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Ordabasy vs Kyzyl-Zhar Result & Analysis

Date: 29/08/2026
Time: 15:00
Final 3-0
Ordabasy
Ordabasy
Vs
63%
23%
15%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Kyzyl-Zhar
Kyzyl-Zhar
Kazakhstan: Premier League
Referee: -
1 Model Analysis2 Goal Analysis3 Team Strengths Analysis4 Props Analysis5 Double Chance6 Home & Away Over/Under7 Handicap8 Half Time Goals O/U9 Half Time Home & Away O/U10 Second Half Goals O/U11 Second Half Home & Away O/U
12 Top picks for this game14 Squad value15 Games History16 Overall Statistics17 League Table
Match preview & prediction

Ordabasy’s recent four-game winning streak and their 2.0 goals per game at home against weaker opposition make them the clear favourite, reflected in the model’s 63% home win probability and the pick of a home victory. The match is expected to see 2.9 goals, with the most likely total of two goals at 24%. The single most probable scoreline is 2-0 for Ordabasy, with a 11.2% chance. Ordabasy’s home form shows they score 2.0 and concede 0.83 against weaker teams, while Kyzyl-Zhar’s away form shows only 0.86 goals scored and 1.57 conceded against stronger opponents. The model’s suggested picks include Under 7.5 (99.0%), Away under 2.5 HT goals (98.8%), Away under 3.5 goals (98.7%), Away under 2.5 2H goals (97.9%), Under 6.5 (97.2%), Home +2 handicap (95.0%), Home under 2.5 HT goals (95.0%) and Away under 2.5 goals (94.0%). The probabilities for the match outcome are Home win 63%, Draw 23%, Away win 15%.

Results analysis

Ordabasy’s five-game winning streak continued as they secured a 3-0 victory over Kyzyl-Zhar, extending their run of wins. The model had picked a home win with a 63% probability, and that call proved correct. The most likely scoreline was 2-0, yet the match saw 3 goals, still within the model’s expected total of 2.9. Every suggested selection hit: Under 7.5 goals (99%), Away under 2.5 HT goals (99%), Away under 3.5 goals (98.7%), Away under 2.5 2H goals (98.1%), Under 6.5 goals (97.2%), Home under 2.5 HT goals (95.4% with a 5% edge), Home +2 handicap (95%) and Away under 2.5 goals (94%). The model’s predictions were largely accurate.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Ordabasy win✓ Hit
62.6%
Avg Implied 66.6% · @ 1.36
Edge
-4.0%
Best 5 market prices
10Bet
1.50
Bet365
1.45
Betfair
1.44
Betano
1.39
Superbet
1.35
Draw✗ Miss
22.7%
Avg Implied 20.9% · @ 4.35
Edge
+1.8%
Best 5 market prices
1xBet
4.98
Pinnacle
4.63
Superbet
4.60
Dafabet
4.50
Betano
4.50
Kyzyl-Zhar win✗ Miss
14.7%
Avg Implied 12.5% · @ 7.25
Edge
+2.2%
Best 5 market prices
1xBet
8.95
Pinnacle
8.28
William Hil
8.00
Dafabet
7.80
Marathonbet
7.80

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

OrdabasyOrdabasy

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-442W30W10W31W31W12L20W40W31W21WA·AKA08/04H·KAS30/04H·ZHE13/05H·ALT15/07H·YEL19/07A·KAI26/07H·FK 02/08A·ZHE08/08H·ALT15/08A·ALT19/08
Avg total
3.4
Avg scored
2.6
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.801.072.000.931.601.20
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (15)1.801.332.111.001.331.83
vs Weaker (15)1.800.801.830.831.780.78
Clean sheet %33% (+6pp vs league)
This opponent (Kyzyl-Zhar) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Kyzyl-ZharKyzyl-Zhar

