Nea Salamis are tipped to win in a tightly contested Cyprus 1. Division clash, with the model picking an away victory at 37%. The home side, Olympiakos, holds a 30% chance of triumph, while a draw sits at 32%. The expected total of goals is 2.1, centring on a 2-goal outcome that carries a 28% probability. The single most likely scoreline is 1-1, with a 14.8% chance. Olympiakos, playing at home against a similarly ranked opponent, averages 1.0 goal scored and 1.0 conceded. Nea Salamis, on the road against a similar tier, averages 2.2 scored and 0.9 conceded. Suggested picks include Under 7.5 (99.8%), Under 6.5 (99.4%, edge 5%), Away under 2.5 HT goals (98.8%), Home under 3.5 goals (98.2%, edge 8%), Away under 2.5 2H goals (98.0%, edge 4%), Under 5.5 (97.9%, edge 7%), Away under 3.5 goals (97.3%, edge 4%), and Home under 2.5 HT goals (97.2%, edge 3%). Olympiakos have recently won three in a row, while Nea Salamis come off a 4-1 win, setting the stage for a high-scoring, low-risk encounter.
Results analysis
The draw stunned the pre-match favourite, as Nea Salamis failed to secure the predicted away win. Olympiakos and Nea Salamis finished 3-3, a result that left the model’s pick incorrect. The model had given the away side a 37% probability of victory, but the game ended in a stalemate. The match saw every suggested selection settled: Under 7.5 hit at 99.8%, Under 6.5 hit at 99.4%, Away under 2.5 HT goals hit at 98.7%, Home under 3.5 goals hit at 98.2%, Under 5.5 missed at 97.9%, Away under 2.5 2H goals hit at 97.8%, Away under 3.5 goals hit at 97.3%, and Home under 2.5 HT goals hit at 97.2%. Both sides entered the match on a draw-heavy run, each having just drawn 3-3 in their previous encounter.
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🎯 1. Model Analysis
Olympiakos win✗ Miss
30.3%
Avg Implied 41.8% · @ 2.19
Edge
-11.4%
Best 5 market prices
Dafabet
2.26
Superbet
2.25
Bet365
2.25
Pinnacle
2.25
1xBet
2.24
Draw✓ Hit
32.5%
Avg Implied 28.8% · @ 3.17
Edge
+3.6%
Best 5 market prices
Betano
3.30
Bet365
3.30
10Bet
3.25
Superbet
3.25
Betfair
3.25
Nea Salamis win✗ Miss
37.2%
Avg Implied 29.4% · @ 3.11
Edge
+7.8%
Best 5 market prices
Betano
3.30
10Bet
3.20
1xBet
3.18
Dafabet
3.15
Pinnacle
3.14
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
Olympiakos
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.7
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
1.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.00
1.30
0.87
1.27
1.13
1.33
vs Stronger (9)
0.78
2.11
0.60
1.80
1.00
2.50
vs Similar (21)
1.10
0.95
1.00
1.00
1.18
0.91
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
30% (-1pp vs league)
This opponent (Nea Salamis) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Nea Salamis
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.8
Avg scored
2.0
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.93
0.63
1.93
0.67
1.93
0.60
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (20)
1.95
0.80
1.70
0.70
2.20
0.90
vs Weaker (10)
1.90
0.30
2.40
0.60
1.40
0.00
Clean sheet %
57% (+26pp vs league)
This opponent (Olympiakos) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.1 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (28%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
63.6%
@ 1.30-7.3%
Under 1.5
36.4%
@ 3.18+7.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.33
Bet365
1.33
Superbet
1.31
10Bet
1.30
Unibet
1.30
Under
