This opponent (Pafos) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Pafos
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.7
Avg scored
1.6
Avg conceded
1.1
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.88
0.76
2.08
0.85
1.67
0.67
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (10)
1.20
1.00
1.60
1.00
0.80
1.00
vs Weaker (15)
2.33
0.60
2.38
0.75
2.29
0.43
Clean sheet %
48% (+17pp vs league)
This opponent (Olympiakos) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.0 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (28%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
61.3%
Under 1.5
38.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
33.1%
Under 2.5
66.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
14.8%
Under 3.5
85.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
35.2%
No
64.8%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
0-1
17.8%
0-0
14.3%
0-2
13.5%
1-1 â
12.3%
1-2
8.0%
1-0
6.7%
0-3
6.5%
1-3
3.8%
Olympiakos goals ↓
Pafos goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
14%
18%
14%
6.5%
2.3%
1
6.7%
12%
8.0%
3.8%
1.4%
2
2.3%
3.3%
2.4%
1.1%
0.4%
3
0.5%
0.7%
0.5%
0.2%
0.1%
4
0.1%
0.1%
0.1%
0.0%
0.0%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Olympiakos goals (down), columns = Pafos goals (across).
ðŠ 3. Team Strengths Analysis
ð Total PPG
Points / game
Aris
2.06
Apoel Nicosia
1.97
AEK Larnaca
1.83
Apollon Limassol
1.77
Pafos
1.75
Anorthosis
1.57
Nea Salamis
1.45
Omonia Nicosia
1.36
AEL
1.26
Karmiotissa
1.20
Doxa
0.97
Enosis
0.93
Akritas
0.85
Olympiakos
0.70
Olympiakos is 1.05 points worse than Pafos in terms of average points per game (0.70 vs 1.75).
âïļ Attack
Goals scored / game
Aris
1.81
Pafos
1.67
AEK Larnaca
1.53
Apoel Nicosia
1.44
Apollon Limassol
1.34
Anorthosis
1.30
Nea Salamis
1.27
Omonia Nicosia
1.19
Enosis
1.00
Akritas
0.93
Karmiotissa
0.90
AEL
0.90
Doxa
0.80
Olympiakos
0.75
Olympiakos is 0.92 goals worse than Pafos in terms of goals scored per game (0.75 vs 1.67).
ðĄïļ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Apoel Nicosia
0.72
Aris
0.78
Pafos
0.83
AEL
1.03
AEK Larnaca
1.03
Apollon Limassol
1.06
Anorthosis
1.07
Omonia Nicosia
1.17
Enosis
1.30
Karmiotissa
1.35
Nea Salamis
1.38
Doxa
1.40
Olympiakos
1.55
Akritas
1.82
Olympiakos is 0.72 goals worse than Pafos in terms of goals conceded per game (1.55 vs 0.83).
âąïļ Possession
Avg possession %
Omonia Nicosia
56%
AEK Larnaca
55%
Anorthosis
55%
Akritas
55%
Olympiakos
52%
Enosis
52%
Karmiotissa
50%
Apoel Nicosia
49%
Doxa
46%
AEL
45%
Pafos
45%
Aris
44%
Nea Salamis
40%
Olympiakos is 6.7 percentage points better than Pafos in terms of average possession (52% vs 45%).
