Olympiakos Piraeus vs PAOK Result & Analysis

The contest between Olympiakos Piraeus and PAOK is finely balanced, with the model favouring a home win at 40%. The expected total of 2.3 goals points to a modestly low-scoring affair, and the most likely scoreline is 1-1, a 14.5% chance. Olympiakos, playing at home against a similarly-matched opponent, averages 1.33 goals scored and 0.67 conceded, while PAOK, on the road, averages 1.4 scored and 1.2 conceded. The model’s selections include over 19.5 fouls at 97.7%, over 21.5 fouls at 94.2%, over 23.5 fouls at 87.9%, over 2.5 cards at 80.1%, under 3.5 goals at 79.7%, over 25.5 fouls at 78.3%, under 11.5 corners at 75.7%, and under 5.5 cards at 73.9%. The probabilities for the match result are 40% home win, 31% draw, and 30% away win. Olympiakos are unbeaten in their last five, while PAOK are coming off a defeat, adding to the intrigue of this tightly contested fixture.

The pre-match favourite, a home win for Olympiakos Piraeus, fell short as the match finished 1-1, a draw that surprised the model. The model had given the home side a 40% chance of victory, yet it was wrong. The final score of 1-1 matched the most likely score of 1-1, which the model had assigned a 14.5% probability. The model’s other selections all hit: Over 19.5 fouls at 97.7%, Over 21.5 fouls at 94.2%, Over 23.5 fouls at 87.9%, Over 2.5 cards at 80.1%, Under 3.5 goals at 79.7%, Over 25.5 fouls at 78.3%, Under 11.5 corners at 75.7% and Under 5.5 cards at 73.9%. Olympiakos were unbeaten in their last five, while PAOK came off a defeat, yet the game ended in a stalemate.