Betfair
3.40
Bet365
3.25
10Bet
3.25
BetVictor
3.25
Betano
3.15
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
35.3%
@ 1.99-11.6%
Under 2.5
64.7%
@ 1.76+11.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
2.05
SBO
2.04
Pinnacle
2.04
Marathonbet
2.01
1xBet
2.01
Under
Betano
1.80
SBO
1.78
Pinnacle
1.78
10Bet
1.77
1xBet
1.76
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
16.3%
@ 3.41-10.8%
Under 3.5
83.7%
@ 1.27+10.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
BetVictor
3.60
Betfair
3.50
Bet365
3.50
Superbet
3.40
10Bet
3.35
Under
Betano
1.30
Betfair
1.29
Bet365
1.28
10Bet
1.28
Superbet
1.27
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
43.7%
@ 1.76-8.5%
No
56.3%
@ 1.93+8.5%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
Bet365
1.83
Betfair
1.80
BetVictor
1.78
Superbet
1.76
1xBet
1.76
No
1xBet
1.96
Superbet
1.95
Betfair
1.95
Betano
1.95
William Hil
1.95
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
14.8%@ 5.86+7.2%
0-0
13.5%@ 8.54+8.3%
0-1
12.3%@ 8.55+7.1%
1-0
10.6%@ 6.89+4.2%
0-2
7.6%@ 14.71+4.6%
1-2
7.5%@ 10.37+3.3%
2-1
6.6%@ 8.23+1.3%
2-0
5.9%@ 9.85+1.4%
Olympiakos goals ↓
Nea Salamis goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
13%
12%
7.6%
2.9%
0.8%
1
11%
15%
7.5%
2.8%
0.8%
2
5.9%
6.6%
3.7%
1.4%
0.4%
3
1.9%
2.2%
1.2%
0.5%
0.1%
4
0.5%
0.5%
0.3%
0.1%
0.0%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Olympiakos goals (down), columns = Nea Salamis goals (across).
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💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Omonia Nicosia
2.42
AEK Larnaca
1.92
Apollon Limassol
1.86
Pafos
1.72
Apoel Nicosia
1.44
Aris
1.42
Anorthosis
1.36
AEL
1.33
Omonia Aradippou
1.27
Nea Salamis
1.21
Krasava Ypsonas
1.21
Olympiakos
1.21
Omonia 29is Maiou
1.10
Karmiotissa
1.00
Olympiakos is 0.00 points worse than Nea Salamis in terms of average points per game (1.21 vs 1.21).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Omonia Nicosia
2.44
Pafos
1.83
AEK Larnaca
1.72
Aris
1.69
Apoel Nicosia
1.47
Apollon Limassol
1.44
AEL
1.24
Nea Salamis
1.14
Krasava Ypsonas
1.09
Anorthosis
1.06
Omonia 29is Maiou
1.03
Olympiakos
0.97
Omonia Aradippou
0.94
Karmiotissa
0.94
Olympiakos is 0.17 goals worse than Nea Salamis in terms of goals scored per game (0.97 vs 1.14).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Omonia Nicosia
0.67
AEK Larnaca
0.92
Pafos
1.06
Apollon Limassol
1.14
Anorthosis
1.21
Aris
1.25
Apoel Nicosia
1.25
Omonia Aradippou
1.27
Krasava Ypsonas
1.33
Olympiakos
1.33
AEL
1.39
Nea Salamis
1.52
Omonia 29is Maiou
1.68
Karmiotissa
1.85
Olympiakos is 0.18 goals better than Nea Salamis in terms of goals conceded per game (1.33 vs 1.52).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
Pafos
55%
Olympiakos
54%
Apoel Nicosia
54%
Apollon Limassol
53%
Aris
52%
Omonia Nicosia
51%
Anorthosis
50%
AEK Larnaca
49%
AEL
49%
Krasava Ypsonas
47%
Omonia Aradippou
43%
Not enough data to compare these two teams.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Olympiakos
For 3.0 · Against 3.8 · Total 6.8
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.6 · Against 2.1 · Total 3.8
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 15.4 · Against 14.0 · Total 29.4
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Nea Salamis
🚩 Corners
No recent corners data for this league.
🟨 Cards
No recent cards data for this league.
⚠️ Fouls
No recent fouls data for this league.
