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Oliveirense vs Penalva Castelo Result & Analysis

Date: 29/08/2026
Time: 10:00
Final 4-0
Oliveirense
Oliveirense
vs
Penalva Castelo
Penalva Castelo
Portugal: Taça de Portugal
Referee: -
1 Model Analysis2 Goal Analysis3 Team Strengths Analysis4 Props Analysis5 Double Chance6 Home & Away Over/Under7 Handicap8 Half Time Goals O/U9 Half Time Home & Away O/U10 Second Half Goals O/U11 Second Half Home & Away O/U
12 Top picks for this game13 Player market rates14 Squad value15 Games History16 Overall Statistics17 League Table

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Oliveirense win
-
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw
-
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Penalva Castelo win
-
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

OliveirenseOliveirense

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-503L00D01L12L02L30W12L00D21W15LH·TOR07/03A·FC 16/03A·MAR21/03H·POR03/04A·LEI12/04H·BEN22/04A·CHA27/04H·LUS02/05A·FEI09/05H·FEL17/05
Avg total
2.4
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
1.6
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.031.531.571.860.561.25
vs Stronger (12)0.831.581.501.750.501.50
vs Similar (18)1.171.501.601.900.621.00
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %33% (+2pp vs league)
This opponent (Penalva Castelo) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Penalva CasteloPenalva Castelo

Last 10 – goals for & against
no recent games
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game------
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (0)------
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %0% (-31pp vs league)
This opponent (Oliveirense) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
1.06
BetVictor
1.04
Superbet
1.03
Marathonbet
1.02
1xBet
1.02
Under
Bet365
10.00
BetVictor
8.50
Marathonbet
7.80
1xBet
7.80
Superbet
7.10
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
1.22
1xBet
1.21
Marathonbet
1.21
Unibet
1.20
BetVictor
1.20
Under
Bet365
4.20
BetVictor
4.10
Unibet
3.70
Superbet
3.60
Marathonbet
3.58
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
0.0%
Under 3.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.59
Marathonbet
1.59
Superbet
1.59
BetVictor
1.58
Bet365
1.57
Under
Bet365
2.25
Marathonbet
2.21
1xBet
2.21
BetVictor
2.18
Superbet
2.17
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
0.0%
No
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
BetVictor
2.40
Bet365
2.38
1xBet
2.32
Marathonbet
2.28
Superbet
2.22
No
Unibet
1.63
Superbet
1.58
William Hil
1.57
Bet365
1.53
Marathonbet
1.53

