Olympiakos Piraeus vs AEK Athens FC Result & Analysis

Olympiakos Piraeus are tipped to win, with a 49% chance of triumph, a 25% chance of a draw and a 25% chance of an AEK Athens win. The model expects three goals on average and the most likely total is two, a 24% probability. The single most likely scoreline is 1-1, with a 11.9% chance. Olympiakos, playing at home against a similarly-strengthened opponent, averages 1.67 goals scored and 1.67 conceded, while AEK, on the road, averages 1.6 goals scored and 1.6 conceded. Suggested picks include Over 19.5 fouls (96.8%), Over 2.5 cards (93.3%), Over 21.5 fouls (92.4%), Over 23.5 fouls (84.9%), Over 3.5 cards (83.8%), Under 11.5 corners (83.3% miss), Over 1.5 (81.1%) and Under 10.5 corners (74.3% miss). Olympiakos have gone unbeaten in their last five, while AEK are on a two-game winning streak.

The pre-match favourite, Olympiakos Piraeus, fell short as AEK Athens FC secured a 1-2 away win, ending Olympiakos’s unbeaten run of five games. The model had picked a home win with a 49% probability, but the outcome proved wrong. The suggested selections largely performed: Over 19.5 fouls (96.8%) hit, Over 2.5 cards (93.3%) hit, Over 21.5 fouls (92.4%) hit, Over 23.5 fouls (84.9%) hit, Over 3.5 cards (83.8%) hit, and Over 1.5 (81.1%) hit. The under 11.5 corners (83.3%) and under 10.5 corners (74.3%) missed. The match confirmed the model’s predictions for most activity metrics, despite the wrong outcome for the match result.