Olympiakos
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
6.8
4.0
7.7
0.6
0.1
1.1
29.4
31.0
28.8
vs Stronger (10)
6.7
3.0
8.5
0.8
0.4
1.2
26.0
27.0
25.5
vs Similar (38)
6.8
5.0
7.2
0.6
0.1
1.1
31.4
35.0
30.5
vs Weaker (2)
-
-
-
0.0
0.0
0.0
-
-
-
% over line
12%
0%
17%
6%
0%
12%
88%
100%
83%
% under line
88%
100%
83%
94%
100%
88%
12%
0%
17%
This opponent (Nea Salamis) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Nea Salamis
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
12.0
12.0
-
0.2
0.5
0.0
30.5
30.5
-
vs Stronger (5)
12.0
12.0
-
0.8
1.3
0.0
26.0
26.0
-
vs Similar (35)
12.0
12.0
-
0.2
0.5
0.0
35.0
35.0
-
vs Weaker (10)
-
-
-
0.0
0.0
0.0
-
-
-
% over line
100%
100%
-
4%
8%
0%
100%
100%
-
% under line
0%
0%
-
96%
92%
100%
0%
0%
-
This opponent (Olympiakos) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Omonia 29is Maiou
10.6
Nea Salamis
10.2
Omonia Nicosia
10.0
Krasava Ypsonas
9.9
Apoel Nicosia
9.8
Aris
9.7
Pafos
9.6
AEL
9.3
Karmiotissa
9.3
AEK Larnaca
9.2
Apollon Limassol
9.2
Anorthosis
8.7
Olympiakos
8.2
Omonia Aradippou
7.8
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Aris
5.7
Anorthosis
5.3
Omonia 29is Maiou
5.3
Omonia Aradippou
5.2
Apoel Nicosia
5.1
AEK Larnaca
5.1
Pafos
4.9
Apollon Limassol
4.9
AEL
4.8
Nea Salamis
4.7
Karmiotissa
4.6
Omonia Nicosia
4.6
Olympiakos
4.4
Krasava Ypsonas
3.9
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Anorthosis
29.5
Omonia Aradippou
28.9
Olympiakos
27.8
AEL
27.6
Apoel Nicosia
27.2
Karmiotissa
27.0
Aris
26.2
Pafos
26.1
AEK Larnaca
26.0
Omonia 29is Maiou
25.1
Nea Salamis
25.0
Omonia Nicosia
24.9
Krasava Ypsonas
24.3
Apollon Limassol
24.3
Corners O/U 9.5
Over 9.5
39.1%
@ 2.21-2.9%
Under 9.5
60.9%
@ 1.60+2.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
2.25
1xBet
2.21
Superbet
2.17
Under
Superbet
1.62
Betano
1.60
1xBet
1.58
Cards O/U 3.5
Over 3.5
63.7%
@ 1.38-1.7%
Under 3.5
36.3%
@ 2.60+1.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
1.38
Under
Superbet
2.60
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
85.3%
Under 21.5
14.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Olympiakos or Draw✓ Hit
62.8%
Avg Implied 71.2% · @ 1.30
Edge
-8.4%
30%
32%
37%
covers Olympiakos + Draw
Best 5 market prices
Betano
1.35
Superbet
1.33
BetVictor
1.33
Marathonbet
1.32
1xBet
1.32
Olympiakos or Nea Salamis✗ Miss
67.5%
Avg Implied 71.6% · @ 1.29
Edge
-4.1%
30%
32%
37%
covers Olympiakos + Nea Salamis
Best 5 market prices
William Hil
1.33
Betano
1.32
1xBet
1.31
Superbet
1.31
Marathonbet
1.31
Draw or Nea Salamis✓ Hit
69.7%
Avg Implied 57.2% · @ 1.62
Edge
+12.5%
30%
32%
37%
covers Draw + Nea Salamis
Best 5 market prices
Betano
1.72
Bet365
1.67
10Bet
1.67
SBO
1.65
William Hil
1.62
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🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
Home & Away Over/Under
How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Olympiakos over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
62.8%
@ 1.25-11.5%
Under
37.2%
@ 3.60+11.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.26
Superbet
1.26
BetVictor
1.25
Bet365
1.25
1xBet
1.24
Under
Bet365
3.75
Betano
3.65
BetVictor
3.60
1xBet
3.56
10Bet
3.55
Olympiakos over/under 1.5Actual: Over
Over
26.0%
@ 2.20-16.1%
Under
74.0%
@ 1.60+16.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.29
Marathonbet
2.27
Superbet
2.25
BetVictor
