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Okzhetpes vs Shakhter Karagandy Result & Analysis

Date: 23/04/2023
Time: 08:00
Final 1-1
Okzhetpes
Okzhetpes
Vs
54%
27%
19%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Shakhter Karagandy
Shakhter Karagandy
Kazakhstan: Premier League
Referee: -

ðŸŽŊ 1. Model Analysis

Okzhetpes win✗ Miss
53.6%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✓ Hit
27.0%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Shakhter Karagandy win✗ Miss
19.4%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

âš― 2. Goal Analysis

OkzhetpesOkzhetpes

Last 10 – goals for & against
60-661W02L40W32W10W15L01L40W30W12LH·TAR16/10A·SPO22/10H·EKI28/10A·BAY05/11A·MAQ05/03A·AKT09/03H·KYZ15/03A·ATY02/04H·FK 08/04A·KAS15/04← 1. DivisionPremier League →
Avg total
3.6
Avg scored
2.3
Avg conceded
1.3
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game2.701.003.360.642.121.31
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (21)2.191.142.800.801.641.45
vs Weaker (9)3.890.674.750.253.201.00
Clean sheet %40% (+12pp vs league)
This opponent (Shakhter Karagandy) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Shakhter KaragandyShakhter Karagandy

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-401L02L22D23L12L14L12L11D12L30WA·ORD14/10H·KAI23/10A·ATY30/10H·FC 06/11A·FC 04/03H·ORD09/03A·FK 14/03H·KAI01/04A·KAI08/04H·MAQ15/04
Avg total
3.1
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
1.9
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.271.531.561.310.931.79
vs Stronger (13)1.151.921.572.000.671.83
vs Similar (17)1.351.241.560.781.121.75
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %20% (-8pp vs league)
This opponent (Okzhetpes) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

7%13%20%27%9%018%127%222%314%47%54%6+
The model estimates around 2.5 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (27%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
73.0%
Under 1.5
27.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
46.4%
Under 2.5
53.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
24.9%
Under 3.5
75.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
48.8%
No
51.2%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1 ✓
12.8%
1-0
11.9%
2-0
10.6%
2-1
9.5%
0-0
9.1%
0-1
6.0%
3-0
5.8%
1-2
5.2%
Okzhetpes goals ↓
Shakhter Karagandy goals →
01234
09.1%6.0%3.2%1.0%0.2%
112%13%5.2%1.6%0.3%
211%9.5%4.3%1.3%0.3%
35.8%5.2%2.3%0.7%0.2%
42.4%2.1%0.9%0.3%0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Okzhetpes goals (down), columns = Shakhter Karagandy goals (across).

💊 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Ordabasy
2.23
FC Astana
2.04
Aktobe
1.92
Kairat Almaty
1.69
Kyzyl-Zhar
1.50
Kaisar
1.38
Atyrau
1.31
FK Tobol Kostanay
1.31
Zhetysu
1.12
Maqtaaral
1.12
Shakhter Karagandy
1.12
Okzhetpes
1.04
Kaspiy
0.77
FK Aksu
0.69
Okzhetpes is 0.08 points worse than Shakhter Karagandy in terms of average points per game (1.04 vs 1.12).

⚔ïļ Attack

Goals scored / game
Ordabasy
1.85
Aktobe
1.69
Kairat Almaty
1.65
FC Astana
1.38
Shakhter Karagandy
1.19
Kaisar
1.19
FK Tobol Kostanay
1.15
Maqtaaral
1.12
Kaspiy
1.08
Zhetysu
1.04
Okzhetpes
1.00
Kyzyl-Zhar
0.96
Atyrau
0.92
FK Aksu
0.88
Okzhetpes is 0.19 goals worse than Shakhter Karagandy in terms of goals scored per game (1.00 vs 1.19).

