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Olympiakos Piraeus vs PAOK Result & Analysis

Date: 14/01/2026
Time: 16:30
Final 0-2
Olympiakos Piraeus
Olympiakos Piraeus
Vs
75%
17%
9%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
PAOK
PAOK
Greece: Cup
Referee: -
Match preview & prediction

Olympiakos Piraeus are the clear favourite, with a 75% chance of victory, a 17% draw probability and a 9% chance of an away win. The model’s pick is a home win, driven by Olympiakos’s strong 2.33 average goals scored at home against similar opposition and only one goal conceded on average, while PAOK’s away form shows 1.83 goals scored and 2.0 conceded. The expected total is 3.3 goals, with the most likely total of 3 goals at 22%. The single most likely scoreline is 2-0, with a 11.7% probability. Suggested picks include Over 19.5 fouls at 99.2%, Away under 3.5 goals at 99.2% (hit), Under 7.5 at 98.0% (hit), Over 21.5 fouls at 97.8%, Under 11.5 corners at 97.5%, Home +2 handicap at 97.4% (miss), Away under 2.5 goals at 95.5% (hit), and Under 10.5 corners at 94.8%. Olympiakos’s unbeaten run in five matches, ending with a 1-0 win over Atromitos, contrasts with PAOK’s recent loss to Brann, reinforcing the home advantage.

Results analysis

The upset came early as PAOK snatched a 2-0 victory over Olympiakos Piraeus, ending the home side’s unbeaten run of five matches. The pre-match favourite, Home win, held a 75% probability, but the model’s call was wrong. The model’s selections all turned out differently: Away under 3.5 goals hit at 99.2%, Under 7.5 hit at 98.0%, Home +2 handicap missed at 97.4%, and Away under 2.5 goals hit at 95.5%. The final score of 0-2 confirmed the away win, a result that surprised the prediction model.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Olympiakos Piraeus win✗ Miss
74.9%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
16.6%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
PAOK win✓ Hit
8.5%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

Olympiakos PiraeusOlympiakos Piraeus

Last 10 – goals for & against
60-634L10W52W30W30W10W00D60W11D20WH·REA26/11A·PAN30/11A·ELL03/12H·OFI06/12H·OFI06/12A·KAI09/12A·ARI14/12H·IRA17/12H·KIF20/12A·ATR10/01
Avg total
3.2
Avg scored
2.5
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game2.230.872.870.731.601.00
vs Stronger (3)1.334.003.004.000.504.00
vs Similar (4)2.001.252.331.001.002.00
vs Weaker (23)2.390.393.000.361.830.42
Clean sheet %57% (+27pp vs league)
This opponent (PAOK) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