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-301L01L10W10W21W02L21W31W22D11DA·AKT27/09H·KAI17/10A·ZHE26/10A·KHA09/04A·IRT29/04A·ZHE13/05A·ZHE25/07H·AKT01/08A·ALT08/08H·FC 16/08
Avg total
2.2
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
1.0
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.971.070.920.851.001.24
vs Stronger (16)0.751.060.670.780.861.43
vs Similar (14)1.211.071.501.001.101.10
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %23% (-4pp vs league)
This opponent (Ordabasy) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%12%18%24%7%014%124%222%316%49%57%6+
The model estimates around 2.9 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (24%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
79.4%
@ 1.22+4.6%
Under 1.5
20.6%
@ 3.62-4.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
1.30
Unibet
1.23
Betano
1.22
Superbet
1.20
1xBet
1.18
Under
1xBet
3.86
Marathonbet
3.84
Unibet
3.70
Superbet
3.65
Betano
3.40
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
55.2%
@ 1.74+2.0%
Under 2.5
44.8%
@ 1.99-2.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
1.93
Unibet
1.75
1xBet
1.74
Superbet
1.73
Marathonbet
1.72
Under
Bet365
2.10
Pinnacle
2.06
1xBet
2.05
Marathonbet
2.00
Superbet
1.97
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
32.9%
@ 2.81+0.3%
Under 3.5
67.1%
@ 1.36-0.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
3.35
Unibet
2.80
Pinnacle
2.74
1xBet
2.74
Marathonbet
2.74
Under
Pinnacle
1.39
Betano
1.38
Superbet
1.37
Unibet
1.37
1xBet
1.35
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
51.8%
@ 1.98+5.6%
No
48.2%
@ 1.70-5.6%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
Superbet
2.05
1xBet
2.01
William Hil
2.00
Marathonbet
1.98
Unibet
1.96
No
William Hil
1.75
1xBet
1.70
10Bet
1.70
Betano
1.70
Marathonbet
1.70

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
2-0
11.2%@ 5.69+3.8%
1-1
10.8%@ 7.54+5.3%
1-0
10.2%@ 5.67+2.8%
2-1
9.9%@ 7.25+4.1%
3-0 ✓
7.5%@ 8.20+2.4%
3-1
6.6%@ 10.58+2.7%
0-0
6.5%@ 10.41+2.5%
2-2
4.4%@ 17.73+2.0%
Ordabasy goals ↓
Kyzyl-Zhar goals →
01234
06.5%3.9%2.2%0.6%0.1%
110%11%4.3%1.3%0.3%
211%9.9%4.4%1.3%0.3%
37.5%6.6%2.9%0.9%0.2%
43.8%3.3%1.5%0.4%0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Ordabasy goals (down), columns = Kyzyl-Zhar goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Kairat Almaty
3.00
FC Astana
2.60
Ordabasy
2.50
Okzhetpes
1.80
Irtysh
1.80
FK Tobol Kostanay
1.80
Zhenys
1.75
Aktobe
1.67
Kyzyl-Zhar
1.60
Kaspiy
1.50
Yelimay Semey
1.00
Ulytau
0.80
Kaisar
0.40
Atyrau
0.33
Zhetysu
0.20
Altay (Kazakhstan)
0.17
Ordabasy is 0.90 points better than Kyzyl-Zhar in terms of average points per game (2.50 vs 1.60).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Ordabasy
2.67
Kairat Almaty
2.50
FC Astana
2.40
Okzhetpes
2.20
Aktobe
1.83
Zhenys
1.75
Kaspiy
1.67
Kyzyl-Zhar
1.60
Irtysh
1.60
Kaisar
1.40
Ulytau
1.20
FK Tobol Kostanay
1.20
Altay (Kazakhstan)
1.17
Yelimay Semey
1.17
Atyrau
0.83
Zhetysu
0.60
Ordabasy is 1.07 goals better than Kyzyl-Zhar in terms of goals scored per game (2.67 vs 1.60).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Ordabasy
0.67
Kairat Almaty
0.75
Zhenys
1.00
FC Astana
1.00
FK Tobol Kostanay
1.00
Okzhetpes
1.40
Yelimay Semey
1.50
Kaspiy
1.50
Kyzyl-Zhar
1.60
Ulytau
1.60
Aktobe
1.67
Irtysh
1.80
Atyrau
1.83
Kaisar
2.00
Zhetysu
2.80
Altay (Kazakhstan)
3.00
Ordabasy is 0.93 goals better than Kyzyl-Zhar in terms of goals conceded per game (0.67 vs 1.60).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

OrdabasyOrdabasy

🚩 Corners

No recent corners data for this league.

