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Omonia Aradippou vs Akritas Result & Analysis

Date: 09/05/2026
Time: 15:00
Final 2-1
Omonia Aradippou
Omonia Aradippou
Vs
37%
28%
35%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Akritas
Akritas
Cyprus: 1. Division
Referee: -
1 Model Analysis2 Goal Analysis3 Team Strengths Analysis4 Props Analysis5 Double Chance6 Odd / Even7 Home & Away Over/Under8 Handicap9 Top picks for this game10 Squad value11 Games History12 Overall Statistics13 League Table
Match preview & prediction

Pythia gives Omonia Aradippou a 37% win probability against Akritas in the Cyprus: 1. Division on 2026-05-09, with 28% for the draw and 35% for Akritas. The model estimates around 2.8 total goals, with 2 the most likely total (25%) and 1-1 the most likely scoreline (13.2%). High-confidence angles (70%+): Over 21.5 fouls (84%), Over 1.5 (78%), Over 3.5 cards (75%).

Results analysis

Omonia Aradippou finished 2-1 against Akritas (Home win). Pythia had modelled a 37% home win, 28% draw and 35% away win. Picks that landed: Over 21.5 fouls (84%), Over 1.5 (78%), Over 3.5 cards (75%).

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Omonia Aradippou win✓ Hit
36.7%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
27.9%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Akritas win✗ Miss
35.5%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

Omonia AradippouOmonia Aradippou

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-300D21W10W02L21W12L03L11D11D12LA·OLY15/02H·AEK22/02A·ETH28/02H·OMO07/03A·AEL14/03H·ENO20/03H·AEL04/04A·ANO19/04H·KRA25/04A·OLY01/05
Avg total
2.2
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
1.3
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.901.331.001.500.791.14
vs Stronger (12)0.501.750.331.830.671.67
vs Similar (15)1.001.071.121.250.860.86
vs Weaker (3)2.001.002.501.501.000.00
Clean sheet %23% (-7pp vs league)
This opponent (Akritas) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

AkritasAkritas

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-411D31W13L03L04L23L02L10W21W10WH·ARI14/02A·OLY21/02H·KRA01/03A·AEK06/03H·PAF14/03A·ANO21/03H·KRA06/04A·OLY19/04A·ENO25/04H·ETH01/05
Avg total
2.9
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
1.8
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.971.800.731.731.201.87
vs Stronger (15)0.672.670.572.290.753.00
vs Similar (15)1.270.930.881.251.710.57
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %23% (-7pp vs league)
This opponent (Omonia Aradippou) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%13%19%25%8%015%125%222%315%48%56%6+
The model estimates around 2.8 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (25%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
77.5%
Under 1.5
22.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
52.2%
Under 2.5
47.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
30.0%
Under 3.5
70.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
57.3%
No
42.7%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
13.2%
2-1 ✓
8.4%
1-2
8.2%
1-0
7.6%
0-0
7.5%
0-1
7.4%
2-0
6.1%
0-2
5.9%
Omonia Aradippou goals ↓
Akritas goals →
01234
07.5%7.4%5.9%2.7%0.9%
17.6%13%8.2%3.8%1.3%
26.1%8.4%5.8%2.6%0.9%
32.9%3.9%2.7%1.2%0.4%
41.0%1.4%0.9%0.4%0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Omonia Aradippou goals (down), columns = Akritas goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Omonia Nicosia
2.42
AEK Larnaca
1.92
Apollon Limassol
1.86
Pafos
1.72
Apoel Nicosia
1.44
Aris
1.42
Anorthosis
1.36
AEL
1.33
Omonia Aradippou
1.27
Olympiakos
1.21
Krasava Ypsonas
1.21
Akritas
1.06
Ethnikos Achna
1.00
Enosis
0.15
Omonia Aradippou is 0.21 points better than Akritas in terms of average points per game (1.27 vs 1.06).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Omonia Nicosia
2.44
Pafos
1.83
AEK Larnaca
1.72
Aris
1.69
Apoel Nicosia
1.47
Apollon Limassol
1.44
AEL
1.24
Krasava Ypsonas
1.09
Anorthosis
1.06
Ethnikos Achna
1.03
Olympiakos
0.97
Akritas
0.94
Omonia Aradippou
0.94
Enosis
0.33
Omonia Aradippou and Akritas are level in goals scored per game (both 0.94).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Omonia Nicosia
0.67
AEK Larnaca
0.92
Pafos
1.06
Apollon Limassol
1.14
Anorthosis
1.21
Apoel Nicosia
1.25
Aris
1.25
Omonia Aradippou
1.27
Olympiakos
1.33
Krasava Ypsonas
1.33
AEL
1.39
Ethnikos Achna
1.61
Akritas
1.76
Enosis
2.42
Omonia Aradippou is 0.48 goals better than Akritas in terms of goals conceded per game (1.27 vs 1.76).