PAOKPAOK

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-411D32W11D31W33D02L41W20W11D30WH·BRA27/11A·LEV30/11A·ARI03/12H·ARI07/12A·LUD11/12A·ATR14/12H·MAR17/12H·PAN21/12H·ATR06/01A·PAN10/01
Avg total
3.3
Avg scored
2.1
Avg conceded
1.2
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game2.171.072.270.402.071.73
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (12)2.081.172.330.331.832.00
vs Weaker (18)2.221.002.220.442.221.56
Clean sheet %40% (+10pp vs league)
This opponent (Olympiakos Piraeus) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%11%17%22%4%011%121%222%318%412%512%6+
The model estimates around 3.3 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 3 (22%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
85.2%
Under 1.5
14.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
64.6%
Under 2.5
35.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
42.5%
Under 3.5
57.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
50.6%
No
49.4%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
2-0
11.7%
3-0
9.9%
2-1
9.1%
1-0
8.5%
1-1
7.9%
3-1
7.7%
4-0
6.3%
4-1
4.9%
Olympiakos Piraeus goals ↓
PAOK goals →
01234
04.3%2.1%1.1%0.3%0.1%
18.5%7.9%2.8%0.7%0.1%
212%9.1%3.5%0.9%0.2%
39.9%7.7%3.0%0.8%0.2%
46.3%4.9%1.9%0.5%0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Olympiakos Piraeus goals (down), columns = PAOK goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Asteras Tripolis
2.29
PAOK
2.25
Iraklis 1908
2.00
Kampaniakos Chalastra
2.00
Panargiakos
2.00
Olympiakos Piraeus
2.00
OFI
2.00
Kifisia
2.00
PAS Giannina
2.00
Makedonikos Neapolis
2.00
Kavala
2.00
Panserraikos
2.00
Volos NFC
2.00
Panathinaikos
1.75
AEK Athens FC
1.67
Kalamata
1.50
Ilioupoli
1.50
Niki Volos
1.50
Panionios
1.43
Egaleo
1.40
Aris Thessalonikis
1.33
Larisa
1.33
Atromitos
1.00
Anagennisi Karditsas
0.94
Marko
0.90
Ellas Syros
0.90
Nestos Chrisoupolis
0.87
Kallithea
0.67
Levadiakos
0.00
Kissamikos
0.00
Panetolikos
0.00
Olympiakos Piraeus is 0.25 points worse than PAOK in terms of average points per game (2.00 vs 2.25).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
PAS Giannina
6.00
Kifisia
3.40
Iraklis 1908
3.00
PAOK
2.75
Panargiakos
2.00
Kavala
2.00
Asteras Tripolis
1.86
OFI
1.75
Olympiakos Piraeus
1.71
Kampaniakos Chalastra
1.67
Volos NFC
1.67
Ilioupoli
1.50
Niki Volos
1.50
Atromitos
1.33
Panionios
1.29
Panathinaikos
1.25
Egaleo
1.20
Anagennisi Karditsas
1.09
Marko
1.04
Ellas Syros
1.04
Nestos Chrisoupolis
1.01
Levadiakos
1.00
Kissamikos
1.00
Panetolikos
1.00
Panserraikos
1.00
Larisa
1.00
AEK Athens FC
0.83
Aris Thessalonikis
0.67
Kalamata
0.50
Makedonikos Neapolis
0.50
Kallithea
0.33
Olympiakos Piraeus is 1.04 goals worse than PAOK in terms of goals scored per game (1.71 vs 2.75).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Makedonikos Neapolis
0.00
Larisa
0.33
Kifisia
0.40
Kalamata
0.50
Iraklis 1908
0.50
Ilioupoli
0.50
PAOK
0.50
Olympiakos Piraeus
0.57
Asteras Tripolis
0.57
Kallithea
0.67
PAS Giannina
0.67
Aris Thessalonikis
0.67
Panionios
0.86
OFI
0.88
Kampaniakos Chalastra
1.00
Panathinaikos
1.00
Panserraikos
1.00
Volos NFC
1.00
AEK Athens FC
1.33
Kavala
1.33
Niki Volos
1.50
Panargiakos
1.67
Atromitos
1.67
Levadiakos
2.00
Panetolikos
2.00
Anagennisi Karditsas
2.13
Marko
2.24
Ellas Syros
2.24
Nestos Chrisoupolis
2.30
Egaleo
2.60
Kissamikos
3.00
Olympiakos Piraeus is 0.07 goals worse than PAOK in terms of goals conceded per game (0.57 vs 0.50).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Not enough data to compare these two teams.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Olympiakos PiraeusOlympiakos Piraeus

For 7.9 · Against 1.7 · Total 9.6

🚩 Corners

190521815381779335711017198977128811A·ATRH·KIFA·ARIA·KAIH·OFIH·OFIA·PANH·REAH·ATRA·KIF
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.1 · Against 3.0 · Total 4.1

🟨 Cards

9023645212212216115693223272A·ATRH·KIFA·ARIA·KAIH·OFIH·OFIH·REAH·ATRA·KIFH·PSV
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 12.6 · Against 11.1 · Total 23.7

⚠️ Fouls

310151611181271412168168118127513141431291926242419191828A·ATRH·KIFA·ARIA·KAIH·OFIH·OFIA·PANH·REAH·ATRA·KIF
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

PAOKPAOK

For 6.6 · Against 3.2 · Total 9.8

🚩 Corners

1408573934272526884537131012697141287A·PANH·PANA·ATRA·LUDH·ARIA·LEVH·BRAH·KIFA·PANH·BSC
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.6 · Against 2.9 · Total 4.5

