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Ordino vs Penya Encarnada Prediction & Stats

Date: 22/11/2026
Time: 19:00
Ordino
Ordino
Vs
43%
28%
29%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Penya Encarnada
Penya Encarnada
Andorra: 1a Divisió
Referee: -
1 Model Analysis2 Goal Analysis3 Team Strengths Analysis4 Props Analysis5 Double Chance6 Home & Away Over/Under7 Handicap8 Half Time Goals O/U9 Half Time Home & Away O/U10 Second Half Goals O/U11 Second Half Home & Away O/U
12 Top picks for this game14 Squad value15 Games History16 Overall Statistics17 League Table
Match preview & prediction

Ordino are the clear favorites, with a 43% chance of victory, a 28% chance of a draw and a 29% chance of Penya Encarnada winning. The expected total goals hover at 2.7, with the most likely total being two goals. The single most probable scoreline is 1-1, carrying a 13.4% probability. Ordino, playing at home against a side of similar strength, average 2.38 goals scored and 1.38 conceded. Penya Encarnada, on the road, average 1.17 scored and 1.00 conceded. Suggested picks include Under 7.5 (99.4%), Under 6.5 (98.0%), Away under 3.5 goals (96.6%), Under 5.5 (94.4%), Home under 3.5 goals (93.6%), Away under 2.5 goals (87.9%), Home +2 handicap (87.3%) and Under 4.5 (86.5%). Ordino’s recent form shows a draw, while Penya Encarnada has come off two straight defeats.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Ordino win
42.6%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw
28.0%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Penya Encarnada win
29.4%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

OrdinoOrdino

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-502L21W12L12L00D50W04L01L10W22DH·INT08/02H·FC 15/02A·UE 22/02H·RAN07/03A·ATL22/03H·CAR11/04A·INT19/04H·PEN26/04A·FC 10/05H·ESP16/05
Avg total
2.6
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
1.4
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.201.731.381.621.001.86
vs Stronger (17)0.411.880.381.880.441.89
vs Similar (12)2.251.582.381.382.002.00
vs Weaker (1)2.001.00--2.001.00
Clean sheet %13% (-19pp vs league)
This opponent (Penya Encarnada) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Penya EncarnadaPenya Encarnada

Last 10 – goals for & against
20-221W01L00D12L01L10W02L10W12L02LH·UE 07/02H·INT14/02H·CAR22/02A·INT01/03H·FC 21/03A·ESP13/04H·UE 18/04A·ORD26/04H·RAN10/05A·ATL17/05
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
1.1
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.001.631.131.800.871.47
vs Stronger (15)0.532.070.572.140.502.00
vs Similar (14)1.431.291.621.501.171.00
vs Weaker (1)2.000.00--2.000.00
Clean sheet %23% (-9pp vs league)
This opponent (Ordino) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%13%19%26%8%016%126%222%315%48%56%6+
The model estimates around 2.7 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (26%).
Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
76.1%
Under 1.5
23.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
50.4%
Under 2.5
49.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5
Over 3.5
28.3%
Under 3.5
71.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to score
Yes
55.3%
No
44.7%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
13.4%
2-1
9.0%
1-0
8.9%
0-0
8.0%
2-0
7.5%
1-2
7.3%
0-1
7.0%
2-2
5.4%
Ordino goals ↓
Penya Encarnada goals →
01234
08.0%7.0%4.9%2.0%0.6%
18.9%13%7.3%2.9%0.9%
27.5%9.0%5.4%2.2%0.7%
33.7%4.5%2.7%1.1%0.3%
41.4%1.7%1.0%0.4%0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Ordino goals (down), columns = Penya Encarnada goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Inter Club d'Escaldes
2.25
Ranger's
2.00
FC Santa Coloma
1.83
Atlètic Club d'Escaldes
1.42
Casa de Portugal
1.22
Penya Encarnada
1.00
Ordino
0.92
Carroi
0.72
Esperança d'Andorra
0.65
Sporting Escaldes
0.00
Ordino is 0.08 points worse than Penya Encarnada in terms of average points per game (0.92 vs 1.00).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Inter Club d'Escaldes
1.96
Ranger's
1.92
FC Santa Coloma
1.88
Atlètic Club d'Escaldes
1.29
Casa de Portugal
1.16
Ordino
1.12
Penya Encarnada
0.79
Esperança d'Andorra
0.77
Carroi
0.60
Sporting Escaldes
0.50
Ordino is 0.33 goals better than Penya Encarnada in terms of goals scored per game (1.12 vs 0.79).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
FC Santa Coloma
0.83
Ranger's
0.92
Inter Club d'Escaldes
1.00
Atlètic Club d'Escaldes
1.08
Casa de Portugal
1.44
Penya Encarnada
1.71
Ordino
1.75
Esperança d'Andorra
1.85
Carroi
2.20
Sporting Escaldes
2.50
Ordino is 0.04 goals worse than Penya Encarnada in terms of goals conceded per game (1.75 vs 1.71).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Ordino or Draw
70.6%
Avg Implied -
43%
28%
29%
covers Ordino + Draw
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Ordino or Penya Encarnada
72.0%
Avg Implied -
43%
28%
29%
covers Ordino + Penya Encarnada
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw or Penya Encarnada
57.4%
Avg Implied -
43%
28%
29%
covers Draw + Penya Encarnada
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