2.25
Bet365
2.20
Under
Betano
1.65
1xBet
1.62
Bet365
1.62
Pinnacle
1.61
10Bet
1.60
Olympiakos over/under 2.5Actual: Over
Over
7.8%
@ 4.83-11.4%
Under
92.2%
@ 1.15+11.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
BetVictor
5.25
Marathonbet
5.05
Superbet
4.90
1xBet
4.80
Bet365
4.50
Under
Betano
1.18
Bet365
1.17
Superbet
1.14
BetVictor
1.13
1xBet
1.13
Olympiakos over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
1.8%
@ 9.92-7.6%
Under
98.2%
@ 1.04+7.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
12.00
Bet365
9.00
Betano
8.75
Under
Betano
1.05
Bet365
1.04
Superbet
1.02
Nea Salamis over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
67.4%
@ 1.38+0.8%
Under
32.6%
@ 2.76-0.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.42
Bet365
1.40
Unibet
1.38
Superbet
1.38
1xBet
1.38
Under
BetVictor
2.88
1xBet
2.80
Superbet
2.80
Betano
2.77
Bet365
2.75
Nea Salamis over/under 1.5Actual: Over
Over
30.9%
@ 2.84-1.7%
Under
69.1%
@ 1.37+1.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
3.00
BetVictor
2.88
Betano
2.87
Marathonbet
2.85
10Bet
2.80
Under
1xBet
1.39
Superbet
1.39
Marathonbet
1.38
Betano
1.38
Bet365
1.36
Nea Salamis over/under 2.5Actual: Over
Over
10.4%
@ 6.94-3.0%
Under
89.6%
@ 1.07+3.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
7.30
Marathonbet
7.20
Bet365
7.00
Superbet
6.60
Betano
6.60
Under
Betano
1.09
Superbet
1.08
Bet365
1.08
1xBet
1.05
Marathonbet
1.05
Nea Salamis over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
2.7%
@ 13.83-4.1%
Under
97.3%
@ 1.01+4.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
18.00
Bet365
12.00
Betano
11.50
Under
Betano
1.02
Bet365
1.01
Superbet
1.01
⚖️ 7. Handicap
Handicap
The handicap is applied to Olympiakos, so a minus line means Olympiakos give that many goals of a start and Nea Salamis receive them. At -1, Olympiakos must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Olympiakos win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Olympiakos)Actual: Nea Salamis
Olympiakos -2
3.3%
@ 9.33-6.4%
Draw -2
8.4%
@ 6.22-6.1%
Nea Salamis +2
88.3%
@ 1.19+12.4%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
10.00
Marathonbet
9.20
Superbet
8.80
Draw
Marathonbet
6.55
Superbet
6.10
Bet365
6.00
Away
Bet365
1.22
Superbet
1.19
Marathonbet
1.15
Handicap -1 (Olympiakos)Actual: Nea Salamis
Olympiakos -1
11.7%
@ 4.13-9.6%
Draw -1
18.6%
@ 3.72-5.0%
Nea Salamis +1
69.7%
@ 1.60+14.6%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Betfair
4.50
Bet365
4.33
Marathonbet
4.30
Superbet
4.20
10Bet
4.00
Draw
Bet365
4.00
Superbet
3.85
Marathonbet
3.84
Betfair
3.75
10Bet
3.70
Away
10Bet
1.67
Bet365
1.62
Superbet
1.61
Marathonbet
1.59
Betfair
1.57
Handicap +1 (Olympiakos)Actual: Olympiakos
Olympiakos +1
62.8%
@ 1.33-4.8%
Draw +1
21.3%
@ 4.80+2.6%
Nea Salamis -1
15.9%
@ 6.60+2.2%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Superbet
1.34
Bet365
1.33
Marathonbet
1.32
Draw
Bet365
5.00
Marathonbet
4.75
Superbet
4.65
Away
Bet365
7.00
Marathonbet
6.60
Superbet
6.20
Handicap +2 (Olympiakos)Actual: Olympiakos
Olympiakos +2
84.1%
@ 1.09-0.1%
Draw +2
10.9%
@ 9.05+0.7%
Nea Salamis -2
5.0%
@ 16.50-0.6%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
1.10
Superbet
1.09
Draw
Bet365
10.00
Superbet
8.10
Away
Bet365
19.00
Superbet
14.00
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Olympiakos
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.53