⏱️ Possession

Avg possession %
Pafos
55%
Olympiakos
54%
Apoel Nicosia
54%
Apollon Limassol
53%
Aris
52%
Omonia Nicosia
51%
Anorthosis
50%
AEK Larnaca
49%
AEL
49%
Ethnikos Achna
48%
Krasava Ypsonas
47%
Akritas
44%
Omonia Aradippou
43%
Enosis
41%
Omonia Aradippou is 1.8 percentage points worse than Akritas in terms of average possession (43% vs 44%).

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Omonia AradippouOmonia Aradippou

For 3.2 · Against 3.6 · Total 6.9

🚩 Corners

120344555481331453810512449H·AELA·AELA·ETHA·OLYA·APOA·PAFH·AELH·ETH
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.8 · Against 1.9 · Total 4.6

🟨 Cards

603333421321333366613366H·AELA·AELA·ETHA·OLYA·APOA·PAFH·AELH·ETH
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 15.5 · Against 15.6 · Total 31.1

⚠️ Fouls

3801418201419111817161881720189123234303534253821H·AELA·AELA·ETHA·OLYA·APOA·PAFH·AELH·ETH
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

AkritasAkritas

For 3.7 · Against 6.1 · Total 9.8

🚩 Corners

1601122741244252826652824139168710811106H·KRAA·ANOH·PAFH·KRAH·ARIA·APOA·ENOA·PAFA·ARIA·ANO
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.7 · Against 2.3 · Total 5.0

🟨 Cards

80224121232622432242314535847464H·KRAA·ANOH·PAFH·KRAH·ARIA·APOA·ENOA·PAFA·ARIA·ANO
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 12.6 · Against 11.8 · Total 24.4

⚠️ Fouls

3409111571281410181671115179121414131220222024341832212825H·KRAA·ANOH·PAFH·KRAH·ARIA·APOA·ENOA·PAFA·ARIA·ANO
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

Omonia AradippouOmonia Aradippou

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)6.85.37.41.00.71.330.330.330.2
vs Stronger (18)8.0-8.00.30.00.630.0-30.0
vs Similar (27)5.95.36.21.31.21.531.330.332.0
vs Weaker (5)10.0-10.01.40.03.524.0-24.0
% over line27%0%38%14%12%17%91%67%100%
% under line73%100%62%86%88%83%9%33%0%
This opponent (Akritas) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

AkritasAkritas

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)9.39.69.01.11.11.224.925.624.3
vs Stronger (18)9.19.09.22.32.22.324.828.022.8
vs Similar (28)9.710.58.00.60.60.525.322.032.0
vs Weaker (4)---0.00.00.0---
% over line45%40%50%20%17%23%64%60%67%
% under line55%60%50%80%83%77%36%40%33%
This opponent (Omonia Aradippou) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

🚩 Total Corners

Match total corners / game
Omonia Nicosia
10.2
Apoel Nicosia
10.0
Aris
9.7
Krasava Ypsonas
9.6
Pafos
9.6
AEL
9.4
AEK Larnaca
9.3
Apollon Limassol
9.2
Akritas
9.2
Enosis
9.0
Anorthosis
8.7
Ethnikos Achna
8.4
Olympiakos
8.2
Omonia Aradippou
7.6

🟨 Total Cards

Match total cards / game
Aris
5.7
Anorthosis
5.3
Omonia Aradippou
5.3
Apoel Nicosia
5.1
AEK Larnaca
5.0
Ethnikos Achna
5.0
Enosis
4.9
AEL
4.8
Apollon Limassol
4.8
Pafos
4.7
Omonia Nicosia
4.5
Olympiakos
4.5
Akritas
4.4
Krasava Ypsonas
4.0

⚠️ Total Fouls

Match total fouls / game
Anorthosis
29.5
Omonia Aradippou
28.9
Enosis
28.2
Olympiakos
28.0
AEL
27.8
Apoel Nicosia
27.6
Ethnikos Achna
27.2
Aris
26.2
AEK Larnaca
26.1
Pafos
25.6
Omonia Nicosia
24.9
Krasava Ypsonas
24.9
Apollon Limassol
24.8
Akritas
23.4
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Over
Over 9.5
31.8%
Under 9.5
68.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
74.9%
Under 3.5
25.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
84.3%
Under 21.5
15.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🔢 6. Odd / Even

🥅 7. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 8. Handicap

🔥 9. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 21.5 fouls84.3%-------✓ Hit
Over 1.577.5%-------✓ Hit
Over 3.5 cards74.9%-------✓ Hit

💰 10. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
PAF (23)
€28m
ON (37)
€19m
AL (30)
€16m
AN (30)
€15m
ARI (26)
€11m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
PAF (9)
€14m
ON (13)
€8m
AN (12)
€8m
AL (10)
€7m
ARI (8)
€3m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
PAF (5)
€8m
ON (6)
€4m
ARI (5)
€3m
AN (4)
€3m
AL (6)
€2m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
PAF (9)
€7m
AL (14)
€7m
ON (18)
€7m
ARI (13)
€5m
AN (14)
€5m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🤝 11. Games History

Head-to-head

Omonia Aradippou vs Akritas · H/A from OA
DateH/AGameScore
09/02/26HOA Vs Akritas2-0
26/10/25AAkritas Vs OA0-1
16/12/23HOA Vs Akritas3-1

