The encounter between Ordino and Atlètic Club d'Escaldes is a tight one, with the model favouring an away win. Home odds sit at 32%, a draw at 27% and the visitors at 41%. The expected total of 2.9 goals points to a moderately high-scoring affair, yet the most likely total is 2 goals, a 25% chance. The single score the model deems most probable is 1-1, with a 12.9% probability, reflecting the balanced nature of the match.
Ordino, playing at home against a stronger opponent, averages 0.38 goals scored and 1.88 conceded, while Atlètic Club d'Escaldes, on the road against a weaker side, nets 2.4 and concedes only 0.4. Recent form shows Ordino coming off a draw, whereas the visitors arrive after a win.
The model’s selections include Under 7.5 (99.1%), Under 6.5 (97.3%), Home under 3.5 goals (95.4%), Away under 3.5 goals (93.2%), Under 5.5 (93.0%), Away +2 handicap (85.3%), Home under 2.5 goals (85.0%) and Under 4.5 (83.9%).
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🎯 1. Model Analysis
Ordino win
32.1%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw
27.2%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Atlètic Club d'Escaldes win
40.6%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
Ordino
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.6
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
1.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.20
1.73
1.38
1.62
1.00
1.86
vs Stronger (17)
0.41
1.88
0.38
1.88
0.44
1.89
vs Similar (12)
2.25
1.58
2.38
1.38
2.00
2.00
vs Weaker (1)
2.00
1.00
-
-
2.00
1.00
Clean sheet %
13% (-19pp vs league)
This opponent (Atlètic Club d'Escaldes) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Atlètic Club d'Escaldes
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.6
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
1.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.60
1.10
1.81
0.88
1.36
1.36
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (16)
0.94
1.81
1.14
1.71
0.78
1.89
vs Weaker (14)
2.36
0.29
2.33
0.22
2.40
0.40
Clean sheet %
40% (+7pp vs league)
This opponent (Ordino) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.9 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (25%).
Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
79.0%
Under 1.5
21.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
54.3%
Under 2.5
45.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5
Over 3.5
32.0%
Under 3.5
68.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to score
Yes
58.7%
No
41.3%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
12.9%
1-2
8.9%
2-1
7.8%
0-1
7.6%
0-0
6.9%
0-2
6.7%
1-0
6.5%
2-2
5.9%
Ordino goals ↓
Atlètic Club d'Escaldes goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
6.9%
7.6%
6.7%
3.4%
1.3%
1
6.5%
13%
8.9%
4.5%
1.7%
2
5.1%
7.8%
5.9%
3.0%
1.1%
3
2.3%
3.5%
2.6%
1.3%
0.5%
4
0.8%
1.2%
0.9%
0.4%
0.2%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Ordino goals (down), columns = Atlètic Club d'Escaldes goals (across).
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💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Inter Club d'Escaldes
2.25
Ranger's
2.00
FC Santa Coloma
1.83
Atlètic Club d'Escaldes
1.42
Casa de Portugal
1.22
Penya Encarnada
1.00
Ordino
0.92
Carroi
0.72
Esperança d'Andorra
0.65
Sporting Escaldes
0.00
Ordino is 0.50 points worse than Atlètic Club d'Escaldes in terms of average points per game (0.92 vs 1.42).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Inter Club d'Escaldes
1.96
Ranger's
1.92
FC Santa Coloma
1.88
Atlètic Club d'Escaldes
1.29
Casa de Portugal
1.16
Ordino
1.12
Penya Encarnada
0.79
Esperança d'Andorra
0.77
Carroi
0.60
Sporting Escaldes
0.50
Ordino is 0.17 goals worse than Atlètic Club d'Escaldes in terms of goals scored per game (1.12 vs 1.29).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
FC Santa Coloma
0.83
Ranger's
0.92
Inter Club d'Escaldes
1.00
Atlètic Club d'Escaldes
1.08
Casa de Portugal
1.44
Penya Encarnada
1.71
Ordino
1.75
Esperança d'Andorra
1.85
Carroi
2.20
Sporting Escaldes
2.50
Ordino is 0.67 goals worse than Atlètic Club d'Escaldes in terms of goals conceded per game (1.75 vs 1.08).