0.50
0.40
0.33
0.67
0.67
vs Stronger (9)
0.44
1.00
0.20
1.00
0.75
1.00
vs Similar (21)
0.57
0.29
0.50
0.00
0.64
0.55
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
70% (+39pp vs league)
This opponent (Nea Salamis) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Nea Salamis
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
0.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.10
0.27
1.27
0.27
0.93
0.27
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (20)
0.95
0.35
0.90
0.30
1.00
0.40
vs Weaker (10)
1.40
0.10
2.00
0.20
0.80
0.00
Clean sheet %
77% (+46pp vs league)
This opponent (Olympiakos) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
67.3%
@ 1.40+1.1%
Under 0.5
32.7%
@ 2.73-1.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.47
BetVictor
1.42
Superbet
1.41
1xBet
1.41
Marathonbet
1.41
Under
Betfair
2.88
William Hil
2.88
10Bet
2.85
Pinnacle
2.80
Bet365
2.75
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
29.3%
@ 2.84-3.3%
Under 1.5
70.7%
@ 1.37+3.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
3.00
Betano
2.95
Betfair
2.88
Pinnacle
2.86
Superbet
2.85
Under
10Bet
1.42
Pinnacle
1.38
BetVictor
1.38
Betano
1.38
Superbet
1.37
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
10.6%
@ 7.14-2.5%
Under 2.5
89.4%
@ 1.07+2.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
BetVictor
8.00
Betfair
7.50
William Hil
7.50
Superbet
7.00
Bet365
7.00
Under
Betano
1.09
William Hil
1.08
Bet365
1.08
1xBet
1.07
Superbet
1.07
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Olympiakos over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
50.2%
@ 1.99+3.6%
Under
49.8%
@ 1.74-3.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
2.00
Superbet
2.00
Pinnacle
1.99
Marathonbet
1.98
1xBet
1.98
Under
Pinnacle
1.78
Betano
1.75
Superbet
1.73
Marathonbet
1.72
1xBet
1.72
Olympiakos over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
12.8%
@ 6.11-2.4%
Under
87.2%
@ 1.09+2.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
6.45
1xBet
6.40
Superbet
6.00
Betano
5.60
Under
Betano
1.12
Superbet
1.10
Marathonbet
1.08
1xBet
1.08
Olympiakos over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
2.8%
@ 15.75-3.3%
Under
97.2%
@ 1.02+3.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
20.00
Betano
11.50
Under
Betano
1.02
Nea Salamis over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
35.9%
@ 2.33-3.9%
Under
64.1%
@ 1.54+3.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
2.40
Pinnacle
2.34
1xBet
2.31
Superbet
2.30
Marathonbet
2.30
Under
Pinnacle
1.56
Superbet
1.55
Betano
1.53
1xBet
1.53
Marathonbet
1.53
Nea Salamis over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
8.1%
@ 8.05-3.5%
Under
91.9%
@ 1.05+3.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
8.60
Marathonbet
8.50
Superbet
7.60
Betano
7.50
Under
Betano
1.07
Superbet
1.06
1xBet
1.04
Marathonbet
1.04
Nea Salamis over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
1.3%
@ 29.00-98.7%
Under
98.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
29.00
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Olympiakos
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.47
0.80
0.47
0.93
0.47
0.67
vs Stronger (9)
0.33
1.11
0.40
0.80
0.25
1.50
vs Similar (21)
0.52
0.67
0.50
1.00
0.55
0.36
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
47% (+16pp vs league)
