This opponent (Omonia Aradippou) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Omonia Aradippou
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.1
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
1.1
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.87
1.27
1.00
1.50
0.71
1.00
vs Stronger (10)
0.60
1.90
0.40
2.00
0.80
1.80
vs Similar (20)
1.00
0.95
1.27
1.27
0.67
0.56
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
27% (-4pp vs league)
This opponent (Olympiakos) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 1.9 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (28%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
58.6%
Under 1.5
41.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
30.2%
Under 2.5
69.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
12.9%
Under 3.5
87.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
39.5%
No
60.5%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
0-0
16.0%
1-1
14.9%
0-1
12.9%
1-0
12.5%
0-2
7.0%
1-2
6.6%
2-0
6.5%
2-1 â
6.4%
Olympiakos goals ↓
Omonia Aradippou goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
16%
13%
7.0%
2.3%
0.6%
1
12%
15%
6.6%
2.1%
0.5%
2
6.5%
6.4%
3.1%
1.0%
0.2%
3
2.1%
2.0%
1.0%
0.3%
0.1%
4
0.5%
0.5%
0.2%
0.1%
0.0%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Olympiakos goals (down), columns = Omonia Aradippou goals (across).
ðŠ 3. Team Strengths Analysis
ð Total PPG
Points / game
Omonia Nicosia
2.42
AEK Larnaca
1.92
Apollon Limassol
1.86
Pafos
1.72
Apoel Nicosia
1.44
Aris
1.42
Anorthosis
1.36
AEL
1.33
Omonia Aradippou
1.27
Olympiakos
1.21
Krasava Ypsonas
1.21
Akritas
1.06
Ethnikos Achna
1.00
Enosis
0.15
Olympiakos is 0.06 points worse than Omonia Aradippou in terms of average points per game (1.21 vs 1.27).
âïļ Attack
Goals scored / game
Omonia Nicosia
2.44
Pafos
1.83
AEK Larnaca
1.72
Aris
1.69
Apoel Nicosia
1.47
Apollon Limassol
1.44
AEL
1.24
Krasava Ypsonas
1.09
Anorthosis
1.06
Ethnikos Achna
1.03
Olympiakos
0.97
Akritas
0.94
Omonia Aradippou
0.94
Enosis
0.33
Olympiakos is 0.03 goals better than Omonia Aradippou in terms of goals scored per game (0.97 vs 0.94).
ðĄïļ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Omonia Nicosia
0.67
AEK Larnaca
0.92
Pafos
1.06
Apollon Limassol
1.14
Anorthosis
1.21
Apoel Nicosia
1.25
Aris
1.25
Omonia Aradippou
1.27
Olympiakos
1.33
Krasava Ypsonas
1.33
AEL
1.39
Ethnikos Achna
1.61
Akritas
1.76
Enosis
2.42
Olympiakos is 0.06 goals worse than Omonia Aradippou in terms of goals conceded per game (1.33 vs 1.27).
âąïļ Possession
Avg possession %
Pafos
55%
Olympiakos
54%
Apoel Nicosia
54%
Apollon Limassol
53%
Aris
52%
Omonia Nicosia
51%
Anorthosis
50%
AEK Larnaca
49%
AEL
49%
Ethnikos Achna
48%
Krasava Ypsonas
47%
Akritas
44%
Omonia Aradippou
43%
Enosis
41%
Olympiakos is 11.6 percentage points better than Omonia Aradippou in terms of average possession (54% vs 43%).