⏱️ Possession
Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Ordino or Draw
59.4%
Avg Implied -
32%
27%
41%
covers Ordino + Draw
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Ordino or Atlètic Club d'Escaldes
72.8%
Avg Implied -
32%
27%
41%
covers Ordino + Atlètic Club d'Escaldes
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw or Atlètic Club d'Escaldes
67.9%
Avg Implied -
32%
27%
41%
covers Draw + Atlètic Club d'Escaldes
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
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🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
Home & Away Over/Under
How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Ordino over/under 0.5
Over
73.6%
Under
26.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ordino over/under 1.5
Over
38.5%
Under
61.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ordino over/under 2.5
Over
15.0%
Under
85.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ordino over/under 3.5
Over
4.6%
Under
95.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Atlètic Club d'Escaldes over/under 0.5
Over
78.2%
Under
21.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Atlètic Club d'Escaldes over/under 1.5
Over
44.9%
Under
55.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Atlètic Club d'Escaldes over/under 2.5
Over
19.7%
Under
80.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Atlètic Club d'Escaldes over/under 3.5
Over
6.8%
Under
93.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⚖️ 7. Handicap
Handicap
The handicap is applied to Ordino, so a minus line means Ordino give that many goals of a start and Atlètic Club d'Escaldes receive them. At -1, Ordino must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Ordino win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Ordino)
Ordino -2
5.2%
Draw -2
9.6%
Atlètic Club d'Escaldes +2
85.3%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap -1 (Ordino)
Ordino -1
14.7%
Draw -1
17.4%
Atlètic Club d'Escaldes +1
67.9%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +1 (Ordino)
Ordino +1
59.4%
Draw +1
20.1%
Atlètic Club d'Escaldes -1
20.6%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +2 (Ordino)
Ordino +2
79.4%
Draw +2
12.5%
Atlètic Club d'Escaldes -2
8.1%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Ordino
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.6
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
0.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.37
0.77
0.44
0.75
0.29
0.79
vs Stronger (17)
0.06
0.94
0.00
1.00
0.11
0.89
vs Similar (12)
0.83
0.50
0.88
0.50
0.75
0.50
vs Weaker (1)
0.00
1.00
-
-
0.00
1.00
Clean sheet %
47% (+14pp vs league)
This opponent (Atlètic Club d'Escaldes) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Atlètic Club d'Escaldes
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.80
0.40
1.12
0.31
0.43
0.50
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (16)
0.50
0.75
0.71
0.71
0.33
0.78
vs Weaker (14)
1.14
0.00
1.44
0.00
0.60
0.00
Clean sheet %
67% (+34pp vs league)
This opponent (Ordino) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
No half-time model prices for this fixture yet - the form above is the record.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Ordino over/under 0.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ordino over/under 1.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ordino over/under 2.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Atlètic Club d'Escaldes over/under 0.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Atlètic Club d'Escaldes over/under 1.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Atlètic Club d'Escaldes over/under 2.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Ordino
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.0
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
1.1
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.83
0.97
0.94
0.88
0.71
1.07
vs Stronger (17)
0.35
0.94
0.38
0.88
0.33
1.00
vs Similar (12)
1.42
1.08
1.50
0.88
1.25
1.50
vs Weaker (1)
2.00
0.00
-
-
2.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
43% (+11pp vs league)
This opponent (Atlètic Club d'Escaldes) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Atlètic Club d'Escaldes
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.80
0.70
0.69
0.56
0.93
0.86
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (16)
0.44
1.06
0.43
1.00
0.44
1.11
vs Weaker (14)
1.21
0.29
0.89
0.22
1.80
0.40
Clean sheet %
50% (+17pp vs league)
This opponent (Ordino) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
No second-half model prices for this fixture yet - the form above is the record.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Ordino over/under 0.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ordino over/under 1.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ordino over/under 2.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Atlètic Club d'Escaldes over/under 0.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Atlètic Club d'Escaldes over/under 1.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Atlètic Club d'Escaldes over/under 2.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
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🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Under 7.5
99.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 6.5
97.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home under 3.5 goals
95.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 3.5 goals
93.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 5.5
93.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away +2 handicap
85.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home under 2.5 goals
85.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 4.5
83.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 2.5 goals
80.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home +2 handicap
79.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 1.5
79.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away over 0.5 goals
78.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home over 0.5 goals
73.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home or Away
72.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
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💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ICD (25)
€4m
RAN (24)
€4m
ACD (25)
€3m
FSC (28)
€3m
PE (26)
€3m
CAR (21)
€2m
ED (16)
€2m
ORD (22)
€2m
SE (1)
€0m
Ordino's squad is €2m less valuable than Atlètic Club d'Escaldes's (€2m vs €3m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ICD (9)
€2m
FSC (10)
€2m
RAN (8)
€1m
ORD (6)
€1m
ED (6)
€1m
ACD (5)
€1m
PE (6)
€1m
CAR (4)
€0m
SE (1)
€0m
Ordino and Atlètic Club d'Escaldes have a similar attack value (both €1m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ACD (8)
€1m
RAN (4)
€1m
CAR (7)
€1m
ICD (4)
€1m
PE (5)
€1m
FSC (5)
€1m
ED (2)
€0m
ORD (4)
€0m
SE (0)
€0m
Ordino and Atlètic Club d'Escaldes have a similar midfield value (both €0m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
PE (15)
€2m
RAN (12)
€2m
ACD (12)
€2m
ICD (12)
€2m
FSC (13)
€1m
CAR (10)
€1m
ED (8)
€1m
ORD (12)
€1m
SE (0)
€0m
Ordino's defence is €1m less valuable than Atlètic Club d'Escaldes's (€1m vs €2m).
Andorra: 1a Divisió 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Andorra: 1a Divisió stats & trends →