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Ordabasy vs Atyrau Result & Analysis

Date: 03/06/2023
Time: 15:00
Final 2-1
Ordabasy
Ordabasy
Vs
63%
23%
15%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Atyrau
Atyrau
Kazakhstan: Premier League
Referee: -
1 Model Analysis2 Goal Analysis3 Team Strengths Analysis4 Props Analysis5 Double Chance6 Home & Away Over/Under7 Handicap8 Half Time Goals O/U9 Half Time Home & Away O/U10 Second Half Goals O/U11 Second Half Home & Away O/U
12 Top picks for this game14 Squad value15 Games History16 Overall Statistics17 League Table

ðŸŽŊ 1. Model Analysis

Ordabasy win✓ Hit
62.9%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
22.5%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Atyrau win✗ Miss
14.6%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

âš― 2. Goal Analysis

OrdabasyOrdabasy

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-441W20W02L11D41W22D40W21W10W10WA·SHA09/03H·ZHE14/03A·FC 02/04H·AKT09/04H·FK 16/04A·KAI23/04H·KAI06/05A·MAQ13/05H·OKZ21/05A·KYZ28/05
Avg total
2.9
Avg scored
2.1
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.671.402.270.871.071.93
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (14)1.641.932.251.120.833.00
vs Weaker (16)1.690.942.290.571.221.22
Clean sheet %30% (+2pp vs league)
This opponent (Atyrau) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

AtyrauAtyrau

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-421W10W04L01L04L21W11D21W30W00DH·KAI10/03A·MAQ15/03H·OKZ02/04A·KYZ08/04A·AKT16/04H·FK 23/04A·KAS07/05H·SHA13/05A·ZHE20/05H·FC 28/05
Avg total
2.4
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
1.3
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.201.571.291.571.121.56
vs Stronger (11)1.091.730.801.201.332.17
vs Similar (19)1.261.471.561.781.001.20
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %27% (-1pp vs league)
This opponent (Ordabasy) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%12%18%24%6%014%124%222%316%49%57%6+
The model estimates around 2.9 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (24%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
79.6%
Under 1.5
20.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
55.5%
Under 2.5
44.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
33.1%
Under 3.5
66.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
51.8%
No
48.2%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
2-0
11.2%
1-1
10.8%
1-0
10.1%
2-1 ✓
9.9%
3-0
7.6%
3-1
6.7%
0-0
6.5%
2-2
4.4%
Ordabasy goals ↓
Atyrau goals →
01234
06.5%3.9%2.1%0.6%0.1%
110%11%4.3%1.3%0.3%
211%9.9%4.4%1.3%0.3%
37.6%6.7%2.9%0.9%0.2%
43.8%3.4%1.5%0.4%0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Ordabasy goals (down), columns = Atyrau goals (across).

💊 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Ordabasy
2.23
FC Astana
2.04
Aktobe
1.92
Kairat Almaty
1.69
Kyzyl-Zhar
1.50
Kaisar
1.38
Atyrau
1.31
FK Tobol Kostanay
1.31
Zhetysu
1.12
Maqtaaral
1.12
Shakhter Karagandy
1.12
Okzhetpes
1.04
Kaspiy
0.77
FK Aksu
0.69
Ordabasy is 0.92 points better than Atyrau in terms of average points per game (2.23 vs 1.31).

⚔ïļ Attack

Goals scored / game
Ordabasy
1.85
Aktobe
1.69
Kairat Almaty
1.65
FC Astana
1.38
Shakhter Karagandy
1.19
Kaisar
1.19
FK Tobol Kostanay
1.15
Maqtaaral
1.12
Kaspiy
1.08
Zhetysu
1.04
Okzhetpes
1.00
Kyzyl-Zhar
0.96
Atyrau
0.92
FK Aksu
0.88
Ordabasy is 0.92 goals better than Atyrau in terms of goals scored per game (1.85 vs 0.92).

