This opponent (IK brage) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
IK brage
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.5
Avg scored
1.6
Avg conceded
0.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.80
1.00
1.88
0.88
1.71
1.14
vs Stronger (1)
3.00
1.00
-
-
3.00
1.00
vs Similar (14)
1.71
1.00
1.88
0.88
1.50
1.17
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
20% (-5pp vs league)
This opponent (Orebro SK) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.6 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (26%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
74.5%
Under 1.5
25.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
48.2%
Under 2.5
51.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
26.4%
Under 3.5
73.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
54.2%
No
45.8%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
13.8%
0-0
8.7%
1-0
8.4%
0-1
8.4%
2-1
8.2%
1-2
8.1%
2-0
6.3%
0-2
6.2%
Orebro SK goals ↓
IK brage goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
8.7%
8.4%
6.2%
2.7%
0.9%
1
8.4%
14%
8.1%
3.5%
1.1%
2
6.3%
8.2%
5.3%
2.3%
0.7%
3
2.7%
3.6%
2.3%
1.0%
0.3%
4
0.9%
1.2%
0.8%
0.3%
0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Orebro SK goals (down), columns = IK brage goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
IF Brommapojkarna
2.07
Halmstad
1.87
Osters IF
1.60
Sandviken
1.50
Trelleborg
1.50
Skövde AIK
1.47
Landskrona BoIS
1.47
IK brage
1.40
AFC Eskilstuna
1.33
Vasteras SK FK
1.33
Utsikten
1.23
Orebro SK
1.23
Jonkopings Sodra
1.20
Orgryte IS
1.19
Ostersunds FK
1.09
Norrby IF
1.03
Dalkurd FF
0.97
Falkenbergs FF
0.50
Orebro SK is 0.17 points worse than IK brage in terms of average points per game (1.23 vs 1.40).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
IF Brommapojkarna
2.13
Halmstad
1.90
Vasteras SK FK
1.67
AFC Eskilstuna
1.60
Osters IF
1.57
Trelleborg
1.53
Orgryte IS
1.53
Sandviken
1.50
IK brage
1.47
Jonkopings Sodra
1.37
Skövde AIK
1.33
Landskrona BoIS
1.33
Utsikten
1.33
Dalkurd FF
1.23
Norrby IF
1.10
Orebro SK
1.10
Ostersunds FK
1.09
Falkenbergs FF
0.50
Orebro SK is 0.37 goals worse than IK brage in terms of goals scored per game (1.10 vs 1.47).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Halmstad
1.07
Osters IF
1.17
Orebro SK
1.27
Skövde AIK
1.30
IF Brommapojkarna
1.33
IK brage
1.33
Landskrona BoIS
1.40
Ostersunds FK
1.41
Orgryte IS
1.47
Falkenbergs FF
1.50
AFC Eskilstuna
1.53
Utsikten
1.53
Norrby IF
1.57
Vasteras SK FK
1.63
Trelleborg
1.63
Jonkopings Sodra
1.70
Dalkurd FF
1.83
Sandviken
2.00
Orebro SK is 0.07 goals better than IK brage in terms of goals conceded per game (1.27 vs 1.33).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
Utsikten
54%
Trelleborg
53%
Landskrona BoIS
52%
Vasteras SK FK
52%
Ostersunds FK
52%
Dalkurd FF
51%
Osters IF
51%
AFC Eskilstuna
51%
IF Brommapojkarna
51%
Jonkopings Sodra
50%
IK brage
49%
Halmstad
48%
Orebro SK
48%
Skövde AIK
48%
Norrby IF
47%
Orgryte IS
43%
Orebro SK is 1.0 percentage points worse than IK brage in terms of average possession (48% vs 49%).
