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Olimpija Ljubljana vs Nafta Result & Analysis

Date: 21/08/2026
Time: 18:15
Final 1-0
Olimpija Ljubljana
Olimpija Ljubljana
Vs
41%
33%
26%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Nafta
Nafta
Slovenia: 1. SNL
Referee: -
1 Model Analysis2 Goal Analysis3 Team Strengths Analysis4 Props Analysis5 Double Chance6 Home & Away Over/Under7 Handicap8 Half Time Goals O/U9 Half Time Home & Away O/U10 Second Half Goals O/U11 Second Half Home & Away O/U
12 Top picks for this game13 Player market rates14 Squad value15 Games History16 Overall Statistics17 League Table
Match preview & prediction

Olimpija Ljubljana's recent form has been a concern, coming off a defeat in their last match against Celje. However, they have shown resilience at home, conceding an average of just one goal per game against weaker opponents. Nafta, on the other hand, has been inconsistent, drawing their last match against Aluminij.

The model predicts a low-scoring match, with an expected total of 2.1 goals and the most likely score being 1-1 at 14.4%. The home side has struggled to score, averaging 1.42 goals per game, but has been solid defensively, conceding 1.0 goals per game.

The model's favoured match result is a home win, with a 43% probability. The away win percentage stands at 25%, while the draw percentage is 32%. The model's selection is the Under 3.5, with a 84.6% probability. The Over 21.5 fouls is also selected, with a 71.1% probability.

Results analysis

Olimpija Ljubljana’s recent win keeps their positive streak alive, and the model’s prediction of a home victory proved correct as the final score read 1-0. The pre-match favourite, Home win, carried a 41 % probability, and the model’s call was indeed right. Every suggested pick from the model hit: Under 7.5 (99.9 %), Under 6.5 (99.5 %), Away under 2.5 HT goals (99.0 %), Away under 3.5 goals (98.8 %), Under 5.5 (98.2 %), Home under 3.5 goals (97.0 %), Home under 2.5 HT goals (96.6 %), and Under 4.5 (94.5 %). All selections performed as forecast, confirming the model’s accuracy for this match.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Olimpija Ljubljana win✓ Hit
41.2%
Avg Implied 56.1% · @ 1.63
Edge
-14.8%
Best 5 market prices
Betano
1.70
Pinnacle
1.69
Dafabet
1.68
William Hil
1.67
Superbet
1.67
Draw✗ Miss
32.8%
Avg Implied 24.7% · @ 3.69
Edge
+8.1%
Best 5 market prices
10Bet
4.00
Pinnacle
3.81
888Sport
3.80
Betfair
3.75
Dafabet
3.75
Nafta win✗ Miss
26.0%
Avg Implied 19.2% · @ 4.74
Edge
+6.8%
Best 5 market prices
888Sport
5.00
Pinnacle
4.98
10Bet
4.85
BetVictor
4.80
Unibet
4.80

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

Olimpija LjubljanaOlimpija Ljubljana

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-302L23L30W21W12L02L01L10W01L11DA·CEL15/04A·KOP25/04H·PRI02/05H·RAD17/05A·BRA23/05H·BRA18/07A·MUR25/07H·ALU02/08A·CEL08/08H·MAR15/08
Avg total
2.3
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
1.3
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.231.071.501.060.931.07
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (19)1.051.371.301.300.781.44
vs Weaker (11)1.550.551.830.671.200.40
Clean sheet %30% (+4pp vs league)
This opponent (Nafta) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

NaftaNafta

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-521W12L11D00D10W02L30W52W11D13LH·BEL10/05A·BRI17/05H·TRI22/05A·PRI27/05H·PRI31/05H·KOP17/07A·BRA26/07H·MUR01/08A·ALU09/08H·CEL15/08← 2. SNL1. SNL →
Avg total
2.7
Avg scored
1.5
Avg conceded
1.2
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.970.872.131.131.800.60
vs Stronger (1)1.003.001.003.00--
vs Similar (17)1.760.881.881.121.670.67
vs Weaker (12)2.330.672.670.832.000.50
Clean sheet %37% (+10pp vs league)
This opponent (Olimpija Ljubljana) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

