The encounter between Olympiakos Piraeus II and Asteras Tripolis II is a tight one, with the model favouring a home win. The odds are almost even, with a 41% chance of a home victory, a 29% chance of a draw and a 30% chance of an away win. The expected total is 2.6 goals, so the most probable total is two goals, with a 27% chance that the final tally will be exactly 2. The single most likely scoreline is 1-1, carrying a 13.8% probability. Olympiakos, playing at home against a similarly matched opponent, averages 1.14 goals scored and 1.5 conceded, while Asteras, on the road, averages 1.0 scored and 1.33 conceded. The model’s selections include Under 7.5 (99.5%), Under 6.5 (98.4%), Away under 3.5 goals (96.9%), Under 5.5 (95.4%), Home under 3.5 goals (94.8%), Away under 2.5 goals (88.6%), Under 4.5 (88.3%) and Home +2 handicap (87.1%). All figures are presented as percentages, with no other outcomes mentioned.
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🎯 1. Model Analysis
Olympiakos Piraeus II win
40.6%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw
29.0%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Asteras Tripolis II win
30.4%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
Olympiakos Piraeus II
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.3
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
1.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.17
1.47
1.20
1.47
1.13
1.47
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (28)
1.11
1.50
1.14
1.50
1.07
1.50
vs Weaker (2)
2.00
1.00
2.00
1.00
2.00
1.00
Clean sheet %
17% (-18pp vs league)
This opponent (Asteras Tripolis II) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Asteras Tripolis II
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.4
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
1.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.23
1.17
1.57
1.00
0.94
1.31
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (28)
1.21
1.14
1.46
0.92
1.00
1.33
vs Weaker (2)
1.50
1.50
3.00
2.00
0.00
1.00
Clean sheet %
23% (-12pp vs league)
This opponent (Olympiakos Piraeus II) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.6 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (27%).
Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
73.7%
Under 1.5
26.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
47.1%
Under 2.5
52.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5
Over 3.5
25.5%
Under 3.5
74.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to score
Yes
53.0%
No
47.0%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
13.8%
1-0
9.5%
0-0
9.0%
2-1
8.7%
0-1
7.8%
2-0
7.5%
1-2
7.4%
0-2
5.3%
Olympiakos Piraeus II goals ↓
Asteras Tripolis II goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
9.0%
7.8%
5.3%
2.1%
0.6%
1
9.5%
14%
7.4%
2.9%
0.8%
2
7.5%
8.7%
5.1%
2.0%
0.6%
3
3.5%
4.0%
2.4%
0.9%
0.3%
4
1.2%
1.4%
0.8%
0.3%
0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Olympiakos Piraeus II goals (down), columns = Asteras Tripolis II goals (across).
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💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Panionios
2.08
Niki Volos
2.00
Larisa
1.80
Anagennisi Karditsas
1.71
Marko
1.67
PAOK II
1.64
Kallithea
1.61
Ellas Syros
1.61
Asteras Tripolis II
1.54
Nestos Chrisoupolis
1.43
Pyrgos 1968
1.41
Zakynthos
1.41
Panthrakikos
1.41
Panserraikos
1.36
Olympiakos Piraeus II
1.29
Apollon Pontou
1.18
Olympiakos Piraeus II is 0.25 points worse than Asteras Tripolis II in terms of average points per game (1.29 vs 1.54).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Niki Volos
1.92
PAOK II
1.57
Larisa
1.48
Panionios
1.46
Ellas Syros
1.43
Asteras Tripolis II
1.21
Anagennisi Karditsas
1.17
Pyrgos 1968
1.16
Zakynthos
1.16
Panthrakikos
1.16
Kallithea
1.14
Marko
1.12
Panserraikos
1.12
Olympiakos Piraeus II
1.08
Nestos Chrisoupolis
1.07
Apollon Pontou
0.97
Olympiakos Piraeus II is 0.12 goals worse than Asteras Tripolis II in terms of goals scored per game (1.08 vs 1.21).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Niki Volos
0.50
Panionios
0.54
Marko
0.71
Anagennisi Karditsas
0.75
Kallithea
0.79
Ellas Syros
0.86
Larisa
0.89
Nestos Chrisoupolis
0.93
PAOK II
1.11
Asteras Tripolis II
1.12
Pyrgos 1968
1.13
Zakynthos
1.13
Panthrakikos
1.13
Panserraikos
1.17
Apollon Pontou
1.35
Olympiakos Piraeus II
1.58
Olympiakos Piraeus II is 0.46 goals worse than Asteras Tripolis II in terms of goals conceded per game (1.58 vs 1.12).
