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Okzhetpes vs Kaisar Result & Analysis

Date: 06/07/2025
Time: 15:30
Final 4-2
Okzhetpes
Okzhetpes
Vs
46%
27%
27%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Kaisar
Kaisar
Kazakhstan: Premier League
Referee: -
1 Model Analysis2 Goal Analysis3 Team Strengths Analysis4 Props Analysis5 Double Chance6 Home & Away Over/Under7 Handicap8 Half Time Goals O/U9 Half Time Home & Away O/U10 Second Half Goals O/U11 Second Half Home & Away O/U
12 Top picks for this game14 Squad value15 Games History16 Overall Statistics17 League Table

ðŸŽŊ 1. Model Analysis

Okzhetpes win✓ Hit
46.1%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
26.8%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Kaisar win✗ Miss
27.1%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

âš― 2. Goal Analysis

OkzhetpesOkzhetpes

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-510W11D20W31W13L21W32W25L01L00DA·ULY19/04H·ZHE26/04A·YEL04/05A·ZHE11/05H·AKT17/05A·KAI24/05H·KYZ31/05A·FC 15/06H·ORD21/06A·ATY28/06
Avg total
2.9
Avg scored
1.5
Avg conceded
1.4
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game2.130.972.600.871.671.07
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (26)1.651.041.671.001.641.07
vs Weaker (4)5.250.506.330.332.001.00
Clean sheet %37% (+9pp vs league)
This opponent (Kaisar) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

KaisarKaisar

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-512L11D05L12L10W21W22D11D11D12LA·KYZ27/04H·FC 04/05A·ORD11/05H·AKT14/05H·TUR18/05A·ATY25/05H·ZHE31/05H·FK 15/06H·ULY22/06H·YEL29/06
Avg total
2.8
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
1.7
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.131.471.310.940.932.07
vs Stronger (15)0.871.601.111.000.502.50
vs Similar (15)1.401.331.570.861.251.75
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %20% (-8pp vs league)
This opponent (Okzhetpes) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%12%19%25%7%014%125%222%316%49%57%6+
The model estimates around 2.8 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (25%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
78.6%
Under 1.5
21.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
53.8%
Under 2.5
46.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
31.5%
Under 3.5
68.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
57.4%
No
42.6%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
12.7%
2-1
9.4%
1-0
8.4%
2-0
7.8%
0-0
7.0%
1-2
7.0%
0-1
5.9%
2-2
5.7%
Okzhetpes goals ↓
Kaisar goals →
01234
07.0%5.9%4.3%1.7%0.5%
18.4%13%7.0%2.8%0.8%
27.8%9.4%5.7%2.3%0.7%
34.2%5.1%3.1%1.2%0.4%
41.7%2.1%1.2%0.5%0.2%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Okzhetpes goals (down), columns = Kaisar goals (across).

💊 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Kairat Almaty
2.27
FC Astana
2.19
FK Tobol Kostanay
2.08
Yelimay Semey
1.85
Aktobe
1.65
Zhenys
1.38
Ordabasy
1.35
Okzhetpes
1.23
Kyzyl-Zhar
1.04
Zhetysu
0.92
Ulytau
0.88
Kaisar
0.85
Atyrau
0.73
Turan Turkistan
0.62
Okzhetpes is 0.38 points better than Kaisar in terms of average points per game (1.23 vs 0.85).

⚔ïļ Attack

Goals scored / game
FC Astana
2.54
Kairat Almaty
2.04
Yelimay Semey
1.81
FK Tobol Kostanay
1.73
Aktobe
1.50
Ordabasy
1.42
Zhenys
1.42
Okzhetpes
1.35
Turan Turkistan
0.96
Kyzyl-Zhar
0.96
Kaisar
0.92
Atyrau
0.85
Zhetysu
0.81
Ulytau
0.77
Okzhetpes is 0.42 goals better than Kaisar in terms of goals scored per game (1.35 vs 0.92).

