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Ordino vs Penya Encarnada Result & Analysis

Date: 07/12/2025
Time: 10:00
Final 2-4
Ordino
Ordino
Vs
36%
30%
34%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Penya Encarnada
Penya Encarnada
Andorra: 1a Divisió
Referee: -

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Ordino win✗ Miss
35.6%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
30.0%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Penya Encarnada win✓ Hit
34.4%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

OrdinoOrdino

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-551W11D02L12L02L43W31W13L00D01LH·LA 18/05H·ESP19/10H·UE 22/10A·INT25/10H·RAN02/11A·PEN06/11H·CAR09/11A·FC 23/11H·ATL27/11A·ATL30/11
Avg total
3.1
Avg scored
1.5
Avg conceded
1.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.271.701.251.441.292.00
vs Stronger (17)0.532.120.381.880.672.33
vs Similar (11)2.271.182.141.002.501.50
vs Weaker (2)2.001.002.001.002.001.00
Clean sheet %10% (-23pp vs league)
This opponent (Penya Encarnada) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Penya EncarnadaPenya Encarnada

Last 10 – goals for & against
60-611D23L21W01L11D02L34L10W13L06LH·ORD11/05A·INT16/05H·CAR19/10A·FC 22/10A·UE 26/10H·ATL01/11H·ORD06/11A·ESP09/11H·RAN23/11H·FC 30/11
Avg total
3.3
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
2.2
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.071.901.201.870.931.93
vs Stronger (14)0.642.430.602.400.672.44
vs Similar (13)1.461.771.622.001.201.40
vs Weaker (3)1.330.001.000.002.000.00
Clean sheet %27% (-6pp vs league)
This opponent (Ordino) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

7%14%20%27%10%019%127%221%313%46%54%6+
The model estimates around 2.4 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (27%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
71.2%
Under 1.5
28.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
44.0%
Under 2.5
56.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
22.9%
Under 3.5
77.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
50.9%
No
49.1%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
14.3%
0-0
10.1%
1-0
9.5%
0-1
9.3%
2-1
8.0%
1-2
7.8%
2-0
6.6%
0-2
6.4%
Ordino goals ↓
Penya Encarnada goals →
01234
010%9.3%6.4%2.6%0.8%
19.5%14%7.8%3.1%0.9%
26.6%8.0%4.8%1.9%0.6%
32.7%3.3%2.0%0.8%0.2%
40.8%1.0%0.6%0.2%0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Ordino goals (down), columns = Penya Encarnada goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Inter Club d'Escaldes
2.25
UE Santa Coloma
2.16
Ranger's
2.00
FC Santa Coloma
1.83
Atlètic Club d'Escaldes
1.42
Penya Encarnada
1.00
Ordino
0.92
Carroi
0.72
Esperança d'Andorra
0.65
Pas de la Casa
0.50
Sporting Escaldes
0.00
Ordino is 0.08 points worse than Penya Encarnada in terms of average points per game (0.92 vs 1.00).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Inter Club d'Escaldes
1.96
UE Santa Coloma
1.92
Ranger's
1.92
FC Santa Coloma
1.88
Atlètic Club d'Escaldes
1.29
Ordino
1.12
Penya Encarnada
0.79
Esperança d'Andorra
0.77
Carroi
0.60
Sporting Escaldes
0.50
Pas de la Casa
0.00
Ordino is 0.33 goals better than Penya Encarnada in terms of goals scored per game (1.12 vs 0.79).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
UE Santa Coloma
0.52
FC Santa Coloma
0.83
Ranger's
0.92
Inter Club d'Escaldes
1.00
Atlètic Club d'Escaldes
1.08
Pas de la Casa
1.50
Penya Encarnada
1.71
Ordino
1.75
Esperança d'Andorra
1.85
Carroi
2.20
Sporting Escaldes
2.50
Ordino is 0.04 goals worse than Penya Encarnada in terms of goals conceded per game (1.75 vs 1.71).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