ðē 4. Props Analysis
Olympiakos
For 2.7 · Against 4.1 · Total 6.9
ðĐ Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.9 · Against 2.0 · Total 3.9
ðĻ Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 15.7 · Against 14.7 · Total 30.4
â ïļ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Omonia Aradippou
For 3.2 · Against 3.6 · Total 6.9
ðĐ Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.8 · Against 1.9 · Total 4.6
ðĻ Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 15.5 · Against 15.6 · Total 31.1
â ïļ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Olympiakos
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
6.9
4.0
8.0
0.5
0.1
0.9
30.4
31.0
30.2
vs Stronger (10)
6.7
3.0
8.5
0.8
0.4
1.2
26.0
27.0
25.5
vs Similar (38)
7.0
5.0
7.7
0.5
0.1
0.9
33.8
35.0
33.3
vs Weaker (2)
-
-
-
0.0
0.0
0.0
-
-
-
% over line
14%
0%
20%
6%
0%
12%
86%
100%
80%
% under line
86%
100%
80%
94%
100%
88%
14%
0%
20%
This opponent (Omonia Aradippou) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Omonia Aradippou
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
7.5
5.3
8.2
1.1
0.7
1.5
29.5
30.3
29.2
vs Stronger (15)
8.0
-
8.0
0.4
0.0
0.8
30.0
-
30.0
vs Similar (35)
7.3
5.3
8.3
1.4
0.9
1.9
29.3
30.3
28.8
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
33%
0%
44%
16%
12%
21%
83%
67%
89%
% under line
67%
100%
56%
84%
88%
79%
17%
33%
11%
This opponent (Olympiakos) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
ðĐ Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Omonia Nicosia
10.2
Apoel Nicosia
9.7
Krasava Ypsonas
9.6
Apollon Limassol
9.6
Aris
9.6
Pafos
9.5
AEL
9.4
Akritas
9.2
AEK Larnaca
9.2
Enosis
9.0
Anorthosis
8.7
Ethnikos Achna
8.4
Olympiakos
8.2
Omonia Aradippou
7.6
ðĻ Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Aris
5.7
Anorthosis
5.3
Omonia Aradippou
5.3
Apoel Nicosia
5.0
Ethnikos Achna
5.0
AEK Larnaca
4.9
Enosis
4.9
AEL
4.8
Apollon Limassol
4.7
Pafos
4.7
Olympiakos
4.5
Omonia Nicosia
4.4
Akritas
4.4
Krasava Ypsonas
4.0
â ïļ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Anorthosis
29.5
Omonia Aradippou
28.9
Apoel Nicosia
28.3
Enosis
28.2
Olympiakos
28.0
AEL
27.8
Ethnikos Achna
27.2
Aris
26.4
AEK Larnaca
26.3
Pafos
25.8
Krasava Ypsonas
24.9
Omonia Nicosia
24.8
Apollon Limassol
24.6
Akritas
23.4
Corners O/U 9.5
Over 9.5
29.5%
Under 9.5
70.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5
Over 3.5
56.3%
Under 3.5
43.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
91.6%
Under 21.5
8.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
ð 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
ðĨ 6. Home & Away Over/Under
âïļ 7. Handicap
âąïļ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Olympiakos
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.50
0.57
0.50
0.36
0.50
0.75
vs Stronger (10)
0.40
1.00
0.20
1.00
0.60
1.00
vs Similar (20)
0.55
0.35
0.67
0.00
0.45
0.64
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
67% (+36pp vs league)
This opponent (Omonia Aradippou) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Omonia Aradippou
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.33
0.63
0.38
0.69
0.29
0.57
vs Stronger (10)
0.10
1.00
0.00
0.80
0.20
1.20
vs Similar (20)
0.45
0.45
0.55
0.64
0.33
0.22
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
57% (+26pp vs league)
This opponent (Olympiakos) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