⏱️ Possession
Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Olympiakos Piraeus II or Draw
69.6%
Avg Implied -
41%
29%
30%
covers Olympiakos Piraeus II + Draw
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Olympiakos Piraeus II or Asteras Tripolis II
71.0%
Avg Implied -
41%
29%
30%
covers Olympiakos Piraeus II + Asteras Tripolis II
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw or Asteras Tripolis II
59.4%
Avg Implied -
41%
29%
30%
covers Draw + Asteras Tripolis II
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
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🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
Home & Away Over/Under
How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Olympiakos Piraeus II over/under 0.5
Over
75.0%
Under
25.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Olympiakos Piraeus II over/under 1.5
Over
40.4%
Under
59.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Olympiakos Piraeus II over/under 2.5
Over
16.4%
Under
83.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Olympiakos Piraeus II over/under 3.5
Over
5.2%
Under
94.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Asteras Tripolis II over/under 0.5
Over
69.0%
Under
31.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Asteras Tripolis II over/under 1.5
Over
32.7%
Under
67.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Asteras Tripolis II over/under 2.5
Over
11.4%
Under
88.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Asteras Tripolis II over/under 3.5
Over
3.1%
Under
96.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⚖️ 7. Handicap
Handicap
The handicap is applied to Olympiakos Piraeus II, so a minus line means Olympiakos Piraeus II give that many goals of a start and Asteras Tripolis II receive them. At -1, Olympiakos Piraeus II must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Olympiakos Piraeus II win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Olympiakos Piraeus II)
Olympiakos Piraeus II -2
7.3%
Draw -2
12.4%
Asteras Tripolis II +2
80.3%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap -1 (Olympiakos Piraeus II)
Olympiakos Piraeus II -1
19.7%
Draw -1
20.9%
Asteras Tripolis II +1
59.4%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +1 (Olympiakos Piraeus II)
Olympiakos Piraeus II +1
69.6%
Draw +1
17.5%
Asteras Tripolis II -1
12.9%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +2 (Olympiakos Piraeus II)
Olympiakos Piraeus II +2
87.1%
Draw +2
8.8%
Asteras Tripolis II -2
4.1%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Olympiakos Piraeus II
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.50
0.70
0.53
0.67
0.47
0.73
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (28)
0.43
0.68
0.50
0.64
0.36
0.71
vs Weaker (2)
1.50
1.00
1.00
1.00
2.00
1.00
Clean sheet %
40% (+5pp vs league)
This opponent (Asteras Tripolis II) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Asteras Tripolis II
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.60
0.57
0.79
0.43
0.44
0.69
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (28)
0.61
0.54
0.77
0.38
0.47
0.67
vs Weaker (2)
0.50
1.00
1.00
1.00
0.00
1.00
Clean sheet %
53% (+18pp vs league)
This opponent (Olympiakos Piraeus II) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
No half-time model prices for this fixture yet - the form above is the record.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Olympiakos Piraeus II over/under 0.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Olympiakos Piraeus II over/under 1.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Olympiakos Piraeus II over/under 2.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Asteras Tripolis II over/under 0.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Asteras Tripolis II over/under 1.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Asteras Tripolis II over/under 2.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Olympiakos Piraeus II
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.67
0.77
0.67
0.80
0.67
0.73
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (28)
0.68
0.82
0.64
0.86
0.71
0.79
vs Weaker (2)
0.50
0.00
1.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
50% (+15pp vs league)
This opponent (Asteras Tripolis II) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Asteras Tripolis II
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.63
0.60
0.79
0.57
0.50
0.62
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (28)
0.61
0.61
0.69
0.54
0.53
0.67
vs Weaker (2)
1.00
0.50
2.00
1.00
0.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
47% (+12pp vs league)
This opponent (Olympiakos Piraeus II) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
No second-half model prices for this fixture yet - the form above is the record.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Olympiakos Piraeus II over/under 0.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Olympiakos Piraeus II over/under 1.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Olympiakos Piraeus II over/under 2.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Asteras Tripolis II over/under 0.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Asteras Tripolis II over/under 1.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Asteras Tripolis II over/under 2.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
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🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Under 7.5
99.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 6.5
98.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 3.5 goals
96.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 5.5
95.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home under 3.5 goals
94.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 2.5 goals
88.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 4.5
88.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home +2 handicap
87.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home under 2.5 goals
83.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away +2 handicap
80.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home over 0.5 goals
75.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 3.5
74.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 1.5
73.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home or Away
71.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
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💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
PAN (27)
€6m
NV (24)
€6m
PI (21)
€5m
KAL (27)
€5m
PAN (24)
€5m
LAR (23)
€5m
MAR (27)
€5m
AK (25)
€4m
OPI (22)
€4m
ATI (23)
€4m
NC (23)
€3m
ES (20)
€3m
AP (16)
€2m
Olympiakos Piraeus II and Asteras Tripolis II have a similar squad value (both €4m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
PAN (13)
€3m
PAN (11)
€2m
PI (9)
€2m
MAR (11)
€2m
NV (7)
€2m
OPI (9)
€2m
LAR (7)
€2m
KAL (9)
€2m
AK (7)
€1m
NC (9)
€1m
ES (9)
€1m
ATI (6)
€1m
AP (6)
€1m
Olympiakos Piraeus II and Asteras Tripolis II have a similar attack value (both €2m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
NV (6)
€1m
PI (4)
€1m
ATI (7)
€1m
PAN (3)
€1m
AK (6)
€1m
LAR (3)
€1m
KAL (4)
€1m
NC (5)
€1m
AP (4)
€1m
ES (3)
€1m
MAR (4)
€0m
OPI (3)
€0m
PAN (1)
€0m
Olympiakos Piraeus II and Asteras Tripolis II have a similar midfield value (both €0m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
KAL (14)
€3m
PAN (13)
€3m
NV (11)
€3m
LAR (13)
€2m
MAR (12)
€2m
PI (8)
€2m
OPI (10)
€2m
PAN (10)
€2m
AK (12)
€2m
NC (9)
€1m
ATI (10)
€1m
ES (8)
€1m
AP (6)
€1m
Olympiakos Piraeus II and Asteras Tripolis II have a similar defence value (both €2m).
🤝 15. Games History
H2H record
No previous meetings
0
OPI wins
0
Draws
0
ATI wins
Head-to-head
Olympiakos Piraeus II vs Asteras Tripolis II · H/A from OPI
Greece: Super League 2 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Greece: Super League 2 stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
Panserraikos
Ellas Syros
Panionios
Anagennisi Karditsas
Niki Volos
Zakynthos
PAOK II
Nestos Chrisoupolis
Marko
Apollon Pontou
Kallithea
Larisa
Pyrgos 1968
Panthrakikos