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Ordino vs Carroi Prediction & Stats

Date: 25/10/2026
Time: 16:00
Ordino
Ordino
Vs
61%
23%
16%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Carroi
Carroi
Andorra: 1a Divisió
Referee: -
Match preview & prediction

Ordino are the clear favourites to win, with a 61% chance of triumph, a 23% chance of a draw and a 16% chance of Carroi winning. The model predicts an average of 2.9 goals, most likely a 2-goal total, and the single most probable scoreline is 1-1 at 11%. Ordino, playing at home against a similarly ranked opponent, normally scores 2.38 goals and concedes 1.38, while Carroi, on the road, averages 1.25 goals scored and 2.25 conceded against comparable opposition. Suggested picks include Under 7.5 goals at 98.9%, Away under 3.5 goals at 98.4%, Under 6.5 at 96.9%, Home +2 handicap at 94.2%, Away under 2.5 goals at 92.8%, Under 5.5 at 92.1%, Home over 0.5 goals at 86.4% and Home under 3.5 goals at 85.8%. Ordino’s recent draw against Esperança d'Andorra and Carroi’s recent win over Inter Club d'Escaldes set the stage for a tight contest, but the odds favour Ordino to edge out the visitors.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Ordino win
60.7%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw
23.1%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Carroi win
16.3%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

OrdinoOrdino

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-502L21W12L12L00D50W04L01L10W22DH·INT08/02H·FC 15/02A·UE 22/02H·RAN07/03A·ATL22/03H·CAR11/04A·INT19/04H·PEN26/04A·FC 10/05H·ESP16/05
Avg total
2.6
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
1.4
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.201.731.381.621.001.86
vs Stronger (17)0.411.880.381.880.441.89
vs Similar (12)2.251.582.381.382.002.00
vs Weaker (1)2.001.00--2.001.00
Clean sheet %13% (-19pp vs league)
This opponent (Carroi) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

CarroiCarroi

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-503L00D00D02L14L00D05L12L03L21WH·RAN08/02A·ESP15/02A·PEN22/02H·FC 01/03A·ESP08/03H·UE 22/03A·ORD11/04H·RAN19/04A·ATL26/04H·INT16/05
Avg total
2.4
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
2.0
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.802.000.871.400.732.60
vs Stronger (14)0.432.500.712.000.143.00
vs Similar (14)1.211.791.171.171.252.25
vs Weaker (2)0.500.000.500.00--
Clean sheet %27% (-6pp vs league)
This opponent (Ordino) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%12%18%24%6%013%124%222%317%410%58%6+
The model estimates around 2.9 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (24%).
Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
80.3%
Under 1.5
19.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
56.5%
Under 2.5
43.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5
Over 3.5
34.1%
Under 3.5
65.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to score
Yes
54.0%
No
46.0%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
11.0%
2-0
10.5%
2-1
9.9%
1-0
9.5%
3-0
7.0%
3-1
6.6%
0-0
6.2%
1-2
4.7%
Ordino goals ↓
Carroi goals →
01234
06.2%4.0%2.4%0.8%0.2%
19.5%11%4.7%1.5%0.4%
210%9.9%4.7%1.5%0.4%
37.0%6.6%3.1%1.0%0.2%
43.5%3.3%1.6%0.5%0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Ordino goals (down), columns = Carroi goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Inter Club d'Escaldes
2.25
Ranger's
2.00
FC Santa Coloma
1.83
Atlètic Club d'Escaldes
1.42
Casa de Portugal
1.22
Penya Encarnada
1.00
Ordino
0.92
Carroi
0.72
Esperança d'Andorra
0.65
Sporting Escaldes
0.00
Ordino is 0.20 points better than Carroi in terms of average points per game (0.92 vs 0.72).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Inter Club d'Escaldes
1.96
Ranger's
1.92
FC Santa Coloma
1.88
Atlètic Club d'Escaldes
1.29
Casa de Portugal
1.16
Ordino
1.12
Penya Encarnada
0.79
Esperança d'Andorra
0.77
Carroi
0.60
Sporting Escaldes
0.50
Ordino is 0.53 goals better than Carroi in terms of goals scored per game (1.12 vs 0.60).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
FC Santa Coloma
0.83
Ranger's
0.92
Inter Club d'Escaldes
1.00
Atlètic Club d'Escaldes
1.08
Casa de Portugal
1.44
Penya Encarnada
1.71
Ordino
1.75
Esperança d'Andorra
1.85
Carroi
2.20
Sporting Escaldes
2.50
Ordino is 0.45 goals better than Carroi in terms of goals conceded per game (1.75 vs 2.20).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Ordino or Draw
83.7%
Avg Implied -
61%
23%
16%
covers Ordino + Draw
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Ordino or Carroi
76.9%
Avg Implied -
61%
23%
16%
covers Ordino + Carroi
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw or Carroi
39.3%
Avg Implied -
61%
23%
16%
covers Draw + Carroi
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