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Lusitano Évora 1911
2.40
Amarante
2.33
Espinho
2.33
Fafe
2.29
Farense
2.25
Trofense
2.00
Pacos Ferreira
2.00
Lusitânia Lourosa
2.00
Sacavenense
2.00
Sintrense
2.00
Louletano
2.00
Oliveirense
2.00
Atlético CP
2.00
Benfica Castelo Branco
2.00
Ovarense
2.00
Caldas
2.00
O Elvas
2.00
Alpendorada
2.00
AVS
2.00
Tondela
2.00
Mortágua
1.75
1º Dezembro
1.75
Leixoes
1.67
Vila Meã
1.60
Machico
1.50
FC Serpa
1.50
Atlético Malveira
1.50
Rebordosa
1.50
Correlhã
1.50
Nazarenos
1.50
Felgueiras 1932
1.50
União Lamas
1.50
São João Ver
1.50
Uniao Nogueirense
1.50
Castrense
1.50
Naval 1893
1.50
Brito
1.50
Ançã
1.50
AD Fornos Algodres
1.50
Bragança
1.50
Salgueiros
1.50
Chaves
1.50
Portimonense
1.50
CF Os Belenenses
1.33
Vianense
1.33
Celoricense
1.33
SC Covilha
1.33
Os Marialvas
1.00
Penafiel
1.00
Olímpico do Montijo
1.00
Oliveira Hospital
1.00
Camacha
1.00
Cinfães
1.00
Castro Daire
1.00
Amora
1.00
Beira-Mar
1.00
Mafra
1.00
Academica
1.00
AD Nogueirense
1.00
Santo Antonio
1.00
Maia Lidador
1.00
São Roque (Açores)
1.00
Imortal Albufeira
1.00
Penalva Castelo
1.00
Messejanense
1.00
União Montemor
1.00
Recreativa de Lamelas
1.00
Vitoria Setubal
1.00
Olhanense
1.00
Uniao de Pombal
1.00
Ponte da Barca
1.00
Sousense
1.00
Guarda
1.00
Pevidem
1.00
O Grandolense
1.00
Alcains
1.00
Sertanense
1.00
Ermesinde
1.00
CF Benfica
1.00
Bombarralense
1.00
Real
1.00
Vila Pouca
1.00
Pacos de Brandao
1.00
Minas de Argozelo
1.00
Régua
1.00
Ginásio Figueirense
1.00
Atlético Arcos
1.00
Aljustrelense
1.00
Madalena
1.00
Mação
1.00
Gavionenses
1.00
Ferreiras
1.00
Merelinense
1.00
SC Barreiro
1.00
Mocarriense
1.00
AD Marco 09
0.67
Rebordelo
0.50
Vizela
0.00
Maria da Fonte
0.00
Fátima
0.00
Académico do Fundão
0.00
Portalegrense
0.00
Florgrade
0.00
Sanjoanense
0.00
Vitória de Sernache
0.00
Lagoa
0.00
Tirsense
0.00
Os Limianos
0.00
Leça
0.00
Lajense
0.00
União Santarém
0.00
Viana Alentejo
0.00
Varzim
0.00
Paredes
0.00
Angrense
0.00
Sourense
0.00
Alcochetense
0.00
Portel
0.00
Fayal
0.00
Estrela Calheta
0.00
Vinhais
0.00
UD da Serra
0.00
Juventude Évora
0.00
Feirense
0.00
Fazendense
0.00
Oliveirense is 1.00 points better than Penalva Castelo in terms of average points per game (2.00 vs 1.00).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Sacavenense
4.50
Ovarense
4.50
Benfica Castelo Branco
4.00
Trofense
3.50
Atlético Malveira
3.50
Alpendorada
3.33
Louletano
3.00
São João Ver
3.00
Salgueiros
3.00
Lusitano Évora 1911
2.80
Bragança
2.50
Farense
2.50
AVS
2.50
Tondela
2.50
Lusitânia Lourosa
2.33
Vianense
2.00
Oliveira Hospital
2.00
Felgueiras 1932
2.00
Oliveirense
2.00
Camacha
2.00
Espinho
2.00
1º Dezembro
2.00
Amarante
1.67
Sintrense
1.67
Caldas
1.60
Pacos Ferreira
1.50
FC Serpa
1.50
Correlhã
1.50
O Elvas
1.50
Rebordelo
1.50
Naval 1893
1.50
Ançã
1.50
AD Fornos Algodres
1.50
Portimonense
1.50
Vila Meã
1.40
AD Nogueirense
1.20
Santo Antonio
1.20
Maia Lidador
1.20
São Roque (Açores)
1.20
Imortal Albufeira
1.20
Penalva Castelo
1.20
Messejanense
1.20
União Montemor
1.20
Recreativa de Lamelas
1.20
Vitoria Setubal
1.20
Olhanense
1.20
Uniao de Pombal
1.20
Ponte da Barca
1.20
Sousense
1.20
Guarda
1.20
Pevidem
1.20
O Grandolense
1.20
Alcains
1.20
Sertanense
1.20
Ermesinde
1.20
CF Benfica
1.20
Bombarralense
1.20
Real
1.20
Vila Pouca
1.20
Pacos de Brandao
1.20
Minas de Argozelo
1.20
Régua