This opponent (Nea Salamis) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Nea Salamis
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.83
0.37
0.67
0.40
1.00
0.33
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (20)
1.00
0.45
0.80
0.40
1.20
0.50
vs Weaker (10)
0.50
0.20
0.40
0.40
0.60
0.00
Clean sheet %
70% (+39pp vs league)
This opponent (Olympiakos) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
75.3%
@ 1.25+0.6%
Under 0.5
24.7%
@ 3.68-0.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.26
Bet365
1.25
William Hil
1.25
Superbet
1.25
1xBet
1.22
Under
1xBet
3.80
Betano
3.75
Bet365
3.75
Superbet
3.60
William Hil
3.50
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
38.5%
@ 2.17-4.4%
Under 1.5
61.5%
@ 1.63+4.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
2.21
1xBet
2.21
William Hil
2.20
10Bet
2.20
Superbet
2.17
Under
Betano
1.70
Bet365
1.67
Superbet
1.62
William Hil
1.62
1xBet
1.61
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
13.9%
@ 4.55-6.6%
Under 2.5
86.1%
@ 1.17+6.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
William Hil
4.80
Superbet
4.65
Bet365
4.50
Betano
4.40
1xBet
4.40
Under
Betano
1.20
Bet365
1.18
1xBet
1.16
Superbet
1.16
William Hil
1.15
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Olympiakos over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
52.0%
@ 1.69-2.8%
Under
48.0%
@ 2.05+2.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
1.73
Marathonbet
1.70
1xBet
1.67
Betano
1.67
Under
Betano
2.12
1xBet
2.07
Marathonbet
2.01
Superbet
2.00
Olympiakos over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
15.1%
@ 4.38-6.1%
Under
84.9%
@ 1.18+6.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
4.65
Superbet
4.55
1xBet
4.30
Betano
4.00
Under
Betano
1.22
1xBet
1.17
Marathonbet
1.16
Superbet
1.16
Olympiakos over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
3.5%
@ 11.62-4.6%
Under
96.5%
@ 1.02+4.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
14.00
Betano
9.25
Under
Betano
1.04
Superbet
1.01
Nea Salamis over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
43.5%
@ 1.94-4.2%
Under
56.5%
@ 1.77+4.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.95
Superbet
1.95
Marathonbet
1.93
Betano
1.93
Under
Betano
1.80
Superbet
1.77
Marathonbet
1.76
1xBet
1.76
Nea Salamis over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
11.6%
@ 5.75-4.5%
Under
88.4%
@ 1.10+4.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
6.10
1xBet
5.90
Superbet
5.60
Betano
5.40
Under
Betano
1.13
Superbet
1.11
Marathonbet
1.09
1xBet
1.09
Nea Salamis over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
2.2%
@ 15.25-4.1%
Under
97.8%
@ 1.01+4.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
19.00
Betano
11.50
Under
Betano
1.02
Superbet
1.01
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🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Under 7.5
99.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 6.5
99.4%
1.01
Betano
1.01
-
-
-
-
+4.5%
✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 HT goals
98.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home under 3.5 goals
98.2%
1.04
Betano
1.05
Bet365
1.04
Superbet
1.02
-
-
+7.6%
✓ Hit
Under 5.5
97.9%
1.02
Betano
1.04
1xBet
1.02
Superbet
1.02
Bet365
1.02
Betfair
1.01
+5.9%
✗ Miss
Away under 2.5 2H goals
97.8%
1.01
Betano
1.02
Superbet
1.01
-
-
-
+4.1%
✓ Hit