Home & Away Over/Under

How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Ordino over/under 0.5
Over
77.4%
Under
22.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ordino over/under 1.5
Over
43.8%
Under
56.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ordino over/under 2.5
Over
18.8%
Under
81.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ordino over/under 3.5
Over
6.4%
Under
93.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Penya Encarnada over/under 0.5
Over
69.9%
Under
30.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Penya Encarnada over/under 1.5
Over
33.8%
Under
66.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Penya Encarnada over/under 2.5
Over
12.1%
Under
87.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Penya Encarnada over/under 3.5
Over
3.4%
Under
96.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⚖️ 7. Handicap

Handicap

The handicap is applied to Ordino, so a minus line means Ordino give that many goals of a start and Penya Encarnada receive them. At -1, Ordino must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Ordino win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Ordino)
Ordino -2
8.4%
Draw -2
13.1%
Penya Encarnada +2
78.5%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap -1 (Ordino)
Ordino -1
21.5%
Draw -1
21.1%
Penya Encarnada +1
57.4%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +1 (Ordino)
Ordino +1
70.6%
Draw +1
16.8%
Penya Encarnada -1
12.7%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +2 (Ordino)
Ordino +2
87.3%
Draw +2
8.6%
Penya Encarnada -2
4.1%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

OrdinoOrdino

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-200D00D01L00D00D20W02L00D00D10WH·INT08/02H·FC 15/02A·UE 22/02H·RAN07/03A·ATL22/03H·CAR11/04A·INT19/04H·PEN26/04A·FC 10/05H·ESP16/05
Avg total
0.6
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
0.3
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.370.770.440.750.290.79
vs Stronger (17)0.060.940.001.000.110.89
vs Similar (12)0.830.500.880.500.750.50
vs Weaker (1)0.001.00--0.001.00
Clean sheet %47% (+14pp vs league)
This opponent (Penya Encarnada) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Penya EncarnadaPenya Encarnada

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-200D01L00D00D00D10W01L00D01L02LH·UE 07/02H·INT14/02H·CAR22/02A·INT01/03H·FC 21/03A·ESP13/04H·UE 18/04A·ORD26/04H·RAN10/05A·ATL17/05
Avg total
0.6
Avg scored
0.1
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.330.530.270.600.400.47
vs Stronger (15)0.200.800.140.710.250.88
vs Similar (14)0.500.290.380.500.670.00
vs Weaker (1)0.000.00--0.000.00
Clean sheet %57% (+24pp vs league)
This opponent (Ordino) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
No half-time model prices for this fixture yet - the form above is the record.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Ordino over/under 0.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ordino over/under 1.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ordino over/under 2.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Penya Encarnada over/under 0.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Penya Encarnada over/under 1.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Penya Encarnada over/under 2.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