ðŸ›Ąïļ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Ordabasy
0.81
Kyzyl-Zhar
0.88
Aktobe
0.88
FC Astana
0.92
Atyrau
1.04
Kaisar
1.15
Maqtaaral
1.23
FK Tobol Kostanay
1.23
Kairat Almaty
1.27
Shakhter Karagandy
1.38
Okzhetpes
1.42
Zhetysu
1.46
Kaspiy
1.69
FK Aksu
1.73
Okzhetpes is 0.04 goals worse than Shakhter Karagandy in terms of goals conceded per game (1.42 vs 1.38).

⏱ïļ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

ðŸŽē 4. Props Analysis

OkzhetpesOkzhetpes

For 7.0 · Against 6.0 · Total 13.0

ðŸšĐ Corners

1307613A·AKT
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 3.0 · Against 2.0 · Total 5.0

ðŸŸĻ Cards

50325A·AKT
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

⚠ïļ Fouls

No recent fouls data for this league.

Shakhter KaragandyShakhter Karagandy

For 5.0 · Against 6.0 · Total 11.0

ðŸšĐ Corners

1105611A·FC
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.0 · Against 2.0 · Total 3.0

ðŸŸĻ Cards

30123A·FC
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

⚠ïļ Fouls

No recent fouls data for this league.

OkzhetpesOkzhetpes

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (32)13.0-13.00.20.00.3---
vs Stronger (0)---------
vs Similar (22)13.0-13.00.20.00.4---
vs Weaker (10)---0.00.00.0---
% over line100%-100%3%0%6%---
% under line0%-0%97%100%94%---
This opponent (Shakhter Karagandy) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Shakhter KaragandyShakhter Karagandy

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (32)11.0-11.00.10.00.2---
vs Stronger (14)11.0-11.00.20.00.4---
vs Similar (18)---0.00.00.0---
vs Weaker (0)---------
% over line100%-100%0%0%0%---
% under line0%-0%100%100%100%---
This opponent (Okzhetpes) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

ðŸšĐ Total Corners

Match total corners / game
Okzhetpes
13.0
Kairat Almaty
11.0
Shakhter Karagandy
11.0
Aktobe
10.0
FK Tobol Kostanay
9.0
FC Astana
8.7
Kyzyl-Zhar
8.5
Zhetysu
6.0
Ordabasy
5.0

ðŸŸĻ Total Cards

Match total cards / game
Zhetysu
7.0
Aktobe
6.0
FK Tobol Kostanay
6.0
Ordabasy
5.0
Okzhetpes
5.0
Kairat Almaty
4.5
FC Astana
4.5
Shakhter Karagandy
3.0
Kyzyl-Zhar
2.5

⚠ïļ Total Fouls

Match total fouls / game
FK Tobol Kostanay
30.0
Corners O/U 9.5
Over 9.5
43.3%
Under 9.5
56.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5
Over 3.5
70.8%
Under 3.5
29.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
0.0%
Under 21.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

ðŸĨ… 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖ïļ 7. Handicap

⏱ïļ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

OkzhetpesOkzhetpes

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-331W02L30W21W10W13L01L10W10W02LH·TAR16/10A·SPO22/10H·EKI28/10A·BAY05/11A·MAQ05/03A·AKT09/03H·KYZ15/03A·ATY02/04H·FK 08/04A·KAS15/04← 1. DivisionPremier League →
Avg total
2.2
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
1.0
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.330.631.640.431.060.81
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (21)1.050.811.100.601.001.00
vs Weaker (9)2.000.223.000.001.200.40
Clean sheet %50% (+22pp vs league)
This opponent (Shakhter Karagandy) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Shakhter KaragandyShakhter Karagandy

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-300D01L21W12L12L01L01L00D12L30WA·ORD14/10H·KAI23/10A·ATY30/10H·FC 06/11A·FC 04/03H·ORD09/03A·FK 14/03H·KAI01/04A·KAI08/04H·MAQ15/04
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
1.0
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.730.500.940.250.500.79
vs Stronger (13)0.460.690.570.570.330.83
vs Similar (17)0.940.351.220.000.620.75
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %60% (+32pp vs league)
This opponent (Okzhetpes) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸĨ… 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Okzhetpes over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Okzhetpes over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Okzhetpes over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Shakhter Karagandy over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Shakhter Karagandy over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Shakhter Karagandy over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱ïļ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

