This opponent (Omonia Nicosia) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Omonia Nicosia
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.3
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
1.0
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.30
1.23
1.75
0.81
0.79
1.71
vs Stronger (4)
0.75
2.00
1.00
2.50
0.50
1.50
vs Similar (12)
0.92
1.67
1.33
1.17
0.50
2.17
vs Weaker (14)
1.79
0.64
2.25
0.12
1.17
1.33
Clean sheet %
40% (+9pp vs league)
This opponent (Olympiakos) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.2 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (28%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
65.4%
Under 1.5
34.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
37.2%
Under 2.5
62.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
17.7%
Under 3.5
82.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
45.4%
No
54.6%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
14.8%
0-0
12.6%
1-0
11.0%
0-1 â
11.0%
2-1
7.3%
1-2
7.3%
2-0
6.7%
0-2
6.7%
Olympiakos goals ↓
Omonia Nicosia goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
13%
11%
6.7%
2.4%
0.7%
1
11%
15%
7.3%
2.7%
0.7%
2
6.7%
7.3%
4.0%
1.5%
0.4%
3
2.4%
2.7%
1.5%
0.5%
0.1%
4
0.7%
0.7%
0.4%
0.1%
0.0%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Olympiakos goals (down), columns = Omonia Nicosia goals (across).
ðŠ 3. Team Strengths Analysis
ð Total PPG
Points / game
Aris
2.06
Apoel Nicosia
1.97
AEK Larnaca
1.83
Apollon Limassol
1.77
Pafos
1.75
Anorthosis
1.57
Nea Salamis
1.45
Omonia Nicosia
1.36
AEL
1.26
Karmiotissa
1.20
Doxa
0.97
Enosis
0.93
Akritas
0.85
Olympiakos
0.70
Olympiakos is 0.66 points worse than Omonia Nicosia in terms of average points per game (0.70 vs 1.36).
âïļ Attack
Goals scored / game
Aris
1.81
Pafos
1.67
AEK Larnaca
1.53
Apoel Nicosia
1.44
Apollon Limassol
1.34
Anorthosis
1.30
Nea Salamis
1.27
Omonia Nicosia
1.19
Enosis
1.00
Akritas
0.93
Karmiotissa
0.90
AEL
0.90
Doxa
0.80
Olympiakos
0.75
Olympiakos is 0.44 goals worse than Omonia Nicosia in terms of goals scored per game (0.75 vs 1.19).
ðĄïļ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Apoel Nicosia
0.72
Aris
0.78
Pafos
0.83
AEL
1.03
AEK Larnaca
1.03
Apollon Limassol
1.06
Anorthosis
1.07
Omonia Nicosia
1.17
Enosis
1.30
Karmiotissa
1.35
Nea Salamis
1.38
Doxa
1.40
Olympiakos
1.55
Akritas
1.82
Olympiakos is 0.38 goals worse than Omonia Nicosia in terms of goals conceded per game (1.55 vs 1.17).
âąïļ Possession
Avg possession %
Omonia Nicosia
56%
AEK Larnaca
55%
Anorthosis
55%
Akritas
55%
Olympiakos
52%
Enosis
52%
Karmiotissa
50%
Apoel Nicosia
49%
Doxa
46%
AEL
45%
Pafos
45%
Aris
44%
Nea Salamis
40%
Olympiakos is 4.8 percentage points worse than Omonia Nicosia in terms of average possession (52% vs 56%).
