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Okzhetpes vs Kaisar Result & Analysis

Date: 03/09/2022
Time: 11:00
Final 1-1
Okzhetpes
Okzhetpes
Vs
59%
21%
20%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Kaisar
Kaisar
Kazakhstan: 1. Division
Referee: -

ðŸŽŊ 1. Model Analysis

Okzhetpes win✗ Miss
58.6%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✓ Hit
20.9%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Kaisar win✗ Miss
20.5%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

âš― 2. Goal Analysis

OkzhetpesOkzhetpes

Last 10 – goals for & against
60-660W11D50W40W42W32W10W11D41W32WH·BUL28/05A·AST18/06H·IGI25/06H·KYR02/07A·TAR09/07H·SPO16/07A·EKI23/07H·ZHE30/07H·AKA20/08A·YAS28/08
Avg total
4.1
Avg scored
3.2
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game2.880.883.440.672.141.14
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (10)2.501.002.801.002.201.00
vs Weaker (6)3.500.674.250.252.001.50
Clean sheet %44% (+20pp vs league)
This opponent (Kaisar) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

KaisarKaisar

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-531W50W11D12L20W34L12L32W42W30WA·KYR28/05A·BAY12/06H·TAR19/06A·SPO25/06H·ZHE29/06H·EKI02/07A·ZHE12/07A·BUL19/08H·YAS24/08H·AST28/08
Avg total
4.0
Avg scored
2.6
Avg conceded
1.4
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game2.501.192.671.112.291.29
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (13)2.151.312.501.251.601.40
vs Weaker (3)4.000.674.000.004.001.00
Clean sheet %31% (+7pp vs league)
This opponent (Okzhetpes) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

5%10%16%21%3%08%118%221%319%414%517%6+
The model estimates around 3.7 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 3 (21%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
89.0%
Under 1.5
11.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
71.1%
Under 2.5
28.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
50.2%
Under 3.5
49.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
67.6%
No
32.4%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
2-1
9.3%
1-1 ✓
8.7%
3-1
7.2%
2-0
6.9%
2-2
6.2%
1-2
5.4%
3-0
5.3%
1-0
5.1%
Okzhetpes goals ↓
Kaisar goals →
01234
03.3%2.6%2.3%1.0%0.3%
15.1%8.7%5.4%2.4%0.8%
26.9%9.3%6.2%2.8%0.9%
35.3%7.2%4.8%2.2%0.7%
43.1%4.2%2.8%1.3%0.4%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Okzhetpes goals (down), columns = Kaisar goals (across).

💊 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Okzhetpes
2.35
Kaisar
2.15
Zhetysu
2.12
Sport Academy Kairat
1.96
Kyran
1.58
Ekibastuz
1.42
Taraz Karatau
1.38
Zhenys
1.35
Yassy Turkistan
1.35
Akademiya Ontustik
1.15
Astana II
1.04
Igilik
0.81
Bulat
0.65
Baykonur
0.27
Okzhetpes is 0.19 points better than Kaisar in terms of average points per game (2.35 vs 2.15).

⚔ïļ Attack

Goals scored / game
Okzhetpes
3.08
Sport Academy Kairat
2.35
Kaisar
2.31
Zhetysu
2.19
Kyran
2.19
Astana II
1.92
Yassy Turkistan
1.85
Taraz Karatau
1.73
Ekibastuz
1.73
Akademiya Ontustik
1.62
Zhenys
1.54
Bulat
1.38
Igilik
1.04
Baykonur
0.62
Okzhetpes is 0.77 goals better than Kaisar in terms of goals scored per game (3.08 vs 2.31).

ðŸ›Ąïļ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Okzhetpes
0.85
Zhetysu
0.88
Kaisar
1.00
Sport Academy Kairat
1.19
Zhenys
1.38
Kyran
1.65
Taraz Karatau
1.81
Ekibastuz
1.81
Yassy Turkistan
2.08
Akademiya Ontustik
2.31
Astana II
2.38
Igilik
2.69
Baykonur
2.73
Bulat
2.77
Okzhetpes is 0.15 goals better than Kaisar in terms of goals conceded per game (0.85 vs 1.00).

