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Okzhetpes vs Kaspiy Result & Analysis

Date: 14/06/2024
Time: 13:00
Final 1-0
Okzhetpes
Okzhetpes
Vs
39%
29%
32%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Kaspiy
Kaspiy
Kazakhstan: 1. Division
Referee: -

ðŸŽŊ 1. Model Analysis

Okzhetpes win✓ Hit
39.1%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
28.8%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Kaspiy win✗ Miss
32.1%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

âš― 2. Goal Analysis

OkzhetpesOkzhetpes

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-421W02L00D41W00D21W02L10W11D20WA·TAR04/04A·ZHE10/04H·KHA18/04H·SD 26/04A·KAI02/05H·ALT09/05A·ARY17/05A·KYR23/05H·ULY31/05A·EKI07/06
Avg total
2.0
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.001.301.201.330.801.27
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (28)1.071.321.201.330.921.31
vs Weaker (2)0.001.00--0.001.00
Clean sheet %23% (-1pp vs league)
This opponent (Kaspiy) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

KaspiyKaspiy

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-520W41W32W21W00D31W20W30W35L11DA·ARY05/04H·ALT12/04H·ULY25/04A·SPO03/05A·ZHE10/05H·KAI16/05H·SD 22/05A·KYR30/05H·KHA06/06A·AKZ11/06
Avg total
3.4
Avg scored
2.3
Avg conceded
1.1
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.501.431.871.731.131.13
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (28)1.431.501.791.791.071.21
vs Weaker (2)2.500.503.001.002.000.00
Clean sheet %27% (+2pp vs league)
This opponent (Okzhetpes) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

7%13%20%26%9%017%126%222%314%47%55%6+
The model estimates around 2.6 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (26%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
74.6%
Under 1.5
25.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
48.3%
Under 2.5
51.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
26.5%
Under 3.5
73.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
54.1%
No
45.9%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
13.7%
1-0 ✓
8.9%
0-0
8.6%
2-1
8.6%
0-1
7.8%
1-2
7.7%
2-0
7.0%
0-2
5.6%
Okzhetpes goals ↓
Kaspiy goals →
01234
08.6%7.8%5.6%2.3%0.7%
18.9%14%7.7%3.1%1.0%
27.0%8.6%5.3%2.2%0.7%
33.2%4.0%2.4%1.0%0.3%
41.1%1.4%0.8%0.3%0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Okzhetpes goals (down), columns = Kaspiy goals (across).

💊 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Okzhetpes
2.28
Ulytau
2.17
Kaspiy
2.10
Sport Academy Kairat
2.07
Khan Tengri
1.96
Ekibastuz
1.82
Zhetisay
1.76
Taraz
1.46
Altay (Kazakhstan)
1.36
SD Family
1.11
Akzhayik
0.86
Kaisar II
0.79
Yassy Turkistan
0.76
Arys
0.68
Kyran
0.43
Aktobe Jas
0.41
Okzhetpes is 0.17 points better than Kaspiy in terms of average points per game (2.28 vs 2.10).

⚔ïļ Attack

Goals scored / game
Sport Academy Kairat
2.66
Ulytau
2.41
Kaspiy
2.28
Okzhetpes
2.14
Khan Tengri
1.96
Ekibastuz
1.93
SD Family
1.89
Zhetisay
1.76
Taraz
1.32
Altay (Kazakhstan)
1.11
Arys
1.00
Yassy Turkistan
0.97
Aktobe Jas
0.86
Akzhayik
0.86
Kaisar II
0.82
Kyran
0.57
Okzhetpes is 0.14 goals worse than Kaspiy in terms of goals scored per game (2.14 vs 2.28).

ðŸ›Ąïļ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Okzhetpes
0.55
Ulytau
1.00
Kaspiy
1.00
Khan Tengri
1.07
Taraz
1.21
Zhetisay
1.28
Ekibastuz
1.29
Altay (Kazakhstan)
1.32
Sport Academy Kairat
1.52
Akzhayik
1.71
Kaisar II
2.00
Arys
2.29
SD Family
2.29
Yassy Turkistan
2.45
Kyran
2.57
Aktobe Jas
2.59
Okzhetpes is 0.45 goals better than Kaspiy in terms of goals conceded per game (0.55 vs 1.00).