1.20
Ginásio Figueirense
1.20
Atlético Arcos
1.20
Aljustrelense
1.20
Madalena
1.20
Mação
1.20
Gavionenses
1.20
Ferreiras
1.20
Merelinense
1.20
SC Barreiro
1.20
Mocarriense
1.20
Fafe
1.14
Leixoes
1.00
Vizela
1.00
CF Os Belenenses
1.00
Maria da Fonte
1.00
Penafiel
1.00
Machico
1.00
Rebordosa
1.00
Vitória de Sernache
1.00
União Lamas
1.00
Atlético CP
1.00
Lagoa
1.00
Tirsense
1.00
Castro Daire
1.00
Varzim
1.00
Mortágua
1.00
Brito
1.00
Beira-Mar
1.00
Angrense
1.00
Alcochetense
1.00
Estrela Calheta
1.00
Vinhais
1.00
SC Covilha
1.00
Chaves
1.00
Fazendense
1.00
Nazarenos
0.50
Lajense
0.50
Uniao Nogueirense
0.50
Castrense
0.50
Celoricense
0.33
Os Marialvas
0.00
AD Marco 09
0.00
Fátima
0.00
Académico do Fundão
0.00
Olímpico do Montijo
0.00
Portalegrense
0.00
Florgrade
0.00
Sanjoanense
0.00
Os Limianos
0.00
Cinfães
0.00
Leça
0.00
União Santarém
0.00
Viana Alentejo
0.00
Paredes
0.00
Amora
0.00
Sourense
0.00
Portel
0.00
Fayal
0.00
UD da Serra
0.00
Mafra
0.00
Juventude Évora
0.00
Feirense
0.00
Academica
0.00
Oliveirense is 0.80 goals better than Penalva Castelo in terms of goals scored per game (2.00 vs 1.20).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Os Marialvas
0.00
Olímpico do Montijo
0.00
Cinfães
0.00
O Elvas
0.00
Amora
0.00
Mafra
0.00
Academica
0.00
Lusitânia Lourosa
0.33
Espinho
0.33
FC Serpa
0.50
Rebordosa
0.50
Nazarenos
0.50
Louletano
0.50
Uniao Nogueirense
0.50
Naval 1893
0.50
Bragança
0.50
AVS
0.50
Tondela
0.50
Vila Meã
0.60
Lusitano Évora 1911
0.60
Caldas
0.60
Amarante
0.67
Leixoes
0.67
CF Os Belenenses
0.67
Atlético CP
0.67
Fafe
0.71
Farense
0.75
Pacos Ferreira
1.00
AD Marco 09
1.00
Penafiel
1.00
Atlético Malveira
1.00
Sacavenense
1.00
Florgrade
1.00
Felgueiras 1932
1.00
Oliveirense
1.00
União Lamas
1.00
Castro Daire
1.00
Benfica Castelo Branco
1.00
Beira-Mar
1.00
Sourense
1.00
Juventude Évora
1.00
Feirense
1.00
Chaves
1.00
Mortágua
1.25
Celoricense
1.33
SC Covilha
1.33
Trofense
1.50
Machico
1.50
Correlhã
1.50
Ovarense
1.50
Portimonense
1.50
Alpendorada
1.67
AD Nogueirense
1.86
Santo Antonio
1.86
Maia Lidador
1.86
São Roque (Açores)
1.86
Imortal Albufeira
1.86
Penalva Castelo
1.86
Messejanense
1.86
União Montemor
1.86
Recreativa de Lamelas
1.86
Vitoria Setubal
1.86
Olhanense
1.86
Uniao de Pombal
1.86
Ponte da Barca
1.86
Sousense
1.86
Guarda
1.86
Pevidem
1.86
O Grandolense
1.86
Alcains
1.86
Sertanense
1.86
Ermesinde
1.86
CF Benfica
1.86
Bombarralense
1.86
Real
1.86
Vila Pouca
1.86
Pacos de Brandao
1.86
Minas de Argozelo
1.86
Régua
1.86
Ginásio Figueirense
1.86
Atlético Arcos
1.86
Aljustrelense
1.86
Madalena
1.86
Mação
1.86
Gavionenses
1.86
Ferreiras
1.86
Merelinense
1.86
SC Barreiro
1.86
Mocarriense
1.86
Vizela
2.00
Maria da Fonte
2.00
Vianense
2.00
Sintrense
2.00
Oliveira Hospital
2.00
Vitória de Sernache
2.00
Lagoa
2.00
Tirsense
2.00
Camacha
2.00
Leça
2.00
União Santarém
2.00
Paredes
2.00
Ançã
2.00
Alcochetense
2.00
1º Dezembro
2.00
UD da Serra
2.00
Fazendense
2.00
São João Ver
2.50
Castrense
2.50
Rebordelo
2.50
Fátima
3.00
Académico do Fundão
3.00
Portalegrense
3.00
Viana Alentejo
3.00
Brito
3.00
Portel
3.00
Vinhais
3.00
Salgueiros
3.00
Sanjoanense
4.00
Os Limianos
4.00
Lajense
4.00
AD Fornos Algodres
4.00
Varzim
5.00
Fayal
5.00
Angrense
7.00
Estrela Calheta
7.00
Oliveirense is 0.86 goals better than Penalva Castelo in terms of goals conceded per game (1.00 vs 1.86).