OkzhetpesOkzhetpes

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-330W00D10W11D00D02L00D30W20W10WH·TAR16/10A·SPO22/10H·EKI28/10A·BAY05/11A·MAQ05/03A·AKT09/03H·KYZ15/03A·ATY02/04H·FK 08/04A·KAS15/04← 1. DivisionPremier League →
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
0.3
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.370.371.710.211.060.50
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (21)1.140.331.700.200.640.45
vs Weaker (9)1.890.441.750.252.000.60
Clean sheet %73% (+46pp vs league)
This opponent (Shakhter Karagandy) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Shakhter KaragandyShakhter Karagandy

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-301L01L01L11D00D13L11D11D00D00DA·ORD14/10H·KAI23/10A·ATY30/10H·FC 06/11A·FC 04/03H·ORD09/03A·FK 14/03H·KAI01/04A·KAI08/04H·MAQ15/04
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.531.030.621.060.431.00
vs Stronger (13)0.691.231.001.430.331.00
vs Similar (17)0.410.880.330.780.501.00
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %30% (+2pp vs league)
This opponent (Okzhetpes) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸĨ… 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Okzhetpes over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Okzhetpes over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Okzhetpes over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Shakhter Karagandy over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Shakhter Karagandy over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Shakhter Karagandy over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸ”Ĩ 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 2.5 cards85.9%--------
Under 11.5 corners78.7%--------
Under 3.575.1%-------✓ Hit
Over 1.573.0%-------✓ Hit
Over 3.5 cards70.8%--------

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ORD (22)
€10m
FA (25)
€10m
AKT (25)
€10m
KA (24)
€10m
FTK (23)
€9m
OKZ (23)
€5m
ATY (20)
€4m
KYZ (26)
€4m
KAI (25)
€4m
KAS (23)
€4m
ZHE (21)
€3m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

⚔ïļ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
AKT (12)
€5m
KA (9)
€4m
FTK (7)
€3m
ORD (8)
€3m
FA (9)
€3m
OKZ (8)
€2m
KAI (11)
€2m
KYZ (9)
€2m
ATY (7)
€2m
ZHE (8)
€1m
KAS (4)
€1m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ORD (4)
€3m
FA (3)
€2m
KA (5)
€2m
FTK (5)
€2m
AKT (4)
€2m
KAS (8)
€2m
OKZ (6)
€1m
KYZ (7)
€1m
ATY (5)
€1m
KAI (4)
€1m
ZHE (3)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

ðŸ›Ąïļ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FA (13)
€5m
ORD (10)
€4m
FTK (11)
€4m
KA (10)
€4m
AKT (9)
€3m
ATY (8)
€2m
KAI (10)
€2m
ZHE (10)
€2m
KYZ (10)
€1m
KAS (11)
€1m
OKZ (9)
€1m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

ðŸĪ 15. Games History

H2H record

No previous meetings
0
OKZ wins
0
Draws
0
SK wins

Head-to-head

Okzhetpes vs Shakhter Karagandy · H/A from OKZ
DateH/AGameScore
No games.

OkzhetpesOkzhetpes

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
15/04/23AKaspiy Vs OKZ2-1
08/04/23HOKZ Vs FK Aksu3-0
02/04/23AAtyrau Vs OKZ0-4
15/03/23HOKZ Vs Kyzyl-Zhar0-1
09/03/23AAktobe Vs OKZ5-1
05/03/23AMaqtaaral Vs OKZ0-1
05/11/22ABaykonur Vs OKZ2-3
28/10/22HOKZ Vs Ekibastuz4-0
22/10/22ASport Academy Kairat Vs OKZ2-0
16/10/22HOKZ Vs Taraz Karatau6-1