⏱ïļ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

ðŸŽē 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

ðŸĨ… 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖ïļ 7. Handicap

⏱ïļ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

OkzhetpesOkzhetpes

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-221W01L00D10W00D20W01L00D10W10WA·TAR04/04A·ZHE10/04H·KHA18/04H·SD 26/04A·KAI02/05H·ALT09/05A·ARY17/05A·KYR23/05H·ULY31/05A·EKI07/06
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.3
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.530.570.670.470.400.67
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (28)0.570.570.670.470.460.69
vs Weaker (2)0.000.50--0.000.50
Clean sheet %53% (+29pp vs league)
This opponent (Kaspiy) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

KaspiyKaspiy

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-300D21W11D10W00D20W20W00D13L00DA·ARY05/04H·ALT12/04H·ULY25/04A·SPO03/05A·ZHE10/05H·KAI16/05H·SD 22/05A·KYR30/05H·KHA06/06A·AKZ11/06
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.700.631.000.730.400.53
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (28)0.680.680.930.790.430.57
vs Weaker (2)1.000.002.000.000.000.00
Clean sheet %57% (+32pp vs league)
This opponent (Okzhetpes) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸĨ… 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Okzhetpes over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Okzhetpes over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Okzhetpes over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kaspiy over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kaspiy over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kaspiy over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱ïļ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

OkzhetpesOkzhetpes

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-300D01L00D31W00D01L01L10W01L10WA·TAR04/04A·ZHE10/04H·KHA18/04H·SD 26/04A·KAI02/05H·ALT09/05A·ARY17/05A·KYR23/05H·ULY31/05A·EKI07/06
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.470.730.530.870.400.60
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (28)0.500.750.530.870.460.62
vs Weaker (2)0.000.50--0.000.50
Clean sheet %43% (+19pp vs league)
This opponent (Kaspiy) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

KaspiyKaspiy

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-320W20W21W11D00D11D00D30W22D11DA·ARY05/04H·ALT12/04H·ULY25/04A·SPO03/05A·ZHE10/05H·KAI16/05H·SD 22/05A·KYR30/05H·KHA06/06A·AKZ11/06
Avg total
2.0
Avg scored
1.4
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.800.800.871.000.730.60
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (28)0.750.820.861.000.640.64
vs Weaker (2)1.500.501.001.002.000.00
Clean sheet %40% (+16pp vs league)
This opponent (Okzhetpes) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸĨ… 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Okzhetpes over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Okzhetpes over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Okzhetpes over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kaspiy over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kaspiy over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kaspiy over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸ”Ĩ 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 1.574.6%-------✗ Miss
Under 3.573.5%-------✓ Hit

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
OKZ (23)
€5m
KAS (23)
€4m
A( (20)
€3m
ULY (20)
€3m
Okzhetpes and Kaspiy have a similar squad value (both €5m).

⚔ïļ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
OKZ (8)
€2m
ULY (7)
€1m
A( (8)
€1m
KAS (4)
€1m
Okzhetpes's attack is €1m more valuable than Kaspiy's (€2m vs €1m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
KAS (8)
€2m
OKZ (6)
€1m
ULY (6)
€1m
A( (4)
€1m
Okzhetpes and Kaspiy have a similar midfield value (both €1m).

ðŸ›Ąïļ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
KAS (11)
€1m
OKZ (9)
€1m
A( (8)
€1m
ULY (7)
€1m
Okzhetpes and Kaspiy have a similar defence value (both €1m).