ðē 4. Props Analysis
Olympiakos
For 3.1 · Against 4.6 · Total 7.7
ðĐ Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.0 · Against 2.3 · Total 4.3
ðĻ Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 11.6 · Against 13.5 · Total 25.1
â ïļ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Omonia Nicosia
For 4.3 · Against 3.8 · Total 8.1
ðĐ Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.6 · Against 1.9 · Total 3.5
ðĻ Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 11.8 · Against 12.1 · Total 23.9
â ïļ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Olympiakos
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (23)
7.8
7.2
8.3
2.6
2.2
3.0
26.3
26.3
26.3
vs Stronger (8)
9.5
8.0
11.0
2.4
2.0
2.6
29.5
27.5
31.5
vs Similar (13)
7.3
7.3
7.2
2.3
1.9
2.8
23.8
24.0
23.7
vs Weaker (2)
6.0
5.0
7.0
5.5
5.0
6.0
27.5
31.0
24.0
% over line
23%
0%
43%
43%
36%
50%
75%
67%
83%
% under line
77%
100%
57%
57%
64%
50%
25%
33%
17%
This opponent (Omonia Nicosia) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Omonia Nicosia
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (31)
8.4
8.5
8.3
2.6
2.5
2.7
23.9
22.4
25.7
vs Stronger (4)
8.2
6.0
10.5
4.0
4.5
3.5
21.0
19.5
22.5
vs Similar (13)
8.3
8.7
8.0
2.4
2.0
2.7
25.0
21.3
27.8
vs Weaker (14)
8.6
9.4
7.3
2.4
2.4
2.3
24.5
24.2
25.0
% over line
26%
30%
22%
42%
44%
40%
63%
70%
56%
% under line
74%
70%
78%
58%
56%
60%
37%
30%
44%
This opponent (Olympiakos) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
ðĐ Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Akritas
10.9
Aris
9.8
Anorthosis
9.7
Enosis
9.5
Doxa
9.3
Nea Salamis
9.0
AEK Larnaca
8.9
Karmiotissa
8.8
AEL
8.8
Pafos
8.6
Apollon Limassol
8.5
Omonia Nicosia
8.4
Olympiakos
7.8
Apoel Nicosia
7.7
ðĻ Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Nea Salamis
5.7
Pafos
5.4
Apoel Nicosia
5.4
Anorthosis
5.4
AEK Larnaca
5.0
Enosis
4.8
AEL
4.7
Aris
4.6
Olympiakos
4.6
Karmiotissa
4.6
Apollon Limassol
4.5
Omonia Nicosia
4.2
Akritas
4.1
Doxa
3.9
â ïļ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
AEK Larnaca
31.3
Apoel Nicosia
31.2
Nea Salamis
28.8
Enosis
28.7
Aris
27.7
Anorthosis
27.6
Doxa
27.3
Karmiotissa
27.1
AEL
27.0
Pafos
26.6
Olympiakos
26.3
Apollon Limassol
25.4
Omonia Nicosia
23.9
Akritas
23.7
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Over
Over 9.5
29.2%
Under 9.5
70.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
64.8%
Under 3.5
35.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Under
Over 21.5
85.9%
Under 21.5
14.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
ð 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
ðĨ 6. Home & Away Over/Under
âïļ 7. Handicap
âąïļ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Olympiakos
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.4
Avg scored
0.1
Avg conceded
0.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.17
0.70
0.27
0.55
0.08
0.83
vs Stronger (8)
0.00
1.25
0.00
1.00
0.00
1.40
vs Similar (13)
0.23
0.31
0.29
0.14
0.17
0.50
vs Weaker (2)
0.50
1.00
1.00
2.00
0.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
52% (+22pp vs league)
This opponent (Omonia Nicosia) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Omonia Nicosia
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.63
0.43
0.81
0.25
0.43
0.64
vs Stronger (4)
0.25
0.50
0.50
0.50
0.00
0.50
vs Similar (12)
0.50
0.58
0.67
0.50
0.33
0.67
vs Weaker (14)
0.86
0.29
1.00
0.00
0.67
0.67
Clean sheet %
60% (+29pp vs league)
This opponent (Olympiakos) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
