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Olimp Comrat vs Victoria Bardar Result & Analysis

Date: 18/04/2026
Time: 13:00
Final 3-4
Olimp Comrat
Olimp Comrat
Vs
47%
23%
30%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Victoria Bardar
Victoria Bardar
Moldova: Liga 1
Referee: -
1 Model Analysis2 Goal Analysis3 Team Strengths Analysis4 Props Analysis5 Double Chance6 Home & Away Over/Under7 Handicap8 Top picks for this game9 Squad value10 Games History11 Overall Statistics12 League Table
Match preview & prediction

Pythia gives Olimp Comrat a 47% win probability against Victoria Bardar in the Moldova: Liga 1 on 2026-04-18, with 23% for the draw and 30% for Victoria Bardar. The model estimates around 3.7 total goals, with 3 the most likely total (21%) and 1-1 the most likely scoreline (9.3%). High-confidence angles (70%+): Over 1.5 (89%), Over 2.5 (71%), BTTS Yes (71%).

Results analysis

Olimp Comrat finished 3-4 against Victoria Bardar (Away win). Pythia had modelled a 47% home win, 23% draw and 30% away win. Picks that landed: Over 1.5 (89%), Over 2.5 (71%), BTTS Yes (71%).

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Olimp Comrat win✗ Miss
46.7%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
23.0%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Victoria Bardar win✓ Hit
30.4%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

Olimp ComratOlimp Comrat

Last 10 – goals for & against
90-914L11D06L19L23L20W11D14L23L04LA·UNI18/10H·SHE24/10A·FC 01/11A·SIR08/11H·FĂL22/11A·UNI06/03H·OGU14/03A·ZIM20/03H·FCM04/04A·FĂL11/04
Avg total
4.6
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
3.5
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.532.931.382.151.653.53
vs Stronger (18)1.113.440.862.711.273.91
vs Similar (9)1.782.221.501.252.003.00
vs Weaker (3)3.332.003.002.004.002.00
Clean sheet %13% (-9pp vs league)
This opponent (Victoria Bardar) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Victoria BardarVictoria Bardar

Last 10 – goals for & against
70-707L03L14L12L21W21W12L02L00D26LA·FLO18/10H·ZIM24/10A·ISK31/10H·FCM07/11A·OGU21/11A·ZIM06/03H·FĂL13/03A·SHE21/03H·OGU03/04A·FCM10/04
Avg total
3.7
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
2.8
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.372.701.502.571.252.81
vs Stronger (3)0.332.331.003.000.002.00
vs Similar (10)1.603.402.003.501.333.33
vs Weaker (17)1.412.351.332.111.502.62
Clean sheet %10% (-12pp vs league)
This opponent (Olimp Comrat) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

5%10%16%21%3%08%118%221%319%414%517%6+
The model estimates around 3.7 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 3 (21%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
89.0%
Under 1.5
11.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
71.1%
Under 2.5
28.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
50.1%
Under 3.5
49.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
70.9%
No
29.1%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
9.3%
2-1
8.6%
2-2
7.1%
1-2
6.9%
3-1
5.9%
2-0
5.3%
3-2
4.8%
1-0
4.3%
Olimp Comrat goals ↓
Victoria Bardar goals →
01234
03.4%3.3%3.4%1.8%0.8%
14.3%9.3%6.9%3.8%1.5%
25.3%8.6%7.1%3.8%1.6%
33.6%5.9%4.8%2.6%1.1%
41.8%3.0%2.5%1.3%0.5%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Olimp Comrat goals (down), columns = Victoria Bardar goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
FC Stăuceni
2.53
Sireți
2.33
Floreşti
2.07
FCM Ungheni
1.91
Iskra
1.80
Univer Comrat
1.73
Zimbru II
1.64
Sheriff II
0.95
Oguzsport
0.86
Făleşti
0.73
Olimp Comrat
0.68
Victoria Bardar
0.68
Olimp Comrat and Victoria Bardar are level in average points per game (both 0.68).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Sireți
3.47
FC Stăuceni
3.00
Floreşti
2.87
FCM Ungheni
2.59
Univer Comrat
2.00
Iskra
1.93
Zimbru II
1.86
Victoria Bardar
1.23
Olimp Comrat
1.14
Făleşti
1.14
Oguzsport
1.09
Sheriff II
1.05
Olimp Comrat is 0.09 goals worse than Victoria Bardar in terms of goals scored per game (1.14 vs 1.23).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
FC Stăuceni
0.80
Floreşti
0.87
Sireți
1.33
FCM Ungheni
1.55
Zimbru II
1.59
Oguzsport
1.64
Sheriff II
1.68
Univer Comrat
1.68
Iskra
1.93
Făleşti
2.55
Olimp Comrat
2.82
Victoria Bardar
2.91
Olimp Comrat is 0.09 goals better than Victoria Bardar in terms of goals conceded per game (2.82 vs 2.91).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

