Ordino’s recent draw and Inter Club d’Escaldes’ 0-0 stalemate hint at a cautious start, yet the numbers point to a high-scoring affair. The model favours an away win, with a 53% chance of Inter Club d’Escaldes taking the victory, 23% for Ordino and 24% for a draw. The expected total of 3.2 goals translates into a 3-goal average, and the most likely scoreline is 1-1, a 11% probability. Ordino, playing at home against a stronger opponent, averages only 0.38 goals scored and concedes 1.88, whereas Inter Club d’Escaldes, on the road against a weaker side, scores 2.0 and concedes 1.0. The model’s selections include Under 7.5 (98.4%), Home under 3.5 goals (96.2%), Under 6.5 (95.6%), Away +2 handicap (90.1%), Under 5.5 (89.6%), Home under 2.5 goals (87.0%), Away under 3.5 goals (86.7%) and Away over 0.5 goals (85.7%). All probabilities are expressed as percentages.
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🎯 1. Model Analysis
Ordino win
23.3%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw
24.0%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Inter Club d'Escaldes win
52.7%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
Ordino
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.6
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
1.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.20
1.73
1.38
1.62
1.00
1.86
vs Stronger (17)
0.41
1.88
0.38
1.88
0.44
1.89
vs Similar (12)
2.25
1.58
2.38
1.38
2.00
2.00
vs Weaker (1)
2.00
1.00
-
-
2.00
1.00
Clean sheet %
13% (-19pp vs league)
This opponent (Inter Club d'Escaldes) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Inter Club d'Escaldes
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.3
Avg scored
2.2
Avg conceded
1.1
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.93
1.03
1.88
0.62
2.00
1.50
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (15)
1.73
1.27
1.43
0.57
2.00
1.88
vs Weaker (15)
2.13
0.80
2.22
0.67
2.00
1.00
Clean sheet %
40% (+7pp vs league)
This opponent (Ordino) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 3.2 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 3 (22%).
Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
83.7%
Under 1.5
16.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
61.7%
Under 2.5
38.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5
Over 3.5
39.5%
Under 3.5
60.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to score
Yes
62.0%
No
38.0%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
11.0%
1-2
9.7%
0-2
7.8%
0-1
7.0%
1-3
6.3%
2-1
6.2%
2-2
6.0%
0-0
5.1%
Ordino goals ↓
Inter Club d'Escaldes goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
5.1%
7.0%
7.8%
5.1%
2.5%
1
4.1%
11%
9.7%
6.3%
3.1%
2
3.2%
6.2%
6.0%
3.9%
1.9%
3
1.3%
2.6%
2.5%
1.6%
0.8%
4
0.4%
0.8%
0.8%
0.5%
0.2%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Ordino goals (down), columns = Inter Club d'Escaldes goals (across).
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💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Inter Club d'Escaldes
2.25
Ranger's
2.00
FC Santa Coloma
1.83
Atlètic Club d'Escaldes
1.42
Casa de Portugal
1.22
Penya Encarnada
1.00
Ordino
0.92
Carroi
0.72
Esperança d'Andorra
0.65
Sporting Escaldes
0.00
Ordino is 1.33 points worse than Inter Club d'Escaldes in terms of average points per game (0.92 vs 2.25).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Inter Club d'Escaldes
1.96
Ranger's
1.92
FC Santa Coloma
1.88
Atlètic Club d'Escaldes
1.29
Casa de Portugal
1.16
Ordino
1.12
Penya Encarnada
0.79
Esperança d'Andorra
0.77
Carroi
0.60
Sporting Escaldes
0.50
Ordino is 0.83 goals worse than Inter Club d'Escaldes in terms of goals scored per game (1.12 vs 1.96).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
FC Santa Coloma
0.83
Ranger's
0.92
Inter Club d'Escaldes
1.00
Atlètic Club d'Escaldes
1.08
Casa de Portugal
1.44
Penya Encarnada
1.71
Ordino
1.75
Esperança d'Andorra
1.85
Carroi
2.20
Sporting Escaldes
2.50
Ordino is 0.75 goals worse than Inter Club d'Escaldes in terms of goals conceded per game (1.75 vs 1.00).