🟨 Cards

901313131323211834144444233975A·PANH·PANA·ATRA·LUDH·ARIA·LEVH·BRAH·KIFA·PANH·BSC
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 11.9 · Against 13.4 · Total 25.3

⚠️ Fouls

3201314131111161016111114141299171616101027242726222821263220A·PANH·PANA·ATRA·LUDH·ARIA·LEVH·BRAH·KIFA·PANH·BSC
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

Olympiakos PiraeusOlympiakos Piraeus

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)8.89.38.34.14.24.025.325.325.4
vs Stronger (3)8.38.08.54.33.05.022.319.024.0
vs Similar (14)7.27.76.84.34.14.425.825.326.3
vs Weaker (33)9.610.09.04.04.33.625.425.725.1
% over line36%45%25%60%58%62%69%73%65%
% under line64%55%75%40%42%38%31%27%35%
This opponent (PAOK) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

PAOKPAOK

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)8.79.18.54.54.74.425.725.026.3
vs Stronger (0)---------
vs Similar (23)7.98.07.85.56.05.126.925.827.8
vs Weaker (27)9.810.39.33.73.63.824.424.024.7
% over line37%50%26%64%62%65%77%75%78%
% under line63%50%74%36%38%35%23%25%22%
This opponent (Olympiakos Piraeus) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

🚩 Total Corners

Match total corners / game
Egaleo
14.0
Panargiakos
14.0
Panionios
10.4
Kifisia
10.1
Kampaniakos Chalastra
10.0
Panathinaikos
9.8
Kallithea
9.7
PAS Giannina
9.7
OFI
9.2
Panserraikos
9.2
PAOK
9.1
Aris Thessalonikis
9.0
Levadiakos
9.0
Asteras Tripolis
8.9
Panetolikos
8.8
Olympiakos Piraeus
8.7
Atromitos
8.7
Volos NFC
8.4
AEK Athens FC
8.4
Larisa
8.4
Makedonikos Neapolis
8.0
Kissamikos
7.0
Marko
7.0
Kalamata
7.0
Anagennisi Karditsas
6.0
Ellas Syros
5.0
Nestos Chrisoupolis
5.0
Niki Volos
4.0
Iraklis 1908
3.0
Kavala
2.0

🟨 Total Cards

Match total cards / game
Anagennisi Karditsas
8.0
Kavala
8.0
Kifisia
7.0
Panserraikos
6.3
Larisa
6.2
Volos NFC
6.1
Makedonikos Neapolis
6.0
Asteras Tripolis
6.0
AEK Athens FC
5.9
Kallithea
5.9
OFI
5.8
Panionios
5.8
Levadiakos
5.8
Panathinaikos
5.8
Panetolikos
5.4
Aris Thessalonikis
5.2
Atromitos
5.2
PAOK
5.1
PAS Giannina
5.1
Kampaniakos Chalastra
5.0
Iraklis 1908
5.0
Olympiakos Piraeus
4.9
Ellas Syros
4.0
Nestos Chrisoupolis
4.0
Kalamata
4.0
Kissamikos
3.0
Egaleo
3.0
Marko
3.0
Panargiakos
3.0
Niki Volos
2.0

⚠️ Total Fouls

Match total fouls / game
Egaleo
66.0
Panargiakos
66.0
Kampaniakos Chalastra
39.0
Anagennisi Karditsas
37.0
Kissamikos
37.0
Marko
37.0
Iraklis 1908
37.0
Larisa
34.6
Ellas Syros
34.0
Nestos Chrisoupolis
34.0
Volos NFC
31.6
Kifisia
30.9
Panionios
30.5
Atromitos
29.9
PAS Giannina
29.3
Levadiakos
28.9
Panathinaikos
28.9
OFI
28.9
Kallithea
28.8
AEK Athens FC
28.1
Aris Thessalonikis
27.6
Panserraikos
27.4
Niki Volos
27.0
Asteras Tripolis
26.9
Panetolikos
26.1
PAOK
25.6
Olympiakos Piraeus
25.1
Makedonikos Neapolis
24.0
Kavala
14.0
Corners O/U 9.5
Over 9.5
10.0%
Under 9.5
90.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5
Over 3.5
55.2%
Under 3.5
44.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
97.8%
Under 21.5
2.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Olympiakos Piraeus or Draw✗ Miss
91.5%
Avg Implied -
75%
17%
9%
covers Olympiakos Piraeus + Draw
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Olympiakos Piraeus or PAOK✓ Hit
83.4%
Avg Implied -
75%
17%
9%
covers Olympiakos Piraeus + PAOK
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw or PAOK✓ Hit
25.1%
Avg Implied -
75%
17%
9%
covers Draw + PAOK
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

