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Ordino vs Penya Encarnada Result & Analysis

Date: 26/04/2026
Time: 14:00
Final 0-1
Ordino
Ordino
Vs
46%
27%
27%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Penya Encarnada
Penya Encarnada
Andorra: 1a Divisió
Referee: -
1 Model Analysis2 Goal Analysis3 Team Strengths Analysis4 Props Analysis5 Double Chance6 Home & Away Over/Under7 Handicap8 Half Time Goals O/U9 Half Time Home & Away O/U
10 Top picks for this game11 Squad value12 Games History13 Overall Statistics14 League Table
Match preview & prediction

Pythia gives Ordino a 46% win probability against Penya Encarnada in the Andorra: 1a Divisió on 2026-04-26, with 27% for the draw and 27% for Penya Encarnada. The model estimates around 2.7 total goals, with 2 the most likely total (25%) and 1-1 the most likely scoreline (13.0%). High-confidence angles (70%+): Over 1.5 (77%), Under 3.5 (70%).

Results analysis

Ordino finished 0-1 against Penya Encarnada (Away win). Pythia had modelled a 46% home win, 27% draw and 27% away win. Picks that landed: Under 3.5 (70%). Missed: Over 1.5 (77%).

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Ordino win✗ Miss
46.1%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
27.2%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Penya Encarnada win✓ Hit
26.6%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

OrdinoOrdino

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-504L21W01L02L21W12L12L00D50W04LA·RAN18/01A·ESP25/01A·UE 01/02H·INT08/02H·FC 15/02A·UE 22/02H·RAN07/03A·ATL22/03H·CAR11/04A·INT19/04
Avg total
2.8
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
1.7
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.171.871.401.730.932.00
vs Stronger (19)0.422.050.442.000.402.10
vs Similar (10)2.501.602.831.332.002.00
vs Weaker (1)2.001.00--2.001.00
Clean sheet %13% (-19pp vs league)
This opponent (Penya Encarnada) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Penya EncarnadaPenya Encarnada

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-400D04L10W21W01L00D12L01L10W02LA·CAR18/01A·RAN24/01H·ESP01/02H·UE 07/02H·INT14/02H·CAR22/02A·INT01/03H·FC 21/03A·ESP13/04H·UE 18/04
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
1.1
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.071.731.201.670.931.80
vs Stronger (18)0.612.390.622.250.602.50
vs Similar (7)1.711.141.601.202.001.00
vs Weaker (5)1.800.202.500.501.330.00
Clean sheet %23% (-9pp vs league)
This opponent (Ordino) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%13%19%25%8%015%125%222%315%48%56%6+
The model estimates around 2.7 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (25%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
77.2%
Under 1.5
22.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
51.8%
Under 2.5
48.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
29.7%
Under 3.5
70.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
55.8%
No
44.2%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
13.0%
2-1
9.4%
1-0
9.0%
2-0
8.1%
0-0
7.6%
1-2
6.8%
0-1 ✓
6.2%
2-2
5.4%
Ordino goals ↓
Penya Encarnada goals →
01234
07.6%6.2%4.3%1.7%0.5%
19.0%13%6.8%2.6%0.8%
28.1%9.4%5.4%2.1%0.6%
34.3%5.0%2.9%1.1%0.3%
41.7%2.0%1.1%0.4%0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Ordino goals (down), columns = Penya Encarnada goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Inter Club d'Escaldes
2.25
UE Santa Coloma
2.16
Ranger's
2.00
FC Santa Coloma
1.83
Atlètic Club d'Escaldes
1.42
Penya Encarnada
1.00
Ordino
0.92
Carroi
0.72
Esperança d'Andorra
0.65
Pas de la Casa
0.50
Sporting Escaldes
0.00
Ordino is 0.08 points worse than Penya Encarnada in terms of average points per game (0.92 vs 1.00).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Inter Club d'Escaldes
1.96
UE Santa Coloma
1.92
Ranger's
1.92
FC Santa Coloma
1.88
Atlètic Club d'Escaldes
1.29
Ordino
1.12
Penya Encarnada
0.79
Esperança d'Andorra
0.77
Carroi
0.60
Sporting Escaldes
0.50
Pas de la Casa
0.00
Ordino is 0.33 goals better than Penya Encarnada in terms of goals scored per game (1.12 vs 0.79).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
UE Santa Coloma
0.52
FC Santa Coloma
0.83
Ranger's
0.92
Inter Club d'Escaldes
1.00
Atlètic Club d'Escaldes
1.08
Pas de la Casa
1.50
Penya Encarnada
1.71
Ordino
1.75
Esperança d'Andorra
1.85
Carroi
2.20
Sporting Escaldes
2.50
Ordino is 0.04 goals worse than Penya Encarnada in terms of goals conceded per game (1.75 vs 1.71).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