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Orebro SK
For 4.7 · Against 5.3 · Total 10.0
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.4 · Against 2.9 · Total 5.3
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 14.0 · Against 12.6 · Total 26.6
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
IK brage
For 3.4 · Against 4.9 · Total 8.3
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.9 · Against 2.2 · Total 4.1
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 15.1 · Against 12.0 · Total 27.1
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Orebro SK
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (15)
10.7
10.9
10.4
4.9
5.1
4.7
25.5
27.5
22.4
vs Stronger (3)
8.0
7.0
10.0
6.3
7.0
5.0
22.0
27.0
12.0
vs Similar (12)
11.3
12.2
10.5
4.6
4.5
4.7
26.6
27.7
25.0
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
67%
62%
71%
67%
50%
86%
77%
88%
60%
% under line
33%
38%
29%
33%
50%
14%
23%
12%
40%
This opponent (IK brage) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
IK brage
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (15)
7.5
7.0
8.1
3.9
4.0
3.7
26.9
24.3
30.6
vs Stronger (1)
8.0
-
8.0
4.0
-
4.0
24.0
-
24.0
vs Similar (14)
7.5
7.0
8.2
3.9
4.0
3.7
27.2
24.3
32.2
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
20%
12%
29%
53%
50%
57%
83%
71%
100%
% under line
80%
88%
71%
47%
50%
43%
17%
29%
0%
This opponent (Orebro SK) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Halmstad
12.2
Dalkurd FF
12.0
Skövde AIK
11.5
Vasteras SK FK
11.3
Utsikten
11.1
Norrby IF
10.7
Orebro SK
10.7
Ostersunds FK
10.6
Landskrona BoIS
10.4
Trelleborg
10.4
Orgryte IS
10.3
Osters IF
9.9
AFC Eskilstuna
9.8
IF Brommapojkarna
9.7
Jonkopings Sodra
9.6
IK brage
7.5
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Orebro SK
4.9
Utsikten
4.9
Trelleborg
4.8
Ostersunds FK
4.8
Osters IF
4.6
AFC Eskilstuna
4.6
Orgryte IS
4.4
Norrby IF
4.4
Landskrona BoIS
4.1
IK brage
3.9
IF Brommapojkarna
3.9
Jonkopings Sodra
3.7
Dalkurd FF
3.6
Vasteras SK FK
3.5
Skövde AIK
3.4
Halmstad
3.3
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Utsikten
28.2
Trelleborg
28.0
IK brage
26.9
Ostersunds FK
26.9
AFC Eskilstuna
26.9
Orgryte IS
26.9
Landskrona BoIS
26.8
Skövde AIK
26.5
Osters IF
26.3
Jonkopings Sodra
26.2
Orebro SK
25.5
Halmstad
23.8
IF Brommapojkarna
23.3
Norrby IF
22.9
Dalkurd FF
22.9
Vasteras SK FK
21.4
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Under
Over 9.5
50.7%
Under 9.5
49.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
69.2%
Under 3.5
30.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Under
Over 21.5
91.0%
Under 21.5
9.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Orebro SK
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.53
0.73
0.38
0.50
0.71
1.00
vs Stronger (3)
0.67
1.00
0.50
0.50
1.00
2.00
vs Similar (12)
0.50
0.67
0.33
0.50
0.67
0.83
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
47% (+21pp vs league)
This opponent (IK brage) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
IK brage
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.7
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.67
0.27
0.75
0.38
0.57
0.14
vs Stronger (1)
1.00
0.00
-
-
1.00
0.00
vs Similar (14)
0.64
0.29
0.75
0.38
0.50
0.17
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
73% (+48pp vs league)
This opponent (Orebro SK) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Orebro SK over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Orebro SK over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Orebro SK over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
IK brage over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
IK brage over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
IK brage over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Orebro SK
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.60
0.40
1.00
0.50
0.14
0.29
vs Stronger (3)
0.33
0.67
0.50
1.00
0.00
0.00
vs Similar (12)
0.67
0.33
1.17
0.33
0.17
0.33
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
60% (+35pp vs league)
This opponent (IK brage) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
IK brage
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.13
0.73
1.12
0.50
1.14
1.00
vs Stronger (1)
2.00
1.00
-
-
2.00
1.00
vs Similar (14)
1.07
0.71
1.12
0.50
1.00
1.00
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
33% (+8pp vs league)