ðē 4. Props Analysis
Olympiakos
For 3.6 · Against 3.7 · Total 7.3
ðĐ Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.4 · Against 1.9 · Total 4.3
ðĻ Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 11.7 · Against 13.8 · Total 25.5
â ïļ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Pafos
For 5.0 · Against 3.5 · Total 8.5
ðĐ Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.4 · Against 3.6 · Total 6.0
ðĻ Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 12.2 · Against 15.0 · Total 27.2
â ïļ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Olympiakos
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (25)
7.8
7.6
8.0
2.8
2.4
3.1
26.6
25.6
27.6
vs Stronger (9)
9.6
8.7
11.0
2.7
2.8
2.6
27.8
25.3
31.5
vs Similar (14)
7.1
7.3
7.0
2.4
1.9
3.0
25.4
24.0
26.5
vs Weaker (2)
6.0
5.0
7.0
5.5
5.0
6.0
27.5
31.0
24.0
% over line
27%
14%
38%
48%
42%
54%
71%
57%
86%
% under line
73%
86%
62%
52%
58%
46%
29%
43%
14%
This opponent (Pafos) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Pafos
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (25)
8.5
7.3
10.5
2.5
2.8
2.2
26.8
25.4
29.2
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (10)
8.2
7.7
10.0
3.0
5.0
1.0
27.2
26.7
29.0
vs Weaker (15)
8.6
7.0
10.7
2.1
1.4
3.0
26.6
24.5
29.3
% over line
27%
0%
75%
32%
31%
33%
91%
100%
75%
% under line
73%
100%
25%
68%
69%
67%
9%
0%
25%
This opponent (Olympiakos) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
ðĐ Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Akritas
10.4
Anorthosis
9.9
Aris
9.7
Doxa
9.4
Nea Salamis
9.2
AEL
9.1
AEK Larnaca
9.1
Enosis
9.1
Karmiotissa
9.0
Omonia Nicosia
8.6
Apollon Limassol
8.6
Pafos
8.5
Apoel Nicosia
8.1
Olympiakos
7.8
ðĻ Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Pafos
5.6
Nea Salamis
5.5
Anorthosis
5.3
Apoel Nicosia
5.3
AEK Larnaca
4.9
Aris
4.7
AEL
4.7
Apollon Limassol
4.7
Olympiakos
4.6
Enosis
4.6
Karmiotissa
4.6
Omonia Nicosia
4.3
Akritas
4.2
Doxa
4.0
â ïļ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
AEK Larnaca
30.7
Apoel Nicosia
30.6
Nea Salamis
29.2
Enosis
28.5
Anorthosis
28.0
Aris
27.6
Doxa
27.6
AEL
26.9
Pafos
26.8
Karmiotissa
26.7
Olympiakos
26.6
Apollon Limassol
25.0
Akritas
23.9
Omonia Nicosia
23.4
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Under
Over 9.5
39.0%
Under 9.5
61.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
73.6%
Under 3.5
26.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
85.2%
Under 21.5
14.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
ð 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
ðĨ 6. Home & Away Over/Under
âïļ 7. Handicap
âąïļ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Olympiakos
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.7
Avg scored
0.2
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.20
0.72
0.25
0.58
0.15
0.85
vs Stronger (9)
0.00
1.22
0.00
1.00
0.00
1.40
vs Similar (14)
0.29
0.36
0.29
0.14
0.29
0.57
vs Weaker (2)
0.50
1.00
1.00
2.00
0.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
48% (+17pp vs league)
This opponent (Pafos) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Pafos
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.84
0.40
0.85
0.54
0.83
0.25
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (10)
0.40
0.40
0.40
0.60
0.40
0.20
vs Weaker (15)
1.13
0.40
1.12
0.50
1.14
0.29
Clean sheet %
72% (+41pp vs league)
This opponent (Olympiakos) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