Home & Away Over/Under

How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Olympiakos Piraeus over/under 0.5Actual: Under
Over
92.2%
Under
7.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Olympiakos Piraeus over/under 1.5Actual: Under
Over
72.2%
Under
27.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Olympiakos Piraeus over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
46.8%
Under
53.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Olympiakos Piraeus over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
25.2%
Under
74.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
PAOK over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
54.2%
Under
45.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
PAOK over/under 1.5Actual: Over
Over
18.4%
Under
81.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
PAOK over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
4.5%
Under
95.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
PAOK over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
0.8%
Under
99.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⚖️ 7. Handicap

Handicap

The handicap is applied to Olympiakos Piraeus, so a minus line means Olympiakos Piraeus give that many goals of a start and PAOK receive them. At -1, Olympiakos Piraeus must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Olympiakos Piraeus win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Olympiakos Piraeus)Actual: PAOK
Olympiakos Piraeus -2
32.2%
Draw -2
21.5%
PAOK +2
46.2%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap -1 (Olympiakos Piraeus)Actual: PAOK
Olympiakos Piraeus -1
53.8%
Draw -1
21.1%
PAOK +1
25.1%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +1 (Olympiakos Piraeus)Actual: PAOK
Olympiakos Piraeus +1
91.5%
Draw +1
6.0%
PAOK -1
2.6%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +2 (Olympiakos Piraeus)Actual: Draw
Olympiakos Piraeus +2
97.4%
Draw +2
2.0%
PAOK -2
0.6%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

Olympiakos PiraeusOlympiakos Piraeus

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-413L00D10W20W20W00D00D40W11D10WH·REA26/11A·PAN30/11A·ELL03/12H·OFI06/12H·OFI06/12A·KAI09/12A·ARI14/12H·IRA17/12H·KIF20/12A·ATR10/01
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
0.4
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.970.301.330.400.600.20
vs Stronger (3)0.332.001.003.000.001.50
vs Similar (4)1.250.501.330.671.000.00
vs Weaker (23)1.000.041.360.090.670.00
Clean sheet %83% (+53pp vs league)
This opponent (PAOK) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

PAOKPAOK

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-300D11D00D21W11D01L30W10W00D20WH·BRA27/11A·LEV30/11A·ARI03/12H·ARI07/12A·LUD11/12A·ATR14/12H·MAR17/12H·PAN21/12H·ATR06/01A·PAN10/01
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.4
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.070.430.870.131.270.73
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (12)0.750.500.500.171.000.83
vs Weaker (18)1.280.391.110.111.440.67
Clean sheet %67% (+37pp vs league)
This opponent (Olympiakos Piraeus) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Olympiakos Piraeus over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Olympiakos Piraeus over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Olympiakos Piraeus over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
PAOK over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
PAOK over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
PAOK over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

Olympiakos PiraeusOlympiakos Piraeus

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-421W10W42W10W10W10W00D20W00D10WH·REA26/11A·PAN30/11A·ELL03/12H·OFI06/12H·OFI06/12A·KAI09/12A·ARI14/12H·IRA17/12H·KIF20/12A·ATR10/01
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
0.3
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.270.571.530.331.000.80
vs Stronger (3)1.002.002.001.000.502.50
vs Similar (4)0.750.751.000.330.002.00
vs Weaker (23)1.390.351.640.271.170.42
Clean sheet %63% (+33pp vs league)
This opponent (PAOK) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