🟨 Cards

No recent cards data for this league.

⚠️ Fouls

No recent fouls data for this league.

Kyzyl-ZharKyzyl-Zhar

🚩 Corners

No recent corners data for this league.

🟨 Cards

No recent cards data for this league.

⚠️ Fouls

No recent fouls data for this league.

OrdabasyOrdabasy

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)---0.00.00.0---
vs Stronger (0)---------
vs Similar (24)---0.00.00.0---
vs Weaker (26)---0.00.00.0---
% over line---0%0%0%---
% under line---100%100%100%---
This opponent (Kyzyl-Zhar) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Kyzyl-ZharKyzyl-Zhar

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)---0.00.00.0---
vs Stronger (24)---0.00.00.0---
vs Similar (26)---0.00.00.0---
vs Weaker (0)---------
% over line---0%0%0%---
% under line---100%100%100%---
This opponent (Ordabasy) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

🚩 Total Corners

Match total corners / game
Okzhetpes
13.0
Kairat Almaty
10.4
FK Tobol Kostanay
10.0
Aktobe
9.5
FC Astana
8.8
Kyzyl-Zhar
8.5
Ordabasy
8.3
Zhetysu
6.0

🟨 Total Cards

Match total cards / game
Zhetysu
6.1
FK Tobol Kostanay
5.6
Ordabasy
5.1
Aktobe
5.1
Kaisar
5.0
Kairat Almaty
4.4
FC Astana
4.0
Kyzyl-Zhar
3.2
Okzhetpes
2.5

⚠️ Total Fouls

Match total fouls / game
Ordabasy
30.0
FK Tobol Kostanay
28.7
Aktobe
27.0
Kairat Almaty
26.1
FC Astana
23.5
Corners O/U 9.5
Over 9.5
0.0%
Under 9.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5
Over 3.5
0.0%
Under 3.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
0.0%
Under 21.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Ordabasy or Draw✓ Hit
85.3%
Avg Implied 87.1% · @ 1.06
Edge
-1.8%
63%
23%
15%
covers Ordabasy + Draw
Best 5 market prices
Betano
1.10
Bet365
1.08
10Bet
1.07
William Hil
1.07
Betfair
1.07
Ordabasy or Kyzyl-Zhar✓ Hit
77.3%
Avg Implied 79.7% · @ 1.16
Edge
-2.3%
63%
23%
15%
covers Ordabasy + Kyzyl-Zhar
Best 5 market prices
10Bet
1.20
Betfair
1.20
William Hil
1.18
Betano
1.17
Superbet
1.15
Draw or Kyzyl-Zhar✗ Miss
37.4%
Avg Implied 33.2% · @ 2.77
Edge
+4.2%
63%
23%
15%
covers Draw + Kyzyl-Zhar
Best 5 market prices
1xBet
3.14
William Hil
3.00
Betano
2.92
Marathonbet
2.84
Superbet
2.82