ðĨ 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Olympiakos over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Olympiakos over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Olympiakos over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Pafos over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Pafos over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Pafos over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
âąïļ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Olympiakos
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.40
0.84
0.25
0.58
0.54
1.08
vs Stronger (9)
0.33
1.00
0.00
0.25
0.60
1.60
vs Similar (14)
0.43
0.86
0.29
0.86
0.57
0.86
vs Weaker (2)
0.50
0.00
1.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
44% (+13pp vs league)
This opponent (Pafos) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Pafos
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.04
0.36
1.23
0.31
0.83
0.42
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (10)
0.80
0.60
1.20
0.40
0.40
0.80
vs Weaker (15)
1.20
0.20
1.25
0.25
1.14
0.14
Clean sheet %
72% (+41pp vs league)
This opponent (Olympiakos) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
ðĨ 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Olympiakos over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Olympiakos over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Olympiakos over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Pafos over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Pafos over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Pafos over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
ðĨ 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 19.5 fouls
92.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
â Hit
Over 2.5 cards
87.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
â Hit
Over 21.5 fouls
85.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
â Hit
Under 3.5
85.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
â Hit
Under 11.5 corners
82.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
â Hit
Over 23.5 fouls
73.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
â Hit
Over 3.5 cards
73.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
â Hit
Under 10.5 corners
72.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
â Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
ð― 13. Player market rates
Olympiakos · 2025/26
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Viktor Kovalenko33%
Admir BajroviÄ25%
Jean Felipe17%
JoÃĢo Tavares17%
Leonidas Konomis14%
Iasonas Pikis12%
JoÃĢo MÃĄrio0%
Christos Wheeler0%
Ektoras Stefanou0%
Stefanos Charalampous0%
Revaz Injgia0%
Orhan Dzepar0%
Henrique Gomes0%
Mauricio0%
Vladimir BradonjiÄ0%
Vieirinha0%
Marcos Charalambous0%
Christos Talichmanidis0%
Geron Tocka0%
Richie Omorowa0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Henrique Gomes33%
Orhan Dzepar29%
JoÃĢo MÃĄrio25%
Stefanos Charalampous14%
Mauricio14%
Vieirinha14%
Leonidas Konomis14%
Iasonas Pikis12%
Vladimir BradonjiÄ12%
Christos Talichmanidis12%
Viktor Kovalenko0%
Christos Wheeler0%
Ektoras Stefanou0%
Revaz Injgia0%
Admir BajroviÄ0%
Jean Felipe0%
JoÃĢo Tavares0%
Marcos Charalambous0%
Geron Tocka0%
Richie Omorowa0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
JoÃĢo MÃĄrio25%
Geron Tocka20%
Jean Felipe17%
Vladimir BradonjiÄ12%
Viktor Kovalenko0%
Christos Wheeler0%
Iasonas Pikis0%
Ektoras Stefanou0%
Stefanos Charalampous0%
Revaz Injgia0%
Admir BajroviÄ0%
Orhan Dzepar0%
Henrique Gomes0%
JoÃĢo Tavares0%
Mauricio0%
Vieirinha0%
Marcos Charalambous0%
Christos Talichmanidis0%
Richie Omorowa0%
Leonidas Konomis0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Viktor Kovalenko0%
JoÃĢo MÃĄrio0%
Christos Wheeler0%
Iasonas Pikis0%
