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Ordabasy vs Zhetysu Result & Analysis

Date: 01/06/2024
Time: 16:00
Final 3-1
Ordabasy
Ordabasy
Vs
49%
29%
22%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Zhetysu
Zhetysu
Kazakhstan: Premier League
Referee: -

ðŸŽŊ 1. Model Analysis

Ordabasy win✓ Hit
48.9%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
28.6%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Zhetysu win✗ Miss
22.5%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

âš― 2. Goal Analysis

OrdabasyOrdabasy

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-550W11D12L10W20W11D11D00D10W00DH·SHA02/03A·ATY06/03H·KAI31/03A·TUR07/04A·TAR14/04H·KYZ20/04A·YEL28/04H·AKT08/05H·FK 12/05A·AKT18/05
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.500.771.640.711.380.81
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (14)1.070.931.000.861.141.00
vs Weaker (16)1.880.622.290.571.560.67
Clean sheet %47% (+19pp vs league)
This opponent (Zhetysu) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

ZhetysuZhetysu

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-322D02L10W00D01L10W21W01L32W00DA·AKT29/10H·FC 05/03A·ATY30/03A·KAI06/04A·AKT14/04H·SHA21/04H·AKT28/04A·FK 04/05A·TUR11/05H·KYZ19/05
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.001.230.861.431.121.06
vs Stronger (10)0.901.401.001.750.831.17
vs Similar (20)1.051.150.801.301.301.00
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %23% (-4pp vs league)
This opponent (Ordabasy) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

7%14%20%27%10%019%127%221%313%46%54%6+
The model estimates around 2.4 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (27%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
71.0%
Under 1.5
29.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
43.8%
Under 2.5
56.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
22.7%
Under 3.5
77.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
48.4%
No
51.6%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
13.6%
1-0
11.9%
0-0
10.0%
2-0
9.8%
2-1
9.2%
0-1
7.0%
1-2
5.8%
3-0
4.9%
Ordabasy goals ↓
Zhetysu goals →
01234
010%7.0%3.9%1.2%0.3%
112%14%5.8%1.8%0.4%
29.8%9.2%4.3%1.3%0.3%
34.9%4.6%2.1%0.7%0.2%
41.8%1.7%0.8%0.2%0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Ordabasy goals (down), columns = Zhetysu goals (across).

💊 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Kairat Almaty
1.96
FC Astana
1.92
Aktobe
1.79
Ordabasy
1.75
FK Tobol Kostanay
1.62
Yelimay Semey
1.54
Atyrau
1.46
Kaisar
1.42
Kyzyl-Zhar
1.21
Zhenys
1.00
Zhetysu
0.96
Turan Turkistan
0.83
Shakhter Karagandy
0.42
Ordabasy is 0.79 points better than Zhetysu in terms of average points per game (1.75 vs 0.96).

⚔ïļ Attack

Goals scored / game
FC Astana
1.62
Kairat Almaty
1.62
Aktobe
1.62
Ordabasy
1.50
Yelimay Semey
1.46
FK Tobol Kostanay
1.38
Kyzyl-Zhar
1.21
Atyrau
1.17
Kaisar
1.17
Zhenys
0.75
Zhetysu
0.71
Turan Turkistan
0.67
Shakhter Karagandy
0.50
Ordabasy is 0.79 goals better than Zhetysu in terms of goals scored per game (1.50 vs 0.71).

ðŸ›Ąïļ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
FC Astana
0.79
Atyrau
0.83
Kairat Almaty
0.88
FK Tobol Kostanay
0.96
Ordabasy
1.00
Kyzyl-Zhar
1.08
Aktobe
1.08
Kaisar
1.21
Yelimay Semey
1.33
Zhenys
1.33
Zhetysu
1.38
Turan Turkistan
1.62
Shakhter Karagandy
1.88
Ordabasy is 0.38 goals better than Zhetysu in terms of goals conceded per game (1.00 vs 1.38).