ðŸ›Ąïļ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Kairat Almaty
0.73
FK Tobol Kostanay
0.96
Ordabasy
1.08
Aktobe
1.12
FC Astana
1.15
Zhenys
1.15
Yelimay Semey
1.19
Kyzyl-Zhar
1.23
Ulytau
1.58
Zhetysu
1.58
Kaisar
1.62
Okzhetpes
1.73
Atyrau
1.73
Turan Turkistan
2.23
Okzhetpes is 0.12 goals worse than Kaisar in terms of goals conceded per game (1.73 vs 1.62).

⏱ïļ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

ðŸŽē 4. Props Analysis

OkzhetpesOkzhetpes

ðŸšĐ Corners

No recent corners data for this league.

ðŸŸĻ Cards

No recent cards data for this league.

⚠ïļ Fouls

No recent fouls data for this league.

KaisarKaisar

ðŸšĐ Corners

No recent corners data for this league.

ðŸŸĻ Cards

No recent cards data for this league.

⚠ïļ Fouls

No recent fouls data for this league.

OkzhetpesOkzhetpes

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)---0.10.10.0---
vs Stronger (0)---------
vs Similar (42)---0.10.10.0---
vs Weaker (8)---0.00.00.0---
% over line---0%0%0%---
% under line---100%100%100%---
This opponent (Kaisar) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

KaisarKaisar

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)---0.20.00.4---
vs Stronger (22)---0.00.00.0---
vs Similar (28)---0.40.00.8---
vs Weaker (0)---------
% over line---2%0%4%---
% under line---98%100%96%---
This opponent (Okzhetpes) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

ðŸšĐ Total Corners

Match total corners / game
Okzhetpes
13.0
Kairat Almaty
11.0
Aktobe
9.5
FK Tobol Kostanay
9.3
FC Astana
8.8
Kyzyl-Zhar
8.5
Ordabasy
8.3
Zhetysu
6.0

ðŸŸĻ Total Cards

Match total cards / game
Zhetysu
6.1
Aktobe
5.7
FK Tobol Kostanay
5.6
Ordabasy
5.1
Kaisar
5.0
FC Astana
3.9
Kairat Almaty
3.8
Kyzyl-Zhar
3.2
Okzhetpes
2.5

⚠ïļ Total Fouls

Match total fouls / game
FK Tobol Kostanay
30.1
Ordabasy
30.0
Aktobe
27.0
FC Astana
23.2
Corners O/U 9.5
Over 9.5
0.0%
Under 9.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5
Over 3.5
54.0%
Under 3.5
46.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
0.0%
Under 21.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

ðŸĨ… 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖ïļ 7. Handicap

⏱ïļ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

OkzhetpesOkzhetpes

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-310W10W10W11D11D10W10W23L00D00DA·ULY19/04H·ZHE26/04A·YEL04/05A·ZHE11/05H·AKT17/05A·KAI24/05H·KYZ31/05A·FC 15/06H·ORD21/06A·ATY28/06
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.000.431.130.200.870.67
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (26)0.810.500.750.250.860.71
vs Weaker (4)2.250.002.670.001.000.00
Clean sheet %70% (+42pp vs league)
This opponent (Kaisar) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

KaisarKaisar

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-200D00D02L01L00D00D00D11D01L10WA·KYZ27/04H·FC 04/05A·ORD11/05H·AKT14/05H·TUR18/05A·ATY25/05H·ZHE31/05H·FK 15/06H·ULY22/06H·YEL29/06
Avg total
0.7
Avg scored
0.2
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.330.500.440.380.210.64
vs Stronger (15)0.270.670.330.560.170.83
vs Similar (15)0.400.330.570.140.250.50
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %60% (+32pp vs league)
This opponent (Okzhetpes) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸĨ… 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Okzhetpes over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Okzhetpes over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Okzhetpes over/under 2.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kaisar over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kaisar over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kaisar over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱ïļ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