PAOKPAOK

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-211D21W11D10W22D01L11D10W11D10WH·BRA27/11A·LEV30/11A·ARI03/12H·ARI07/12A·LUD11/12A·ATR14/12H·MAR17/12H·PAN21/12H·ATR06/01A·PAN10/01
Avg total
1.9
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.100.631.400.270.801.00
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (12)1.330.671.830.170.831.17
vs Weaker (18)0.940.611.110.330.780.89
Clean sheet %53% (+23pp vs league)
This opponent (Olympiakos Piraeus) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Olympiakos Piraeus over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Olympiakos Piraeus over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Olympiakos Piraeus over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
PAOK over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
PAOK over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
PAOK over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 19.5 fouls99.2%--------
Away under 3.5 goals99.2%-------✓ Hit
Under 7.598.0%-------✓ Hit
Over 21.5 fouls97.8%--------
Under 11.5 corners97.5%--------
Home +2 handicap97.4%-------✗ Miss
Away under 2.5 goals95.5%-------✓ Hit
Under 10.5 corners94.8%--------
Under 6.594.7%-------✓ Hit
Over 23.5 fouls94.7%--------
Home over 0.5 goals92.2%-------✗ Miss
Home or Draw91.5%-------✗ Miss
Home +1 handicap91.5%-------✗ Miss
Under 9.5 corners90.0%--------
Over 25.5 fouls89.0%--------
Under 5.588.0%-------✓ Hit
Over 1.585.2%-------✓ Hit
Home or Away83.4%-------✓ Hit
Under 8.5 corners82.4%--------
Away under 1.5 goals81.6%-------✗ Miss
Under 5.5 cards79.7%--------
Under 4.575.8%-------✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards75.1%--------
Home win74.9%-------✗ Miss
Home under 3.5 goals74.8%-------✓ Hit
Home over 1.5 goals72.2%-------✗ Miss