⏱ïļ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

ðŸŽē 4. Props Analysis

OrdabasyOrdabasy

For 3.0 · Against 7.0 · Total 10.0

ðŸšĐ Corners

12044210812A·LEGH·LEG
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.8 · Against 2.3 · Total 5.2

ðŸŸĻ Cards

804311355342072886H·SHAA·ZHEH·FC A·AKTA·LEGH·LEG
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 12.0 · Against 18.0 · Total 30.0

⚠ïļ Fouls

300121830A·LEG
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

ZhetysuZhetysu

ðŸšĐ Corners

No recent corners data for this league.
For 3.6 · Against 2.2 · Total 5.8

ðŸŸĻ Cards

70435134224176745A·AKTA·FC H·ORDA·FK H·KAI
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

⚠ïļ Fouls

No recent fouls data for this league.

OrdabasyOrdabasy

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)8.38.58.00.70.60.930.0-30.0
vs Stronger (0)---------
vs Similar (24)10.012.08.01.00.71.230.0-30.0
vs Weaker (26)5.05.0-0.50.40.5---
% over line33%50%0%10%9%11%100%-100%
% under line67%50%100%90%91%89%0%-0%
This opponent (Zhetysu) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

ZhetysuZhetysu

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)6.06.55.00.90.80.9---
vs Stronger (16)6.06.55.02.73.02.4---
vs Similar (33)---0.00.00.0---
vs Weaker (1)---0.0-0.0---
% over line0%0%0%14%12%17%---
% under line100%100%100%86%88%83%---
This opponent (Ordabasy) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

ðŸšĐ Total Corners

Match total corners / game
Kairat Almaty
11.0
Shakhter Karagandy
11.0
Aktobe
9.5
FK Tobol Kostanay
9.4
FC Astana
8.9
Kyzyl-Zhar
8.5
Ordabasy
8.3
Zhetysu
6.0

ðŸŸĻ Total Cards

Match total cards / game
Zhetysu
6.1
Aktobe
5.7
FK Tobol Kostanay
5.4
Ordabasy
5.1
Kaisar
5.0
Kairat Almaty
3.8
FC Astana
3.5
Kyzyl-Zhar
3.2
Shakhter Karagandy
2.3

⚠ïļ Total Fouls

Match total fouls / game
FK Tobol Kostanay
30.9
Ordabasy
30.0
Aktobe
27.0
FC Astana
25.2
Corners O/U 9.5
Over 9.5
33.0%
Under 9.5
67.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5
Over 3.5
52.6%
Under 3.5
47.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
0.0%
Under 21.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

ðŸĨ… 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖ïļ 7. Handicap

⏱ïļ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

OrdabasyOrdabasy

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-330W00D01L10W20W01L11D00D10W00DH·SHA02/03A·ATY06/03H·KAI31/03A·TUR07/04A·TAR14/04H·KYZ20/04A·YEL28/04H·AKT08/05H·FK 12/05A·AKT18/05
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.3
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.730.270.860.290.620.25
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (14)0.500.360.430.290.570.43
vs Weaker (16)0.940.191.290.290.670.11
Clean sheet %77% (+49pp vs league)
This opponent (Zhetysu) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

ZhetysuZhetysu

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-221W00D00D00D01L10W10W01L11D00DA·AKT29/10H·FC 05/03A·ATY30/03A·KAI06/04A·AKT14/04H·SHA21/04H·AKT28/04A·FK 04/05A·TUR11/05H·KYZ19/05
Avg total
0.9
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.4
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.430.670.430.710.440.62
vs Stronger (10)0.500.600.500.250.500.83
vs Similar (20)0.400.700.400.900.400.50
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %43% (+16pp vs league)
This opponent (Ordabasy) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸĨ… 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Ordabasy over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ordabasy over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ordabasy over/under 2.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Zhetysu over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Zhetysu over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Zhetysu over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱ïļ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

