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Olimpija Ljubljana vs Bravo Result & Analysis

Date: 18/07/2026
Time: 18:15
Final 0-2
Olimpija Ljubljana
Olimpija Ljubljana
Vs
45%
26%
29%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Bravo
Bravo
Slovenia: 1. SNL
Referee: -
Match preview & prediction

Pythia gives Olimpija Ljubljana a 45% win probability against Bravo in the Slovenia: 1. SNL on 2026-07-18, with 26% for the draw and 29% for Bravo. The model estimates around 3.1 total goals, with 2 the most likely total (23%) and 1-1 the most likely scoreline (11.9%). High-confidence angles (70%+): Over 1.5 (82%), Over 21.5 fouls (70%).

Results analysis

Olimpija Ljubljana finished 0-2 against Bravo (Away win). Pythia had modelled a 45% home win, 26% draw and 29% away win. Picks that landed: Over 1.5 (82%).

ðŸŽŊ 1. Model Analysis

Olimpija Ljubljana win✗ Miss
45.4%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
25.7%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Bravo win✓ Hit
28.8%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

âš― 2. Goal Analysis

Olimpija LjubljanaOlimpija Ljubljana

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-300D21W12L00D21W02L23L30W21W12LH·MAR08/03A·RAD14/03H·BRA21/03A·MUR04/04H·ALU11/04A·CEL15/04A·KOP25/04H·PRI02/05H·RAD17/05A·BRA23/05
Avg total
2.5
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
1.2
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.401.271.601.201.201.33
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (11)1.181.641.601.600.831.67
vs Weaker (19)1.531.051.601.001.441.11
Clean sheet %30% (+4pp vs league)
This opponent (Bravo) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

BravoBravo

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-331W21W11D21W21W10W30W32W21W21WA·RAD09/03A·OLI21/03H·KOP04/04A·MUR11/04H·PRI15/04A·ALU19/04H·MAR26/04A·CEL02/05H·RAD09/05H·OLI23/05
Avg total
3.0
Avg scored
2.1
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.831.531.671.532.001.53
vs Stronger (12)1.671.581.671.671.671.50
vs Similar (14)1.711.501.861.141.571.86
vs Weaker (4)2.751.501.002.504.500.50
Clean sheet %20% (-6pp vs league)
This opponent (Olimpija Ljubljana) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%12%17%23%6%012%123%222%317%410%59%6+
The model estimates around 3.1 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (23%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
82.1%
Under 1.5
17.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
59.0%
Under 2.5
41.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
36.7%
Under 3.5
63.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
61.7%
No
38.3%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
11.9%
2-1
9.3%
1-2
7.2%
1-0
7.0%
2-0
6.9%
2-2
6.2%
0-0
5.8%
3-1
5.3%
Olimpija Ljubljana goals ↓
Bravo goals →
01234
05.8%5.2%4.2%1.9%0.6%
17.0%12%7.2%3.2%1.1%
26.9%9.3%6.2%2.8%0.9%
34.0%5.3%3.6%1.6%0.5%
41.7%2.3%1.5%0.7%0.2%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Olimpija Ljubljana goals (down), columns = Bravo goals (across).

💊 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Celje
2.18
Nafta
2.00
Koper
1.97
Bravo
1.82
Maribor
1.61
Olimpija Ljubljana
1.58
Radomlje
1.32
Brinje-Grosuplje
1.26
Aluminij
1.06
Mura
0.91
Olimpija Ljubljana is 0.25 points worse than Bravo in terms of average points per game (1.58 vs 1.82).

⚔ïļ Attack

Goals scored / game
Celje
2.50
Koper
2.09
Bravo
1.82
Maribor
1.73
Radomlje
1.47
Olimpija Ljubljana
1.42
Brinje-Grosuplje
1.25
Aluminij
1.24
Mura
1.03
Nafta
0.50
Olimpija Ljubljana is 0.40 goals worse than Bravo in terms of goals scored per game (1.42 vs 1.82).

ðŸ›Ąïļ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Nafta
0.00
Celje
0.94
Maribor
1.21
Olimpija Ljubljana
1.21
Koper
1.26
Bravo
1.50
Brinje-Grosuplje
1.61
Mura
1.62
Aluminij
1.79
Radomlje
1.85
Olimpija Ljubljana is 0.29 goals better than Bravo in terms of goals conceded per game (1.21 vs 1.50).

⏱ïļ Possession

Not available for this league.
Not enough data to compare these two teams.

ðŸŽē 4. Props Analysis

Olimpija LjubljanaOlimpija Ljubljana

ðŸšĐ Corners

No recent corners data for this league.

ðŸŸĻ Cards

No recent cards data for this league.

⚠ïļ Fouls

No recent fouls data for this league.

BravoBravo

ðŸšĐ Corners

No recent corners data for this league.

ðŸŸĻ Cards

No recent cards data for this league.

⚠ïļ Fouls

No recent fouls data for this league.