OkzhetpesOkzhetpes

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-200D01L10W20W02L11D22D02L01L00DA·ULY19/04H·ZHE26/04A·YEL04/05A·ZHE11/05H·AKT17/05A·KAI24/05H·KYZ31/05A·FC 15/06H·ORD21/06A·ATY28/06
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.130.531.470.670.800.40
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (26)0.850.540.920.750.790.36
vs Weaker (4)3.000.503.670.331.001.00
Clean sheet %57% (+29pp vs league)
This opponent (Kaisar) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

KaisarKaisar

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-312L11D03L11D10W21W22D00D10W02LA·KYZ27/04H·FC 04/05A·ORD11/05H·AKT14/05H·TUR18/05A·ATY25/05H·ZHE31/05H·FK 15/06H·ULY22/06H·YEL29/06
Avg total
2.1
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
1.2
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.800.970.880.560.711.43
vs Stronger (15)0.600.930.780.440.331.67
vs Similar (15)1.001.001.000.711.001.25
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %47% (+19pp vs league)
This opponent (Okzhetpes) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸĨ… 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Okzhetpes over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Okzhetpes over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Okzhetpes over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kaisar over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kaisar over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kaisar over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸ”Ĩ 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Under 5.5 cards80.5%--------
Over 1.578.6%-------✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards74.2%--------

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ORD (22)
€10m
FA (25)
€10m
AKT (25)
€10m
KA (24)
€10m
FTK (23)
€9m
YS (23)
€8m
OKZ (23)
€5m
ATY (20)
€4m
KYZ (26)
€4m
KAI (25)
€4m
ZHE (18)
€4m
ZHE (21)
€3m
ULY (20)
€3m
Okzhetpes and Kaisar have a similar squad value (both €5m).

⚔ïļ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
AKT (12)
€5m
KA (9)
€4m
YS (11)
€4m
FTK (7)
€3m
ORD (8)
€3m
FA (9)
€3m
OKZ (8)
€2m
KAI (11)
€2m
KYZ (9)
€2m
ATY (7)
€2m
ZHE (6)
€2m
ULY (7)
€1m
ZHE (8)
€1m
Okzhetpes and Kaisar have a similar attack value (both €2m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ORD (4)
€3m
FA (3)
€2m
KA (5)
€2m
FTK (5)
€2m
AKT (4)
€2m
OKZ (6)
€1m
KYZ (7)
€1m
ATY (5)
€1m
KAI (4)
€1m
ULY (6)
€1m
ZHE (3)
€0m
YS (2)
€0m
ZHE (3)
€0m
Okzhetpes and Kaisar have a similar midfield value (both €1m).

ðŸ›Ąïļ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FA (13)
€5m
ORD (10)
€4m
FTK (11)
€4m
KA (10)
€4m
YS (10)
€3m
AKT (9)
€3m
ATY (8)
€2m
KAI (10)
€2m
ZHE (10)
€2m
ZHE (9)
€2m
KYZ (10)
€1m
OKZ (9)
€1m
ULY (7)
€1m
Okzhetpes and Kaisar have a similar defence value (both €1m).

ðŸĪ 15. Games History

H2H record

5 previous meetings
1
OKZ wins
2
Draws
2
KAI wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Okzhetpes vs Kaisar · H/A from OKZ
DateH/AGameScore
29/03/25AKaisar Vs OKZ2-2
01/07/23AKaisar Vs OKZ0-1
25/06/23HOKZ Vs Kaisar0-1
03/09/22HOKZ Vs Kaisar1-1
22/05/22AKaisar Vs OKZ3-2

OkzhetpesOkzhetpes

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
28/06/25AAtyrau Vs OKZ0-0
21/06/25HOKZ Vs Ordabasy0-1
15/06/25AFC Astana Vs OKZ5-2
31/05/25HOKZ Vs Kyzyl-Zhar3-2
24/05/25AKairat Almaty Vs OKZ1-2
17/05/25HOKZ Vs Aktobe1-3
11/05/25AZhetysu Vs OKZ1-3
04/05/25AYelimay Semey Vs OKZ0-2
26/04/25HOKZ Vs Zhenys1-1
19/04/25AUlytau Vs OKZ0-1