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

Home & Away Over/Under

How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Ordabasy over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
86.6%
@ 1.07+1.4%
Under
13.4%
@ 6.18-1.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
1.11
Superbet
1.06
1xBet
1.05
Under
1xBet
7.70
Superbet
5.85
10Bet
5.00
Ordabasy over/under 1.5Actual: Over
Over
59.6%
@ 1.51-1.3%
Under
40.4%
@ 2.36+1.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
1.67
Betano
1.52
Pinnacle
1.49
Marathonbet
1.49
1xBet
1.47
Under
1xBet
2.50
Pinnacle
2.50
Superbet
2.42
Marathonbet
2.40
Betano
2.37
Ordabasy over/under 2.5Actual: Over
Over
32.6%
@ 2.48-4.3%
Under
67.4%
@ 1.45+4.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
2.55
1xBet
2.50
Pinnacle
2.48
Unibet
2.45
Superbet
2.42
Under
Pinnacle
1.50
Superbet
1.46
1xBet
1.45
Marathonbet
1.44
Unibet
1.41
Ordabasy over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
14.5%
@ 4.50-5.8%
Under
85.5%
@ 1.15+5.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
4.60
Superbet
4.40
Under
1xBet
1.16
Superbet
1.13
Kyzyl-Zhar over/under 0.5Actual: Under
Over
58.7%
@ 1.80+7.7%
Under
41.3%
@ 1.87-7.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
1.90
1xBet
1.87
Superbet
1.83
Marathonbet
1.79
Betano
1.78
Under
10Bet
1.95
Betano
1.93
Superbet
1.87
Marathonbet
1.87
Pinnacle
1.84
Kyzyl-Zhar over/under 1.5Actual: Under
Over
22.1%
@ 4.94+3.6%
Under
77.9%
@ 1.12-3.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
5.35
1xBet
5.10
Superbet
4.80
10Bet
4.50
Under
10Bet
1.14
1xBet
1.13
Marathonbet
1.11
Superbet
1.11
Kyzyl-Zhar over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
6.0%
@ 12.00-94.0%
Under
94.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
12.00
Under
No market prices yet.
Kyzyl-Zhar over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
1.3%
Under
98.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⚖️ 7. Handicap

Handicap

The handicap is applied to Ordabasy, so a minus line means Ordabasy give that many goals of a start and Kyzyl-Zhar receive them. At -1, Ordabasy must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Ordabasy win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Ordabasy)Actual: Ordabasy
Ordabasy -2
19.7%
@ 3.37-5.5%
Draw -2
19.5%
@ 3.77-3.0%
Kyzyl-Zhar +2
60.8%
@ 1.62+8.5%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Marathonbet
3.58
Unibet
3.15
Draw
Marathonbet
4.25
Unibet
3.30
Away
Marathonbet
1.67
Unibet
1.57
Handicap -1 (Ordabasy)Actual: Ordabasy
Ordabasy -1
39.2%
@ 2.19-0.5%
Draw -1
23.4%
@ 3.27-3.2%
Kyzyl-Zhar +1
37.4%
@ 2.58+3.7%
Best 5 market prices
Home
10Bet
2.45
Betfair
2.40
Marathonbet
2.04
Unibet
1.88
Draw
Marathonbet
3.48
10Bet
3.30
Betfair
3.30
Unibet
3.00
Away
Marathonbet
2.84
Unibet
2.55
Betfair
2.50
10Bet
2.45
Handicap +1 (Ordabasy)Actual: Ordabasy
Ordabasy +1
85.3%
Draw +1
9.8%
Kyzyl-Zhar -1
5.0%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +2 (Ordabasy)Actual: Ordabasy
Ordabasy +2
95.0%
Draw +2
3.8%
Kyzyl-Zhar -2
1.2%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

OrdabasyOrdabasy

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-221W10W00D20W21W01L10W10W20W21WA·AKA08/04H·KAS30/04H·ZHE13/05H·ALT15/07H·YEL19/07A·KAI26/07H·FK 02/08A·ZHE08/08H·ALT15/08A·ALT19/08
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
0.4
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.800.530.930.530.670.53
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (15)0.870.800.890.890.830.67
vs Weaker (15)0.730.271.000.000.560.44
Clean sheet %60% (+32pp vs league)
This opponent (Kyzyl-Zhar) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Kyzyl-ZharKyzyl-Zhar