Omonia AradippouOmonia Aradippou

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
01/05/26AOlympiakos Vs OA2-1
25/04/26HOA Vs Krasava Ypsonas1-1
19/04/26AAnorthosis Vs OA1-1
04/04/26HOA Vs AEL0-3
20/03/26HOA Vs Enosis1-2
14/03/26AAEL Vs OA1-2
07/03/26HOA Vs Omonia Nicosia0-2
28/02/26AEthnikos Achna Vs OA0-1
22/02/26HOA Vs AEK Larnaca2-1
15/02/26AOlympiakos Vs OA0-0

AkritasAkritas

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
01/05/26HAKR Vs Ethnikos Achna1-0
25/04/26AEnosis Vs AKR1-2
19/04/26AOlympiakos Vs AKR0-1
06/04/26HAKR Vs Krasava Ypsonas0-2
21/03/26AAnorthosis Vs AKR3-2
14/03/26HAKR Vs Pafos0-4
06/03/26AAEK Larnaca Vs AKR3-0
01/03/26HAKR Vs Krasava Ypsonas1-3
21/02/26AOlympiakos Vs AKR1-3
14/02/26HAKR Vs Aris1-1

📊 12. Overall Statistics

Omonia Aradippou
Omonia Aradippou
Cyprus: 1. Division
Recent: 3 Wins / 3 Draws / 4 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLLDDL1.18
HomeWLLLD1.38
AwayDWWDL0.96
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %34%42%25%
AVG goals2.462.622.29
Over 1.5 %68%77%58%
Over 2.5 %42%46%38%
Over 3.5 %26%27%25%
Scored1.001.230.75
Conceded1.461.381.54
BTTS42%42%42%
Clean Sheet22%23%21%
Corners6.825.337.38
Cards4.456.003.88
Akritas
Akritas
Cyprus: 1. Division
Recent: 4 Wins / 1 Draws / 5 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLLWWW1.42
HomeDLLLW1.62
AwayWLLWW1.23
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %44%50%38%
AVG goals2.662.712.62
Over 1.5 %76%79%73%
Over 2.5 %50%46%54%
Over 3.5 %30%29%31%
Scored1.201.331.08
Conceded1.461.381.54
BTTS38%42%35%
Clean Sheet26%29%23%
Corners9.279.609.00
Cards5.185.405.00

🏆 13. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1Omonia NicosiaOmonia Nicosia3687
75%
2.4
8824+64
3.1
89%
56%
33%
7.9
27%
4.7
73%
25.8
82%
19
8472.40.7
51%
2AEK LarnacaAEK Larnaca3669
56%
1.9
6233+29
2.6
78%
42%
22%
9.7
55%
5.2
73%
25.4
64%
16
7271.70.9
49%
3Apollon LimassolApollon Limassol3667
56%
1.9
5241+11
2.6
72%
47%
25%
8.9
31%
5.1
69%
24.7
62%
0
0001.41.1
53%
4PafosPafos3662
50%
1.7
6638+28
2.9
86%
50%
28%
9.5
47%
4.3
59%
25.0
71%
28
14871.81.1
55%
5Apoel NicosiaApoel Nicosia3652
42%
1.4
5345+8
2.7
83%
50%
25%
10.7
68%
5.0
73%
26.2
82%
15
8351.51.2
54%
6ArisAris3651
39%
1.4
6145+16
2.9
83%
58%
33%
10.1
45%
5.2
73%
25.1
82%
11
3351.71.2
52%
7AnorthosisAnorthosis3345
33%
1.4
3540-5
2.3
67%
30%
21%
8.7
40%
4.9
80%
30.1
100%
0
0001.11.2
50%
8AELAEL3344
39%
1.3
4146-5
2.6
79%
55%
24%
7.0
33%
4.7
67%
30.6
100%
0
0001.21.4
49%
9Omonia AradippouOmonia Aradippou3342
36%
1.3
3142-11
2.2
64%
39%
18%
7.3
33%
4.7
67%
30.9
89%
0
0000.91.3
43%
10Krasava YpsonasKrasava Ypsonas3340
33%
1.2
3644-8
2.4
64%
42%
21%
9.9
44%
3.9
56%
24.3
67%
0
0001.11.3
47%
11OlympiakosOlympiakos3340
30%
1.2
3244-12
2.3
70%
42%
24%
6.8
12%
3.8
38%
29.4
88%
0
0001.01.3
54%
12AkritasAkritas3335
30%
1.1
3158-27
2.7
82%
55%
33%
9.4
50%
5.2
92%
25.2
67%
0
0000.91.8
44%
13Ethnikos AchnaEthnikos Achna3333
30%
1.0
3453-19
2.6
67%
55%
30%
8.9
44%
4.9
89%
28.8
78%
0
0001.01.6
48%
14EnosisEnosis335
3%
0.2
1180-69
2.8
82%
55%
27%
9.7
56%
4.3
44%
26.3
89%
0
0000.32.4
41%
Cyprus: 1. Division 2025/26 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Cyprus: 1. Division stats & trends →

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