7%14%21%28%15%024%128%218%39%44%52%6+
The model estimates around 2.0 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (28%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
61.4%
@ 1.26-11.8%
Under 1.5
38.6%
@ 3.45+11.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
1.31
Bet365
1.30
BetVictor
1.29
Betfair
1.29
Betano
1.28
Under
888Sport
4.00
10Bet
4.00
Unibet
3.50
Betfair
3.50
Pinnacle
3.41
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
33.1%
@ 1.85-17.5%
Under 2.5
66.9%
@ 1.89+17.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.01
Bet365
1.95
Marathonbet
1.90
1xBet
1.90
SBO
1.88
Under
10Bet
2.10
888Sport
2.10
SBO
1.90
Betano
1.88
Unibet
1.88
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
14.8%
@ 3.08-15.2%
Under 3.5
85.2%
@ 1.32+15.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
3.47
Bet365
3.40
BetVictor
3.30
Betfair
3.25
Marathonbet
3.20
Under
10Bet
1.42
888Sport
1.40
Betano
1.34
Betfair
1.33
Unibet
1.33
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
41.1%
@ 1.81-9.7%
No
58.9%
@ 1.87+9.7%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
Bet365
1.91
1xBet
1.86
Marathonbet
1.86
Superbet
1.85
BetVictor
1.85
No
888Sport
2.05
10Bet
1.95
Betano
1.91
Betfair
1.91
Superbet
1.85

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
14.6%@ 6.54+7.9%
0-0
14.5%@ 9.41+9.8%
1-0 ✓
14.0%@ 6.44+7.1%
0-1
10.1%@ 11.80+6.4%
2-0
8.9%@ 7.19+2.8%
2-1
7.7%@ 7.21+1.6%
1-2
5.7%@ 14.18+2.6%
0-2
4.9%@ 25.08+3.2%
Olimpija Ljubljana goals ↓
Nafta goals →
01234
015%10%4.9%1.4%0.3%
114%15%5.7%1.7%0.4%
28.9%7.7%3.3%1.0%0.2%
33.4%3.0%1.3%0.4%0.1%
41.0%0.9%0.4%0.1%0.0%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Olimpija Ljubljana goals (down), columns = Nafta goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Maribor
2.14
Celje
1.83
Koper
1.71
Bravo
1.57
Aluminij
1.14
Olimpija Ljubljana
1.14
Brinje-Grosuplje
1.14
Nafta
1.00
Mura
1.00
Radomlje
0.83
Olimpija Ljubljana is 0.14 points better than Nafta in terms of average points per game (1.14 vs 1.00).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Maribor
1.86
Nafta
1.71
Celje
1.67
Brinje-Grosuplje
1.57
Radomlje
1.17
Bravo
1.14
Aluminij
1.14
Mura
1.14
Koper
1.00
Olimpija Ljubljana
0.43
Olimpija Ljubljana is 1.29 goals worse than Nafta in terms of goals scored per game (0.43 vs 1.71).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Maribor
0.71
Koper
0.71
Olimpija Ljubljana
0.71
Bravo
1.14
Aluminij
1.14
Celje
1.33
Radomlje
1.67
Nafta
1.71
Brinje-Grosuplje
1.71
Mura
2.00
Olimpija Ljubljana is 1.00 goals better than Nafta in terms of goals conceded per game (0.71 vs 1.71).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Not enough data to compare these two teams.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Olimpija LjubljanaOlimpija Ljubljana

🚩 Corners

No recent corners data for this league.

🟨 Cards

No recent cards data for this league.

⚠️ Fouls

No recent fouls data for this league.

NaftaNafta

🚩 Corners

No recent corners data for this league.

🟨 Cards

No recent cards data for this league.

⚠️ Fouls

No recent fouls data for this league.

Olimpija LjubljanaOlimpija Ljubljana

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)---0.00.00.0---
vs Stronger (0)---------
vs Similar (33)---0.00.00.0---
vs Weaker (17)---0.00.00.0---
% over line---0%0%0%---
% under line---100%100%100%---
This opponent (Nafta) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

NaftaNafta

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)---0.00.00.0---
vs Stronger (6)---0.00.00.0---
vs Similar (26)---0.00.00.0---
vs Weaker (18)---0.00.00.0---
% over line---0%0%0%---
% under line---100%100%100%---
This opponent (Olimpija Ljubljana) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

🚩 Total Corners

Match total corners / game
Mura
11.1
Aluminij
10.1
Olimpija Ljubljana
9.7
Bravo
9.6
Celje
9.2
Koper
9.2
Maribor
9.0