⏱️ Possession
Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Ordino or Draw
47.3%
Avg Implied -
23%
24%
53%
covers Ordino + Draw
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Ordino or Inter Club d'Escaldes
76.0%
Avg Implied -
23%
24%
53%
covers Ordino + Inter Club d'Escaldes
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw or Inter Club d'Escaldes
76.7%
Avg Implied -
23%
24%
53%
covers Draw + Inter Club d'Escaldes
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
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🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
Home & Away Over/Under
How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Ordino over/under 0.5
Over
71.2%
Under
28.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ordino over/under 1.5
Over
35.3%
Under
64.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ordino over/under 2.5
Over
13.0%
Under
87.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ordino over/under 3.5
Over
3.8%
Under
96.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Inter Club d'Escaldes over/under 0.5
Over
85.7%
Under
14.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Inter Club d'Escaldes over/under 1.5
Over
57.8%
Under
42.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Inter Club d'Escaldes over/under 2.5
Over
30.8%
Under
69.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Inter Club d'Escaldes over/under 3.5
Over
13.3%
Under
86.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⚖️ 7. Handicap
Handicap
The handicap is applied to Ordino, so a minus line means Ordino give that many goals of a start and Inter Club d'Escaldes receive them. At -1, Ordino must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Ordino win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Ordino)
Ordino -2
3.2%
Draw -2
6.7%
Inter Club d'Escaldes +2
90.1%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap -1 (Ordino)
Ordino -1
9.9%
Draw -1
13.4%
Inter Club d'Escaldes +1
76.7%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +1 (Ordino)
Ordino +1
47.3%
Draw +1
21.5%
Inter Club d'Escaldes -1
31.2%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +2 (Ordino)
Ordino +2
68.8%
Draw +2
16.3%
Inter Club d'Escaldes -2
14.8%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Ordino
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.6
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
0.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.37
0.77
0.44
0.75
0.29
0.79
vs Stronger (17)
0.06
0.94
0.00
1.00
0.11
0.89
vs Similar (12)
0.83
0.50
0.88
0.50
0.75
0.50
vs Weaker (1)
0.00
1.00
-
-
0.00
1.00
Clean sheet %
47% (+14pp vs league)
This opponent (Inter Club d'Escaldes) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Inter Club d'Escaldes
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.83
0.40
0.75
0.19
0.93
0.64
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (15)
0.67
0.47
0.57
0.29
0.75
0.62
vs Weaker (15)
1.00
0.33
0.89
0.11
1.17
0.67
Clean sheet %
67% (+34pp vs league)
This opponent (Ordino) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
No half-time model prices for this fixture yet - the form above is the record.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Ordino over/under 0.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ordino over/under 1.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ordino over/under 2.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Inter Club d'Escaldes over/under 0.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Inter Club d'Escaldes over/under 1.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Inter Club d'Escaldes over/under 2.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Ordino
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.0
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
1.1
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.83
0.97
0.94
0.88
0.71
1.07
vs Stronger (17)
0.35
0.94
0.38
0.88
0.33
1.00
vs Similar (12)
1.42
1.08
1.50
0.88
1.25
1.50
vs Weaker (1)
2.00
0.00
-
-
2.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
43% (+11pp vs league)
This opponent (Inter Club d'Escaldes) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Inter Club d'Escaldes
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
0.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.10
0.63
1.12
0.44
1.07
0.86
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (15)
1.07
0.80
0.86
0.29
1.25
1.25
vs Weaker (15)
1.13
0.47
1.33
0.56
0.83
0.33
Clean sheet %
63% (+31pp vs league)
This opponent (Ordino) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
No second-half model prices for this fixture yet - the form above is the record.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Ordino over/under 0.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ordino over/under 1.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ordino over/under 2.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Inter Club d'Escaldes over/under 0.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Inter Club d'Escaldes over/under 1.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Inter Club d'Escaldes over/under 2.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
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🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Under 7.5
98.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home under 3.5 goals
96.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 6.5
95.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away +2 handicap
90.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 5.5
89.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home under 2.5 goals
87.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 3.5 goals
86.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away over 0.5 goals
85.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 1.5
83.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 4.5
78.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Draw or Away
76.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away +1 handicap
76.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home or Away
76.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home over 0.5 goals
71.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
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💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ICD (25)
€4m
RAN (24)
€4m
ACD (25)
€3m
FSC (28)
€3m
PE (26)
€3m
CAR (21)
€2m
ED (16)
€2m
ORD (22)
€2m
SE (1)
€0m
Ordino's squad is €3m less valuable than Inter Club d'Escaldes's (€2m vs €4m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ICD (9)
€2m
FSC (10)
€2m
RAN (8)
€1m
ORD (6)
€1m
ED (6)
€1m
ACD (5)
€1m
PE (6)
€1m
CAR (4)
€0m
SE (1)
€0m
Ordino's attack is €1m less valuable than Inter Club d'Escaldes's (€1m vs €2m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ACD (8)
€1m
RAN (4)
€1m
CAR (7)
€1m
ICD (4)
€1m
PE (5)
€1m
FSC (5)
€1m
ED (2)
€0m
ORD (4)
€0m
SE (0)
€0m
Ordino and Inter Club d'Escaldes have a similar midfield value (both €0m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
PE (15)
€2m
RAN (12)
€2m
ACD (12)
€2m
ICD (12)
€2m
FSC (13)
€1m
CAR (10)
€1m
ED (8)
€1m
ORD (12)
€1m
SE (0)
€0m
Ordino and Inter Club d'Escaldes have a similar defence value (both €1m).
Andorra: 1a Divisió 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Andorra: 1a Divisió stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
Atlètic Club d'Escaldes
FC Santa Coloma
Esperança d'Andorra
Sporting Escaldes
Penya Encarnada
Ranger's
Carroi
Casa de Portugal