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Ordino vs Penya Encarnada Result & Analysis

Date: 05/03/2023
Time: 15:00
Final 0-3
Ordino
Ordino
Vs
47%
25%
28%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Penya Encarnada
Penya Encarnada
Andorra: 1a Divisió
Referee: -

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Ordino win✗ Miss
47.0%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
24.6%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Penya Encarnada win✓ Hit
28.5%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

OrdinoOrdino

Last 10 – goals for & against
60-611D11D01L23L11D14L10W12L23L16LA·ATL20/11H·PEN27/11A·UE 04/12H·UE 11/12A·UE 18/12H·FC 29/01A·INT05/02H·UE 12/02A·UE 19/02A·ATL26/02
Avg total
3.3
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
2.2
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.951.951.252.500.731.55
vs Stronger (11)0.642.000.333.330.751.50
vs Similar (8)1.381.881.802.000.671.67
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %11% (-22pp vs league)
This opponent (Penya Encarnada) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Penya EncarnadaPenya Encarnada

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-403L11D04L11D32W11D23L22D01L11DH·FC 20/11A·ORD27/11A·ATL04/12H·UE 11/12A·UE 18/12H·UE 29/01A·FC 05/02H·INT12/02A·UE 19/02H·UE 26/02
Avg total
3.0
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
1.9
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.682.000.781.440.602.50
vs Stronger (11)0.552.820.671.830.404.00
vs Similar (8)0.880.881.000.670.801.00
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %11% (-22pp vs league)
This opponent (Ordino) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%11%17%22%5%010%121%222%318%412%511%6+
The model estimates around 3.3 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 3 (22%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
84.8%
Under 1.5
15.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
63.5%
Under 2.5
36.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
41.4%
Under 3.5
58.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
64.9%
No
35.1%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
11.0%
2-1
9.3%
1-2
7.1%
2-2
6.6%
2-0
6.5%
1-0
6.0%
3-1
5.7%
0-0
4.8%
Ordino goals ↓
Penya Encarnada goals →
01234
04.8%4.4%3.8%1.8%0.6%
16.0%11%7.1%3.3%1.2%
26.5%9.3%6.6%3.1%1.1%
34.0%5.7%4.1%1.9%0.7%
41.9%2.7%1.9%0.9%0.3%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Ordino goals (down), columns = Penya Encarnada goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Carroi
3.00
Inter Club d'Escaldes
2.18
Atlètic Club d'Escaldes
2.18
FC Santa Coloma
1.89
UE Santa Coloma
1.50
Penya Encarnada
0.96
UE Engordany
0.87
Ordino
0.71
UE Sant Julia
0.57
Ordino is 0.25 points worse than Penya Encarnada in terms of average points per game (0.71 vs 0.96).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Inter Club d'Escaldes
2.71
Atlètic Club d'Escaldes
2.32
Carroi
2.00
FC Santa Coloma
1.96
UE Santa Coloma
1.43
Ordino
1.07
Penya Encarnada
0.89
UE Sant Julia
0.82
UE Engordany
0.73
Ordino is 0.18 goals better than Penya Encarnada in terms of goals scored per game (1.07 vs 0.89).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Carroi
0.00
Atlètic Club d'Escaldes
0.68
FC Santa Coloma
0.68
Inter Club d'Escaldes
0.82
UE Santa Coloma
1.04
Penya Encarnada
1.64
Ordino
2.00
UE Engordany
2.17
UE Sant Julia
2.96
Ordino is 0.36 goals worse than Penya Encarnada in terms of goals conceded per game (2.00 vs 1.64).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

OrdinoOrdino

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-201L11D01L21W11D02L10W00D01L11DA·ATL20/11H·PEN27/11A·UE 04/12H·UE 11/12A·UE 18/12H·FC 29/01A·INT05/02H·UE 12/02A·UE 19/02A·ATL26/02
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.420.680.620.750.270.64
vs Stronger (11)0.270.640.000.670.380.62
vs Similar (8)0.620.751.000.800.000.67
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %47% (+15pp vs league)
This opponent (Penya Encarnada) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Penya EncarnadaPenya Encarnada

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-201L11D02L00D22D00D01L00D01L00DH·FC 20/11A·ORD27/11A·ATL04/12H·UE 11/12A·UE 18/12H·UE 29/01A·FC 05/02H·INT12/02A·UE 19/02H·UE 26/02
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.210.740.110.220.301.20
vs Stronger (11)0.090.910.170.330.001.60
vs Similar (8)0.380.500.000.000.600.80
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %53% (+20pp vs league)
This opponent (Ordino) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Ordino over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ordino over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ordino over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Penya Encarnada over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Penya Encarnada over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Penya Encarnada over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

OrdinoOrdino

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
50-510W00D00D02L00D12L00D12L22D05LA·ATL20/11H·PEN27/11A·UE 04/12H·UE 11/12A·UE 18/12H·FC 29/01A·INT05/02H·UE 12/02A·UE 19/02A·ATL26/02
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
1.3
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.531.260.621.750.450.91
vs Stronger (11)0.361.360.332.670.380.88
vs Similar (8)0.751.120.801.200.671.00
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %37% (+4pp vs league)
This opponent (Penya Encarnada) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Penya EncarnadaPenya Encarnada