🔥 8. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 1.589.0%-------✓ Hit
Over 2.571.1%-------✓ Hit
BTTS Yes70.9%-------✓ Hit

💰 9. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SIR (22)
€1m
ZI (34)
€1m
FU (54)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SIR (0)
€0m
FU (0)
€0m
ZI (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SIR (0)
€0m
FU (0)
€0m
ZI (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SIR (0)
€0m
FU (0)
€0m
ZI (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head

Olimp Comrat vs Victoria Bardar · H/A from OC
DateH/AGameScore
01/11/24HOC Vs Victoria Bardar2-2
20/09/24AVictoria Bardar Vs OC4-0
10/08/24HOC Vs Victoria Bardar0-4

Olimp ComratOlimp Comrat

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
11/04/26AFăleşti Vs OC4-0
04/04/26HOC Vs FCM Ungheni2-3
20/03/26AZimbru II Vs OC4-1
14/03/26HOC Vs Oguzsport1-1
06/03/26AUniver Comrat Vs OC0-2
22/11/25HOC Vs Făleşti2-3
08/11/25ASireți Vs OC9-1
01/11/25AFC Stăuceni Vs OC6-0
24/10/25HOC Vs Sheriff II1-1
18/10/25AUniver Comrat Vs OC4-1

Victoria BardarVictoria Bardar

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
10/04/26AFCM Ungheni Vs VB6-2
03/04/26HVB Vs Oguzsport0-0
21/03/26ASheriff II Vs VB2-0
13/03/26HVB Vs Făleşti1-2
06/03/26AZimbru II Vs VB1-2
21/11/25AOguzsport Vs VB1-2
07/11/25HVB Vs FCM Ungheni1-2
31/10/25AIskra Vs VB4-1
24/10/25HVB Vs Zimbru II0-3
18/10/25AFloreşti Vs VB7-0

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Olimp Comrat
Olimp Comrat
Moldova: Liga 1
Recent: 1 Wins / 2 Draws / 7 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWDLLL1.10
HomeLDLDL1.21
AwayLLWLL1.00
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %32%33%31%
AVG goals4.143.424.81
Over 1.5 %86%83%88%
Over 2.5 %76%71%81%
Over 3.5 %58%46%69%
Scored1.581.581.58
Conceded2.561.833.23
BTTS64%67%62%
Clean Sheet18%17%19%
Corners---
Cards---
Victoria Bardar
Victoria Bardar
Moldova: Liga 1
Recent: 2 Wins / 1 Draws / 7 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWLLDL1.38
HomeDLLLD1.46
AwayLWWLL1.29
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %44%46%42%
AVG goals4.164.234.08
Over 1.5 %88%85%92%
Over 2.5 %82%81%83%
Over 3.5 %60%54%67%
Scored2.082.351.79
Conceded2.081.882.29
BTTS60%65%54%
Clean Sheet18%19%17%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 12. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1FCM UngheniFCM Ungheni2242
59%
1.9
5734+23
4.1
91%
82%
64%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.61.5
-
2FC StăuceniFC Stăuceni1538
80%
2.5
4512+33
3.8
80%
67%
60%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0003.00.8
-
3Univer ComratUniver Comrat2238
55%
1.7
4437+7
3.7
100%
64%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.01.7
-
4Zimbru IIZimbru II2236
50%
1.6
4135+6
3.5
82%
77%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.91.6
-
5SirețiSireți1535
73%
2.3
5220+32
4.8
93%
80%
80%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0003.51.3
-
6FloreştiFloreşti1531
60%
2.1
4313+30
3.7
80%
60%
47%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.90.9
-
7IskraIskra1527
53%
1.8
2929+0
3.9
80%
67%
53%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.91.9
-
8Sheriff IISheriff II2221
23%
1.0
2337-14
2.7
73%
50%
36%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.01.7
-
9OguzsportOguzsport2219
18%
0.9
2436-12
2.7
82%
55%
32%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.11.6
-
10FăleştiFăleşti2216
18%
0.7
2556-31
3.7
77%
64%
55%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.12.5
-
11Victoria BardarVictoria Bardar2215
18%
0.7
2764-37
4.1
91%
82%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.22.9
-
12Olimp ComratOlimp Comrat2215
18%
0.7
2562-37
4.0
77%
59%
55%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.12.8
-
Moldova: Liga 1 2025/26 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Moldova: Liga 1 stats & trends →

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