Shakhter KaragandyShakhter Karagandy

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
15/04/23HSK Vs Maqtaaral3-0
08/04/23AKaisar Vs SK2-1
01/04/23HSK Vs Kairat Almaty1-1
14/03/23AFK Tobol Kostanay Vs SK2-1
09/03/23HSK Vs Ordabasy1-4
04/03/23AFC Astana Vs SK2-1
06/11/22HSK Vs FC Astana2-3
30/10/22AAtyrau Vs SK2-2
23/10/22HSK Vs Kairat Almaty0-2
14/10/22AOrdabasy Vs SK1-0

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Okzhetpes
Okzhetpes
Kazakhstan: Premier League
Recent: 6 Wins / 0 Draws / 4 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLLWWL2.19
HomeWWWLW2.33
AwayWWLWL2.06
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %69%73%65%
AVG goals3.754.133.41
Over 1.5 %84%87%82%
Over 2.5 %69%73%65%
Over 3.5 %53%60%47%
Scored2.813.532.18
Conceded0.940.601.24
BTTS47%40%53%
Clean Sheet44%47%41%
Corners13.00-13.00
Cards5.00-5.00
Shakhter Karagandy
Shakhter Karagandy
Kazakhstan: Premier League
Recent: 1 Wins / 2 Draws / 7 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLLDLW1.06
HomeLLLDW1.31
AwayLDLLL0.81
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %28%38%19%
AVG goals2.662.882.44
Over 1.5 %72%62%81%
Over 2.5 %50%50%50%
Over 3.5 %28%38%19%
Scored1.221.560.88
Conceded1.441.311.56
BTTS53%50%56%
Clean Sheet25%31%19%
Corners11.00-11.00
Cards3.00-3.00

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value ₮mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1OrdabasyOrdabasy2658
69%
2.2
4821+27
2.7
73%
54%
31%
5.0
0%
4.4
60%
-
0%
10
3341.80.8
-
2FC AstanaFC Astana2653
62%
2.0
3624+12
2.3
65%
42%
15%
8.5
50%
2.9
38%
-
0%
10
3251.40.9
-
3AktobeAktobe2650
50%
1.9
4423+21
2.6
73%
46%
31%
10.0
50%
5.9
88%
-
0%
10
5231.70.9
-
4Kairat AlmatyKairat Almaty2644
46%
1.7
4333+10
2.9
77%
69%
38%
-
0%
3.0
50%
-
0%
10
4241.71.3
-
5Kyzyl-ZharKyzyl-Zhar2639
42%
1.5
2523+2
1.8
50%
31%
8%
-
0%
3.5
50%
-
0%
4
2111.00.9
-
6KaisarKaisar2636
38%
1.4
3130+1
2.3
65%
42%
27%
-
0%
5.0
50%
-
0%
4
2121.21.2
-
7FK Tobol KostanayFK Tobol Kostanay2634
35%
1.3
3032-2
2.4
73%
46%
15%
-
0%
3.2
50%
-
0%
9
3241.21.2
-
8AtyrauAtyrau2634
31%
1.3
2427-3
2.0
54%
42%
19%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
2120.91.0
-
9MaqtaaralMaqtaaral2629
31%
1.1
2932-3
2.3
73%
42%
19%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.11.2
-
10Shakhter KaragandyShakhter Karagandy2629
27%
1.1
3136-5
2.6
81%
54%
23%
11.0
100%
2.3
17%
-
0%
0
0001.21.4
-
11ZhetysuZhetysu2629
31%
1.1
2738-11
2.5
77%
50%
15%
6.0
0%
6.1
100%
-
0%
3
1021.01.5
-
12OkzhetpesOkzhetpes2627
27%
1.0
2637-11
2.4
62%
42%
19%
13.0
100%
2.5
25%
-
0%
5
2111.01.4
-
13KaspiyKaspiy2620
15%
0.8
2844-16
2.8
77%
54%
38%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
1211.11.7
-
14FK AksuFK Aksu2618
19%
0.7
2345-22
2.6
77%
54%
23%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.91.7
-
Kazakhstan: Premier League 2023/24 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Kazakhstan: Premier League stats & trends →

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