ðŸ›Ąïļ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Ordabasy
0.81
Kyzyl-Zhar
0.88
Aktobe
0.88
FC Astana
0.92
Atyrau
1.04
Kaisar
1.15
Maqtaaral
1.23
FK Tobol Kostanay
1.23
Kairat Almaty
1.27
Shakhter Karagandy
1.38
Okzhetpes
1.42
Zhetysu
1.46
Kaspiy
1.69
FK Aksu
1.73
Ordabasy is 0.23 goals better than Atyrau in terms of goals conceded per game (0.81 vs 1.04).

⏱ïļ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

ðŸŽē 4. Props Analysis

OrdabasyOrdabasy

For 3.0 · Against 2.0 · Total 5.0

ðŸšĐ Corners

50325H·ZHE
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.0 · Against 3.0 · Total 5.0

ðŸŸĻ Cards

50235H·ZHE
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

⚠ïļ Fouls

No recent fouls data for this league.

AtyrauAtyrau

ðŸšĐ Corners

No recent corners data for this league.

ðŸŸĻ Cards

No recent cards data for this league.

⚠ïļ Fouls

No recent fouls data for this league.

OrdabasyOrdabasy

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (37)5.05.0-0.10.30.0---
vs Stronger (0)---------
vs Similar (16)---0.00.00.0---
vs Weaker (21)5.05.0-0.20.50.0---
% over line0%0%-3%5%0%---
% under line100%100%-97%95%100%---
This opponent (Atyrau) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

AtyrauAtyrau

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (37)---0.00.00.0---
vs Stronger (13)---0.00.00.0---
vs Similar (24)---0.00.00.0---
vs Weaker (0)---------
% over line---0%0%0%---
% under line---100%100%100%---
This opponent (Ordabasy) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

ðŸšĐ Total Corners

Match total corners / game
Okzhetpes
13.0
Kairat Almaty
11.0
Shakhter Karagandy
11.0
Aktobe
10.0
FK Tobol Kostanay
9.0
FC Astana
8.7
Kyzyl-Zhar
8.5
Zhetysu
6.0
Ordabasy
5.0

ðŸŸĻ Total Cards

Match total cards / game
Zhetysu
7.0
Aktobe
6.0
FK Tobol Kostanay
6.0
Ordabasy
5.0
Okzhetpes
5.0
Kairat Almaty
4.5
FC Astana
4.5
Shakhter Karagandy
3.0
Kyzyl-Zhar
2.5

⚠ïļ Total Fouls

Match total fouls / game
FK Tobol Kostanay
30.0
Corners O/U 9.5
Over 9.5
28.5%
Under 9.5
71.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5
Over 3.5
75.7%
Under 3.5
24.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
0.0%
Under 21.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

ðŸĨ… 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖ïļ 7. Handicap

⏱ïļ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

OrdabasyOrdabasy

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-210W20W00D00D11D01L10W10W10W00DA·SHA09/03H·ZHE14/03A·FC 02/04H·AKT09/04H·FK 16/04A·KAI23/04H·KAI06/05A·MAQ13/05H·OKZ21/05A·KYZ28/05
Avg total
0.9
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.2
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.770.601.070.530.470.67
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (14)0.640.790.880.620.331.00
vs Weaker (16)0.880.441.290.430.560.44
Clean sheet %57% (+29pp vs league)
This opponent (Atyrau) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

AtyrauAtyrau

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-221W10W01L00D01L00D00D11D20W00DH·KAI10/03A·MAQ15/03H·OKZ02/04A·KYZ08/04A·AKT16/04H·FK 23/04A·KAS07/05H·SHA13/05A·ZHE20/05H·FC 28/05
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.4
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.530.730.430.640.620.81
vs Stronger (11)0.550.820.200.400.831.17
vs Similar (19)0.530.680.560.780.500.60
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %50% (+22pp vs league)
This opponent (Ordabasy) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸĨ… 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Ordabasy over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ordabasy over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ordabasy over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Atyrau over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Atyrau over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Atyrau over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱ïļ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