OrdabasyOrdabasy

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-220W11D11D00D00D10W00D00D00D00DH·SHA02/03A·ATY06/03H·KAI31/03A·TUR07/04A·TAR14/04H·KYZ20/04A·YEL28/04H·AKT08/05H·FK 12/05A·AKT18/05
Avg total
0.7
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.2
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.770.500.790.430.750.56
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (14)0.570.570.570.570.570.57
vs Weaker (16)0.940.441.000.290.890.56
Clean sheet %60% (+32pp vs league)
This opponent (Zhetysu) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

ZhetysuZhetysu

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-201L02L10W00D00D00D11D00D21W00DA·AKT29/10H·FC 05/03A·ATY30/03A·KAI06/04A·AKT14/04H·SHA21/04H·AKT28/04A·FK 04/05A·TUR11/05H·KYZ19/05
Avg total
0.9
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.570.570.430.710.690.44
vs Stronger (10)0.400.800.501.500.330.33
vs Similar (20)0.650.450.400.400.900.50
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %50% (+22pp vs league)
This opponent (Ordabasy) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸĨ… 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Ordabasy over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ordabasy over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ordabasy over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Zhetysu over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Zhetysu over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Zhetysu over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸ”Ĩ 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Under 11.5 corners86.0%--------
Under 5.5 cards81.6%--------
Under 10.5 corners77.8%--------
Under 3.577.3%-------✗ Miss
Over 2.5 cards73.1%--------
Over 1.571.0%-------✓ Hit

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ORD (22)
€10m
FA (25)
€10m
AKT (25)
€10m
KA (24)
€10m
FTK (23)
€9m
YS (23)
€8m
ATY (20)
€4m
KYZ (26)
€4m
KAI (25)
€4m
ZHE (18)
€4m
ZHE (21)
€3m
Ordabasy's squad is €7m more valuable than Zhetysu's (€10m vs €3m).

⚔ïļ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
AKT (12)
€5m
KA (9)
€4m
YS (11)
€4m
FTK (7)
€3m
ORD (8)
€3m
FA (9)
€3m
KAI (11)
€2m
KYZ (9)
€2m
ATY (7)
€2m
ZHE (6)
€2m
ZHE (8)
€1m
Ordabasy's attack is €2m more valuable than Zhetysu's (€3m vs €1m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ORD (4)
€3m
FA (3)
€2m
KA (5)
€2m
FTK (5)
€2m
AKT (4)
€2m
KYZ (7)
€1m
ATY (5)
€1m
KAI (4)
€1m
ZHE (3)
€0m
YS (2)
€0m
ZHE (3)
€0m
Ordabasy's midfield is €2m more valuable than Zhetysu's (€3m vs €0m).

ðŸ›Ąïļ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FA (13)
€5m
ORD (10)
€4m
FTK (11)
€4m
KA (10)
€4m
YS (10)
€3m
AKT (9)
€3m
ATY (8)
€2m
KAI (10)
€2m
ZHE (10)
€2m
ZHE (9)
€2m
KYZ (10)
€1m
Ordabasy's defence is €3m more valuable than Zhetysu's (€4m vs €2m).

ðŸĪ 15. Games History

H2H record

2 previous meetings
2
ORD wins
0
Draws
0
ZHE wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Ordabasy vs Zhetysu · H/A from ORD
DateH/AGameScore
01/10/23AZhetysu Vs ORD1-2
14/03/23HORD Vs Zhetysu2-0

OrdabasyOrdabasy

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
18/05/24AAktobe Vs ORD0-0
12/05/24HORD Vs FK Tobol Kostanay1-0
08/05/24HORD Vs Aktobe0-0
28/04/24AYelimay Semey Vs ORD1-1
20/04/24HORD Vs Kyzyl-Zhar1-1
14/04/24ATaraz Vs ORD0-2
07/04/24ATuran Turkistan Vs ORD0-1
31/03/24HORD Vs Kairat Almaty1-2
06/03/24AAtyrau Vs ORD1-1
02/03/24HORD Vs Shakhter Karagandy5-0