ðĨ 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Olympiakos over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Olympiakos over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Olympiakos over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Omonia Nicosia over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Omonia Nicosia over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Omonia Nicosia over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
âąïļ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Olympiakos
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.39
0.87
0.27
0.64
0.50
1.08
vs Stronger (8)
0.38
1.12
0.00
0.33
0.60
1.60
vs Similar (13)
0.38
0.85
0.29
0.86
0.50
0.83
vs Weaker (2)
0.50
0.00
1.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
43% (+13pp vs league)
This opponent (Omonia Nicosia) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Omonia Nicosia
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.67
0.80
0.94
0.56
0.36
1.07
vs Stronger (4)
0.50
1.50
0.50
2.00
0.50
1.00
vs Similar (12)
0.42
1.08
0.67
0.67
0.17
1.50
vs Weaker (14)
0.93
0.36
1.25
0.12
0.50
0.67
Clean sheet %
53% (+23pp vs league)
This opponent (Olympiakos) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
ðĨ 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Olympiakos over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Olympiakos over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Olympiakos over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Omonia Nicosia over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Omonia Nicosia over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Omonia Nicosia over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
ðĨ 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 19.5 fouls
93.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
â Hit
Under 11.5 corners
88.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
â Hit
Over 21.5 fouls
85.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
â Miss
Under 3.5
82.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
â Hit
Over 2.5 cards
82.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
â Hit
Under 10.5 corners
80.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
â Hit
Over 23.5 fouls
74.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
â Miss
Under 5.5 cards
71.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
â Hit
Under 9.5 corners
70.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
â Miss
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
ð― 13. Player market rates
Olympiakos · 2025/26
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Viktor Kovalenko33%
Admir BajroviÄ25%
Jean Felipe17%
JoÃĢo Tavares17%
Leonidas Konomis14%
Iasonas Pikis12%
JoÃĢo MÃĄrio0%
Christos Wheeler0%
Ektoras Stefanou0%
Stefanos Charalampous0%
Revaz Injgia0%
Orhan Dzepar0%
Henrique Gomes0%
Mauricio0%
Vladimir BradonjiÄ0%
Vieirinha0%
Marcos Charalambous0%
Christos Talichmanidis0%
Geron Tocka0%
Richie Omorowa0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Henrique Gomes33%
Orhan Dzepar29%
JoÃĢo MÃĄrio25%
Stefanos Charalampous14%
Mauricio14%
Vieirinha14%
Leonidas Konomis14%
Iasonas Pikis12%
Vladimir BradonjiÄ12%
Christos Talichmanidis12%
Viktor Kovalenko0%
Christos Wheeler0%
Ektoras Stefanou0%
Revaz Injgia0%
Admir BajroviÄ0%
Jean Felipe0%
JoÃĢo Tavares0%
Marcos Charalambous0%
Geron Tocka0%
Richie Omorowa0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
JoÃĢo MÃĄrio25%
Geron Tocka20%
Jean Felipe17%
Vladimir BradonjiÄ12%
Viktor Kovalenko0%
Christos Wheeler0%
Iasonas Pikis0%
Ektoras Stefanou0%
Stefanos Charalampous0%
Revaz Injgia0%
Admir BajroviÄ0%
Orhan Dzepar0%
Henrique Gomes0%
JoÃĢo Tavares0%
