This opponent (IK brage) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
IK brage
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.7
Avg scored
1.8
Avg conceded
0.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.33
1.33
2.07
1.00
0.60
1.67
vs Stronger (2)
0.00
2.00
0.00
4.00
0.00
0.00
vs Similar (28)
1.43
1.29
2.21
0.79
0.64
1.79
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
23% (-2pp vs league)
This opponent (Orebro SK) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.5 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (27%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
72.4%
Under 1.5
27.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
45.5%
Under 2.5
54.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
24.2%
Under 3.5
75.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
47.5%
No
52.5%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
12.7%
1-0
12.4%
2-0
11.1%
2-1 ✓
9.5%
0-0
9.4%
3-0
6.1%
0-1
5.9%
3-1
5.2%
Orebro SK goals ↓
IK brage goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
9.4%
5.9%
3.0%
0.9%
0.2%
1
12%
13%
4.9%
1.4%
0.3%
2
11%
9.5%
4.1%
1.2%
0.2%
3
6.1%
5.2%
2.2%
0.6%
0.1%
4
2.5%
2.1%
0.9%
0.3%
0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Orebro SK goals (down), columns = IK brage goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Degerfors IF
1.83
Osters IF
1.80
Landskrona BoIS
1.63
Helsingborg
1.57
Stockholm Internazionale
1.50
Orgryte IS
1.47
Sandviken
1.43
Trelleborg
1.40
IK brage
1.37
Utsikten
1.37
Varbergs BoIS FC
1.30
Orebro SK
1.30
Oddevold
1.20
Ostersunds FK
1.19
GIF Sundsvall
1.16
Gefle IF
1.07
Skövde AIK
0.83
Lund
0.00
Orebro SK is 0.07 points worse than IK brage in terms of average points per game (1.30 vs 1.37).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Osters IF
1.83
Degerfors IF
1.67
Orgryte IS
1.67
Sandviken
1.63
Landskrona BoIS
1.53
Varbergs BoIS FC
1.53
Helsingborg
1.37
Utsikten
1.30
Gefle IF
1.23
Orebro SK
1.23
Oddevold
1.13
Trelleborg
1.10
Ostersunds FK
1.09
IK brage
1.03
Stockholm Internazionale
1.00
Lund
1.00
GIF Sundsvall
0.97
Skövde AIK
0.87
Orebro SK is 0.20 goals better than IK brage in terms of goals scored per game (1.23 vs 1.03).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Degerfors IF
0.93
IK brage
0.97
Stockholm Internazionale
1.00
Osters IF
1.03
Landskrona BoIS
1.13
Helsingborg
1.13
Orebro SK
1.20
Utsikten
1.27
Trelleborg
1.27
GIF Sundsvall
1.31
Sandviken
1.37
Orgryte IS
1.43
Ostersunds FK
1.44
Varbergs BoIS FC
1.47
Oddevold
1.57
Skövde AIK
1.73
Gefle IF
1.80
Lund
2.50
Orebro SK is 0.23 goals worse than IK brage in terms of goals conceded per game (1.20 vs 0.97).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
Landskrona BoIS
64%
Sandviken
61%
Osters IF
58%
Lund
56%
IK brage
55%
Orebro SK
51%
Ostersunds FK
51%
GIF Sundsvall
50%
Helsingborg
48%
Trelleborg
48%
Degerfors IF
47%
Skövde AIK
47%
Orgryte IS
47%
Gefle IF
46%
Utsikten
46%
Stockholm Internazionale
43%
Oddevold
43%
Varbergs BoIS FC
40%
Orebro SK is 3.9 percentage points worse than IK brage in terms of average possession (51% vs 55%).