⏱️ Possession

Avg possession %
Chaves
38%
Farense
36%
AVS
36%
Not enough data to compare these two teams.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

OliveirenseOliveirense

For 3.8 · Against 5.2 · Total 9.0

🚩 Corners

1606531566473278261054113612115152169A·CHAH·BENA·MARA·PACA·ACAA·LUSA·BENH·LEIA·PORH·MAR
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.2 · Against 2.1 · Total 4.3

🟨 Cards

70116211241424413421733546536H·FELA·FEIH·LUSA·CHAH·BENA·LEIH·PORA·MARA·FC H·TOR
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 13.5 · Against 16.1 · Total 29.6

⚠️ Fouls

3709111816151016211118171313171421131791720342537293030353026A·CHAH·BENA·MARA·PACA·ACAA·LUSA·BENH·LEIA·PORH·MAR
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

Penalva CasteloPenalva Castelo

🚩 Corners

No recent corners data for this league.

🟨 Cards

No recent cards data for this league.

⚠️ Fouls

No recent fouls data for this league.

OliveirenseOliveirense

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)9.77.611.34.65.04.223.925.023.0
vs Stronger (20)10.28.313.03.54.52.520.924.817.0
vs Similar (30)9.57.010.95.35.55.225.725.226.0
vs Weaker (0)---------
% over line62%43%78%56%61%52%71%78%67%
% under line38%57%22%44%39%48%29%22%33%
This opponent (Penalva Castelo) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Penalva CasteloPenalva Castelo

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (0)---------
vs Stronger (0)---------
vs Similar (0)---------
vs Weaker (0)---------
% over line---------
% under line---------
This opponent (Oliveirense) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

🚩 Total Corners

Match total corners / game
Penafiel
11.5
Portimonense
11.2
Farense
10.8
SC Covilha
10.6
Trofense
10.6
Lusitânia Lourosa
10.4
Felgueiras 1932
10.1
Vizela
9.9
Oliveirense
9.7
Tondela
9.6
AVS
9.5
Pacos Ferreira
9.4
CF Os Belenenses
9.3
Feirense
9.0
Leixoes
8.9
Chaves
8.8
Mafra
8.5

🟨 Total Cards

Match total cards / game
Trofense
7.1
Feirense
6.6
Vizela
6.3
Pacos Ferreira
6.3
Leixoes
6.0
Chaves
5.9
Lusitânia Lourosa
5.9
Felgueiras 1932
5.8
Farense
5.6
Oliveirense
5.4
SC Covilha
5.4
Portimonense
5.4
Penafiel
5.3
Tondela
5.2
AVS
5.1
CF Os Belenenses
4.5
Mafra
3.6
Academica
3.0

⚠️ Total Fouls

Match total fouls / game
Trofense
32.3
Farense
31.3
Lusitânia Lourosa
30.1
SC Covilha
28.2
Pacos Ferreira
26.8
Leixoes
26.4
Tondela
25.7
AVS
25.7
CF Os Belenenses
25.0
Felgueiras 1932
23.5
Oliveirense
23.0
Penafiel
21.8
Chaves
20.9
Portimonense
20.8
Vizela
20.8
Feirense
19.0
Mafra
14.9
Corners O/U 9.5
Over 9.5
70.6%
Under 9.5
29.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5
Over 3.5
81.3%
Under 3.5
18.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
97.8%
Under 21.5
2.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔀 5. Double Chance

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

OliveirenseOliveirense

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-202L00D00D00D01L10W00D00D01L12LH·TOR07/03A·FC 16/03A·MAR21/03H·POR03/04A·LEI12/04H·BEN22/04A·CHA27/04H·LUS02/05A·FEI09/05H·FEL17/05
Avg total
0.8
Avg scored
0.2
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.430.430.710.570.190.31
vs Stronger (12)0.420.500.500.750.380.38
vs Similar (18)0.440.390.800.500.000.25
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %63% (+32pp vs league)
This opponent (Penalva Castelo) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Penalva CasteloPenalva Castelo