Away under 3.5 goals
97.3%
1.01
Betano
1.02
Bet365
1.01
Superbet
1.01
-
-
+4.1%
✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 HT goals
97.2%
1.02
Betano
1.02
-
-
-
-
+3.3%
✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 2H goals
96.5%
1.02
Betano
1.04
Superbet
1.01
-
-
-
+4.6%
✓ Hit
Under 4.5
93.7%
1.07
Betano
1.11
Betfair
1.08
Bet365
1.08
Superbet
1.08
BetVictor
1.06
+7.2%
✗ Miss
Over 19.5 fouls
92.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home under 2.5 goals
92.2%
1.15
Betano
1.18
Bet365
1.17
Superbet
1.14
BetVictor
1.13
1xBet
1.13
+11.4%
✗ Miss
Away under 1.5 HT goals
91.9%
1.05
Betano
1.07
Superbet
1.06
1xBet
1.04
Marathonbet
1.04
-
+3.5%
✗ Miss
Away under 2.5 goals
89.6%
1.07
Betano
1.09
Superbet
1.08
Bet365
1.08
1xBet
1.05
Marathonbet
1.05
+3.0%
✗ Miss
Under 2.5 HT goals
89.4%
1.07
Betano
1.09
William Hil
1.08
Bet365
1.08
1xBet
1.07
Superbet
1.07
+2.5%
✗ Miss
Away under 1.5 2H goals
88.4%
1.10
Betano
1.13
Superbet
1.11
Marathonbet
1.09
1xBet
1.09
-
+4.5%
✓ Hit
Away +2 handicap
88.3%
1.19
Bet365
1.22
Superbet
1.19
Marathonbet
1.15
-
-
+12.4%
✓ Hit
Home under 1.5 HT goals
87.2%
1.09
Betano
1.12
Superbet
1.10
Marathonbet
1.08
1xBet
1.08
-
+2.4%
✓ Hit
Under 2.5 2H goals
86.1%
1.17
Betano
1.20
Bet365
1.18
1xBet
1.16
Superbet
1.16
William Hil
1.15
+6.6%
✗ Miss
Over 21.5 fouls
85.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home under 1.5 2H goals
84.9%
1.18
Betano
1.22
1xBet
1.17
Marathonbet
1.16
Superbet
1.16
-
+6.1%
✗ Miss
Home +2 handicap
84.1%
1.09
Bet365
1.10
Superbet
1.09
-
-
-
-0.1%
✓ Hit
Under 3.5
83.7%
1.27
Betano
1.30
Betfair
1.29
Bet365
1.28
10Bet
1.28
Superbet
1.27
+10.8%
✗ Miss
Under 11.5 corners
81.9%
1.20
Superbet
1.25
1xBet
1.14
-
-
-
+5.2%
-
Over 2.5 cards
81.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 0.5 2H goals
75.3%
1.25
Betano
1.26
Bet365
1.25
William Hil
1.25
Superbet
1.25
1xBet
1.22
+0.6%
✓ Hit
Home under 1.5 goals
74.0%
1.60
Betano
1.65
1xBet
1.62
Bet365
1.62
Pinnacle
1.61
10Bet
1.60
+16.1%
✗ Miss
Over 23.5 fouls
73.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 10.5 corners
72.5%
1.35
Superbet
1.39
Betano
1.35
1xBet
1.31
-
-
+4.2%
-
Under 5.5 cards
72.4%
1.42
Superbet
1.42
-
-
-
-
+8.9%
-
Under 1.5 HT goals
70.7%
1.37
10Bet
1.42
Pinnacle
1.38
BetVictor
1.38
Betano
1.38
Superbet
1.37
+3.3%
✗ Miss
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Olympiakos · 2025/26
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Viktor Kovalenko33%
Admir Bajrović25%
Jean Felipe17%
João Tavares17%
Leonidas Konomis14%
Iasonas Pikis12%
João Mário0%
Christos Wheeler0%
Ektoras Stefanou0%
Stefanos Charalampous0%
Revaz Injgia0%
Orhan Dzepar0%
Henrique Gomes0%
Mauricio0%
Vladimir Bradonjić0%
Vieirinha0%
Marcos Charalambous0%
Christos Talichmanidis0%
Geron Tocka0%
Richie Omorowa0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Henrique Gomes33%
Orhan Dzepar29%
João Mário25%
Stefanos Charalampous14%
Mauricio14%
Vieirinha14%
Leonidas Konomis14%
Iasonas Pikis12%
Vladimir Bradonjić12%
Christos Talichmanidis12%
Viktor Kovalenko0%
Christos Wheeler0%
Ektoras Stefanou0%
Revaz Injgia0%
Admir Bajrović0%
Jean Felipe0%
João Tavares0%
Marcos Charalambous0%
Geron Tocka0%
Richie Omorowa0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
João Mário25%
Geron Tocka20%
Jean Felipe17%
Vladimir Bradonjić12%
Viktor Kovalenko0%
Christos Wheeler0%