ðŸĪ 15. Games History

H2H record

2 previous meetings
0
OKZ wins
1
Draws
1
KAS wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Okzhetpes vs Kaspiy · H/A from OKZ
DateH/AGameScore
26/08/23HOKZ Vs Kaspiy3-3
15/04/23AKaspiy Vs OKZ2-1

OkzhetpesOkzhetpes

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
07/06/24AEkibastuz Vs OKZ0-2
31/05/24HOKZ Vs Ulytau1-1
23/05/24AKyran Vs OKZ0-1
17/05/24AArys Vs OKZ2-0
09/05/24HOKZ Vs Altay (Kazakhstan)2-1
02/05/24AKaisar II Vs OKZ0-0
26/04/24HOKZ Vs SD Family4-1
18/04/24HOKZ Vs Khan Tengri0-0
10/04/24AZhetisay Vs OKZ2-0
04/04/24ATaraz Vs OKZ1-2

KaspiyKaspiy

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
11/06/24AAkzhayik Vs KAS1-1
06/06/24HKAS Vs Khan Tengri3-5
30/05/24AKyran Vs KAS0-3
22/05/24HKAS Vs SD Family2-0
16/05/24HKAS Vs Kaisar II3-1
10/05/24AZhetisay Vs KAS0-0
03/05/24ASport Academy Kairat Vs KAS1-2
25/04/24HKAS Vs Ulytau3-2
12/04/24HKAS Vs Altay (Kazakhstan)4-1
05/04/24AArys Vs KAS0-2

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Okzhetpes
Okzhetpes
Kazakhstan: 1. Division
Recent: 5 Wins / 3 Draws / 2 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWLWDW1.46
HomeDDWWD1.39
AwayLDLWW1.52
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %40%30%48%
AVG goals2.742.832.67
Over 1.5 %72%74%70%
Over 2.5 %46%48%44%
Over 3.5 %28%30%26%
Scored1.561.781.37
Conceded1.181.041.30
BTTS46%57%37%
Clean Sheet30%26%33%
Corners13.00-13.00
Cards2.503.002.33
Kaspiy
Kaspiy
Kazakhstan: 1. Division
Recent: 7 Wins / 2 Draws / 1 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWWWLD1.06
HomeWWWWL1.25
AwayWWDWD0.88
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %26%33%19%
AVG goals3.003.252.77
Over 1.5 %78%83%73%
Over 2.5 %56%62%50%
Over 3.5 %42%42%42%
Scored1.281.541.04
Conceded1.721.711.73
BTTS64%71%58%
Clean Sheet22%17%27%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value ₮mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1OkzhetpesOkzhetpes2966
72%
2.3
6216+46
2.7
69%
41%
21%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
5
2112.10.6
-
2UlytauUlytau2963
69%
2.2
7029+41
3.4
90%
72%
41%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1112.41.0
-
3KaspiyKaspiy2961
66%
2.1
6629+37
3.3
83%
66%
34%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
1212.31.0
-
4Sport Academy KairatSport Academy Kairat2960
66%
2.1
7744+33
4.2
83%
72%
45%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.71.5
-
5Khan TengriKhan Tengri2855
61%
2.0
5530+25
3.0
68%
57%
36%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.01.1
-
6EkibastuzEkibastuz2851
57%
1.8
5436+18
3.2
89%
82%
21%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.91.3
-
7ZhetisayZhetisay2951
52%
1.8
5137+14
3.0
76%
55%
31%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.81.3
-
8TarazTaraz2841
43%
1.5
3734+3
2.5
75%
57%
18%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.31.2
-
9Altay (Kazakhstan)Altay (Kazakhstan)2838
39%
1.4
3137-6
2.4
71%
54%
21%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1111.11.3
-
10SD FamilySD Family2831
32%
1.1
5364-11
4.2
96%
89%
54%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.92.3
-
11AkzhayikAkzhayik2824
25%
0.9
2448-24
2.6
75%
57%
18%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.91.7
-
12Kaisar IIKaisar II2822
18%
0.8
2356-33
2.8
71%
61%
36%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.82.0
-
13Yassy TurkistanYassy Turkistan2922
17%
0.8
2871-43
3.4
97%
66%
38%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.02.4
-
14ArysArys2819
18%
0.7
2864-36
3.3
82%
64%
32%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.02.3
-
15Aktobe JasAktobe Jas2912
10%
0.4
2575-50
3.4
90%
66%
41%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.92.6
-
16KyranKyran73
14%
0.4
418-14
3.1
57%
43%
14%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.62.6
-
Kazakhstan: 1. Division 2024/25 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Kazakhstan: 1. Division stats & trends →

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