ZhetysuZhetysu

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
19/05/24HZHE Vs Kyzyl-Zhar0-0
11/05/24ATuran Turkistan Vs ZHE2-3
04/05/24AFK Tobol Kostanay Vs ZHE1-0
28/04/24HZHE Vs Aktobe2-1
21/04/24HZHE Vs Shakhter Karagandy1-0
14/04/24AAktobe Vs ZHE1-0
06/04/24AKairat Almaty Vs ZHE0-0
30/03/24AAtyrau Vs ZHE0-1
05/03/24HZHE Vs FC Astana0-2
29/10/23AAktobe Vs ZHE2-2

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Ordabasy
Ordabasy
Kazakhstan: Premier League
Recent: 4 Wins / 5 Draws / 1 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDDDWD1.82
HomeWLDDW2.21
AwayDWWDD1.46
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %52%67%38%
AVG goals2.722.712.73
Over 1.5 %74%75%73%
Over 2.5 %54%54%54%
Over 3.5 %36%33%38%
Scored1.601.961.27
Conceded1.120.751.46
BTTS52%54%50%
Clean Sheet38%46%31%
Corners8.338.508.00
Cards5.143.257.67
Zhetysu
Zhetysu
Kazakhstan: Premier League
Recent: 4 Wins / 3 Draws / 3 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWWLWD1.68
HomeLLWWD1.52
AwayWDLLW1.84
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %50%44%56%
AVG goals2.622.642.60
Over 1.5 %70%76%64%
Over 2.5 %52%48%56%
Over 3.5 %26%28%24%
Scored1.521.441.60
Conceded1.101.201.00
BTTS52%52%52%
Clean Sheet28%24%32%
Corners6.006.505.00
Cards6.147.005.50

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value ₮mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1Kairat AlmatyKairat Almaty2447
58%
2.0
3921+18
2.5
62%
50%
25%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
10
4241.60.9
-
2FC AstanaFC Astana2446
58%
1.9
3919+20
2.4
67%
38%
21%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
10
3251.60.8
-
3AktobeAktobe2443
50%
1.8
3926+13
2.7
88%
50%
25%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
10
5231.61.1
-
4OrdabasyOrdabasy2442
50%
1.8
3624+12
2.5
71%
46%
21%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
10
3341.51.0
-
5FK Tobol KostanayFK Tobol Kostanay2439
46%
1.6
3323+10
2.3
62%
42%
17%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
9
3241.41.0
-
6Yelimay SemeyYelimay Semey2437
42%
1.5
3532+3
2.8
79%
58%
25%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
8
4031.51.3
-
7AtyrauAtyrau2435
38%
1.5
2820+8
2.0
58%
29%
12%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
2121.20.8
-
8KaisarKaisar2434
38%
1.4
2829-1
2.4
62%
42%
17%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
2121.21.2
-
9Kyzyl-ZharKyzyl-Zhar2429
33%
1.2
2926+3
2.3
67%
38%
12%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
2111.21.1
-
10ZhenysZhenys2424
25%
1.0
1832-14
2.1
62%
38%
12%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
2020.81.3
-
11ZhetysuZhetysu2423
21%
1.0
1733-16
2.1
62%
42%
17%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1020.71.4
-
12Turan TurkistanTuran Turkistan2420
21%
0.8
1639-23
2.3
67%
33%
17%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.71.6
-
13Shakhter KaragandyShakhter Karagandy2410
8%
0.4
1245-33
2.4
58%
46%
21%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.51.9
-
14FK AksuFK Aksu00
0%
0.0
00+0
-
0%
0%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.00.0
-
Kazakhstan: Premier League 2024/25 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Kazakhstan: Premier League stats & trends →

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