OrdabasyOrdabasy

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-331W00D02L11D30W21W30W11D00D10WA·SHA09/03H·ZHE14/03A·FC 02/04H·AKT09/04H·FK 16/04A·KAI23/04H·KAI06/05A·MAQ13/05H·OKZ21/05A·KYZ28/05
Avg total
2.0
Avg scored
1.4
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.900.801.200.330.601.27
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (14)1.001.141.380.500.502.00
vs Weaker (16)0.810.501.000.140.670.78
Clean sheet %50% (+22pp vs league)
This opponent (Atyrau) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

AtyrauAtyrau

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-300D00D03L01L03L21W11D10W10W00DH·KAI10/03A·MAQ15/03H·OKZ02/04A·KYZ08/04A·AKT16/04H·FK 23/04A·KAS07/05H·SHA13/05A·ZHE20/05H·FC 28/05
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.670.830.860.930.500.75
vs Stronger (11)0.550.910.600.800.501.00
vs Similar (19)0.740.791.001.000.500.60
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %43% (+16pp vs league)
This opponent (Ordabasy) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸĨ… 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Ordabasy over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ordabasy over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ordabasy over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Atyrau over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Atyrau over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Atyrau over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸ”Ĩ 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 2.5 cards88.8%--------
Under 11.5 corners88.7%--------
Under 10.5 corners81.5%--------
Over 1.579.6%-------✓ Hit
Over 3.5 cards75.7%--------
Under 9.5 corners71.5%--------

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ORD (22)
€10m
FA (25)
€10m
AKT (25)
€10m
KA (24)
€10m
FTK (23)
€9m
OKZ (23)
€5m
ATY (20)
€4m
KYZ (26)
€4m
KAI (25)
€4m
KAS (23)
€4m
ZHE (21)
€3m
Ordabasy's squad is €6m more valuable than Atyrau's (€10m vs €4m).

⚔ïļ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
AKT (12)
€5m
KA (9)
€4m
FTK (7)
€3m
ORD (8)
€3m
FA (9)
€3m
OKZ (8)
€2m
KAI (11)
€2m
KYZ (9)
€2m
ATY (7)
€2m
ZHE (8)
€1m
KAS (4)
€1m
Ordabasy's attack is €1m more valuable than Atyrau's (€3m vs €2m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ORD (4)
€3m
FA (3)
€2m
KA (5)
€2m
FTK (5)
€2m
AKT (4)
€2m
KAS (8)
€2m
OKZ (6)
€1m
KYZ (7)
€1m
ATY (5)
€1m
KAI (4)
€1m
ZHE (3)
€0m
Ordabasy's midfield is €2m more valuable than Atyrau's (€3m vs €1m).

ðŸ›Ąïļ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FA (13)
€5m
ORD (10)
€4m
FTK (11)
€4m
KA (10)
€4m
AKT (9)
€3m
ATY (8)
€2m
KAI (10)
€2m
ZHE (10)
€2m
KYZ (10)
€1m
KAS (11)
€1m
OKZ (9)
€1m
Ordabasy's defence is €3m more valuable than Atyrau's (€4m vs €2m).

ðŸĪ 15. Games History

H2H record

2 previous meetings
1
ORD wins
0
Draws
1
ATY wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Ordabasy vs Atyrau · H/A from ORD
DateH/AGameScore
01/10/22HORD Vs Atyrau2-0
01/05/22AAtyrau Vs ORD2-1

OrdabasyOrdabasy

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
28/05/23AKyzyl-Zhar Vs ORD0-1
21/05/23HORD Vs Okzhetpes1-0
13/05/23AMaqtaaral Vs ORD1-2
06/05/23HORD Vs Kaisar4-0
23/04/23AKairat Almaty Vs ORD2-2
16/04/23HORD Vs FK Tobol Kostanay4-1
09/04/23HORD Vs Aktobe1-1
02/04/23AFC Astana Vs ORD2-0
14/03/23HORD Vs Zhetysu2-0
09/03/23AShakhter Karagandy Vs ORD1-4