Mauricio0%
Vieirinha0%
Marcos Charalambous0%
Christos Talichmanidis0%
Richie Omorowa0%
Leonidas Konomis0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Viktor Kovalenko0%
JoÃĢo MÃĄrio0%
Christos Wheeler0%
Iasonas Pikis0%
Ektoras Stefanou0%
Stefanos Charalampous0%
Revaz Injgia0%
Admir BajroviÄ0%
Orhan Dzepar0%
Jean Felipe0%
Henrique Gomes0%
JoÃĢo Tavares0%
Mauricio0%
Vladimir BradonjiÄ0%
Vieirinha0%
Marcos Charalambous0%
Christos Talichmanidis0%
Geron Tocka0%
Richie Omorowa0%
Leonidas Konomis0%
Omonia Nicosia
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Karim Ansarifard20%
Nikolas Panagiotou20%
Bruno17%
Fabiano0%
Hector Yuste0%
Fotis Papoulis0%
Nemanja MiletiÄ0%
Roman Bezus0%
Jan Lecjaks0%
Charalampos Charalampous0%
Andronikos Kakoullis0%
Francis Uzoho0%
Paris Psaltis0%
Brandon Barker0%
Adam Matthews0%
Moreto Cassama0%
Mix Diskerud0%
ÃdÃĄm Lang0%
Loizos Loizou0%
Fotios Kitsos0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
ÃdÃĄm Lang60%
Roman Bezus50%
Andronikos Kakoullis50%
Moreto Cassama40%
Nikolas Panagiotou20%
Mix Diskerud20%
Fotis Papoulis17%
Charalampos Charalampous17%
Fabiano0%
Hector Yuste0%
Karim Ansarifard0%
Nemanja MiletiÄ0%
Jan Lecjaks0%
Francis Uzoho0%
Paris Psaltis0%
Brandon Barker0%
Adam Matthews0%
Bruno0%
Loizos Loizou0%
Fotios Kitsos0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Andronikos Kakoullis25%
Bruno17%
Fabiano0%
Hector Yuste0%
Fotis Papoulis0%
Karim Ansarifard0%
Nemanja MiletiÄ0%
Roman Bezus0%
Jan Lecjaks0%
Charalampos Charalampous0%
Francis Uzoho0%
Nikolas Panagiotou0%
Paris Psaltis0%
Brandon Barker0%
Adam Matthews0%
Moreto Cassama0%
Mix Diskerud0%
ÃdÃĄm Lang0%
Loizos Loizou0%
Fotios Kitsos0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Fabiano0%
Hector Yuste0%
Fotis Papoulis0%
Karim Ansarifard0%
Nemanja MiletiÄ0%
Roman Bezus0%
Jan Lecjaks0%
Charalampos Charalampous0%
Andronikos Kakoullis0%
Francis Uzoho0%
Nikolas Panagiotou0%
Paris Psaltis0%
Brandon Barker0%
Adam Matthews0%
Moreto Cassama0%
Bruno0%
Mix Diskerud0%
ÃdÃĄm Lang0%
Loizos Loizou0%
Fotios Kitsos0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
ð° 14. Squad value
ð° Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
PAF (23)
€28m
AL (30)
€16m
AL (24)
€15m
AN (30)
€15m
ON (23)
€15m
ARI (26)
€11m
AEL (21)
€9m
ANO (25)
€7m
NS (15)
€5m
OLY (14)
€4m
KAR (12)
€3m
ENO (9)
€1m
AKR (5)
€1m
DOX (1)
€0m
Olympiakos's squad is €11m less valuable than Omonia Nicosia's (€4m vs €15m).
âïļ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
PAF (9)
€14m
AN (12)
€8m
ON (9)
€7m
AL (10)
€7m
AL (9)
€7m
AEL (9)
€4m
ARI (8)
€3m
ANO (9)
€2m
NS (4)
€2m
OLY (4)
€1m
KAR (3)
€0m
ENO (3)
€0m
AKR (2)
€0m
DOX (0)
€0m
Olympiakos's attack is €6m less valuable than Omonia Nicosia's (€1m vs €7m).
ð§ Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
PAF (5)
€8m
ON (4)
€3m
ARI (5)
€3m
AN (4)
€3m
AL (4)
€2m
AL (6)
€2m
AEL (5)
€2m
NS (4)
€2m
ANO (6)
€1m
KAR (3)
€1m
OLY (2)
€0m
ENO (2)
€0m
AKR (0)
€0m
DOX (0)
€0m
Olympiakos's midfield is €3m less valuable than Omonia Nicosia's (€0m vs €3m).
ðĄïļ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
PAF (9)
€7m
AL (14)
€7m
AL (11)
€7m
ARI (13)
€5m
AN (14)
€5m
ON (10)
€5m
ANO (10)
€3m
AEL (7)
€3m
OLY (8)
€2m
KAR (6)
€2m
NS (7)
€2m
ENO (4)
€1m
AKR (3)
€1m
DOX (1)
€0m
Olympiakos's defence is €3m less valuable than Omonia Nicosia's (€2m vs €5m).
Cyprus: 1. Division 2022/23 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Cyprus: 1. Division stats & trends →
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Aris
Apoel Nicosia
AEK Larnaca
Pafos
Anorthosis
Apollon Limassol
Nea Salamis
AEL
Karmiotissa
Doxa
Enosis
Akritas