🟨 Total Cards

Match total cards / game
Aluminij
5.0
Celje
4.8
Maribor
4.7
Olimpija Ljubljana
4.7
Mura
4.2
Koper
4.0
Bravo
3.8

⚠️ Total Fouls

Match total fouls / game
Aluminij
27.0
Maribor
25.2
Olimpija Ljubljana
25.2
Celje
25.0
Koper
24.9
Bravo
24.7
Mura
24.2
Corners O/U 9.5
Over 9.5
54.5%
@ 2.07+9.8%
Under 9.5
45.5%
@ 1.67-9.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
2.12
Pinnacle
2.08
Betano
2.07
Marathonbet
2.05
1xBet
2.04
Under
Pinnacle
1.70
1xBet
1.69
Betano
1.67
Superbet
1.65
Marathonbet
1.65
Cards O/U 3.5
Over 3.5
60.3%
Under 3.5
39.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
71.1%
Under 21.5
28.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Olimpija Ljubljana or Draw✓ Hit
74.0%
Avg Implied 80.8% · @ 1.14
Edge
-6.8%
41%
33%
26%
covers Olimpija Ljubljana + Draw
Best 5 market prices
Betano
1.20
William Hil
1.18
BetVictor
1.17
Superbet
1.15
888Sport
1.14
Olimpija Ljubljana or Nafta✓ Hit
67.2%
Avg Implied 75.9% · @ 1.21
Edge
-8.7%
41%
33%
26%
covers Olimpija Ljubljana + Nafta
Best 5 market prices
Betano
1.26
William Hil
1.25
888Sport
1.22
Betfair
1.22
Superbet
1.22
Draw or Nafta✗ Miss
58.8%
Avg Implied 43.2% · @ 2.12
Edge
+15.6%
41%
33%
26%
covers Draw + Nafta
Best 5 market prices
888Sport
2.38
10Bet
2.25
Bet365
2.15
Betano
2.15
SBO
2.14

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

Home & Away Over/Under

How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Olimpija Ljubljana over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
68.7%
@ 1.14-12.6%
Under
31.3%
@ 4.93+12.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
1.17
Betano
1.17
1xBet
1.14
BetVictor
1.14
Superbet
1.13
Under
888Sport
6.00
10Bet
5.50
BetVictor
4.80
1xBet
4.70
Betano
4.60
Olimpija Ljubljana over/under 1.5Actual: Under
Over
32.3%
@ 1.74-21.0%
Under
67.7%
@ 1.99+21.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
1.86
Marathonbet
1.81
BetVictor
1.80
Bet365
1.80
Superbet
1.78
Under
888Sport
2.25
10Bet
2.15
Unibet
2.00
Betano
1.95
1xBet
1.94
Olimpija Ljubljana over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
11.2%
@ 3.33-16.7%
Under
88.8%
@ 1.29+16.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
3.77
BetVictor
3.60
Bet365
3.50
Marathonbet
3.42
1xBet
3.40
Under
888Sport
1.40
10Bet
1.36
Betano
1.30
Bet365
1.28
1xBet
1.26
Olimpija Ljubljana over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
3.0%
@ 6.74-10.8%
Under
97.0%
@ 1.08+10.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
7.60
Bet365
7.00
Betano
6.60
888Sport
5.75
Under
888Sport
1.13
Betano
1.09
Bet365
1.08
1xBet
1.04
Nafta over/under 0.5Actual: Under
Over
58.0%
@ 1.56-1.3%
Under
42.0%
@ 2.27+1.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
1.62
Bet365
1.62
1xBet
1.58
BetVictor
1.57
Marathonbet
1.57
Under
10Bet
2.40
888Sport
2.38
Betano
2.35
Pinnacle
2.30
Superbet
2.27
Nafta over/under 1.5Actual: Under
Over
21.5%
@ 3.73-3.3%
Under
78.5%
@ 1.23+3.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
4.09
Bet365
4.00
BetVictor
4.00
Marathonbet
3.84
888Sport
3.60
Under
Betano
1.27
10Bet
1.25
888Sport
1.25
1xBet
1.23
Superbet
1.22
Nafta over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
5.7%
@ 9.39-4.2%
Under
94.3%
@ 1.03+4.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
888Sport
11.00
Marathonbet
9.80
1xBet
9.80
Bet365
9.00
Superbet
8.50
Under
Betano
1.05
888Sport
1.04
Bet365
1.04
Superbet
1.01
Nafta over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
1.2%
@ 14.75-5.2%
Under
98.8%
@ 1.01+5.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
17.00
Betano
12.50
Under
Betano
1.01