AtyrauAtyrau

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
28/05/23HATY Vs FC Astana0-0
20/05/23AZhetysu Vs ATY0-3
13/05/23HATY Vs Shakhter Karagandy2-1
07/05/23AKaspiy Vs ATY1-1
23/04/23HATY Vs FK Aksu2-1
16/04/23AAktobe Vs ATY4-0
08/04/23AKyzyl-Zhar Vs ATY1-0
02/04/23HATY Vs Okzhetpes0-4
15/03/23AMaqtaaral Vs ATY0-1
10/03/23HATY Vs Kaisar2-1

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Ordabasy
Ordabasy
Kazakhstan: Premier League
Recent: 7 Wins / 2 Draws / 1 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDWWWW1.73
HomeWDWWW2.37
AwayWLDWW1.06
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %51%74%28%
AVG goals2.923.112.72
Over 1.5 %78%89%67%
Over 2.5 %62%63%61%
Over 3.5 %41%42%39%
Scored1.622.260.94
Conceded1.300.841.78
BTTS54%63%44%
Clean Sheet30%37%22%
Corners5.005.00-
Cards5.005.00-
Atyrau
Atyrau
Kazakhstan: Premier League
Recent: 5 Wins / 2 Draws / 3 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWDWWD1.27
HomeWLWWD1.50
AwayWLLDW1.05
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %32%39%26%
AVG goals2.622.612.63
Over 1.5 %76%78%74%
Over 2.5 %57%61%53%
Over 3.5 %24%22%26%
Scored1.161.221.11
Conceded1.461.391.53
BTTS54%61%47%
Clean Sheet27%17%37%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value ₮mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1OrdabasyOrdabasy2658
69%
2.2
4821+27
2.7
73%
54%
31%
5.0
0%
4.4
60%
-
0%
10
3341.80.8
-
2FC AstanaFC Astana2653
62%
2.0
3624+12
2.3
65%
42%
15%
8.5
50%
2.9
38%
-
0%
10
3251.40.9
-
3AktobeAktobe2650
50%
1.9
4423+21
2.6
73%
46%
31%
10.0
50%
5.9
88%
-
0%
10
5231.70.9
-
4Kairat AlmatyKairat Almaty2644
46%
1.7
4333+10
2.9
77%
69%
38%
-
0%
3.0
50%
-
0%
10
4241.71.3
-
5Kyzyl-ZharKyzyl-Zhar2639
42%
1.5
2523+2
1.8
50%
31%
8%
-
0%
3.5
50%
-
0%
4
2111.00.9
-
6KaisarKaisar2636
38%
1.4
3130+1
2.3
65%
42%
27%
-
0%
5.0
50%
-
0%
4
2121.21.2
-
7FK Tobol KostanayFK Tobol Kostanay2634
35%
1.3
3032-2
2.4
73%
46%
15%
-
0%
3.2
50%
-
0%
9
3241.21.2
-
8AtyrauAtyrau2634
31%
1.3
2427-3
2.0
54%
42%
19%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
2120.91.0
-
9MaqtaaralMaqtaaral2629
31%
1.1
2932-3
2.3
73%
42%
19%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.11.2
-
10Shakhter KaragandyShakhter Karagandy2629
27%
1.1
3136-5
2.6
81%
54%
23%
11.0
100%
2.3
17%
-
0%
0
0001.21.4
-
11ZhetysuZhetysu2629
31%
1.1
2738-11
2.5
77%
50%
15%
6.0
0%
6.1
100%
-
0%
3
1021.01.5
-
12OkzhetpesOkzhetpes2627
27%
1.0
2637-11
2.4
62%
42%
19%
13.0
100%
2.5
25%
-
0%
5
2111.01.4
-
13KaspiyKaspiy2620
15%
0.8
2844-16
2.8
77%
54%
38%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
1211.11.7
-
14FK AksuFK Aksu2618
19%
0.7
2345-22
2.6
77%
54%
23%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.91.7
-
Kazakhstan: Premier League 2023/24 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Kazakhstan: Premier League stats & trends →

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