OrdinoOrdino

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-221W11D02L01L02L10W10W10W00D01LH·LA 18/05H·ESP19/10H·UE 22/10A·INT25/10H·RAN02/11A·PEN06/11H·CAR09/11A·FC 23/11H·ATL27/11A·ATL30/11
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.470.700.440.750.500.64
vs Stronger (17)0.181.000.001.250.330.78
vs Similar (11)0.910.270.860.291.000.25
vs Weaker (2)0.500.501.000.000.001.00
Clean sheet %47% (+14pp vs league)
This opponent (Penya Encarnada) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Penya EncarnadaPenya Encarnada

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-211D21W00D00D01L00D01L10W11D01LH·ORD11/05A·INT16/05H·CAR19/10A·FC 22/10A·UE 26/10H·ATL01/11H·ORD06/11A·ESP09/11H·RAN23/11H·FC 30/11
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.400.730.470.600.330.87
vs Stronger (14)0.361.070.401.000.331.11
vs Similar (13)0.460.540.500.500.400.60
vs Weaker (3)0.330.000.500.000.000.00
Clean sheet %47% (+14pp vs league)
This opponent (Ordino) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Ordino over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ordino over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ordino over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Penya Encarnada over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Penya Encarnada over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Penya Encarnada over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

OrdinoOrdino

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-330W00D00D11D00D33D21W03L00D00DH·LA 18/05H·ESP19/10H·UE 22/10A·INT25/10H·RAN02/11A·PEN06/11H·CAR09/11A·FC 23/11H·ATL27/11A·ATL30/11
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.801.000.810.690.791.36
vs Stronger (17)0.351.120.380.620.331.56
vs Similar (11)1.360.911.290.711.501.25
vs Weaker (2)1.500.501.001.002.000.00
Clean sheet %37% (+4pp vs league)
This opponent (Penya Encarnada) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Penya EncarnadaPenya Encarnada

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
50-500D02L21W01L10W02L33D00D02L05LH·ORD11/05A·INT16/05H·CAR19/10A·FC 22/10A·UE 26/10H·ATL01/11H·ORD06/11A·ESP09/11H·RAN23/11H·FC 30/11
Avg total
2.2
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
1.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.671.170.731.270.601.07
vs Stronger (14)0.291.360.201.400.331.33
vs Similar (13)1.001.231.121.500.800.80
vs Weaker (3)1.000.000.500.002.000.00
Clean sheet %47% (+14pp vs league)
This opponent (Ordino) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Ordino over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ordino over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ordino over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Penya Encarnada over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Penya Encarnada over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Penya Encarnada over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Under 3.577.1%-------✗ Miss
Over 1.571.2%-------✓ Hit

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ICD (25)
€4m
RAN (24)
€4m
ACD (25)
€3m
FSC (28)
€3m
PE (26)
€3m
CAR (21)
€2m
ED (16)
€2m
ORD (22)
€2m
PDL (5)
€1m
SE (1)
€0m
Ordino's squad is €2m less valuable than Penya Encarnada's (€2m vs €3m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ICD (9)
€2m
FSC (10)
€2m
RAN (8)
€1m
ORD (6)
€1m
ED (6)
€1m
ACD (5)
€1m
PE (6)
€1m
CAR (4)
€0m
PDL (1)
€0m
SE (1)
€0m
Ordino and Penya Encarnada have a similar attack value (both €1m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ACD (8)
€1m
RAN (4)
€1m
CAR (7)
€1m
ICD (4)
€1m
PE (5)
€1m
FSC (5)
€1m
ED (2)
€0m
ORD (4)
€0m
PDL (1)
€0m
SE (0)
€0m
Ordino and Penya Encarnada have a similar midfield value (both €0m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
PE (15)
€2m
RAN (12)
€2m
ACD (12)
€2m
ICD (12)
€2m
FSC (13)
€1m
CAR (10)
€1m
ED (8)
€1m
ORD (12)
€1m
PDL (3)
€0m
SE (0)
€0m
Ordino's defence is €1m less valuable than Penya Encarnada's (€1m vs €2m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