⏱ïļ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

ðŸŽē 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

ðŸĨ… 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖ïļ 7. Handicap

⏱ïļ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

OkzhetpesOkzhetpes

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-440W01L20W10W41W21W00D11D00D00DH·BUL28/05A·AST18/06H·IGI25/06H·KYR02/07A·TAR09/07H·SPO16/07A·EKI23/07H·ZHE30/07H·AKA20/08A·YAS28/08
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
1.4
Avg conceded
0.4
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.190.381.330.331.000.43
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (10)1.100.500.800.601.400.40
vs Weaker (6)1.330.172.000.000.000.50
Clean sheet %62% (+38pp vs league)
This opponent (Kaisar) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

KaisarKaisar

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-310W20W01L11D20W21W02L22D30W20WA·KYR28/05A·BAY12/06H·TAR19/06A·SPO25/06H·ZHE29/06H·EKI02/07A·ZHE12/07A·BUL19/08H·YAS24/08H·AST28/08
Avg total
2.2
Avg scored
1.5
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.190.561.220.331.140.86
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (13)1.080.541.250.380.800.80
vs Weaker (3)1.670.671.000.002.001.00
Clean sheet %56% (+32pp vs league)
This opponent (Okzhetpes) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸĨ… 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Okzhetpes over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Okzhetpes over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Okzhetpes over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kaisar over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kaisar over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kaisar over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱ïļ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

OkzhetpesOkzhetpes

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-420W10W30W30W01L11D10W00D41W32WH·BUL28/05A·AST18/06H·IGI25/06H·KYR02/07A·TAR09/07H·SPO16/07A·EKI23/07H·ZHE30/07H·AKA20/08A·YAS28/08
Avg total
2.3
Avg scored
1.8
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.690.502.110.331.140.71
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (10)1.400.502.000.400.800.60
vs Weaker (6)2.170.502.250.252.001.00
Clean sheet %62% (+38pp vs league)
This opponent (Kaisar) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

KaisarKaisar

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-321W30W10W01L00D13L10W10W12L10WA·KYR28/05A·BAY12/06H·TAR19/06A·SPO25/06H·ZHE29/06H·EKI02/07A·ZHE12/07A·BUL19/08H·YAS24/08H·AST28/08
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.310.621.440.781.140.43
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (13)1.080.771.250.880.800.60
vs Weaker (3)2.330.003.000.002.000.00
Clean sheet %56% (+32pp vs league)
This opponent (Okzhetpes) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸĨ… 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Okzhetpes over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Okzhetpes over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Okzhetpes over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kaisar over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kaisar over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kaisar over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸ”Ĩ 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 1.589.0%-------✓ Hit
Over 2.571.1%-------✗ Miss

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
OKZ (23)
€5m
KAI (25)
€4m
ZHE (18)
€4m
ZHE (21)
€3m
Okzhetpes and Kaisar have a similar squad value (both €5m).

⚔ïļ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
OKZ (8)
€2m
KAI (11)
€2m
ZHE (6)
€2m
ZHE (8)
€1m
Okzhetpes and Kaisar have a similar attack value (both €2m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
OKZ (6)
€1m
KAI (4)
€1m
ZHE (3)
€0m
ZHE (3)
€0m
Okzhetpes and Kaisar have a similar midfield value (both €1m).

ðŸ›Ąïļ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
KAI (10)
€2m
ZHE (10)
€2m
ZHE (9)
€2m
OKZ (9)
€1m
Okzhetpes and Kaisar have a similar defence value (both €1m).