🎽 13. Player market rates

Olympiakos Piraeus
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Ayoub El Kaabi39%
Mehdi Taremi29%
Gelson Martins17%
Rodinei12%
Chiquinho10%
Yusuf Yazıcı10%
Daniel Podence7%
Gabriel Strefezza6%
Panagiotis Retsos6%
Diogo Nascimento5%
Dani García3%
Francisco Ortega3%
Costinha3%
Lorenzo Pirola3%
Santiago Hezze3%
Christos Mouzakitis3%
Konstantinos Tzolakis0%
Roman Yaremchuk0%
Rémy Cabella0%
Giulian Biancone0%
Clayton0%
Onyemaechi Bruno0%
Alexios Kalogeropoulos0%
André Luiz0%
Lorenzo Scipioni0%
Stavros Pnevmonidis0%
Gustavo Mancha0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Dani García21%
Daniel Podence17%
Santiago Hezze17%
Francisco Ortega17%
Lorenzo Scipioni17%
Costinha16%
Panagiotis Retsos14%
Rémy Cabella14%
Onyemaechi Bruno14%
Giulian Biancone13%
Lorenzo Pirola12%
Gabriel Strefezza12%
André Luiz10%
Rodinei9%
Roman Yaremchuk9%
Mehdi Taremi9%
Ayoub El Kaabi8%
Christos Mouzakitis6%
Gelson Martins3%
Konstantinos Tzolakis0%
Chiquinho0%
Yusuf Yazıcı0%
Diogo Nascimento0%
Clayton0%
Alexios Kalogeropoulos0%
Stavros Pnevmonidis0%
Gustavo Mancha0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Daniel Podence21%
Chiquinho20%
Rémy Cabella14%
Rodinei12%
Gabriel Strefezza12%
Mehdi Taremi12%
Francisco Ortega10%
Yusuf Yazıcı10%
Diogo Nascimento10%
Roman Yaremchuk9%
Ayoub El Kaabi8%
Santiago Hezze6%
Christos Mouzakitis6%
Dani García3%
Lorenzo Pirola3%
Gelson Martins3%
Panagiotis Retsos0%
Konstantinos Tzolakis0%
Giulian Biancone0%
Clayton0%
Costinha0%
Onyemaechi Bruno0%
Alexios Kalogeropoulos0%
André Luiz0%
Lorenzo Scipioni0%
Stavros Pnevmonidis0%
Gustavo Mancha0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Ayoub El Kaabi50%
André Luiz30%
Chiquinho28%
Mehdi Taremi21%
Roman Yaremchuk18%
Clayton14%
Daniel Podence14%
Gabriel Strefezza12%
Gelson Martins6%
Yusuf Yazıcı5%
Rodinei3%
Panagiotis Retsos3%
Santiago Hezze3%
Christos Mouzakitis3%
Konstantinos Tzolakis0%
Francisco Ortega0%
Rémy Cabella0%
Dani García0%
Giulian Biancone0%
Lorenzo Pirola0%
Diogo Nascimento0%
Costinha0%
Onyemaechi Bruno0%
Alexios Kalogeropoulos0%
Lorenzo Scipioni0%
Stavros Pnevmonidis0%
Gustavo Mancha0%
PAOK
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Giorgos Giakoumakis33%
Alexander Jeremejeff33%
Anestis Mythou31%
Giannis Konstantelias29%
Dimitrios Pelkas24%
Dimitrios Chatsidis21%
Alessandro Vogliacco17%
Kiril Despodov15%
Andrija Živković15%
Taison14%
Magomed Ozdoev13%
Alessandro Bianco11%
Rahman Baba9%
Soualiho Meïté7%
Fedor Chalov6%
Luka Ivanušec4%
Dejan Lovren0%
Mady Camara0%
Tomasz Kędziora0%
Jorge Sánchez0%
Jonjoe Kenny0%
Jiří Pavlenka0%
Konstantinos Thymianis0%
Greg Taylor0%
Joan Sastre0%
Antonis Tsiftsis0%
Ioannis Michailidis0%
Christos Zafeiris0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Andrija Živković33%
Christos Zafeiris28%
Alessandro Bianco21%
Luka Ivanušec21%
Jorge Sánchez18%
Giorgos Giakoumakis17%
Alessandro Vogliacco17%
Tomasz Kędziora16%
Antonis Tsiftsis14%
Magomed Ozdoev13%
Jonjoe Kenny12%
Dimitrios Pelkas12%
Dejan Lovren11%
Mady Camara10%
Giannis Konstantelias10%
Rahman Baba9%
Taison8%
Kiril Despodov8%
Soualiho Meïté7%
Ioannis Michailidis7%
Alexander Jeremejeff6%
Fedor Chalov0%
Jiří Pavlenka0%
Konstantinos Thymianis0%
Greg Taylor0%
Joan Sastre0%
Anestis Mythou0%
Dimitrios Chatsidis0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Andrija Živković45%
Taison19%
Dimitrios Chatsidis14%
Luka Ivanušec12%
Dimitrios Pelkas12%
Kiril Despodov12%
Magomed Ozdoev10%
Rahman Baba9%
Anestis Mythou8%
Greg Taylor7%
Giorgos Giakoumakis7%
Giannis Konstantelias6%
Fedor Chalov6%
Jonjoe Kenny6%
Alexander Jeremejeff6%
Ioannis Michailidis3%
Dejan Lovren0%
Mady Camara0%
Tomasz Kędziora0%
Jorge Sánchez0%
Jiří Pavlenka0%
Konstantinos Thymianis0%
Soualiho Meïté0%
Alessandro Vogliacco0%
Joan Sastre0%
Antonis Tsiftsis0%
Christos Zafeiris0%
Alessandro Bianco0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Dimitrios Pelkas18%
Giorgos Giakoumakis17%
Alexander Jeremejeff17%
Giannis Konstantelias16%
Andrija Živković15%
Taison8%
Magomed Ozdoev8%
Kiril Despodov8%
Anestis Mythou8%
Dimitrios Chatsidis7%
Mady Camara6%
Luka Ivanušec4%
Jonjoe Kenny3%
Dejan Lovren0%
Fedor Chalov0%
Tomasz Kędziora0%
Jorge Sánchez0%
Rahman Baba0%
Jiří Pavlenka0%
Konstantinos Thymianis0%
Soualiho Meïté0%
Alessandro Vogliacco0%
Greg Taylor0%
Joan Sastre0%
Antonis Tsiftsis0%
Ioannis Michailidis0%
Christos Zafeiris0%
Alessandro Bianco0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
OP (29)
€175m
PAN (34)
€109m
AAF (26)
€85m
PAO (32)
€82m
AT (27)
€41m
LEV (24)
€16m
PAN (27)
€13m
ATR (21)
€12m
KAL (28)
€11m
VN (25)
€10m
KIF (27)
€10m
I1 (25)
€9m
EGA (40)
€6m
PAN (27)
€6m
NV (24)
€6m
KAL (27)
€5m
LAR (23)
€5m
KAV (28)
€3m
Olympiakos Piraeus's squad is €93m more valuable than PAOK's (€175m vs €82m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
OP (12)
€84m
PAN (13)
€46m
AAF (11)
€44m
PAO (11)
€30m
AT (13)
€22m
PAN (11)
€7m
LEV (11)
€5m
KIF (10)
€4m
KAL (8)
€4m
VN (8)
€4m
ATR (7)
€3m
EGA (19)
€3m
PAN (11)
€2m
I1 (6)
€2m
NV (7)
€2m
LAR (7)
€2m
KAL (9)
€2m
KAV (12)
€1m
Olympiakos Piraeus's attack is €54m more valuable than PAOK's (€84m vs €30m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
OP (6)
€47m
PAO (7)
€28m
PAN (8)
€26m
AAF (5)
€16m
AT (5)
€7m
LEV (4)
€5m
I1 (7)
€3m
ATR (3)
€2m
KAL (6)
€2m
PAN (5)
€2m
KIF (6)
€2m
VN (5)
€2m
NV (6)
€1m
EGA (6)
€1m
PAN (3)
€1m
LAR (3)
€1m
KAL (4)
€1m
KAV (4)
€0m
Olympiakos Piraeus's midfield is €19m more valuable than PAOK's (€47m vs €28m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
OP (11)
€44m
PAN (13)
€38m
AAF (10)
€26m
PAO (14)
€24m
AT (9)
€12m
ATR (11)
€6m
VN (12)
€5m
LEV (9)
€5m
KAL (14)
€5m
KIF (11)
€4m
I1 (12)
€4m
PAN (11)
€3m
KAL (14)
€3m
PAN (13)
€3m
NV (11)
€3m
EGA (15)
€2m
LAR (13)
€2m
KAV (12)
€1m
Olympiakos Piraeus's defence is €20m more valuable than PAOK's (€44m vs €24m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