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Orebro SK
For 4.2 · Against 4.5 · Total 8.7
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 0.9 · Against 2.1 · Total 3.0
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 10.6 · Against 13.6 · Total 24.2
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
IK brage
For 5.5 · Against 5.4 · Total 10.9
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.7 · Against 1.5 · Total 3.2
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 11.8 · Against 11.7 · Total 23.5
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Orebro SK
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
10.8
10.5
11.1
2.5
2.6
2.4
23.9
25.5
22.2
vs Stronger (10)
11.2
13.0
10.2
3.0
3.8
2.5
26.0
29.7
23.8
vs Similar (40)
10.7
10.0
11.5
2.4
2.4
2.3
23.3
24.7
21.5
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
60%
56%
65%
30%
32%
28%
60%
72%
47%
% under line
40%
44%
35%
70%
68%
72%
40%
28%
53%
This opponent (IK brage) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
IK brage
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
10.0
10.1
9.8
2.5
2.1
2.9
23.8
22.3
25.2
vs Stronger (5)
11.0
8.0
12.5
1.2
0.0
3.0
18.0
22.0
16.0
vs Similar (45)
9.9
10.2
9.5
2.6
2.4
2.9
24.3
22.3
26.2
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
64%
76%
53%
42%
32%
52%
64%
47%
79%
% under line
36%
24%
47%
58%
68%
48%
36%
53%
21%
This opponent (Orebro SK) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Oddevold
12.0
Skövde AIK
11.7
Orgryte IS
11.1
Helsingborg
11.0
GIF Sundsvall
11.0
Orebro SK
10.8
Degerfors IF
10.6
Landskrona BoIS
10.5
Varbergs BoIS FC
10.5
Osters IF
10.5
Ostersunds FK
10.5
Trelleborg
10.2
Gefle IF
10.0
Utsikten
9.9
IK brage
9.2
Sandviken
7.2
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Utsikten
5.6
Orgryte IS
4.7
Osters IF
4.6
Helsingborg
4.5
Ostersunds FK
4.5
Landskrona BoIS
4.3
Sandviken
4.2
Gefle IF
4.2
Varbergs BoIS FC
4.2
Trelleborg
4.1
Orebro SK
4.0
Degerfors IF
3.9
Skövde AIK
3.9
IK brage
3.6
GIF Sundsvall
3.1
Oddevold
2.0
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Sandviken
32.0
Utsikten
29.3
Varbergs BoIS FC
28.3
Gefle IF
27.1
Oddevold
27.0
Skövde AIK
26.4
Trelleborg
26.0
Ostersunds FK
25.8
Orgryte IS
25.7
Landskrona BoIS
25.2
IK brage
24.7
Osters IF
24.7
Helsingborg
24.5
Orebro SK
24.1
Degerfors IF
24.0
GIF Sundsvall
21.2
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Over
Over 9.5
54.5%
Under 9.5
45.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
57.7%
Under 3.5
42.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
75.1%
Under 21.5
24.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Orebro SK
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.70
0.63
0.87
0.27
0.53
1.00
vs Stronger (6)
0.17
0.83
0.33
0.33
0.00
1.33
vs Similar (24)
0.83
0.58
1.00
0.25
0.67
0.92
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
67% (+41pp vs league)
This opponent (IK brage) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
IK brage
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.60
0.70
0.93
0.47
0.27
0.93
vs Stronger (2)
0.00
1.00
0.00
2.00
0.00
0.00
vs Similar (28)
0.64
0.68
1.00
0.36
0.29
1.00
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
50% (+25pp vs league)
This opponent (Orebro SK) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Orebro SK over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Orebro SK over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Orebro SK over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
IK brage over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
IK brage over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
IK brage over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Orebro SK
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.1
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
1.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.87
0.90
1.00
0.40
0.73
1.40
vs Stronger (6)
0.17
1.00
0.33
0.33
0.00
1.67
vs Similar (24)
1.04
0.88
1.17
0.42
0.92
1.33
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
37% (+11pp vs league)
This opponent (IK brage) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
IK brage
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.73
0.63
1.13
0.53
0.33
0.73
vs Stronger (2)
0.00
1.00
0.00
2.00
0.00
0.00
vs Similar (28)
0.79
0.61
1.21
0.43
0.36
0.79
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
53% (+28pp vs league)
This opponent (Orebro SK) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Orebro SK over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Orebro SK over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Orebro SK over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
IK brage over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
IK brage over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
IK brage over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 19.5 fouls