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-201L01L00D10W11D02L00D11D10W00DA·AKT27/09H·KAI17/10A·ZHE26/10A·KHA09/04A·IRT29/04A·ZHE13/05A·ZHE25/07H·AKT01/08A·ALT08/08H·FC 16/08
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.370.600.380.540.350.65
vs Stronger (16)0.310.620.220.440.430.86
vs Similar (14)0.430.570.750.750.300.50
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %47% (+19pp vs league)
This opponent (Ordabasy) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
71.0%
@ 1.33+2.0%
Under 0.5
29.0%
@ 2.95-2.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.40
Betfair
1.36
10Bet
1.36
Pinnacle
1.32
Marathonbet
1.31
Under
William Hil
3.20
Superbet
3.05
Pinnacle
3.02
Marathonbet
3.02
1xBet
3.02
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
37.2%
@ 2.52+0.8%
Under 1.5
62.8%
@ 1.44-0.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betfair
2.88
10Bet
2.65
Marathonbet
2.53
1xBet
2.53
Pinnacle
2.50
Under
William Hil
1.50
Pinnacle
1.48
Superbet
1.48
Betano
1.44
Unibet
1.44
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
16.0%
@ 6.01+0.8%
Under 2.5
84.0%
@ 1.08-0.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betfair
6.50
Marathonbet
6.25
1xBet
6.20
William Hil
6.00
Superbet
5.10
Under
William Hil
1.11
Superbet
1.09
Betfair
1.08
1xBet
1.06
Marathonbet
1.06

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Ordabasy over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
58.3%
@ 1.51-2.5%
Under
41.7%
@ 2.34+2.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.57
1xBet
1.54
Pinnacle
1.49
Unibet
1.48
Superbet
1.47
Under
Pinnacle
2.47
Superbet
2.40
1xBet
2.30
Unibet
2.28
Betano
2.25
Ordabasy over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
21.1%
@ 3.62-4.2%
Under
78.9%
@ 1.23+4.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
3.65
1xBet
3.60
Under
1xBet
1.24
Marathonbet
1.22
Ordabasy over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
4.6%
@ 10.00-4.6%
Under
95.4%
@ 1.01+4.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
10.00
Under
1xBet
1.01
Kyzyl-Zhar over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
36.3%
@ 3.14+7.2%
Under
63.7%
@ 1.29-7.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
3.28
Superbet
3.15
Betano
3.10
1xBet
3.10
Unibet
3.05
Under
Betano
1.32
1xBet
1.31
Marathonbet
1.27
Unibet
1.27
Superbet
1.27
Kyzyl-Zhar over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
7.3%
Under
92.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kyzyl-Zhar over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
1.0%
Under
99.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

OrdabasyOrdabasy

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-321W20W10W11D10W11D10W30W11D00DA·AKA08/04H·KAS30/04H·ZHE13/05H·ALT15/07H·YEL19/07A·KAI26/07H·FK 02/08A·ZHE08/08H·ALT15/08A·ALT19/08
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
0.4
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.000.531.070.400.930.67
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (15)0.930.531.220.110.501.17
vs Weaker (15)1.070.530.830.831.220.33
Clean sheet %60% (+32pp vs league)
This opponent (Kyzyl-Zhar) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Kyzyl-ZharKyzyl-Zhar

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-200D00D10W00D10W00D21W20W12L11DA·AKT27/09H·KAI17/10A·ZHE26/10A·KHA09/04A·IRT29/04A·ZHE13/05A·ZHE25/07H·AKT01/08A·ALT08/08H·FC 16/08
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.4
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.600.470.540.310.650.59
vs Stronger (16)0.440.440.440.330.430.57
vs Similar (14)0.790.500.750.250.800.60
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %63% (+36pp vs league)
This opponent (Ordabasy) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
80.1%
@ 1.18+2.6%
Under 0.5
19.9%
@ 4.04-2.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
William Hil
1.22
Superbet
1.18
1xBet
1.15
Marathonbet
1.15
Under
1xBet
4.30
Marathonbet
4.25
Superbet
3.85
William Hil
3.75
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
47.4%
@ 1.97+0.7%
Under 1.5
52.6%
@ 1.72-0.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
2.15
William Hil
2.05
Superbet
1.97
1xBet
1.92
Unibet
1.92
Under
Betano
1.80
Marathonbet
1.78
1xBet
1.78
Superbet
1.74
Unibet
1.68
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
24.1%
@ 4.00+1.3%
Under 2.5
75.9%
@ 1.18-1.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
William Hil
4.40
Marathonbet
3.92
1xBet
3.90
Superbet
3.80
Under
William Hil
1.18
Superbet
1.18
1xBet
1.18
Marathonbet
1.18