OrdinoOrdino

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-302L21W11D12L00D30W02L01L10W12LH·INT08/02H·FC 15/02A·UE 22/02H·RAN07/03A·ATL22/03H·CAR11/04A·INT19/04H·PEN26/04A·FC 10/05H·ESP16/05
Avg total
2.0
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
1.1
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.830.970.940.880.711.07
vs Stronger (17)0.350.940.380.880.331.00
vs Similar (12)1.421.081.500.881.251.50
vs Weaker (1)2.000.00--2.000.00
Clean sheet %43% (+11pp vs league)
This opponent (Penya Encarnada) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Penya EncarnadaPenya Encarnada

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-221W00D00D12L01L00D01L10W11D00DH·UE 07/02H·INT14/02H·CAR22/02A·INT01/03H·FC 21/03A·ESP13/04H·UE 18/04A·ORD26/04H·RAN10/05A·ATL17/05
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.671.100.871.200.471.00
vs Stronger (15)0.331.270.431.430.251.12
vs Similar (14)0.931.001.251.000.501.00
vs Weaker (1)2.000.00--2.000.00
Clean sheet %40% (+7pp vs league)
This opponent (Ordino) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
No second-half model prices for this fixture yet - the form above is the record.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Ordino over/under 0.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ordino over/under 1.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ordino over/under 2.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Penya Encarnada over/under 0.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Penya Encarnada over/under 1.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Penya Encarnada over/under 2.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5Edge
Under 7.599.4%-------
Under 6.598.0%-------
Away under 3.5 goals96.6%-------
Under 5.594.4%-------
Home under 3.5 goals93.6%-------
Away under 2.5 goals87.9%-------
Home +2 handicap87.3%-------
Under 4.586.5%-------
Home under 2.5 goals81.2%-------
Away +2 handicap78.5%-------
Home over 0.5 goals77.4%-------
Over 1.576.1%-------
Home or Away72.0%-------
Under 3.571.7%-------
Home or Draw70.6%-------
Home +1 handicap70.6%-------

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ICD (25)
€4m
RAN (24)
€4m
ACD (25)
€3m
FSC (28)
€3m
PE (26)
€3m
CAR (21)
€2m
ED (16)
€2m
ORD (22)
€2m
SE (1)
€0m
Ordino's squad is €2m less valuable than Penya Encarnada's (€2m vs €3m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ICD (9)
€2m
FSC (10)
€2m
RAN (8)
€1m
ORD (6)
€1m
ED (6)
€1m
ACD (5)
€1m
PE (6)
€1m
CAR (4)
€0m
SE (1)
€0m
Ordino and Penya Encarnada have a similar attack value (both €1m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ACD (8)
€1m
RAN (4)
€1m
CAR (7)
€1m
ICD (4)
€1m
PE (5)
€1m
FSC (5)
€1m
ED (2)
€0m
ORD (4)
€0m
SE (0)
€0m
Ordino and Penya Encarnada have a similar midfield value (both €0m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
PE (15)
€2m
RAN (12)
€2m
ACD (12)
€2m
ICD (12)
€2m
FSC (13)
€1m
CAR (10)
€1m
ED (8)
€1m
ORD (12)
€1m
SE (0)
€0m
Ordino's defence is €1m less valuable than Penya Encarnada's (€1m vs €2m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