This opponent (Orebro SK) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Orebro SK over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Orebro SK over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Orebro SK over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
IK brage over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
IK brage over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
IK brage over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 19.5 fouls
96.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Over 21.5 fouls
91.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Over 2.5 cards
84.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 23.5 fouls
82.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Over 1.5
74.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 3.5
73.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Under 11.5 corners
72.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 25.5 fouls
70.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Orebro SK · 2026/27
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Ahmed Yasin33%
Karl Holmberg33%
Antonio Yakoub33%
Jacob Ortmark0%
John Stenberg0%
Jakub Ojrzyński0%
Christopher Redenstrand0%
Hampus Söderstrom0%
Giuseppe Bovalina0%
Victor Sandberg0%
Erman Hrastovina0%
Hasan Dana0%
Fabian Walhström0%
Edwin Ibrahimbegovic0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
John Stenberg33%
Jakub Ojrzyński33%
Hampus Söderstrom33%
Edwin Ibrahimbegovic33%
Jacob Ortmark0%
Ahmed Yasin0%
Karl Holmberg0%
Antonio Yakoub0%
Christopher Redenstrand0%
Giuseppe Bovalina0%
Victor Sandberg0%
Erman Hrastovina0%
Hasan Dana0%
Fabian Walhström0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Karl Holmberg33%
Jacob Ortmark0%
Ahmed Yasin0%
John Stenberg0%
Jakub Ojrzyński0%
Antonio Yakoub0%
Christopher Redenstrand0%
Hampus Söderstrom0%
Giuseppe Bovalina0%
Victor Sandberg0%
Erman Hrastovina0%
Hasan Dana0%
Fabian Walhström0%
Edwin Ibrahimbegovic0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Antonio Yakoub33%
Jacob Ortmark0%
Ahmed Yasin0%
Karl Holmberg0%
John Stenberg0%
Jakub Ojrzyński0%
Christopher Redenstrand0%
Hampus Söderstrom0%
Giuseppe Bovalina0%
Victor Sandberg0%
Erman Hrastovina0%
Hasan Dana0%
Fabian Walhström0%
Edwin Ibrahimbegovic0%
IK brage · 2026/27
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Felix Hörberg67%
Albin Sporrong33%
Gideon Granström33%
Alexander Zetterstrom0%
Pontus Jonsson0%
Anton Lundin0%
Viktor Frodig0%
Tobias Stagaard0%
Malte Persson0%
Gustav Berggren0%
Gustav Nordh0%
Anders Hellblom0%
Alex Mortensen0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Anton Lundin67%
Alexander Zetterstrom33%
Tobias Stagaard33%
Gustav Berggren33%
Pontus Jonsson0%
Albin Sporrong0%
Felix Hörberg0%
Viktor Frodig0%
Malte Persson0%
Gustav Nordh0%
Gideon Granström0%
Anders Hellblom0%
Alex Mortensen0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Alexander Zetterstrom33%
Anton Lundin33%
Albin Sporrong33%
Gustav Berggren33%
Pontus Jonsson0%
Felix Hörberg0%
Viktor Frodig0%
Tobias Stagaard0%
Malte Persson0%
Gustav Nordh0%
Gideon Granström0%
Anders Hellblom0%
Alex Mortensen0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Alex Mortensen33%
Alexander Zetterstrom0%
Pontus Jonsson0%
Anton Lundin0%
Albin Sporrong0%
Felix Hörberg0%
Viktor Frodig0%
Tobias Stagaard0%
Malte Persson0%
Gustav Berggren0%
Gustav Nordh0%
Gideon Granström0%
Anders Hellblom0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
VSF (24)
€10m
IB (25)
€9m
HAL (20)
€8m
OI (26)
€8m
LB (20)
€6m
FF (19)
€5m
OI (23)
€5m
OS (23)
€5m
IB (23)
€5m
SAN (20)
€4m
OF (21)
€4m
NI (17)
€3m
Orebro SK and IK brage have a similar squad value (both €5m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
HAL (7)
€4m
IB (10)
€3m
VSF (8)
€3m
OI (7)
€2m
FF (8)
€2m
LB (5)
€2m
OI (7)
€2m
SAN (5)
€1m
OS (6)
€1m
NI (6)
€1m
IB (5)
€1m
OF (5)
€1m
Orebro SK and IK brage have a similar attack value (both €1m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
VSF (6)
€3m
LB (7)
€2m
OI (7)
€2m
IB (4)
€2m
OF (6)
€2m
OI (6)
€2m
IB (7)
€1m
HAL (4)
€1m
SAN (6)
€1m
OS (5)
€1m
FF (2)
€1m
NI (3)
€0m
Orebro SK and IK brage have a similar midfield value (both €1m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
OI (12)
€4m
IB (11)
€4m
VSF (10)
€4m
HAL (9)
€3m
FF (9)
€3m
OS (12)
€3m
LB (8)
€2m
IB (11)
€2m
OI (10)
€2m
SAN (9)
€2m
OF (10)
€2m
NI (8)
€1m
Orebro SK and IK brage have a similar defence value (both €3m).
Sweden: Superettan 2022/23 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Sweden: Superettan stats & trends →