⚖️ 7. Handicap

Handicap

The handicap is applied to Olimpija Ljubljana, so a minus line means Olimpija Ljubljana give that many goals of a start and Nafta receive them. At -1, Olimpija Ljubljana must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Olimpija Ljubljana win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Olimpija Ljubljana)Actual: Nafta
Olimpija Ljubljana -2
5.9%
@ 4.81-12.1%
Draw -2
12.2%
@ 4.41-7.4%
Nafta +2
81.8%
@ 1.39+19.5%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Marathonbet
5.40
Bet365
5.00
10Bet
4.75
Unibet
4.10
Draw
Bet365
4.75
Marathonbet
4.70
10Bet
4.50
Unibet
3.70
Away
10Bet
1.45
Bet365
1.40
Unibet
1.36
Marathonbet
1.35
Handicap -1 (Olimpija Ljubljana)Actual: Draw
Olimpija Ljubljana -1
18.2%
@ 2.62-15.0%
Draw -1
23.0%
@ 3.36-2.8%
Nafta +1
58.8%
@ 2.12+17.8%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Betfair
2.88
Marathonbet
2.74
Bet365
2.62
10Bet
2.55
Unibet
2.30
Draw
Bet365
3.60
10Bet
3.55
Betfair
3.40
Marathonbet
3.28
Unibet
2.95
Away
10Bet
2.25
Bet365
2.15
Betfair
2.10
Unibet
2.06
Marathonbet
2.04
Handicap +1 (Olimpija Ljubljana)Actual: Olimpija Ljubljana
Olimpija Ljubljana +1
74.0%
@ 1.11-1.3%
Draw +1
16.9%
@ 5.47+1.6%
Nafta -1
9.1%
@ 8.93-0.3%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Marathonbet
1.12
Bet365
1.11
Draw
Bet365
6.50
Marathonbet
4.45
Away
Bet365
11.00
Marathonbet
6.85
Handicap +2 (Olimpija Ljubljana)Actual: Olimpija Ljubljana
Olimpija Ljubljana +2
90.9%
@ 1.03-0.3%
Draw +2
6.8%
@ 17.00+1.3%
Nafta -2
2.3%
@ 29.00-1.0%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
1.03
Draw
Bet365
17.00
Away
Bet365
29.00

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

Olimpija LjubljanaOlimpija Ljubljana

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-201L02L10W10W10W01L01L00D00D10WA·CEL15/04A·KOP25/04H·PRI02/05H·RAD17/05A·BRA23/05H·BRA18/07A·MUR25/07H·ALU02/08A·CEL08/08H·MAR15/08
Avg total
0.9
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.570.430.750.310.360.57
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (19)0.470.580.600.500.330.67
vs Weaker (11)0.730.181.000.000.400.40
Clean sheet %63% (+37pp vs league)
This opponent (Nafta) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

NaftaNafta

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-200D02L00D00D00D01L10W21W01L12LH·BEL10/05A·BRI17/05H·TRI22/05A·PRI27/05H·PRI31/05H·KOP17/07A·BRA26/07H·MUR01/08A·ALU09/08H·CEL15/08← 2. SNL1. SNL →
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.870.370.730.401.000.33
vs Stronger (1)1.002.001.002.00--
vs Similar (17)0.760.410.620.380.890.44
vs Weaker (12)1.000.170.830.171.170.17
Clean sheet %70% (+44pp vs league)
This opponent (Olimpija Ljubljana) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
67.7%
@ 1.36-0.1%
Under 0.5
32.3%
@ 2.87+0.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.42
BetVictor
1.40
Pinnacle
1.39
1xBet
1.37
Marathonbet
1.37
Under
10Bet
3.25
Betfair
3.00
Pinnacle
2.97
William Hil
2.90
Superbet
2.82
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
29.5%
@ 2.67-5.0%
Under 1.5
70.5%
@ 1.41+5.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.98
Betano
2.77
1xBet
2.77
Marathonbet
2.77
Betfair
2.75
Under
10Bet
1.50
Unibet
1.42
Betano
1.42
Superbet
1.41
BetVictor
1.40
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
9.9%
@ 6.33-4.6%
Under 2.5
90.1%
@ 1.08+4.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
William Hil
7.00
1xBet
6.60
Betfair
6.50
Betano
5.90
Superbet
5.65
Under
Betano
1.10
William Hil
1.08
Betfair
1.08
1xBet
1.07
Superbet
1.07