8 previous meetings
2
ORD wins
2
Draws
4
PE wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Ordino vs Penya Encarnada · H/A from ORD
DateH/AGameScore
26/04/26HORD Vs Penya Encarnada0-1
07/12/25HORD Vs Penya Encarnada2-4
06/11/25APenya Encarnada Vs ORD3-4
11/05/25APenya Encarnada Vs ORD1-1
19/01/25HORD Vs Penya Encarnada0-1
20/10/24APenya Encarnada Vs ORD0-0
03/03/24APenya Encarnada Vs ORD2-1
10/12/23HORD Vs Penya Encarnada1-0

OrdinoOrdino

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
16/05/26HORD Vs Esperança d'Andorra2-2
10/05/26AFC Santa Coloma Vs ORD0-1
26/04/26HORD Vs Penya Encarnada0-1
19/04/26AInter Club d'Escaldes Vs ORD4-0
11/04/26HORD Vs Carroi5-0
22/03/26AAtlètic Club d'Escaldes Vs ORD0-0
07/03/26HORD Vs Ranger's1-2
22/02/26AUE Santa Coloma Vs ORD2-1
15/02/26HORD Vs FC Santa Coloma2-1
08/02/26HORD Vs Inter Club d'Escaldes0-2

Penya EncarnadaPenya Encarnada

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
17/05/26AAtlètic Club d'Escaldes Vs PE2-0
10/05/26HPE Vs Ranger's1-2
26/04/26AOrdino Vs PE0-1
18/04/26HPE Vs UE Santa Coloma0-2
13/04/26AEsperança d'Andorra Vs PE0-1
21/03/26HPE Vs FC Santa Coloma0-1
01/03/26AInter Club d'Escaldes Vs PE2-1
22/02/26HPE Vs Carroi0-0
14/02/26HPE Vs Inter Club d'Escaldes0-1
07/02/26HPE Vs UE Santa Coloma2-1

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Ordino
Ordino
Andorra: 1a Divisió
Recent: 3 Wins / 2 Draws / 5 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWLLWD1.04
HomeWLWLD1.12
AwayLLDLW0.96
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %28%31%25%
AVG goals2.922.962.88
Over 1.5 %80%85%75%
Over 2.5 %64%58%71%
Over 3.5 %38%38%38%
Scored1.141.310.96
Conceded1.781.651.92
BTTS50%54%46%
Clean Sheet14%8%21%
Corners---
Cards---
Penya Encarnada
Penya Encarnada
Andorra: 1a Divisió
Recent: 3 Wins / 1 Draws / 6 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWLWLL1.14
HomeLDLLL1.25
AwayLLWWL1.04
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %32%33%31%
AVG goals2.702.582.81
Over 1.5 %64%62%65%
Over 2.5 %44%42%46%
Over 3.5 %30%29%31%
Scored1.021.080.96
Conceded1.681.501.85
BTTS42%42%42%
Clean Sheet28%29%27%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1Inter Club dInter Club d'Escaldes00
0%
0.0
00+0
-
0%
0%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
2120.00.0
-
2Atlètic Club dAtlètic Club d'Escaldes00
0%
0.0
00+0
-
0%
0%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1120.00.0
-
3FC Santa ColomaFC Santa Coloma00
0%
0.0
00+0
-
0%
0%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
2110.00.0
-
4Esperança dEsperança d'Andorra00
0%
0.0
00+0
-
0%
0%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1010.00.0
-
5Sporting EscaldesSporting Escaldes00
0%
0.0
00+0
-
0%
0%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.00.0
-
6Penya EncarnadaPenya Encarnada00
0%
0.0
00+0
-
0%
0%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1120.00.0
-
7RangerRanger's00
0%
0.0
00+0
-
0%
0%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
1120.00.0
-
8OrdinoOrdino00
0%
0.0
00+0
-
0%
0%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1010.00.0
-
9CarroiCarroi00
0%
0.0
00+0
-
0%
0%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
0110.00.0
-
10Casa de PortugalCasa de Portugal00
0%
0.0
00+0
-
0%
0%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.00.0
-
Andorra: 1a Divisió 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Andorra: 1a Divisió stats & trends →

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