86.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 5.5 cards
77.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Over 2.5 cards
77.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 3.5
75.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 21.5 fouls
75.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 1.5
72.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Orebro SK
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Ahmed Yasin38%
Karl Holmberg36%
Erik Andersson29%
Adam Bark12%
Valgeir Valgeirsson10%
Sebastian Crona10%
Samuel Kroon9%
Tobias Björnstad9%
Jesper Modig0%
Lucas Shlimon0%
Malte Pahlsson0%
Mohammed Saeid0%
Erik McCue0%
Peter Gwargis0%
Niclas Bergmark0%
Victor Backman0%
Theodor Hansemon0%
Oskar Käck0%
Elias Barsoum0%
Hamse Shagaxle0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Valgeir Valgeirsson50%
Lucas Shlimon22%
Tobias Björnstad18%
Malte Pahlsson14%
Karl Holmberg14%
Peter Gwargis14%
Niclas Bergmark14%
Adam Bark12%
Oskar Käck12%
Victor Backman10%
Samuel Kroon9%
Elias Barsoum9%
Hamse Shagaxle9%
Jesper Modig8%
Erik McCue7%
Sebastian Crona0%
Erik Andersson0%
Ahmed Yasin0%
Mohammed Saeid0%
Theodor Hansemon0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Tobias Björnstad36%
Erik Andersson14%
Karl Holmberg14%
Samuel Kroon9%
Theodor Hansemon8%
Valgeir Valgeirsson0%
Jesper Modig0%
Sebastian Crona0%
Lucas Shlimon0%
Malte Pahlsson0%
Ahmed Yasin0%
Mohammed Saeid0%
Adam Bark0%
Erik McCue0%
Peter Gwargis0%
Niclas Bergmark0%
Victor Backman0%
Oskar Käck0%
Elias Barsoum0%
Hamse Shagaxle0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Ahmed Yasin50%
Karl Holmberg36%
Samuel Kroon18%
Peter Gwargis14%
Lucas Shlimon11%
Valgeir Valgeirsson0%
Jesper Modig0%
Sebastian Crona0%
Erik Andersson0%
Malte Pahlsson0%
Mohammed Saeid0%
Adam Bark0%
Erik McCue0%
Niclas Bergmark0%
Victor Backman0%
Theodor Hansemon0%
Oskar Käck0%
Elias Barsoum0%
Hamse Shagaxle0%
Tobias Björnstad0%
IK brage
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Ieltsin Camoes54%
Amar Muhsin33%
Johan Arvidsson14%
Emil Tot Wikstrom9%
Alexander Zetterstrom0%
Pontus Jonsson0%
Samouil Izountouemoi0%
Adil Titi0%
Filip Sjoberg0%
Viktor Frodig0%
Ferhan Abic0%
Jacob Stensson0%
Henry Sletsjoe0%
Cesar Weilid0%
Malte Persson0%
Gustav Berggren0%
Christopher Redenstrand0%
Omur Pektas0%
Oskar Ågren0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Henry Sletsjoe31%
Alexander Zetterstrom17%
Filip Sjoberg17%
Ieltsin Camoes15%
Viktor Frodig14%
Gustav Berggren14%
Oskar Ågren14%
Cesar Weilid8%
Pontus Jonsson7%
Johan Arvidsson7%
Christopher Redenstrand7%
Samouil Izountouemoi0%
Emil Tot Wikstrom0%
Adil Titi0%
Ferhan Abic0%
Jacob Stensson0%
Amar Muhsin0%
Malte Persson0%
Omur Pektas0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Henry Sletsjoe38%
Omur Pektas20%
Emil Tot Wikstrom9%
Pontus Jonsson7%
Johan Arvidsson7%
Alexander Zetterstrom0%
Samouil Izountouemoi0%
Adil Titi0%
Filip Sjoberg0%
Viktor Frodig0%
Ferhan Abic0%
Jacob Stensson0%
Amar Muhsin0%
Cesar Weilid0%
Malte Persson0%
Gustav Berggren0%
Christopher Redenstrand0%
Oskar Ågren0%
Ieltsin Camoes0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Ieltsin Camoes69%
Amar Muhsin44%
Emil Tot Wikstrom18%
Pontus Jonsson14%
Johan Arvidsson7%
Alexander Zetterstrom0%
Samouil Izountouemoi0%
Adil Titi0%
Filip Sjoberg0%
Viktor Frodig0%
Ferhan Abic0%
Jacob Stensson0%
Henry Sletsjoe0%
Cesar Weilid0%
Malte Persson0%
Gustav Berggren0%
Christopher Redenstrand0%
Omur Pektas0%
Oskar Ågren0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
OI (26)
€8m
HEL (25)
€7m
LB (20)
€6m
VBF (24)
€6m
DI (23)
€6m
OI (23)
€5m
ODD (23)
€5m
OS (23)
€5m
IB (23)
€5m
SAN (20)
€4m
GS (22)
€4m
OF (21)
€4m
Orebro SK and IK brage have a similar squad value (both €5m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
OI (7)
€2m
HEL (8)
€2m
LB (5)
€2m
VBF (7)
€2m
OI (7)
€2m
ODD (6)
€1m
SAN (5)
€1m
OS (6)
€1m
GS (8)
€1m
DI (5)
€1m
IB (5)
€1m
OF (5)
€1m
Orebro SK and IK brage have a similar attack value (both €1m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
DI (7)
€3m
HEL (7)
€2m
VBF (8)
€2m
LB (7)
€2m
OI (7)
€2m
OF (6)
€2m
OI (6)
€2m
IB (7)
€1m
ODD (7)
€1m
GS (5)
€1m
SAN (6)
€1m
OS (5)
€1m
Orebro SK and IK brage have a similar midfield value (both €1m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
OI (12)
€4m
OS (12)
€3m
DI (11)
€3m
ODD (10)
€3m
HEL (10)
€2m
LB (8)
€2m
IB (11)
€2m
VBF (9)
€2m
OI (10)
€2m
SAN (9)
€2m
OF (10)
€2m
GS (9)
€2m
Orebro SK and IK brage have a similar defence value (both €3m).
Sweden: Superettan 2024/25 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Sweden: Superettan stats & trends →
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Degerfors IF
Osters IF
Landskrona BoIS
Helsingborg
Orgryte IS
Sandviken
Trelleborg
Utsikten
Varbergs BoIS FC
Ostersunds FK
GIF Sundsvall
Oddevold
Gefle IF
Skövde AIK
Stockholm Internazionale
Lund