OrdinoOrdino

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-202L11D01L00D00D01L00D00D20W02LA·RAN18/01A·ESP25/01A·UE 01/02H·INT08/02H·FC 15/02A·UE 22/02H·RAN07/03A·ATL22/03H·CAR11/04A·INT19/04
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.330.830.400.870.270.80
vs Stronger (19)0.050.950.001.000.100.90
vs Similar (10)0.900.601.000.670.750.50
vs Weaker (1)0.001.00--0.001.00
Clean sheet %40% (+7pp vs league)
This opponent (Penya Encarnada) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Penya EncarnadaPenya Encarnada

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
10-100D00D00D00D01L00D00D00D10W01LA·CAR18/01A·RAN24/01H·ESP01/02H·UE 07/02H·INT14/02H·CAR22/02A·INT01/03H·FC 21/03A·ESP13/04H·UE 18/04
Avg total
0.3
Avg scored
0.1
Avg conceded
0.2
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.400.570.330.530.470.60
vs Stronger (18)0.280.830.250.750.300.90
vs Similar (7)0.570.290.400.401.000.00
vs Weaker (5)0.600.000.500.000.670.00
Clean sheet %57% (+24pp vs league)
This opponent (Ordino) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Ordino over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ordino over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ordino over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Penya Encarnada over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Penya Encarnada over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Penya Encarnada over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 10. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 1.577.2%-------✗ Miss
Under 3.570.3%-------✓ Hit

💰 11. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ICD (42)
€7m
USC (42)
€5m
PE (27)
€3m
ORD (45)
€3m
CAR (29)
€3m
ED (26)
€3m
SE (29)
€0m
PDL (36)
€0m
Ordino and Penya Encarnada have a similar squad value (both €3m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
CAR (0)
€0m
ED (0)
€0m
USC (0)
€0m
ICD (0)
€0m
ORD (0)
€0m
PDL (0)
€0m
PE (0)
€0m
SE (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
CAR (0)
€0m
ED (0)
€0m
USC (0)
€0m
ICD (0)
€0m
ORD (0)
€0m
PDL (0)
€0m
PE (0)
€0m
SE (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
CAR (0)
€0m
ED (0)
€0m
USC (0)
€0m
ICD (0)
€0m
ORD (0)
€0m
PDL (0)
€0m
PE (0)
€0m
SE (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🤝 12. Games History

H2H record

8 previous meetings
2
ORD wins
2
Draws
4
PE wins

Head-to-head

Ordino vs Penya Encarnada · H/A from ORD
DateH/AGameScore
07/12/25HORD Vs Penya Encarnada2-4
06/11/25APenya Encarnada Vs ORD3-4
11/05/25APenya Encarnada Vs ORD1-1
19/01/25HORD Vs Penya Encarnada0-1
20/10/24APenya Encarnada Vs ORD0-0
03/03/24APenya Encarnada Vs ORD2-1
10/12/23HORD Vs Penya Encarnada1-0
22/10/23APenya Encarnada Vs ORD2-1