Home & Away Over/Under

How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Ordino over/under 0.5
Over
86.4%
Under
13.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ordino over/under 1.5
Over
59.3%
Under
40.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ordino over/under 2.5
Over
32.2%
Under
67.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ordino over/under 3.5
Over
14.2%
Under
85.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Carroi over/under 0.5
Over
61.4%
Under
38.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Carroi over/under 1.5
Over
24.6%
Under
75.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Carroi over/under 2.5
Over
7.2%
Under
92.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Carroi over/under 3.5
Over
1.6%
Under
98.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⚖️ 7. Handicap

Handicap

The handicap is applied to Ordino, so a minus line means Ordino give that many goals of a start and Carroi receive them. At -1, Ordino must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Ordino win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Ordino)
Ordino -2
18.7%
Draw -2
18.9%
Carroi +2
62.5%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap -1 (Ordino)
Ordino -1
37.5%
Draw -1
23.1%
Carroi +1
39.3%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +1 (Ordino)
Ordino +1
83.7%
Draw +1
10.5%
Carroi -1
5.8%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +2 (Ordino)
Ordino +2
94.2%
Draw +2
4.3%
Carroi -2
1.5%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

OrdinoOrdino

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-200D00D01L00D00D20W02L00D00D10WH·INT08/02H·FC 15/02A·UE 22/02H·RAN07/03A·ATL22/03H·CAR11/04A·INT19/04H·PEN26/04A·FC 10/05H·ESP16/05
Avg total
0.6
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
0.3
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.370.770.440.750.290.79
vs Stronger (17)0.060.940.001.000.110.89
vs Similar (12)0.830.500.880.500.750.50
vs Weaker (1)0.001.00--0.001.00
Clean sheet %47% (+14pp vs league)
This opponent (Carroi) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

CarroiCarroi

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-202L00D00D00D01L00D02L10W01L11DH·RAN08/02A·ESP15/02A·PEN22/02H·FC 01/03A·ESP08/03H·UE 22/03A·ORD11/04H·RAN19/04A·ATL26/04H·INT16/05
Avg total
0.9
Avg scored
0.2
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.470.730.400.530.530.93
vs Stronger (12)0.081.170.171.000.001.33
vs Similar (16)0.690.500.430.290.890.67
vs Weaker (2)1.000.001.000.00--
Clean sheet %53% (+21pp vs league)
This opponent (Ordino) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
No half-time model prices for this fixture yet - the form above is the record.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Ordino over/under 0.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ordino over/under 1.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ordino over/under 2.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Carroi over/under 0.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Carroi over/under 1.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Carroi over/under 2.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

OrdinoOrdino

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-302L21W11D12L00D30W02L01L10W12LH·INT08/02H·FC 15/02A·UE 22/02H·RAN07/03A·ATL22/03H·CAR11/04A·INT19/04H·PEN26/04A·FC 10/05H·ESP16/05
Avg total
2.0
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
1.1
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.830.970.940.880.711.07
vs Stronger (17)0.350.940.380.880.331.00
vs Similar (12)1.421.081.500.881.251.50
vs Weaker (1)2.000.00--2.000.00
Clean sheet %43% (+11pp vs league)
This opponent (Carroi) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

CarroiCarroi

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-301L00D00D02L13L00D03L02L02L10WH·RAN08/02A·ESP15/02A·PEN22/02H·FC 01/03A·ESP08/03H·UE 22/03A·ORD11/04H·RAN19/04A·ATL26/04H·INT16/05
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.2
Avg conceded
1.3
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.731.170.730.870.731.47
vs Stronger (12)0.421.420.671.170.171.67
vs Similar (16)1.001.060.860.711.111.33
vs Weaker (2)0.500.500.500.50--
Clean sheet %37% (+4pp vs league)
This opponent (Ordino) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
No second-half model prices for this fixture yet - the form above is the record.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Ordino over/under 0.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ordino over/under 1.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ordino over/under 2.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Carroi over/under 0.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Carroi over/under 1.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Carroi over/under 2.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5Edge
Under 7.598.9%-------
Away under 3.5 goals98.4%-------
Under 6.596.9%-------
Home +2 handicap94.2%-------
Away under 2.5 goals92.8%-------
Under 5.592.1%-------
Home over 0.5 goals86.4%-------
Home under 3.5 goals85.8%-------
Home or Draw83.7%-------
Home +1 handicap83.7%-------
Under 4.582.4%-------
Over 1.580.3%-------
Home or Away76.9%-------
Away under 1.5 goals75.4%-------