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Ordabasy over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
63.4%
@ 1.39-2.8%
Under
36.6%
@ 2.71+2.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
1.41
1xBet
1.36
Under
1xBet
2.85
Superbet
2.57
Ordabasy over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
26.9%
@ 2.64-7.9%
Under
73.1%
@ 1.40+7.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
2.65
Marathonbet
2.64
Superbet
2.62
Under
1xBet
1.41
Superbet
1.40
Marathonbet
1.40
Ordabasy over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
9.1%
@ 6.60-4.7%
Under
90.9%
@ 1.06+4.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
6.60
Under
1xBet
1.06
Kyzyl-Zhar over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
43.9%
@ 2.65+9.3%
Under
56.1%
@ 1.40-9.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
2.67
1xBet
2.65
Superbet
2.62
Under
1xBet
1.42
Marathonbet
1.39
Superbet
1.39
Kyzyl-Zhar over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
9.6%
@ 9.95+0.4%
Under
90.4%
@ 1.01-0.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
10.00
Marathonbet
9.90
Under
Marathonbet
1.01
1xBet
1.01
Kyzyl-Zhar over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
1.9%
Under
98.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Under 7.599.0%-------✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 HT goals99.0%-------✓ Hit
Away under 3.5 goals98.7%-------✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 2H goals98.1%-------✓ Hit
Under 6.597.2%-------✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 HT goals95.4%1.01
1xBet
1.01
----+4.6%✓ Hit
Home +2 handicap95.0%-------✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 goals94.0%-------✓ Hit
Away under 1.5 HT goals92.7%-------✓ Hit
Under 5.592.7%1.02
1xBet
1.04
Marathonbet
1.01
---+2.0%✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 2H goals90.9%1.06
1xBet
1.06
----+4.7%✓ Hit
Away under 1.5 2H goals90.4%1.01
Marathonbet
1.01
1xBet
1.01
----0.4%✓ Hit
Home over 0.5 goals86.6%1.07
10Bet
1.11
Superbet
1.06
1xBet
1.05
--+1.4%✓ Hit
Home under 3.5 goals85.5%1.15
1xBet
1.16
Superbet
1.13
---+5.8%✓ Hit
Home or Draw85.3%1.06
Betano
1.10
Bet365
1.08
10Bet
1.07
William Hil
1.07
Betfair
1.07
-1.8%✓ Hit
Home +1 handicap85.3%-------✓ Hit
Under 2.5 HT goals84.0%1.08
William Hil
1.11
Superbet
1.09
Betfair
1.08
1xBet
1.06
Marathonbet
1.06
-0.8%✓ Hit
Under 4.583.3%1.11
Unibet
1.13
Superbet
1.12
Marathonbet
1.10
1xBet
1.10
-+1.5%✓ Hit
Over 0.5 2H goals80.1%1.18
William Hil
1.22
Superbet
1.18
1xBet
1.15
Marathonbet
1.15
-+2.6%✓ Hit
Over 1.579.4%1.22
10Bet
1.30
Unibet
1.23
Betano
1.22
Superbet
1.20
1xBet
1.18
+4.6%✓ Hit
Home under 1.5 HT goals78.9%1.23
1xBet
1.24
Marathonbet
1.22
---+4.2%✓ Hit
Away under 1.5 goals77.9%1.12
10Bet
1.14
1xBet
1.13
Marathonbet
1.11
Superbet
1.11
--3.6%✓ Hit
Home or Away77.3%1.16
10Bet
1.20
Betfair
1.20
William Hil
1.18
Betano
1.17
Superbet
1.15
-2.3%✓ Hit
Under 2.5 2H goals75.9%1.18
William Hil
1.18
Superbet
1.18
1xBet
1.18
Marathonbet
1.18
--1.3%✓ Hit
Home under 1.5 2H goals73.1%1.40
1xBet
1.41
Superbet
1.40
Marathonbet
1.40
--+7.9%✗ Miss
Over 0.5 HT goals71.0%1.33
Betano
1.40
Betfair
1.36
10Bet
1.36
Pinnacle
1.32
Marathonbet
1.31
+2.0%✓ Hit