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-202L00D02L11D10W11D22D22D00D11DH·FC 20/11A·ORD27/11A·ATL04/12H·UE 11/12A·UE 18/12H·UE 29/01A·FC 05/02H·INT12/02A·UE 19/02H·UE 26/02
Avg total
1.9
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
1.1
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.471.260.671.220.301.30
vs Stronger (11)0.451.910.501.500.402.40
vs Similar (8)0.500.381.000.670.200.20
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %32% (-1pp vs league)
This opponent (Ordino) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Ordino over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ordino over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ordino over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Penya Encarnada over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Penya Encarnada over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Penya Encarnada over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 1.584.8%-------✓ Hit

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ICD (25)
€4m
ACD (25)
€3m
FSC (28)
€3m
PE (26)
€3m
CAR (21)
€2m
ORD (22)
€2m
Ordino's squad is €2m less valuable than Penya Encarnada's (€2m vs €3m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ICD (9)
€2m
FSC (10)
€2m
ORD (6)
€1m
ACD (5)
€1m
PE (6)
€1m
CAR (4)
€0m
Ordino and Penya Encarnada have a similar attack value (both €1m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ACD (8)
€1m
CAR (7)
€1m
ICD (4)
€1m
PE (5)
€1m
FSC (5)
€1m
ORD (4)
€0m
Ordino and Penya Encarnada have a similar midfield value (both €0m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
PE (15)
€2m
ACD (12)
€2m
ICD (12)
€2m
FSC (13)
€1m
CAR (10)
€1m
ORD (12)
€1m
Ordino's defence is €1m less valuable than Penya Encarnada's (€1m vs €2m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

2 previous meetings
0
ORD wins
1
Draws
1
PE wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Ordino vs Penya Encarnada · H/A from ORD
DateH/AGameScore
27/11/22HORD Vs Penya Encarnada1-1
30/10/22APenya Encarnada Vs ORD1-0

OrdinoOrdino

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
26/02/23AAtlètic Club d'Escaldes Vs ORD6-1
19/02/23AUE Sant Julia Vs ORD3-2
12/02/23HORD Vs UE Engordany1-2
05/02/23AInter Club d'Escaldes Vs ORD0-1
29/01/23HORD Vs FC Santa Coloma1-4
18/12/22AUE Santa Coloma Vs ORD1-1
11/12/22HORD Vs UE Sant Julia2-3
04/12/22AUE Engordany Vs ORD1-0
27/11/22HORD Vs Penya Encarnada1-1
20/11/22AAtlètic Club d'Escaldes Vs ORD1-1

Penya EncarnadaPenya Encarnada

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
26/02/23HPE Vs UE Sant Julia1-1
19/02/23AUE Engordany Vs PE1-0
12/02/23HPE Vs Inter Club d'Escaldes2-2
05/02/23AFC Santa Coloma Vs PE3-2
29/01/23HPE Vs UE Santa Coloma1-1
18/12/22AUE Sant Julia Vs PE2-3
11/12/22HPE Vs UE Engordany1-1
04/12/22AAtlètic Club d'Escaldes Vs PE4-0
27/11/22AOrdino Vs PE1-1
20/11/22HPE Vs FC Santa Coloma0-3

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Ordino
Ordino
Andorra: 1a Divisió
Recent: 1 Wins / 3 Draws / 6 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLWLLL0.58
HomeLDLLL0.50
AwayLDWLL0.64
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %11%12%9%
AVG goals2.893.752.27
Over 1.5 %68%88%55%
Over 2.5 %47%75%27%
Over 3.5 %26%38%18%
Scored0.951.250.73
Conceded1.952.501.55
BTTS58%62%55%
Clean Sheet11%0%18%
Corners---
Cards---
Penya Encarnada
Penya Encarnada
Andorra: 1a Divisió
Recent: 1 Wins / 5 Draws / 4 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDLDLD0.68
HomeLDDDD0.89
AwayDLWLL0.50
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %11%11%10%
AVG goals2.682.223.10
Over 1.5 %79%89%70%
Over 2.5 %37%22%50%
Over 3.5 %26%11%40%
Scored0.680.780.60
Conceded2.001.442.50
BTTS42%56%30%
Clean Sheet11%11%10%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1Inter Club dInter Club d'Escaldes2861
64%
2.2
7623+53
3.5
82%
68%
39%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
2122.70.8
-
2Atlètic Club dAtlètic Club d'Escaldes2861
64%
2.2
6519+46
3.0
79%
57%
29%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1122.30.7
-
3FC Santa ColomaFC Santa Coloma2853
54%
1.9
5519+36
2.6
71%
54%
29%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
2112.00.7
-
4UE Santa ColomaUE Santa Coloma2842
36%
1.5
4029+11
2.5
75%
43%
32%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.41.0
-
5Penya EncarnadaPenya Encarnada2827
21%
1.0
2546-21
2.5
75%
39%
21%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1120.91.6
-
6UE EngordanyUE Engordany3026
23%
0.9
2265-43
2.9
77%
50%
23%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.72.2
-
7OrdinoOrdino2820
14%
0.7
3056-26
3.1
79%
54%
29%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1011.12.0
-
8UE Sant JuliaUE Sant Julia2816
14%
0.6
2383-60
3.8
93%
75%
46%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.83.0
-
9CarroiCarroi26
100%
3.0
40+4
2.0
100%
0%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
0112.00.0
-
Andorra: 1a Divisió 2022/23 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Andorra: 1a Divisió stats & trends →

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