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ICD (25)
€4m
RAN (24)
€4m
ACD (25)
€3m
FSC (28)
€3m
PE (26)
€3m
CAR (21)
€2m
ED (16)
€2m
ORD (22)
€2m
SE (1)
€0m
Ordino and Carroi have a similar squad value (both €2m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ICD (9)
€2m
FSC (10)
€2m
RAN (8)
€1m
ORD (6)
€1m
ED (6)
€1m
ACD (5)
€1m
PE (6)
€1m
CAR (4)
€0m
SE (1)
€0m
Ordino and Carroi have a similar attack value (both €1m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ACD (8)
€1m
RAN (4)
€1m
CAR (7)
€1m
ICD (4)
€1m
PE (5)
€1m
FSC (5)
€1m
ED (2)
€0m
ORD (4)
€0m
SE (0)
€0m
Ordino and Carroi have a similar midfield value (both €0m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
PE (15)
€2m
RAN (12)
€2m
ACD (12)
€2m
ICD (12)
€2m
FSC (13)
€1m
CAR (10)
€1m
ED (8)
€1m
ORD (12)
€1m
SE (0)
€0m
Ordino and Carroi have a similar defence value (both €1m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

6 previous meetings
4
ORD wins
1
Draws
1
CAR wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Ordino vs Carroi · H/A from ORD
DateH/AGameScore
11/04/26HORD Vs Carroi5-0
20/12/25ACarroi Vs ORD3-1
09/11/25HORD Vs Carroi3-1
19/05/24HORD Vs Carroi1-1
18/02/24ACarroi Vs ORD0-2
08/10/23HORD Vs Carroi4-0

OrdinoOrdino

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
16/05/26HORD Vs Esperança d'Andorra2-2
10/05/26AFC Santa Coloma Vs ORD0-1
26/04/26HORD Vs Penya Encarnada0-1
19/04/26AInter Club d'Escaldes Vs ORD4-0
11/04/26HORD Vs Carroi5-0
22/03/26AAtlètic Club d'Escaldes Vs ORD0-0
07/03/26HORD Vs Ranger's1-2
22/02/26AUE Santa Coloma Vs ORD2-1
15/02/26HORD Vs FC Santa Coloma2-1
08/02/26HORD Vs Inter Club d'Escaldes0-2

CarroiCarroi

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
16/05/26HCAR Vs Inter Club d'Escaldes2-1
26/04/26AAtlètic Club d'Escaldes Vs CAR3-0
19/04/26HCAR Vs Ranger's1-2
11/04/26AOrdino Vs CAR5-0
22/03/26HCAR Vs UE Santa Coloma0-0
08/03/26AEsperança d'Andorra Vs CAR4-1
01/03/26HCAR Vs FC Santa Coloma0-2
22/02/26APenya Encarnada Vs CAR0-0
15/02/26AEsperança d'Andorra Vs CAR0-0
08/02/26HCAR Vs Ranger's0-3

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Ordino
Ordino
Andorra: 1a Divisió
Recent: 3 Wins / 2 Draws / 5 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWLLWD1.04
HomeWLWLD1.12
AwayLLDLW0.96
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %28%31%25%
AVG goals2.922.962.88
Over 1.5 %80%85%75%
Over 2.5 %64%58%71%
Over 3.5 %38%38%38%
Scored1.141.310.96
Conceded1.781.651.92
BTTS50%54%46%
Clean Sheet14%8%21%
Corners---
Cards---
Carroi
Carroi
Andorra: 1a Divisió
Recent: 1 Wins / 3 Draws / 6 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDLLLW1.14
HomeLLDLW1.42
AwayDDLLL0.88
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %32%42%23%
AVG goals3.002.583.38
Over 1.5 %76%71%81%
Over 2.5 %62%54%69%
Over 3.5 %36%29%42%
Scored1.181.171.19
Conceded1.821.422.19
BTTS40%46%35%
Clean Sheet26%25%27%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1Inter Club dInter Club d'Escaldes00
0%
0.0
00+0
-
0%
0%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
2120.00.0
-
2Atlètic Club dAtlètic Club d'Escaldes00
0%
0.0
00+0
-
0%
0%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1120.00.0
-
3FC Santa ColomaFC Santa Coloma00
0%
0.0
00+0
-
0%
0%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
2110.00.0
-
4Esperança dEsperança d'Andorra00
0%
0.0
00+0
-
0%
0%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1010.00.0
-
5Sporting EscaldesSporting Escaldes00
0%
0.0
00+0
-
0%
0%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.00.0
-
6Penya EncarnadaPenya Encarnada00
0%
0.0
00+0
-
0%
0%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1120.00.0
-
7RangerRanger's00
0%
0.0
00+0
-
0%
0%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
1120.00.0
-
8OrdinoOrdino00
0%
0.0
00+0
-
0%
0%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1010.00.0
-
9CarroiCarroi00
0%
0.0
00+0
-
0%
0%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
0110.00.0
-
10Casa de PortugalCasa de Portugal00
0%
0.0
00+0
-
0%
0%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.00.0
-
Andorra: 1a Divisió 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Andorra: 1a Divisió stats & trends →

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