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Olimpija Ljubljana over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
49.9%
@ 1.70-4.8%
Under
50.1%
@ 2.05+4.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
1.75
Betano
1.75
Marathonbet
1.72
1xBet
1.70
Superbet
1.68
Under
10Bet
2.25
Pinnacle
2.06
Superbet
2.05
1xBet
2.03
Betano
1.95
Olimpija Ljubljana over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
14.5%
@ 4.31-6.9%
Under
85.5%
@ 1.17+6.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
4.70
1xBet
4.40
Betano
4.35
10Bet
3.80
Under
10Bet
1.22
Betano
1.17
1xBet
1.16
Marathonbet
1.14
Olimpija Ljubljana over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
3.4%
@ 9.62-6.2%
Under
96.6%
@ 1.03+6.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
10.00
Betano
9.25
Under
10Bet
1.03
Betano
1.03
Nafta over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
34.3%
@ 2.72+0.4%
Under
65.7%
@ 1.40-0.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
3.01
Marathonbet
2.71
1xBet
2.70
Betano
2.67
Superbet
2.65
Under
10Bet
1.44
Betano
1.42
1xBet
1.41
Pinnacle
1.38
Marathonbet
1.38
Nafta over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
7.5%
@ 9.36-2.5%
Under
92.5%
@ 1.04+2.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
10.25
1xBet
10.20
10Bet
9.00
Betano
8.00
Under
Betano
1.05
10Bet
1.03
Nafta over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
1.0%
Under
99.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

Olimpija LjubljanaOlimpija Ljubljana

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-201L21W20W11D02L01L00D10W01L01LA·CEL15/04A·KOP25/04H·PRI02/05H·RAD17/05A·BRA23/05H·BRA18/07A·MUR25/07H·ALU02/08A·CEL08/08H·MAR15/08
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.670.630.750.750.570.50
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (19)0.580.790.700.800.440.78
vs Weaker (11)0.820.360.830.670.800.00
Clean sheet %50% (+24pp vs league)
This opponent (Nafta) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

NaftaNafta

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-321W10W11D00D10W01L20W31W10W01LH·BEL10/05A·BRI17/05H·TRI22/05A·PRI27/05H·PRI31/05H·KOP17/07A·BRA26/07H·MUR01/08A·ALU09/08H·CEL15/08← 2. SNL1. SNL →
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.100.501.400.730.800.27
vs Stronger (1)0.001.000.001.00--
vs Similar (17)1.000.471.250.750.780.22
vs Weaker (12)1.330.501.830.670.830.33
Clean sheet %53% (+27pp vs league)
This opponent (Olimpija Ljubljana) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Olimpija Ljubljana over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Olimpija Ljubljana over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Olimpija Ljubljana over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Nafta over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Nafta over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Nafta over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Under 7.599.9%-------✓ Hit
Under 6.599.5%1.01
Betano
1.02
1xBet
1.01
Bet365
1.01
--+6.5%✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 HT goals99.0%-------✓ Hit
Away under 3.5 goals98.8%1.01
Betano
1.01
----+5.2%✓ Hit
Under 5.598.2%1.03
888Sport
1.05
Betano
1.04
Bet365
1.03
1xBet
1.03
Betfair
1.02
+7.3%✓ Hit
Home under 3.5 goals97.0%1.08
888Sport
1.13
Betano
1.09
Bet365
1.08
1xBet
1.04
-+10.8%✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 HT goals96.6%1.03
10Bet
1.03
Betano
1.03
---+6.2%✓ Hit
Under 4.594.5%1.10
888Sport
1.17
Betano
1.13
Bet365
1.11
Pinnacle
1.11
Betfair
1.10
+10.1%✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 goals94.3%1.03
Betano
1.05
888Sport
1.04
Bet365
1.04
Superbet
1.01
-+4.2%✓ Hit
Away under 1.5 HT goals92.5%1.04
Betano
1.05
10Bet
1.03
---+2.5%✓ Hit
Home +2 handicap90.9%1.03
Bet365
1.03
-----0.3%✓ Hit
Under 2.5 HT goals90.1%1.08
Betano
1.10
William Hil
1.08
Betfair
1.08
1xBet
1.07
Superbet
1.07
+4.6%✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 goals88.8%1.29
888Sport
1.40
10Bet
1.36
Betano
1.30
Bet365
1.28
1xBet
1.26
+16.7%✓ Hit
Home under 1.5 HT goals85.5%1.17
10Bet
1.22
Betano
1.17
1xBet
1.16
Marathonbet
1.14
-+6.9%✓ Hit
Under 3.585.2%1.32
10Bet
1.42
888Sport
1.40
Betano
1.34
Betfair
1.33
Unibet
1.33
+15.2%✓ Hit
Over 19.5 fouls83.8%--------
Away +2 handicap81.8%1.39
10Bet
1.45
Bet365
1.40
Unibet
1.36
Marathonbet
1.35
-+19.5%✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards78.8%--------
Away under 1.5 goals78.5%1.23
Betano
1.27
10Bet
1.25
888Sport
1.25
1xBet
1.23
Superbet
1.22
+3.3%✓ Hit
Under 5.5 cards75.5%--------
Home or Draw74.0%1.14
Betano
1.20
William Hil
1.18
BetVictor
1.17
Superbet
1.15
888Sport
1.14
-6.8%✓ Hit
Home +1 handicap74.0%1.11
Marathonbet
1.12
Bet365
1.11
----1.3%✓ Hit
Over 21.5 fouls71.1%--------
Under 1.5 HT goals70.5%1.41
10Bet
1.50
Unibet
1.42
Betano
1.42
Superbet
1.41
BetVictor
1.40
+5.0%✓ Hit

