super LigaLiga 1 →
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.501.230.381.250.641.21
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (16)0.500.810.441.110.570.43
vs Weaker (14)0.501.710.291.430.712.00
Clean sheet %30% (+8pp vs league)
This opponent (Oguzsport) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5
Over 0.5
69.8%
Under 0.5
30.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
34.2%
Under 1.5
65.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
10.6%
Under 2.5
89.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Oguzsport over/under 0.5 HT
Over
49.2%
Under
50.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Oguzsport over/under 1.5 HT
Over
18.6%
Under
81.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Oguzsport over/under 2.5 HT
Over
3.9%
Under
96.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Victoria Bardar over/under 0.5 HT
Over
37.6%
Under
62.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Victoria Bardar over/under 1.5 HT
Over
7.8%
Under
92.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Victoria Bardar over/under 2.5 HT
Over
1.7%
Under
98.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

OguzsportOguzsport

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-200D02L10W00D22D11D00D20W00D01LA·VIC03/04H·UNI10/04A·ZIM17/04H·FĂL24/04A·UNI06/05A·SIR16/05A·VIC31/07A·FC 07/08H·FĂL14/08A·FC 22/08← Super LigaLiga 1 →
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.640.680.580.580.690.75
vs Stronger (4)0.501.250.002.000.671.00
vs Similar (17)0.710.470.710.430.700.50
vs Weaker (7)0.570.860.500.500.671.33
Clean sheet %46% (+24pp vs league)
This opponent (Victoria Bardar) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Victoria BardarVictoria Bardar

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-401L00D14L13L01L00D00D01L12L01LA·SHE21/03H·OGU03/04A·FCM10/04A·OLI18/04H·UNI24/04A·FCM06/05H·OGU31/07A·FĂL08/08H·FC 15/08H·FC 28/08← Super LigaLiga 1 →
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
1.3
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.671.400.881.120.431.71
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (16)0.501.250.560.890.431.71
vs Weaker (14)0.861.571.291.430.431.71
Clean sheet %23% (+1pp vs league)
This opponent (Oguzsport) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5
Over 0.5
81.2%
Under 0.5
18.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
42.4%
Under 1.5
57.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
20.3%
Under 2.5
79.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Oguzsport over/under 0.5 2H
Over
58.8%
Under
41.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Oguzsport over/under 1.5 2H
Over
22.9%
Under
77.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Oguzsport over/under 2.5 2H
Over
7.3%
Under
92.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Victoria Bardar over/under 0.5 2H
Over
46.9%
Under
53.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Victoria Bardar over/under 1.5 2H
Over
13.3%
Under
86.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Victoria Bardar over/under 2.5 2H
Over
2.5%
Under
97.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5Edge
Away under 2.5 HT goals98.3%-------
Under 7.598.2%-------
Away under 2.5 2H goals97.5%-------
Home under 2.5 HT goals96.1%-------
Under 6.595.2%-------
Away under 3.5 goals93.7%-------
Home under 2.5 2H goals92.7%-------
Away under 1.5 HT goals92.2%-------
Home under 3.5 goals89.5%-------
Under 2.5 HT goals89.4%-------
Under 5.588.8%-------
Away under 1.5 2H goals86.7%-------
Home +2 handicap85.0%-------
Over 1.584.6%-------
Home over 0.5 goals83.0%-------
Home under 1.5 HT goals81.4%-------
Away under 2.5 goals81.4%-------
Over 0.5 2H goals81.2%-------
Under 2.5 2H goals79.7%-------
Away over 0.5 goals77.3%-------
Home under 1.5 2H goals77.1%-------
Under 4.577.1%-------
Away +2 handicap76.0%-------
Home or Away75.0%-------
Home under 2.5 goals73.8%-------

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SS (12)
€1m
FU (2)
€0m
ZI (1)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SS (4)
€0m
ZI (1)
€0m
FU (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SS (4)
€0m
ZI (0)
€0m
FU (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SS (4)
€0m
FU (2)
€0m
ZI (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