OrdinoOrdino

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
19/04/26AInter Club d'Escaldes Vs ORD4-0
11/04/26HORD Vs Carroi5-0
22/03/26AAtlètic Club d'Escaldes Vs ORD0-0
07/03/26HORD Vs Ranger's1-2
22/02/26AUE Santa Coloma Vs ORD2-1
15/02/26HORD Vs FC Santa Coloma2-1
08/02/26HORD Vs Inter Club d'Escaldes0-2
01/02/26AUE Santa Coloma Vs ORD1-0
25/01/26AEsperança d'Andorra Vs ORD1-2
18/01/26ARanger's Vs ORD4-0

Penya EncarnadaPenya Encarnada

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
18/04/26HPE Vs UE Santa Coloma0-2
13/04/26AEsperança d'Andorra Vs PE0-1
21/03/26HPE Vs FC Santa Coloma0-1
01/03/26AInter Club d'Escaldes Vs PE2-1
22/02/26HPE Vs Carroi0-0
14/02/26HPE Vs Inter Club d'Escaldes0-1
07/02/26HPE Vs UE Santa Coloma2-1
01/02/26HPE Vs Esperança d'Andorra1-0
24/01/26ARanger's Vs PE4-0
18/01/26ACarroi Vs PE0-0

📊 13. Overall Statistics

Ordino
Ordino
Andorra: 1a Divisió
Recent: 3 Wins / 1 Draws / 6 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLLDWL1.10
HomeLLWLW1.16
AwayWLLDL1.04
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %30%32%28%
AVG goals3.022.963.08
Over 1.5 %84%88%80%
Over 2.5 %66%56%76%
Over 3.5 %38%36%40%
Scored1.221.321.12
Conceded1.801.641.96
BTTS54%56%52%
Clean Sheet12%8%16%
Corners---
Cards---
Penya Encarnada
Penya Encarnada
Andorra: 1a Divisió
Recent: 3 Wins / 2 Draws / 5 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDLLWL1.16
HomeWLDLL1.24
AwayLDLLW1.08
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %32%32%32%
AVG goals2.702.522.88
Over 1.5 %64%60%68%
Over 2.5 %44%40%48%
Over 3.5 %32%32%32%
Scored1.041.041.04
Conceded1.661.481.84
BTTS42%40%44%
Clean Sheet30%32%28%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 14. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1UE Santa ColomaUE Santa Coloma2554
64%
2.2
4813+35
2.4
72%
52%
16%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
5
0001.90.5
-
2Inter Club dInter Club d'Escaldes2454
71%
2.2
4724+23
3.0
83%
54%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
7
0002.01.0
-
3RangerRanger's2448
62%
2.0
4622+24
2.8
88%
58%
25%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.90.9
-
4FC Santa ColomaFC Santa Coloma2444
54%
1.8
4520+25
2.7
71%
50%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.90.8
-
5Atlètic Club dAtlètic Club d'Escaldes2434
42%
1.4
3126+5
2.4
71%
50%
21%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.31.1
-
6Penya EncarnadaPenya Encarnada2424
29%
1.0
1941-22
2.5
62%
42%
25%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
0000.81.7
-
7OrdinoOrdino2422
25%
0.9
2742-15
2.9
75%
58%
38%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
0001.11.8
-
8CarroiCarroi2518
16%
0.7
1555-40
2.8
76%
68%
32%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
0000.62.2
-
9Esperança dEsperança d'Andorra2617
15%
0.7
2048-28
2.6
77%
50%
27%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
0000.81.8
-
10Pas de la CasaPas de la Casa21
0%
0.5
03-3
1.5
50%
50%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.01.5
-
11Sporting EscaldesSporting Escaldes20
0%
0.0
15-4
3.0
100%
50%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.52.5
-
Andorra: 1a Divisió 2025/26 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Andorra: 1a Divisió stats & trends →

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