Olimpija LjubljanaOlimpija Ljubljana

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)---0.00.00.0---
vs Stronger (0)---------
vs Similar (22)---0.00.00.0---
vs Weaker (28)---0.00.00.0---
% over line---0%0%0%---
% under line---100%100%100%---
This opponent (Bravo) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

BravoBravo

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)---0.00.00.0---
vs Stronger (16)---0.00.00.0---
vs Similar (28)---0.00.00.0---
vs Weaker (6)---0.00.00.0---
% over line---0%0%0%---
% under line---100%100%100%---
This opponent (Olimpija Ljubljana) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

ðŸšĐ Total Corners

Match total corners / game
Mura
11.1
Aluminij
10.1
Olimpija Ljubljana
9.7
Bravo
9.6
Celje
9.2
Koper
9.2
Maribor
9.0

ðŸŸĻ Total Cards

Match total cards / game
Aluminij
5.0
Celje
4.8
Maribor
4.7
Olimpija Ljubljana
4.7
Mura
4.2
Koper
4.0
Bravo
3.8

⚠ïļ Total Fouls

Match total fouls / game
Aluminij
27.0
Maribor
25.2
Olimpija Ljubljana
25.2
Koper
24.9
Bravo
24.7
Celje
24.7
Mura
24.2
Corners O/U 9.5
Over 9.5
54.3%
Under 9.5
45.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5
Over 3.5
60.4%
Under 3.5
39.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
70.5%
Under 21.5
29.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

ðŸ”Ē 6. Odd / Even

ðŸĨ… 7. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖ïļ 8. Handicap

ðŸ”Ĩ 9. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 1.582.1%-------✓ Hit
Over 21.5 fouls70.5%--------

💰 10. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
CEL (31)
€14m
OL (27)
€12m
MAR (26)
€10m
KOP (27)
€8m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

⚔ïļ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
CEL (12)
€7m
OL (11)
€6m
MAR (10)
€5m
KOP (10)
€3m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
KOP (7)
€2m
MAR (6)
€2m
CEL (4)
€1m
OL (3)
€1m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

ðŸ›Ąïļ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
CEL (15)
€6m
OL (13)
€5m
MAR (10)
€3m
KOP (10)
€3m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

ðŸĪ 11. Games History

Head-to-head

Olimpija Ljubljana vs Bravo · H/A from OL
DateH/AGameScore
23/05/26ABravo Vs OL2-1
21/03/26HOL Vs Bravo1-2
07/12/25ABravo Vs OL2-1
20/09/25HOL Vs Bravo1-2
24/05/25ABravo Vs OL0-0
30/03/25HOL Vs Bravo3-0
07/12/24ABravo Vs OL1-1
21/09/24HOL Vs Bravo1-1

Olimpija LjubljanaOlimpija Ljubljana

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
23/05/26ABravo Vs OL2-1
17/05/26HOL Vs Radomlje2-1
02/05/26HOL Vs Primorje3-0
25/04/26AKoper Vs OL3-2
15/04/26ACelje Vs OL2-0
11/04/26HOL Vs Aluminij2-1
04/04/26AMura Vs OL0-0
21/03/26HOL Vs Bravo1-2
14/03/26ARadomlje Vs OL1-2
08/03/26HOL Vs Maribor0-0

BravoBravo

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
23/05/26HBRA Vs Olimpija Ljubljana2-1
09/05/26HBRA Vs Radomlje2-1
02/05/26ACelje Vs BRA2-3
26/04/26HBRA Vs Maribor3-0
19/04/26AAluminij Vs BRA0-1
15/04/26HBRA Vs Primorje2-1
11/04/26AMura Vs BRA1-2
04/04/26HBRA Vs Koper1-1
21/03/26AOlimpija Ljubljana Vs BRA1-2
09/03/26ARadomlje Vs BRA1-3

📊 12. Overall Statistics

Olimpija Ljubljana
Olimpija Ljubljana
Slovenia: 1. SNL
Recent: 4 Wins / 2 Draws / 4 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLLWWL1.50
HomeDLWWW1.68
AwayWDLLL1.32
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %40%48%32%
AVG goals2.782.882.68
Over 1.5 %82%80%84%
Over 2.5 %52%60%44%
Over 3.5 %26%28%24%
Scored1.521.601.44
Conceded1.261.281.24
BTTS60%60%60%
Clean Sheet32%36%28%
Corners---
Cards---
Bravo
Bravo
Slovenia: 1. SNL
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Draws / 0 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWWWWW1.62
HomeDWWWW1.72
AwayWWWWW1.52
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %46%48%44%
AVG goals3.123.003.24
Over 1.5 %86%92%80%
Over 2.5 %64%64%64%
Over 3.5 %32%24%40%
Scored1.641.641.64
Conceded1.481.361.60
BTTS62%64%60%
Clean Sheet20%24%16%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 13. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value ₮mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1MariborMaribor59
40%
1.8
72+5
1.8
80%
20%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
10
5231.40.4
-
2CeljeCelje48
50%
2.0
74+3
2.8
75%
50%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
14
7161.81.0
-
3BravoBravo58
40%
1.6
55+0
2.0
80%
40%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.01.0
-
4NaftaNafta57
40%
1.4
108+2
3.6
100%
60%
40%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.01.6
-
5MuraMura57
40%
1.4
811-3
3.8
80%
80%
60%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.62.2
-
6KoperKoper56
20%
1.2
55+0
2.0
80%
20%
20%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
8
3231.01.0
-
7AluminijAluminij45
25%
1.2
43+1
1.8
50%
25%
25%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.00.8
-
8Brinje-GrosupljeBrinje-Grosuplje55
20%
1.0
57-2
2.4
100%
40%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.01.4
-
9RadomljeRadomlje54
20%
0.8
710-3
3.4
100%
80%
60%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.42.0
-
10Olimpija LjubljanaOlimpija Ljubljana54
20%
0.8
25-3
1.4
40%
0%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
12
6150.41.0
-
Slovenia: 1. SNL 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Slovenia: 1. SNL stats & trends →

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