🎽 13. Player market rates

Olimpija Ljubljana · 2024/25
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Álex Blanco43%
Peter Agba17%
Ivan Durdov14%
Marko Brest12%
Antonio Marin0%
Ahmet Muhamedbegović0%
Agustín Doffo0%
Reda Boultam0%
Justas Lasickas0%
Jorge Silva0%
David Sualehe0%
Matevž Vidovšek0%
Diogo Pinto0%
Jordi Govea0%
Manuel Pedreno0%
Raul Florucz0%
Marcel Ratnik0%
Thalisson0%
Marko Ristić0%
Dino Kojić0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Reda Boultam50%
David Sualehe38%
Peter Agba33%
Jorge Silva29%
Marko Brest25%
Marko Ristić25%
Manuel Pedreno20%
Thalisson20%
Justas Lasickas17%
Raul Florucz17%
Agustín Doffo14%
Álex Blanco14%
Ahmet Muhamedbegović12%
Matevž Vidovšek12%
Antonio Marin0%
Ivan Durdov0%
Diogo Pinto0%
Jordi Govea0%
Marcel Ratnik0%
Dino Kojić0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Raul Florucz33%
Marko Brest25%
Marko Ristić25%
Agustín Doffo14%
Antonio Marin0%
Ahmet Muhamedbegović0%
Ivan Durdov0%
Reda Boultam0%
Justas Lasickas0%
Jorge Silva0%
David Sualehe0%
Álex Blanco0%
Matevž Vidovšek0%
Diogo Pinto0%
Jordi Govea0%
Manuel Pedreno0%
Peter Agba0%
Marcel Ratnik0%
Thalisson0%
Dino Kojić0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Álex Blanco14%
Ahmet Muhamedbegović12%
Antonio Marin0%
Agustín Doffo0%
Ivan Durdov0%
Reda Boultam0%
Justas Lasickas0%
Jorge Silva0%
David Sualehe0%
Matevž Vidovšek0%
Diogo Pinto0%
Marko Brest0%
Jordi Govea0%
Manuel Pedreno0%
Peter Agba0%
Raul Florucz0%
Marcel Ratnik0%
Thalisson0%
Marko Ristić0%
Dino Kojić0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
CEL (31)
€14m
OL (27)
€12m
MAR (26)
€10m
KOP (27)
€8m
RAD (21)
€5m
MUR (23)
€5m
BRA (19)
€4m
ALU (24)
€4m
BRI (24)
€3m
NAF (18)
€2m
Olimpija Ljubljana's squad is €10m more valuable than Nafta's (€12m vs €2m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
CEL (12)
€7m
OL (11)
€6m
MAR (10)
€5m
KOP (10)
€3m
RAD (7)
€2m
MUR (8)
€2m
ALU (9)
€2m
BRA (5)
€1m
NAF (8)
€1m
BRI (7)
€1m
Olimpija Ljubljana's attack is €5m more valuable than Nafta's (€6m vs €1m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
KOP (7)
€2m
MAR (6)
€2m
CEL (4)
€1m
MUR (5)
€1m
BRA (6)
€1m
BRI (7)
€1m
OL (3)
€1m
RAD (5)
€1m
ALU (5)
€1m
NAF (2)
€0m
Olimpija Ljubljana and Nafta have a similar midfield value (both €1m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
CEL (15)
€6m
OL (13)
€5m
MAR (10)
€3m
KOP (10)
€3m
MUR (10)
€2m
RAD (9)
€2m
BRA (8)
€2m
ALU (10)
€2m
BRI (10)
€1m
NAF (8)
€1m
Olimpija Ljubljana's defence is €4m more valuable than Nafta's (€5m vs €1m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