5 previous meetings
2
OGU wins
2
Draws
1
VB wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Oguzsport vs Victoria Bardar · H/A from OGU
DateH/AGameScore
31/07/26AVictoria Bardar Vs OGU0-1
03/04/26AVictoria Bardar Vs OGU0-0
21/11/25HOGU Vs Victoria Bardar1-2
03/10/25AVictoria Bardar Vs OGU2-2
22/08/25HOGU Vs Victoria Bardar3-0

OguzsportOguzsport

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
22/08/26AFC Stăuceni Vs OGU1-0
14/08/26HOGU Vs Făleşti0-0
07/08/26AFC National Ialoveni Vs OGU0-2
31/07/26AVictoria Bardar Vs OGU0-1
16/05/26ASireți Vs OGU5-2
06/05/26AUniver Comrat Vs OGU2-3
24/04/26HOGU Vs Făleşti1-1
17/04/26AZimbru II Vs OGU0-1
10/04/26HOGU Vs Univer Comrat0-2
03/04/26AVictoria Bardar Vs OGU0-0

Victoria BardarVictoria Bardar

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
28/08/26HVB Vs FC National Ialoveni0-2
15/08/26HVB Vs FC Stăuceni3-2
08/08/26AFăleşti Vs VB1-0
31/07/26HVB Vs Oguzsport0-1
06/05/26AFCM Ungheni Vs VB1-1
24/04/26HVB Vs Univer Comrat1-1
18/04/26AOlimp Comrat Vs VB3-4
10/04/26AFCM Ungheni Vs VB6-2
03/04/26HVB Vs Oguzsport0-0
21/03/26ASheriff II Vs VB2-0

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Oguzsport
Oguzsport
Moldova: Liga 1
Recent: 4 Wins / 3 Draws / 3 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLWWDL1.04
HomeLLLDD0.75
AwayWLWWL1.25
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %25%17%31%
AVG goals2.712.832.62
Over 1.5 %75%83%69%
Over 2.5 %50%58%44%
Over 3.5 %32%33%31%
Scored1.141.081.19
Conceded1.571.751.44
BTTS54%58%50%
Clean Sheet29%25%31%
Corners---
Cards---
Victoria Bardar
Victoria Bardar
Moldova: Liga 1
Recent: 2 Wins / 3 Draws / 5 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDLLWL1.18
HomeDDLWL1.20
AwayLLWDL1.16
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %36%36%36%
AVG goals4.144.284.00
Over 1.5 %88%88%88%
Over 2.5 %76%76%76%
Over 3.5 %58%56%60%
Scored1.922.201.64
Conceded2.222.082.36
BTTS64%72%56%
Clean Sheet10%8%12%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1Vulturii CutezătoriVulturii Cutezători513
80%
2.6
208+12
5.6
100%
100%
100%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0004.01.6
-
2IskraIskra512
80%
2.4
186+12
4.8
100%
80%
60%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0003.61.2
-
3FCM UngheniFCM Ungheni57
40%
1.4
1310+3
4.6
100%
80%
80%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.62.0
-
4OguzsportOguzsport47
50%
1.8
31+2
1.0
25%
0%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.80.2
-
5Univer ComratUniver Comrat57
40%
1.4
1514+1
5.8
100%
80%
80%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0003.02.8
-
6FC StăuceniFC Stăuceni47
50%
1.8
65+1
2.8
75%
50%
25%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.51.2
-
7FăleştiFăleşti47
50%
1.8
32+1
1.2
25%
25%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.80.5
-
8FC National IaloveniFC National Ialoveni44
25%
1.0
34-1
1.8
75%
0%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.81.0
-
9Victoria BardarVictoria Bardar43
25%
0.8
36-3
2.2
50%
25%
25%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.81.5
-
10Zimbru IIZimbru II53
20%
0.6
914-5
4.6
100%
100%
80%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.82.8
-
11Spartanii SelemetSpartanii Selemet51
0%
0.2
427-23
6.2
100%
80%
80%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0000.85.4
-
12FloreştiFloreşti00
0%
0.0
00+0
-
0%
0%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.00.0
-
Moldova: Liga 1 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Moldova: Liga 1 stats & trends →

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