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
no recent games
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game------
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (0)------
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %0% (-31pp vs league)
This opponent (Oliveirense) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betfair
1.13
1xBet
1.13
BetVictor
1.13
William Hil
1.12
Superbet
1.11
Under
Betfair
5.50
William Hil
5.50
1xBet
5.10
BetVictor
5.00
Superbet
4.80
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.82
Marathonbet
1.81
BetVictor
1.74
Superbet
1.67
Betfair
1.67
Under
William Hil
2.15
Betfair
2.10
Superbet
2.05
Unibet
2.00
BetVictor
1.94
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
BetVictor
3.50
Betfair
3.20
1xBet
3.10
Superbet
2.95
William Hil
2.88
Under
William Hil
1.36
1xBet
1.32
Betfair
1.30
Superbet
1.30
BetVictor
1.25

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Oliveirense over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.14
Under
1xBet
4.50
Oliveirense over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
2.07
1xBet
1.95
Superbet
1.92
Under
Superbet
1.78
1xBet
1.75
Marathonbet
1.64
Oliveirense over/under 2.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
4.00
Under
1xBet
1.20
Penalva Castelo over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
4.45
1xBet
4.00
Superbet
3.70
Under
Superbet
1.19
1xBet
1.17
Marathonbet
1.15
Penalva Castelo over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Penalva Castelo over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

OliveirenseOliveirense

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-301L00D01L12L01L20W12L00D20W03LH·TOR07/03A·FC 16/03A·MAR21/03H·POR03/04A·LEI12/04H·BEN22/04A·CHA27/04H·LUS02/05A·FEI09/05H·FEL17/05
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
1.0
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.601.100.861.290.380.94
vs Stronger (12)0.421.081.001.000.121.12
vs Similar (18)0.721.110.801.400.620.75
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %37% (+6pp vs league)
This opponent (Penalva Castelo) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Penalva CasteloPenalva Castelo

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
no recent games
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game------
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (0)------
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %0% (-31pp vs league)
This opponent (Oliveirense) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
William Hil
1.08
Superbet
1.07
1xBet
1.06
Under
1xBet
7.30
William Hil
6.50
Superbet
5.55
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
William Hil
1.44
Superbet
1.40
1xBet
1.40
Marathonbet
1.37
Under
1xBet
2.75
Marathonbet
2.74
Superbet
2.60
William Hil
2.50
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
William Hil
2.40
Superbet
2.25
Marathonbet
2.13
1xBet
2.11
Under
1xBet
1.64
Marathonbet
1.63
Superbet
1.55
William Hil
1.50

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Oliveirense over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.09
Under
1xBet
6.00
Oliveirense over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
1.59
1xBet
1.55
Marathonbet
1.50
Under
Marathonbet
2.34
1xBet
2.30
Superbet
2.17
Oliveirense over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
2.70
Marathonbet
2.54
Under
Marathonbet
1.43
1xBet
1.41
Penalva Castelo over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
3.42
1xBet
3.40
Superbet
3.05
Under
Superbet
1.28
1xBet
1.27
Marathonbet
1.25
Penalva Castelo over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Penalva Castelo over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 19.5 fouls99.2%--------
Over 21.5 fouls97.8%--------
Over 23.5 fouls94.7%--------
Over 2.5 cards92.0%--------
Over 25.5 fouls89.1%--------
Over 3.5 cards81.3%--------
Over 8.5 corners80.5%--------
Over 9.5 corners70.6%--------