KaisarKaisar

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
29/06/25HKAI Vs Yelimay Semey1-2
22/06/25HKAI Vs Ulytau1-1
15/06/25HKAI Vs FK Tobol Kostanay1-1
31/05/25HKAI Vs Zhetysu2-2
25/05/25AAtyrau Vs KAI1-2
18/05/25HKAI Vs Turan Turkistan1-0
14/05/25HKAI Vs Aktobe1-2
11/05/25AOrdabasy Vs KAI5-0
04/05/25HKAI Vs FC Astana1-1
27/04/25AKyzyl-Zhar Vs KAI2-1

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Okzhetpes
Okzhetpes
Kazakhstan: Premier League
Recent: 5 Wins / 2 Draws / 3 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWWLLD1.90
HomeDDLWL2.00
AwayWWWLD1.80
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %56%56%56%
AVG goals2.662.962.36
Over 1.5 %72%76%68%
Over 2.5 %42%48%36%
Over 3.5 %24%32%16%
Scored1.782.121.44
Conceded0.880.840.92
BTTS44%60%28%
Clean Sheet38%32%44%
Corners---
Cards2.503.002.00
Kaisar
Kaisar
Kazakhstan: Premier League
Recent: 2 Wins / 4 Draws / 4 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWDDDL1.24
HomeWDDDL1.41
AwayLLLLW1.04
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %30%33%26%
AVG goals2.462.372.57
Over 1.5 %70%70%70%
Over 2.5 %44%44%43%
Over 3.5 %22%22%22%
Scored1.101.220.96
Conceded1.361.151.61
BTTS56%59%52%
Clean Sheet24%30%17%
Corners---
Cards5.00-5.00

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value ₮mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1Kairat AlmatyKairat Almaty2659
69%
2.3
5319+34
2.8
69%
58%
38%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
10
4242.00.7
-
2FC AstanaFC Astana2657
65%
2.2
6630+36
3.7
92%
58%
42%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
10
3252.51.2
-
3FK Tobol KostanayFK Tobol Kostanay2654
62%
2.1
4525+20
2.7
77%
54%
31%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
9
3241.71.0
-
4Yelimay SemeyYelimay Semey2648
54%
1.8
4731+16
3.0
88%
54%
19%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
8
4031.81.2
-
5AktobeAktobe2643
50%
1.7
3929+10
2.6
69%
54%
23%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
10
5231.51.1
-
6ZhenysZhenys2636
31%
1.4
3730+7
2.6
73%
42%
31%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
2021.41.2
-
7OrdabasyOrdabasy2635
35%
1.3
3728+9
2.5
58%
50%
31%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
10
3341.41.1
-
8OkzhetpesOkzhetpes2632
35%
1.2
3545-10
3.1
73%
58%
35%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
5
2111.31.7
-
9Kyzyl-ZharKyzyl-Zhar2627
23%
1.0
2532-7
2.2
65%
35%
15%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
2111.01.2
-
10ZhetysuZhetysu2624
19%
0.9
2141-20
2.4
69%
54%
23%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1020.81.6
-
11UlytauUlytau2623
19%
0.9
2041-21
2.3
73%
38%
15%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1110.81.6
-
12KaisarKaisar2622
12%
0.8
2442-18
2.5
73%
42%
27%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
2120.91.6
-
13AtyrauAtyrau2619
15%
0.7
2245-23
2.6
73%
50%
27%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
2120.81.7
-
14Turan TurkistanTuran Turkistan2616
15%
0.6
2558-33
3.2
77%
54%
27%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.02.2
-
Kazakhstan: Premier League 2025/26 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Kazakhstan: Premier League stats & trends →

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