ðĨ 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Olympiakos over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Olympiakos over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Olympiakos over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Omonia Aradippou over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Omonia Aradippou over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Omonia Aradippou over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
âąïļ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Olympiakos
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
1.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.37
0.83
0.36
1.00
0.38
0.69
vs Stronger (10)
0.30
1.10
0.40
0.80
0.20
1.40
vs Similar (20)
0.40
0.70
0.33
1.11
0.45
0.36
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
43% (+13pp vs league)
This opponent (Omonia Aradippou) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Omonia Aradippou
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.9
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.53
0.63
0.62
0.81
0.43
0.43
vs Stronger (10)
0.50
0.90
0.40
1.20
0.60
0.60
vs Similar (20)
0.55
0.50
0.73
0.64
0.33
0.33
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
50% (+19pp vs league)
This opponent (Olympiakos) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
ðĨ 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Olympiakos over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Olympiakos over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Olympiakos over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Omonia Aradippou over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Omonia Aradippou over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Omonia Aradippou over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
ðĨ 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 19.5 fouls
96.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 21.5 fouls
91.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 11.5 corners
88.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 3.5
87.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
â Hit
Over 23.5 fouls
83.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 10.5 corners
80.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 5.5 cards
78.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 2.5 cards
75.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 25.5 fouls
71.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 9.5 corners
70.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
ð― 13. Player market rates
Olympiakos
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Viktor Kovalenko33%
Admir BajroviÄ25%
Jean Felipe17%
JoÃĢo Tavares17%
Leonidas Konomis14%
Iasonas Pikis12%
JoÃĢo MÃĄrio0%
Christos Wheeler0%
Ektoras Stefanou0%
Stefanos Charalampous0%
Revaz Injgia0%
Orhan Dzepar0%
Henrique Gomes0%
Mauricio0%
Vladimir BradonjiÄ0%
Vieirinha0%
Marcos Charalambous0%
Christos Talichmanidis0%
Geron Tocka0%
Richie Omorowa0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Henrique Gomes33%
Orhan Dzepar29%
JoÃĢo MÃĄrio25%
Stefanos Charalampous14%
Mauricio14%
Vieirinha14%
Leonidas Konomis14%
Iasonas Pikis12%
Vladimir BradonjiÄ12%
Christos Talichmanidis12%
Viktor Kovalenko0%
Christos Wheeler0%
Ektoras Stefanou0%
Revaz Injgia0%
Admir BajroviÄ0%
Jean Felipe0%
JoÃĢo Tavares0%
Marcos Charalambous0%
Geron Tocka0%
Richie Omorowa0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
JoÃĢo MÃĄrio25%
Geron Tocka20%
Jean Felipe17%
Vladimir BradonjiÄ12%
Viktor Kovalenko0%
Christos Wheeler0%
Iasonas Pikis0%
Ektoras Stefanou0%
Stefanos Charalampous0%
Revaz Injgia0%
Admir BajroviÄ0%
Orhan Dzepar0%
Henrique Gomes0%