8 previous meetings
2
ORD wins
3
Draws
3
PE wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Ordino vs Penya Encarnada · H/A from ORD
DateH/AGameScore
06/11/25APenya Encarnada Vs ORD3-4
11/05/25APenya Encarnada Vs ORD1-1
19/01/25HORD Vs Penya Encarnada0-1
20/10/24APenya Encarnada Vs ORD0-0
03/03/24APenya Encarnada Vs ORD2-1
10/12/23HORD Vs Penya Encarnada1-0
22/10/23APenya Encarnada Vs ORD2-1
02/04/23HORD Vs Penya Encarnada1-1

OrdinoOrdino

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
30/11/25AAtlètic Club d'Escaldes Vs ORD1-0
27/11/25HORD Vs Atlètic Club d'Escaldes0-0
23/11/25AFC Santa Coloma Vs ORD3-1
09/11/25HORD Vs Carroi3-1
06/11/25APenya Encarnada Vs ORD3-4
02/11/25HORD Vs Ranger's0-2
25/10/25AInter Club d'Escaldes Vs ORD2-1
22/10/25HORD Vs UE Santa Coloma0-2
19/10/25HORD Vs Esperança d'Andorra1-1
18/05/25HORD Vs La Massana5-1

Penya EncarnadaPenya Encarnada

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
30/11/25HPE Vs FC Santa Coloma0-6
23/11/25HPE Vs Ranger's1-3
09/11/25AEsperança d'Andorra Vs PE0-1
06/11/25HPE Vs Ordino3-4
01/11/25HPE Vs Atlètic Club d'Escaldes0-2
26/10/25AUE Santa Coloma Vs PE1-1
22/10/25AFC Santa Coloma Vs PE1-0
19/10/25HPE Vs Carroi2-1
16/05/25AInter Club d'Escaldes Vs PE3-2
11/05/25HPE Vs Ordino1-1

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Ordino
Ordino
Andorra: 1a Divisió
Recent: 3 Wins / 2 Draws / 5 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWWLDL1.12
HomeDLLWD1.19
AwayDLWLL1.04
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %30%31%29%
AVG goals2.702.502.92
Over 1.5 %80%77%83%
Over 2.5 %52%42%62%
Over 3.5 %28%27%29%
Scored1.101.081.12
Conceded1.601.421.79
BTTS50%54%46%
Clean Sheet14%12%17%
Corners---
Cards---
Penya Encarnada
Penya Encarnada
Andorra: 1a Divisió
Recent: 2 Wins / 2 Draws / 6 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLLWLL1.30
HomeWLLLL1.32
AwayWLLDW1.27
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %36%36%36%
AVG goals3.023.112.91
Over 1.5 %72%75%68%
Over 2.5 %50%54%45%
Over 3.5 %38%43%32%
Scored1.381.461.27
Conceded1.641.641.64
BTTS52%50%55%
Clean Sheet28%29%27%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1UE Santa ColomaUE Santa Coloma2554
64%
2.2
4813+35
2.4
72%
52%
16%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.90.5
-
2Inter Club dInter Club d'Escaldes2454
71%
2.2
4724+23
3.0
83%
54%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
2122.01.0
-
3RangerRanger's2448
62%
2.0
4622+24
2.8
88%
58%
25%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
1121.90.9
-
4FC Santa ColomaFC Santa Coloma2444
54%
1.8
4520+25
2.7
71%
50%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
2111.90.8
-
5Atlètic Club dAtlètic Club d'Escaldes2434
42%
1.4
3126+5
2.4
71%
50%
21%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1121.31.1
-
6Penya EncarnadaPenya Encarnada2424
29%
1.0
1941-22
2.5
62%
42%
25%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1120.81.7
-
7OrdinoOrdino2422
25%
0.9
2742-15
2.9
75%
58%
38%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1011.11.8
-
8CarroiCarroi2518
16%
0.7
1555-40
2.8
76%
68%
32%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
0110.62.2
-
9Esperança dEsperança d'Andorra2617
15%
0.7
2048-28
2.6
77%
50%
27%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1010.81.8
-
10Pas de la CasaPas de la Casa21
0%
0.5
03-3
1.5
50%
50%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0000.01.5
-
11Sporting EscaldesSporting Escaldes20
0%
0.0
15-4
3.0
100%
50%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.52.5
-
Andorra: 1a Divisió 2025/26 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Andorra: 1a Divisió stats & trends →

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