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ORD (22)
€10m
FA (25)
€10m
AKT (25)
€10m
KA (24)
€10m
FTK (23)
€9m
YS (23)
€8m
OKZ (23)
€5m
ATY (20)
€4m
KYZ (26)
€4m
KAI (25)
€4m
IRT (26)
€4m
KAS (23)
€4m
ZHE (18)
€4m
A( (20)
€3m
ZHE (21)
€3m
ULY (20)
€3m
Ordabasy's squad is €6m more valuable than Kyzyl-Zhar's (€10m vs €4m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
AKT (12)
€5m
KA (9)
€4m
YS (11)
€4m
FTK (7)
€3m
ORD (8)
€3m
FA (9)
€3m
OKZ (8)
€2m
KAI (11)
€2m
KYZ (9)
€2m
ATY (7)
€2m
ZHE (6)
€2m
ULY (7)
€1m
A( (8)
€1m
IRT (6)
€1m
ZHE (8)
€1m
KAS (4)
€1m
Ordabasy's attack is €1m more valuable than Kyzyl-Zhar's (€3m vs €2m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ORD (4)
€3m
FA (3)
€2m
KA (5)
€2m
FTK (5)
€2m
AKT (4)
€2m
KAS (8)
€2m
OKZ (6)
€1m
KYZ (7)
€1m
ATY (5)
€1m
IRT (7)
€1m
KAI (4)
€1m
ULY (6)
€1m
A( (4)
€1m
ZHE (3)
€0m
YS (2)
€0m
ZHE (3)
€0m
Ordabasy's midfield is €2m more valuable than Kyzyl-Zhar's (€3m vs €1m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FA (13)
€5m
ORD (10)
€4m
FTK (11)
€4m
KA (10)
€4m
YS (10)
€3m
AKT (9)
€3m
IRT (13)
€2m
ATY (8)
€2m
KAI (10)
€2m
ZHE (10)
€2m
ZHE (9)
€2m
KYZ (10)
€1m
KAS (11)
€1m
OKZ (9)
€1m
A( (8)
€1m
ULY (7)
€1m
Ordabasy's defence is €3m more valuable than Kyzyl-Zhar's (€4m vs €1m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

8 previous meetings
3
ORD wins
5
Draws
0
KYZ wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Ordabasy vs Kyzyl-Zhar · H/A from ORD
DateH/AGameScore
28/08/25HORD Vs Kyzyl-Zhar0-0
05/07/25AKyzyl-Zhar Vs ORD0-0
25/06/25AKyzyl-Zhar Vs ORD0-0
30/03/25HORD Vs Kyzyl-Zhar0-0
03/10/24AKyzyl-Zhar Vs ORD0-1
20/04/24HORD Vs Kyzyl-Zhar1-1
22/07/23HORD Vs Kyzyl-Zhar2-1
28/05/23AKyzyl-Zhar Vs ORD0-1

OrdabasyOrdabasy

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
19/08/26AAltay (Kazakhstan) Vs ORD1-2
15/08/26HORD Vs Altay (Kazakhstan)3-1
08/08/26AZhetysu Vs ORD0-4
02/08/26HORD Vs FK Tobol Kostanay2-0
26/07/26AKairat Almaty Vs ORD2-1
19/07/26HORD Vs Yelimay Semey3-1
15/07/26HORD Vs Altay (Kazakhstan)3-1
13/05/26HORD Vs Zhetysu1-0
30/04/26HORD Vs Kaspiy3-0
08/04/26AAkademiya Ontustik Vs ORD2-4