4 previous meetings
3
OL wins
1
Draws
0
NAF wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Olimpija Ljubljana vs Nafta · H/A from OL
DateH/AGameScore
12/04/25ANafta Vs OL1-1
16/02/25HOL Vs Nafta3-0
19/10/24ANafta Vs OL0-1
05/08/24HOL Vs Nafta2-0

Olimpija LjubljanaOlimpija Ljubljana

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
15/08/26HOL Vs Maribor1-1
08/08/26ACelje Vs OL1-0
02/08/26HOL Vs Aluminij1-0
25/07/26AMura Vs OL1-0
18/07/26HOL Vs Bravo0-2
23/05/26ABravo Vs OL2-1
17/05/26HOL Vs Radomlje2-1
02/05/26HOL Vs Primorje3-0
25/04/26AKoper Vs OL3-2
15/04/26ACelje Vs OL2-0

NaftaNafta

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
15/08/26HNAF Vs Celje1-3
09/08/26AAluminij Vs NAF1-1
01/08/26HNAF Vs Mura5-2
26/07/26ABravo Vs NAF0-3
17/07/26HNAF Vs Koper0-2
31/05/26HNAF Vs Primorje1-0
27/05/26APrimorje Vs NAF0-0
22/05/26HNAF Vs Triglav1-1
17/05/26ABrinje-Grosuplje Vs NAF2-1
10/05/26HNAF Vs Beltinci2-1

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Olimpija Ljubljana
Olimpija Ljubljana
Slovenia: 1. SNL
Recent: 3 Wins / 1 Draws / 6 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLLWLD1.36
HomeWWLWD1.62
AwayLLLLL1.08
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %36%46%25%
AVG goals2.602.812.38
Over 1.5 %76%77%75%
Over 2.5 %50%58%42%
Over 3.5 %24%27%21%
Scored1.341.501.17
Conceded1.261.311.21
BTTS56%58%54%
Clean Sheet30%35%25%
Corners---
Cards---
Nafta
Nafta
Slovenia: 1. SNL
Recent: 4 Wins / 3 Draws / 3 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLWWDL1.98
HomeDWLWL2.04
AwayWLDWD1.92
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %58%62%54%
AVG goals3.103.582.58
Over 1.5 %86%88%83%
Over 2.5 %48%62%33%
Over 3.5 %34%42%25%
Scored1.882.121.62
Conceded1.221.460.96
BTTS62%77%46%
Clean Sheet32%15%50%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1MariborMaribor715
57%
2.1
135+8
2.6
86%
43%
29%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
10
5231.90.7
-
2KoperKoper712
43%
1.7
75+2
1.7
57%
14%
14%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
8
3231.00.7
-
3CeljeCelje611
50%
1.8
108+2
3.0
83%
50%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
14
7161.71.3
-
4BravoBravo711
43%
1.6
88+0
2.3
86%
43%
14%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
1121.11.1
-
5AluminijAluminij78
29%
1.1
88+0
2.3
57%
29%
29%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
2121.11.1
-
6Brinje-GrosupljeBrinje-Grosuplje78
29%
1.1
1112-1
3.3
100%
57%
29%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1111.61.7
-
7Olimpija LjubljanaOlimpija Ljubljana78
29%
1.1
35-2
1.1
29%
0%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
12
6150.40.7
-
8NaftaNafta77
29%
1.0
1212+0
3.4
86%
57%
43%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1011.71.7
-
9MuraMura77
29%
1.0
814-6
3.1
71%
57%
43%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
5
2121.12.0
-
10RadomljeRadomlje65
17%
0.8
710-3
2.8
83%
67%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
5
2121.21.7
-
Slovenia: 1. SNL 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Slovenia: 1. SNL stats & trends →

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