Iasonas Pikis0%
Ektoras Stefanou0%
Stefanos Charalampous0%
Revaz Injgia0%
Admir Bajrović0%
Orhan Dzepar0%
Henrique Gomes0%
João Tavares0%
Mauricio0%
Vieirinha0%
Marcos Charalambous0%
Christos Talichmanidis0%
Richie Omorowa0%
Leonidas Konomis0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Viktor Kovalenko0%
João Mário0%
Christos Wheeler0%
Iasonas Pikis0%
Ektoras Stefanou0%
Stefanos Charalampous0%
Revaz Injgia0%
Admir Bajrović0%
Orhan Dzepar0%
Jean Felipe0%
Henrique Gomes0%
João Tavares0%
Mauricio0%
Vladimir Bradonjić0%
Vieirinha0%
Marcos Charalambous0%
Christos Talichmanidis0%
Geron Tocka0%
Richie Omorowa0%
Leonidas Konomis0%
Nea Salamis · 2024/25
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Andreas Frangos33%
Alexandros Michael25%
Apostolos Vellios20%
Konstantinos Sergiou0%
Fiorin Durmishaj0%
Nikolaos Melissas0%
Danny Bejarano0%
Nenad Tomović0%
Serge Leuko0%
Yassine Bahassa0%
Miguelito0%
Carlitos0%
Victor Fernandez0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Konstantinos Sergiou67%
Serge Leuko67%
Danny Bejarano40%
Carlitos33%
Yassine Bahassa20%
Apostolos Vellios0%
Alexandros Michael0%
Andreas Frangos0%
Fiorin Durmishaj0%
Nikolaos Melissas0%
Nenad Tomović0%
Miguelito0%
Victor Fernandez0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Fiorin Durmishaj25%
Yassine Bahassa20%
Victor Fernandez20%
Apostolos Vellios0%
Alexandros Michael0%
Konstantinos Sergiou0%
Andreas Frangos0%
Nikolaos Melissas0%
Danny Bejarano0%
Nenad Tomović0%
Serge Leuko0%
Miguelito0%
Carlitos0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Fiorin Durmishaj25%
Apostolos Vellios20%
Alexandros Michael0%
Konstantinos Sergiou0%
Andreas Frangos0%
Nikolaos Melissas0%
Danny Bejarano0%
Nenad Tomović0%
Serge Leuko0%
Yassine Bahassa0%
Miguelito0%
Carlitos0%
Victor Fernandez0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
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💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
PAF (23)
€28m
AL (30)
€16m
AL (24)
€15m
AN (30)
€15m
ON (23)
€15m
ARI (26)
€11m
AEL (21)
€9m
ANO (25)
€7m
NS (15)
€5m
OA (18)
€5m
OLY (14)
€4m
KY (20)
€4m
KAR (12)
€3m
O2M (10)
€3m
Olympiakos's squad is €1m less valuable than Nea Salamis's (€4m vs €5m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
PAF (9)
€14m
AN (12)
€8m
ON (9)
€7m
AL (10)
€7m
AL (9)
€7m
AEL (9)
€4m
ARI (8)
€3m
ANO (9)
€2m
KY (8)
€2m
NS (4)
€2m
OA (5)
€1m
OLY (4)
€1m
KAR (3)
€0m
O2M (2)
€0m
Olympiakos and Nea Salamis have a similar attack value (both €1m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
PAF (5)
€8m
ON (4)
€3m
ARI (5)
€3m
AN (4)
€3m
AL (4)
€2m
AL (6)
€2m
AEL (5)
€2m
NS (4)
€2m
ANO (6)
€1m
OA (4)
€1m
KAR (3)
€1m
KY (4)
€0m
O2M (2)
€0m
OLY (2)
€0m
Olympiakos's midfield is €1m less valuable than Nea Salamis's (€0m vs €2m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
PAF (9)
€7m
AL (14)
€7m
AL (11)
€7m
ARI (13)
€5m
AN (14)
€5m
ON (10)
€5m
ANO (10)
€3m
AEL (7)
€3m
OA (9)
€2m
OLY (8)
€2m
O2M (6)
€2m
KAR (6)
€2m
NS (7)
€2m
KY (8)
€1m
Olympiakos and Nea Salamis have a similar defence value (both €2m).
Cyprus: 1. Division 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Cyprus: 1. Division stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
Pafos
Omonia 29is Maiou
AEK Larnaca
AEL
Apollon Limassol
Aris
Omonia Aradippou
Omonia Nicosia
Apoel Nicosia
Anorthosis
Karmiotissa
Krasava Ypsonas