🎽 13. Player market rates

Oliveirense · 2025/26
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Armando Lopes22%
Bruno Silva18%
Luís Bastos17%
Bura11%
Manga Foe Ondoa10%
Pedro Martelo9%
Joao Silva9%
Sabino0%
Douglas Borel0%
Ricardo Ribeiro0%
Joanderson0%
Diogo Pereira0%
Simão Martins0%
Lucas Henrique0%
Nuno Namora0%
Amadou Diallo0%
João Adriano0%
Tiago Brito0%
Gustavo Silva0%
Vasco Santos0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Gustavo Silva67%
Joao Silva55%
Sabino45%
Tiago Brito40%
Manga Foe Ondoa30%
Vasco Santos29%
Simão Martins20%
João Adriano20%
Ricardo Ribeiro18%
Pedro Martelo18%
Luís Bastos17%
Diogo Pereira11%
Armando Lopes11%
Nuno Namora9%
Douglas Borel0%
Bura0%
Joanderson0%
Bruno Silva0%
Lucas Henrique0%
Amadou Diallo0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Lucas Henrique17%
Armando Lopes11%
Pedro Martelo9%
Nuno Namora9%
Sabino0%
Douglas Borel0%
Ricardo Ribeiro0%
Bura0%
Joanderson0%
Bruno Silva0%
Diogo Pereira0%
Simão Martins0%
Joao Silva0%
Luís Bastos0%
Amadou Diallo0%
João Adriano0%
Tiago Brito0%
Gustavo Silva0%
Manga Foe Ondoa0%
Vasco Santos0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Joao Silva27%
Amadou Diallo17%
Bura11%
Manga Foe Ondoa10%
Sabino9%
Pedro Martelo9%
Bruno Silva9%
Douglas Borel0%
Ricardo Ribeiro0%
Joanderson0%
Diogo Pereira0%
Simão Martins0%
Lucas Henrique0%
Luís Bastos0%
Nuno Namora0%
Armando Lopes0%
João Adriano0%
Tiago Brito0%
Gustavo Silva0%
Vasco Santos0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
VIZ (29)
€12m
TON (20)
€10m
CHA (22)
€9m
FAR (24)
€8m
AVS (20)
€7m
POR (20)
€6m
LEI (21)
€6m
PEN (23)
€5m
F1 (20)
€5m
LL (19)
€5m
FEI (17)
€4m
ACA (11)
€2m
PF (13)
€2m
OLI (7)
€1m
AMA (6)
€1m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
VIZ (13)
€5m
FAR (10)
€3m
AVS (8)
€3m
CHA (5)
€3m
TON (7)
€2m
POR (7)
€2m
LEI (7)
€2m
PEN (8)
€1m
F1 (4)
€1m
ACA (6)
€1m
FEI (6)
€1m
LL (6)
€1m
PF (3)
€1m
AMA (1)
€0m
OLI (1)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
CHA (5)
€2m
VIZ (5)
€2m
FAR (3)
€2m
AVS (2)
€2m
TON (4)
€1m
F1 (6)
€1m
LEI (3)
€1m
POR (5)
€1m
LL (2)
€1m
AMA (3)
€1m
FEI (3)
€1m
PF (2)
€0m
PEN (2)
€0m
ACA (1)
€0m
OLI (1)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
TON (9)
€6m
VIZ (11)
€4m
CHA (12)
€4m
FAR (11)
€4m
PEN (13)
€3m
LL (11)
€3m
AVS (10)
€3m
FEI (8)
€3m
LEI (11)
€3m
POR (8)
€3m
F1 (10)
€2m
OLI (5)
€1m
ACA (4)
€1m
PF (8)
€1m
AMA (2)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

No previous meetings
0
OLI wins
0
Draws
0
PC wins

Head-to-head

Oliveirense vs Penalva Castelo · H/A from OLI
DateH/AGameScore
No games.

OliveirenseOliveirense

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
17/05/26HOLI Vs Felgueiras 19321-5
09/05/26AFeirense Vs OLI1-2
02/05/26HOLI Vs Lusitânia Lourosa0-0
27/04/26AChaves Vs OLI2-1
22/04/26HOLI Vs Benfica B3-0
12/04/26ALeixoes Vs OLI2-0
03/04/26HOLI Vs Portimonense1-2
21/03/26AMaritimo Vs OLI1-0
16/03/26AFC Porto B Vs OLI0-0
07/03/26HOLI Vs Torreense0-3

Penalva CasteloPenalva Castelo

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
No games.

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Oliveirense
Oliveirense
Portugal: Taça de Portugal
Recent: 2 Wins / 2 Draws / 6 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWLDWL1.10
HomeLLWDL1.30
AwayDLLLW0.93
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %28%35%22%
AVG goals2.683.092.33
Over 1.5 %72%83%63%
Over 2.5 %50%57%44%
Over 3.5 %32%35%30%
Scored1.081.480.74
Conceded1.601.611.59
BTTS48%57%41%
Clean Sheet28%30%26%
Corners9.697.5711.33
Cards5.485.805.18
Penalva Castelo
Penalva Castelo
Portugal: Taça de Portugal
Recent: 0 Wins / 0 Draws / 0 Losses
FormResultsPPG
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %---
AVG goals---
Over 1.5 %---
Over 2.5 %---
Over 3.5 %---
Scored---
Conceded---
BTTS---
Clean Sheet---
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

Neither club has a league record for this season yet, so there is no table to show.

← all matches