Olympiakos Piraeus vs AEK Athens FC Result & Analysis

Defensive solidity will shape this encounter, as both sides have conceded 1.5 goals per game against similar opposition. Olympiakos, at home, averages a single goal scored and 1.5 conceded, while AEK, on the road, nets 0.67 and also concedes 1.5. The model favours a home win, with a 36% chance, a 32% chance of a draw, and a 32% chance of an away win. The expected total of 2.1 goals points to a tight match, and the single most likely scoreline is 1-1, with a 14.8% probability. The most probable total of goals is two, at 28%. Suggested picks include an 98.5% chance of over 19.5 fouls, 96.0% for over 21.5 fouls, 91.2% for over 23.5 fouls, 83.3% for over 25.5 fouls, 83.2% for under 3.5 cards (hit), 81.7% for over 2.5 cards, 75.0% for under 11.5 corners, and 71.7% for under 5.5 cards. Olympiakos entered the match on a two-game winning run, while AEK had gone unbeaten in their last five.

The pre-match favourite, Olympiakos Piraeus, failed to deliver, as the match finished 0-0, a draw that was the final result. The model had picked a home win with a 36% probability, but that call was wrong. The only other selection made by the model was Under 3.5 goals, with an 83.2% chance, and that hit. Olympiakos were on a two-game winning run before this fixture, while AEK Athens had been unbeaten in their last five outings. The scoreline of 0-0 was the most likely outcome, with a 28% probability of a total of two goals.