Olimpija Ljubljana vs Koper Result & Analysis

The contest between Olimpija Ljubljana and Koper is a tight one, with the model favouring a home win but leaving plenty of room for a draw or a Koper victory. The predicted probabilities are 40% for a home win, 28% for a draw and 33% for an away win, making the home side the slight favourite. On average, the match should see 2.8 goals, with the most likely total of two goals at 25%. The single scoreline the model deems most probable is 1-1, with a 13.1% chance. Olimpija, playing at home against a similarly ranked opponent, typically scores 2.29 goals and concedes 1.43, while Koper away against a similar tier averages 1.33 scored and 1.44 conceded. The model’s selections include Over 19.5 fouls at 90.8%, Over 2.5 cards at 82.5%, Over 21.5 fouls at 81.8%, Over 1.5 goals at 77.9%, Over 8.5 corners at 71.7% and Under 5.5 cards at 70.5%. Each of these picks is presented with its exact probability.

The pre-match favourite, a home win for Olimpija Ljubljana at 40 percent, fell short as the match finished 1-1, a draw that left the model’s call incorrect. Olimpija, fresh from a draw, had been in a mixed run, while Koper entered on a two-game winning streak. The model’s predictions on activity proved spot on: Over 19.5 fouls hit at 90.8 percent, Over 2.5 cards at 82.5 percent, Over 21.5 fouls at 81.8 percent, Over 1.5 goals at 77.9 percent, Over 8.5 corners at 71.7 percent, and Under 5.5 cards at 70.5 percent. Each of these selections was fulfilled, underscoring the match’s high-intensity nature despite the unexpected draw.