JoÃĢo Tavares0%
Mauricio0%
Vieirinha0%
Marcos Charalambous0%
Christos Talichmanidis0%
Richie Omorowa0%
Leonidas Konomis0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Viktor Kovalenko0%
JoÃĢo MÃĄrio0%
Christos Wheeler0%
Iasonas Pikis0%
Ektoras Stefanou0%
Stefanos Charalampous0%
Revaz Injgia0%
Admir BajroviÄ0%
Orhan Dzepar0%
Jean Felipe0%
Henrique Gomes0%
JoÃĢo Tavares0%
Mauricio0%
Vladimir BradonjiÄ0%
Vieirinha0%
Marcos Charalambous0%
Christos Talichmanidis0%
Geron Tocka0%
Richie Omorowa0%
Leonidas Konomis0%
Omonia Aradippou
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
SebastiÃĄn LomÃģnaco33%
Giorgos Pontikos33%
Stavros Georgiou29%
Jasin Assehnoun20%
Christos Kallis17%
Jorginho12%
Niko Havelka0%
Panagiotis Zachariou0%
Minas Antoniou0%
Sebastian Ring0%
Rasmus Thelander0%
Ryan Edwards0%
Ivan KostiÄ0%
Paris Polikarpou0%
Jaly Mouaddib0%
Jeremy Van Mullem0%
Danny0%
Lautaro Cano0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Sebastian Ring50%
Ryan Edwards50%
Jasin Assehnoun40%
Niko Havelka29%
Stavros Georgiou29%
Rasmus Thelander25%
Jaly Mouaddib25%
Jeremy Van Mullem25%
Panagiotis Zachariou20%
Paris Polikarpou14%
Jorginho12%
Minas Antoniou11%
Giorgos Pontikos11%
SebastiÃĄn LomÃģnaco0%
Christos Kallis0%
Ivan KostiÄ0%
Danny0%
Lautaro Cano0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Stavros Georgiou29%
Jaly Mouaddib25%
Sebastian Ring17%
Jorginho12%
Jeremy Van Mullem12%
Danny12%
SebastiÃĄn LomÃģnaco0%
Niko Havelka0%
Christos Kallis0%
Panagiotis Zachariou0%
Minas Antoniou0%
Rasmus Thelander0%
Ryan Edwards0%
Ivan KostiÄ0%
Jasin Assehnoun0%
Paris Polikarpou0%
Giorgos Pontikos0%
Lautaro Cano0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
SebastiÃĄn LomÃģnaco33%
Jaly Mouaddib25%
Stavros Georgiou14%
Giorgos Pontikos11%
Jorginho0%
Niko Havelka0%
Christos Kallis0%
Panagiotis Zachariou0%
Minas Antoniou0%
Sebastian Ring0%
Rasmus Thelander0%
Ryan Edwards0%
Ivan KostiÄ0%
Jasin Assehnoun0%
Paris Polikarpou0%
Jeremy Van Mullem0%
Danny0%
Lautaro Cano0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
ð° 14. Squad value
ð° Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
PAF (23)
€28m
AL (30)
€16m
AL (24)
€15m
AN (30)
€15m
ON (23)
€15m
ARI (26)
€11m
AEL (21)
€9m
ANO (25)
€7m
OA (18)
€5m
OLY (14)
€4m
KY (20)
€4m
ENO (9)
€1m
AKR (5)
€1m
EA (2)
€0m
Olympiakos and Omonia Aradippou have a similar squad value (both €4m).
âïļ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
PAF (9)
€14m
AN (12)
€8m
ON (9)
€7m
AL (10)
€7m
AL (9)
€7m
AEL (9)
€4m
ARI (8)
€3m
ANO (9)
€2m
KY (8)
€2m
OA (5)
€1m
OLY (4)
€1m
ENO (3)
€0m
AKR (2)
€0m
EA (1)
€0m
Olympiakos and Omonia Aradippou have a similar attack value (both €1m).
ð§ Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
PAF (5)
€8m
ON (4)
€3m
ARI (5)
€3m
AN (4)
€3m
AL (4)
€2m
AL (6)
€2m
AEL (5)
€2m
ANO (6)
€1m
OA (4)
€1m
KY (4)
€0m
OLY (2)
€0m
ENO (2)
€0m
AKR (0)
€0m
EA (0)
€0m
Olympiakos and Omonia Aradippou have a similar midfield value (both €0m).
ðĄïļ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
PAF (9)
€7m
AL (14)
€7m
AL (11)
€7m
ARI (13)
€5m
AN (14)
€5m
ON (10)
€5m
ANO (10)
€3m
AEL (7)
€3m
OA (9)
€2m
OLY (8)
€2m
KY (8)
€1m
ENO (4)
€1m
AKR (3)
€1m
EA (1)
€0m
Olympiakos and Omonia Aradippou have a similar defence value (both €2m).
Cyprus: 1. Division 2025/26 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Cyprus: 1. Division stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
Omonia Nicosia
AEK Larnaca
Apollon Limassol
Pafos
Apoel Nicosia
Aris
Anorthosis
AEL
Krasava Ypsonas
Akritas
Ethnikos Achna
Enosis