Kyzyl-ZharKyzyl-Zhar

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
16/08/26HKYZ Vs FC Astana1-1
08/08/26AAltay (Kazakhstan) Vs KYZ2-2
01/08/26HKYZ Vs Aktobe3-1
25/07/26AZhetysu Vs KYZ1-2
13/05/26AZhenys Vs KYZ2-0
29/04/26AIrtysh Vs KYZ1-2
09/04/26AKhan Tengri Vs KYZ0-1
26/10/25AZhetysu Vs KYZ0-1
17/10/25HKYZ Vs Kairat Almaty0-1
27/09/25AAktobe Vs KYZ1-0

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Ordabasy
Ordabasy
Kazakhstan: Premier League
Recent: 9 Wins / 0 Draws / 1 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLWWWW1.60
HomeWWWWW1.89
AwayDWLWW1.26
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %46%56%35%
AVG goals2.642.562.74
Over 1.5 %66%63%70%
Over 2.5 %52%44%61%
Over 3.5 %30%30%30%
Scored1.581.701.43
Conceded1.060.851.30
BTTS48%44%52%
Clean Sheet38%44%30%
Corners---
Cards---
Kyzyl-Zhar
Kyzyl-Zhar
Kazakhstan: Premier League
Recent: 5 Wins / 2 Draws / 3 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLWWDD1.32
HomeDWLWD1.46
AwayWWLWD1.19
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %34%38%31%
AVG goals2.242.332.15
Over 1.5 %64%67%62%
Over 2.5 %38%33%42%
Over 3.5 %16%21%12%
Scored1.121.290.96
Conceded1.121.041.19
BTTS52%54%50%
Clean Sheet22%21%23%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1OrdabasyOrdabasy615
83%
2.5
164+12
3.3
100%
83%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
10
3342.70.7
-
2FC AstanaFC Astana513
80%
2.6
125+7
3.4
100%
60%
40%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
10
3252.41.0
-
3Kairat AlmatyKairat Almaty412
100%
3.0
103+7
3.2
100%
75%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
10
4242.50.8
-
4AktobeAktobe610
50%
1.7
1110+1
3.5
100%
83%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
10
5231.81.7
-
5OkzhetpesOkzhetpes59
60%
1.8
117+4
3.6
100%
80%
40%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
5
2112.21.4
-
6KaspiyKaspiy69
33%
1.5
109+1
3.2
83%
50%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
1211.71.5
-
7FK Tobol KostanayFK Tobol Kostanay59
60%
1.8
65+1
2.2
60%
20%
20%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
9
3241.21.0
-
8IrtyshIrtysh59
60%
1.8
89-1
3.4
100%
80%
40%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
1121.61.8
-
9Kyzyl-ZharKyzyl-Zhar58
40%
1.6
88+0
3.2
100%
80%
40%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
2111.61.6
-
10ZhenysZhenys47
50%
1.8
74+3
2.8
50%
50%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
2021.81.0
-
11Yelimay SemeyYelimay Semey66
17%
1.0
79-2
2.7
83%
50%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
8
4031.21.5
-
12UlytauUlytau54
20%
0.8
68-2
2.8
100%
60%
20%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1111.21.6
-
13KaisarKaisar52
0%
0.4
710-3
3.4
100%
60%
40%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
2121.42.0
-
14AtyrauAtyrau62
0%
0.3
511-6
2.7
83%
33%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
2120.81.8
-
15Altay (Kazakhstan)Altay (Kazakhstan)61
0%
0.2
718-11
4.2
83%
83%
83%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1111.23.0
-
16ZhetysuZhetysu51
0%
0.2
314-11
3.4
100%
80%
40%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1020.62.8
-
Kazakhstan: Premier League 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Kazakhstan: Premier League stats & trends →

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