Ektoras Stefanou0%
Stefanos Charalampous0%
Revaz Injgia0%
Admir BajroviÄ0%
Orhan Dzepar0%
Jean Felipe0%
Henrique Gomes0%
JoÃĢo Tavares0%
Mauricio0%
Vladimir BradonjiÄ0%
Vieirinha0%
Marcos Charalambous0%
Christos Talichmanidis0%
Geron Tocka0%
Richie Omorowa0%
Leonidas Konomis0%
Pafos · 2025/26
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
JoÃĢo Correia35%
Alexandre Brito33%
David Luiz25%
Anderson Silva24%
JajÃĄ23%
Domingos Quina14%
Bruno13%
Ivan Å unjiÄ9%
Mislav OrÅĄiÄ8%
Vlad Dragomir8%
Mons Bassouamina7%
Derrick Luckassen5%
PÊpÊ4%
Landry Dimata0%
Ken Sema0%
Nikolas Ioannou0%
Kostas Pileas0%
Neofytos Michail0%
Jay Gorter0%
Dani Silva0%
David Goldar0%
Bruno Langa0%
Wilmer Odefalk0%
Axel Guessand0%
Ognjen MimoviÄ0%
LelÊ0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Ivan Å unjiÄ36%
Alexandre Brito33%
Ken Sema21%
David Luiz20%
Jay Gorter20%
Bruno Langa20%
JajÃĄ18%
Bruno17%
Axel Guessand17%
Domingos Quina14%
LelÊ14%
Derrick Luckassen14%
Mislav OrÅĄiÄ12%
Vlad Dragomir12%
PÊpÊ12%
Nikolas Ioannou11%
David Goldar9%
Kostas Pileas6%
JoÃĢo Correia6%
Landry Dimata0%
Mons Bassouamina0%
Neofytos Michail0%
Anderson Silva0%
Dani Silva0%
Wilmer Odefalk0%
Ognjen MimoviÄ0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Mislav OrÅĄiÄ33%
Wilmer Odefalk20%
Landry Dimata17%
David Luiz15%
Ken Sema11%
JajÃĄ9%
PÊpÊ8%
Kostas Pileas6%
JoÃĢo Correia6%
Domingos Quina5%
Ivan Å unjiÄ5%
Bruno4%
Nikolas Ioannou0%
Mons Bassouamina0%
Derrick Luckassen0%
Neofytos Michail0%
Vlad Dragomir0%
Jay Gorter0%
Anderson Silva0%
Dani Silva0%
David Goldar0%
Bruno Langa0%
Axel Guessand0%
Ognjen MimoviÄ0%
LelÊ0%
Alexandre Brito0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
LelÊ14%
Mislav OrÅĄiÄ12%
Anderson Silva12%
JoÃĢo Correia12%
David Luiz10%
JajÃĄ9%
Domingos Quina5%
Bruno4%
Ivan Å unjiÄ0%
Landry Dimata0%
Ken Sema0%
Nikolas Ioannou0%
Kostas Pileas0%
Mons Bassouamina0%
Derrick Luckassen0%
Neofytos Michail0%
Vlad Dragomir0%
Jay Gorter0%
PÊpÊ0%
Dani Silva0%
David Goldar0%
Bruno Langa0%
Wilmer Odefalk0%
Axel Guessand0%
Ognjen MimoviÄ0%
Alexandre Brito0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
ð° 14. Squad value
ð° Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
PAF (23)
€28m
AL (30)
€16m
AL (24)
€15m
AN (30)
€15m
ON (23)
€15m
ARI (26)
€11m
AEL (21)
€9m
ANO (25)
€7m
NS (15)
€5m
OLY (14)
€4m
KAR (12)
€3m
ENO (9)
€1m
AKR (5)
€1m
DOX (1)
€0m
Olympiakos's squad is €25m less valuable than Pafos's (€4m vs €28m).
âïļ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
PAF (9)
€14m
AN (12)
€8m
ON (9)
€7m
AL (10)
€7m
AL (9)
€7m
AEL (9)
€4m
ARI (8)
€3m
ANO (9)
€2m
NS (4)
€2m
OLY (4)
€1m
KAR (3)
€0m
ENO (3)
€0m
AKR (2)
€0m
DOX (0)
€0m
Olympiakos's attack is €12m less valuable than Pafos's (€1m vs €14m).
ð§ Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
PAF (5)
€8m
ON (4)
€3m
ARI (5)
€3m
AN (4)
€3m
AL (4)
€2m
AL (6)
€2m
AEL (5)
€2m
NS (4)
€2m
ANO (6)
€1m
KAR (3)
€1m
OLY (2)
€0m
ENO (2)
€0m
AKR (0)
€0m
DOX (0)
€0m
Olympiakos's midfield is €7m less valuable than Pafos's (€0m vs €8m).
ðĄïļ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
PAF (9)
€7m
AL (14)
€7m
AL (11)
€7m
ARI (13)
€5m
AN (14)
€5m
ON (10)
€5m
ANO (10)
€3m
AEL (7)
€3m
OLY (8)
€2m
KAR (6)
€2m
NS (7)
€2m
ENO (4)
€1m
AKR (3)
€1m
DOX (1)
€0m
Olympiakos's defence is €5m less valuable than Pafos's (€2m vs €7m).
Cyprus: 1. Division 2022/23 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Cyprus: 1. Division stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
Aris
Apoel Nicosia
AEK Larnaca
Anorthosis
Apollon Limassol
Nea Salamis
Omonia Nicosia
AEL
Karmiotissa
Doxa
Enosis
Akritas