8 previous meetings
5
OP wins
0
Draws
3
PAO wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Olympiakos Piraeus vs PAOK · H/A from OP
DateH/AGameScore
05/10/25APAOK Vs OP2-1
04/05/25HOP Vs PAOK4-2
06/04/25APAOK Vs OP2-1
23/02/25HOP Vs PAOK2-1
10/11/24APAOK Vs OP2-3
12/05/24APAOK Vs OP2-0
21/04/24HOP Vs PAOK2-1
18/02/24APAOK Vs OP1-4

Olympiakos PiraeusOlympiakos Piraeus

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
10/01/26AAtromitos Vs OP0-2
20/12/25HOP Vs Kifisia1-1
17/12/25HOP Vs Iraklis 19086-0
14/12/25AAris Thessalonikis Vs OP0-0
09/12/25AKairat Almaty Vs OP0-1
06/12/25HOP Vs OFI Crete3-0
06/12/25HOP Vs OFI3-0
03/12/25AEllas Syros Vs OP2-5
30/11/25APanetolikos Vs OP0-1
26/11/25HOP Vs Real Madrid3-4

PAOKPAOK

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
10/01/26APanetolikos Vs PAO0-3
06/01/26HPAO Vs Atromitos1-1
21/12/25HPAO Vs Panathinaikos2-0
17/12/25HPAO Vs Marko4-1
14/12/25AAtromitos Vs PAO2-0
11/12/25ALudogorets Vs PAO3-3
07/12/25HPAO Vs Aris Thessalonikis3-1
03/12/25AAris Thessalonikis Vs PAO1-1
30/11/25ALevadiakos Vs PAO2-3
27/11/25HPAO Vs Brann1-1