ðŸĪ 15. Games History

H2H record

1 previous meeting
0
OKZ wins
0
Draws
1
KAI wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Okzhetpes vs Kaisar · H/A from OKZ
DateH/AGameScore
22/05/22AKaisar Vs OKZ3-2

OkzhetpesOkzhetpes

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
28/08/22AYassy Turkistan Vs OKZ2-3
20/08/22HOKZ Vs Akademiya Ontustik4-1
30/07/22HOKZ Vs Zhenys1-1
23/07/22AEkibastuz Vs OKZ0-1
16/07/22HOKZ Vs Sport Academy Kairat3-2
09/07/22ATaraz Karatau Vs OKZ2-4
02/07/22HOKZ Vs Kyran4-0
25/06/22HOKZ Vs Igilik5-0
18/06/22AAstana II Vs OKZ1-1
28/05/22HOKZ Vs Bulat6-0

KaisarKaisar

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
28/08/22HKAI Vs Astana II3-0
24/08/22HKAI Vs Yassy Turkistan4-2
19/08/22ABulat Vs KAI2-3
12/07/22AZhetysu Vs KAI2-1
02/07/22HKAI Vs Ekibastuz3-4
29/06/22HKAI Vs Zhenys2-0
25/06/22ASport Academy Kairat Vs KAI2-1
19/06/22HKAI Vs Taraz Karatau1-1
12/06/22ABaykonur Vs KAI0-5
28/05/22AKyran Vs KAI1-3

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Okzhetpes
Okzhetpes
Kazakhstan: 1. Division
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Draws / 0 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWWDWW2.38
HomeWWWDW2.44
AwayLDWWW2.29
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %75%78%71%
AVG goals3.754.113.29
Over 1.5 %81%89%71%
Over 2.5 %69%78%57%
Over 3.5 %56%67%43%
Scored2.883.442.14
Conceded0.880.671.14
BTTS50%44%57%
Clean Sheet44%44%43%
Corners---
Cards---
Kaisar
Kaisar
Kazakhstan: 1. Division
Recent: 6 Wins / 1 Draws / 3 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLLWWW2.19
HomeDWLWW2.44
AwayWWLLW1.86
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %69%78%57%
AVG goals3.693.783.57
Over 1.5 %94%89%100%
Over 2.5 %75%67%86%
Over 3.5 %50%56%43%
Scored2.502.672.29
Conceded1.191.111.29
BTTS69%56%86%
Clean Sheet31%44%14%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value ₮mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1OkzhetpesOkzhetpes2661
73%
2.3
8022+58
3.9
88%
69%
58%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
5
2113.10.8
-
2KaisarKaisar2656
65%
2.2
6026+34
3.3
88%
65%
46%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
2122.31.0
-
3ZhetysuZhetysu2655
65%
2.1
5723+34
3.1
77%
69%
38%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1022.20.9
-
4Sport Academy KairatSport Academy Kairat2651
58%
2.0
6131+30
3.5
88%
73%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.31.2
-
5KyranKyran2641
46%
1.6
5743+14
3.8
85%
73%
54%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.21.7
-
6EkibastuzEkibastuz2637
35%
1.4
4547-2
3.5
85%
73%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.71.8
-
7Taraz KaratauTaraz Karatau2636
38%
1.4
4547-2
3.5
81%
65%
46%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.71.8
-
8ZhenysZhenys2635
38%
1.3
4036+4
2.9
81%
58%
42%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
2021.51.4
-
9Yassy TurkistanYassy Turkistan2635
38%
1.3
4854-6
3.9
81%
77%
54%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.82.1
-
10Akademiya OntustikAkademiya Ontustik2630
31%
1.2
4260-18
3.9
88%
88%
65%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.62.3
-
11Astana IIAstana II2627
27%
1.0
5062-12
4.3
85%
77%
58%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.92.4
-
12IgilikIgilik2621
23%
0.8
2770-43
3.7
73%
62%
46%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.02.7
-
13BulatBulat2617
15%
0.7
3672-36
4.2
92%
81%
65%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.42.8
-
14BaykonurBaykonur267
4%
0.3
1671-55
3.3
85%
77%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.62.7
-
Kazakhstan: 1. Division 2022/23 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Kazakhstan: 1. Division stats & trends →

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