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Olympiakos Piraeus
Olympiakos Piraeus
Greece: Cup
Recent: 7 Wins / 2 Draws / 1 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWDWDW2.30
HomeLWWWD2.50
AwayWWWDW2.08
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %72%77%67%
AVG goals2.843.192.46
Over 1.5 %76%81%71%
Over 2.5 %48%58%38%
Over 3.5 %24%31%17%
Scored2.042.541.50
Conceded0.800.650.96
BTTS38%42%33%
Clean Sheet56%58%54%
Corners8.819.278.30
Cards4.984.955.00
PAOK
PAOK
Greece: Cup
Recent: 5 Wins / 4 Draws / 1 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLWWDW1.80
HomeDWWWD2.33
AwayWDDLW1.31
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %54%71%38%
AVG goals3.162.623.65
Over 1.5 %82%71%92%
Over 2.5 %64%54%73%
Over 3.5 %36%25%46%
Scored2.022.121.92
Conceded1.140.501.73
BTTS52%42%62%
Clean Sheet40%58%23%
Corners8.749.058.48
Cards5.165.384.96

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1AEK Athens FCAEK Athens FC3478
68%
2.3
6021+39
2.4
65%
41%
26%
8.5
29%
5.6
91%
30.5
100%
85
4416261.80.6
57%
2Olympiakos PiraeusOlympiakos Piraeus3472
62%
2.1
5717+40
2.2
74%
38%
12%
8.7
41%
4.5
59%
25.9
74%
175
8447441.70.5
60%
3PAOKPAOK3470
59%
2.1
6426+38
2.6
79%
59%
24%
8.9
35%
4.7
69%
25.0
74%
82
3028241.90.8
60%
4PanathinaikosPanathinaikos3458
47%
1.7
5334+19
2.6
76%
50%
26%
7.6
21%
5.3
74%
30.0
91%
109
4626381.61.0
53%
5LevadiakosLevadiakos3658
47%
1.6
7254+18
3.5
89%
67%
53%
8.6
44%
5.8
86%
30.9
94%
16
5552.01.5
56%
6Aris ThessalonikisAris Thessalonikis3652
36%
1.4
3938+1
2.1
72%
36%
17%
9.2
56%
5.6
81%
29.5
94%
41
227121.11.1
51%
7AtromitosAtromitos3849
34%
1.3
5345+8
2.6
71%
55%
26%
8.7
39%
4.9
76%
30.6
95%
12
3261.41.2
53%
8KifisiaKifisia3845
26%
1.2
4554-9
2.6
76%
55%
29%
9.1
37%
6.5
87%
32.3
95%
10
4241.21.4
48%
9OFIOFI3239
38%
1.2
4355-12
3.1
88%
69%
34%
8.3
34%
5.5
88%
29.9
97%
0
0001.31.7
45%
10
OC
OFI Crete
3239
38%
1.2
4355-12
3.1
88%
69%
34%
8.3
34%
5.4
88%
29.8
97%
18
6381.31.7
-
11Asteras TripolisAsteras Tripolis3839
24%
1.0
3953-14
2.4
71%
50%
24%
9.7
53%
5.6
79%
28.6
87%
0
0001.01.4
45%
12PanetolikosPanetolikos3839
26%
1.0
3954-15
2.4
66%
45%
21%
8.5
42%
5.5
83%
26.9
82%
13
7231.01.4
46%
13Volos NFCVolos NFC3637
28%
1.0
3760-23
2.7
81%
50%
19%
8.8
36%
5.4
89%
30.0
92%
10
4251.01.7
46%
14LarisaLarisa3830
13%
0.8
3561-26
2.5
82%
42%
18%
8.7
42%
6.0
79%
29.7
84%
5
2120.91.6
46%
15PanserraikosPanserraikos3829
18%
0.8
2577-52
2.7
74%
55%
24%
8.6
45%
5.9
85%
27.3
84%
6
2130.72.0
37%
Greece: Super League 1 2025/26 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Greece: Super League 1 stats & trends →

← all matches