The clash between Örebro SK and Östersunds FK is a tight one, with the model favouring a home win as the most likely outcome. Örebro’s home form shows they average 0.91 goals scored and 1.36 conceded against similar opposition, while Östersunds, playing away, average 1.12 goals scored and 1.25 conceded. The expected total goals for the match is 2.3, with the single most probable scoreline 1-1 at a 14.6% probability. The probability spread is 36% for a home win, 31% for a draw, and 33% for an away win. The model’s selections include Under 7.5 (99.7%), Under 6.5 (99.1%), Away under 2.5 HT goals (98.6%), Home under 2.5 HT goals (98.4%), Away under 3.5 goals (97.3%), Under 5.5 (97.1%), Away under 2.5 2H goals (97.1%), and Home under 3.5 goals (96.9%). With Örebro on a two-game winning streak and Östersunds unbeaten in five, the match remains finely balanced.
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🎯 1. Model Analysis
Orebro SK win
35.4%
Avg Implied 34.4% · @ 2.68
Edge
+1.0%
Best 5 market prices
Pinnacle
2.76
BetVictor
2.75
Betfair
2.75
1xBet
2.71
Marathonbet
2.71
Draw
31.1%
Avg Implied 27.3% · @ 3.37
Edge
+3.8%
Best 5 market prices
Pinnacle
3.52
Betfair
3.50
10Bet
3.45
1xBet
3.42
Marathonbet
3.42
Ostersunds FK win
33.4%
Avg Implied 38.3% · @ 2.40
Edge
-4.8%
Best 5 market prices
10Bet
2.50
Betano
2.50
Dafabet
2.47
Bet365
2.45
BetVictor
2.40
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
Orebro SK
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.3
Avg scored
1.5
Avg conceded
1.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.23
1.63
1.14
1.50
1.31
1.75
vs Stronger (6)
1.50
1.67
2.00
2.00
1.00
1.33
vs Similar (24)
1.17
1.62
0.91
1.36
1.38
1.85
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
20% (-5pp vs league)
This opponent (Ostersunds FK) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Ostersunds FK
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.9
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.33
1.20
1.57
1.14
1.12
1.25
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (30)
1.33
1.20
1.57
1.14
1.12
1.25
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
33% (+8pp vs league)
This opponent (Orebro SK) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.3 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (28%).
Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
67.9%
@ 1.24-7.0%
Under 1.5
32.1%
@ 3.70+7.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
1.28
Betano
1.26
BetVictor
1.25
Pinnacle
1.25
Bet365
1.25
Under
Unibet
4.00
Pinnacle
3.82
10Bet
3.80
BetVictor
3.75
Bet365
3.75
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
40.0%
@ 1.79-12.5%
Under 2.5
60.0%
@ 1.97+12.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
1.83
Pinnacle
1.82
Betano
1.80
1xBet
1.80
Bet365
1.80
Under
10Bet
2.00
Unibet
2.00
Bet365
2.00
Pinnacle
1.98
Marathonbet
1.96
Over/Under 3.5
Over 3.5
19.7%
@ 2.94-11.9%
Under 3.5
80.3%
@ 1.36+11.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
BetVictor
3.10
10Bet
3.10
Bet365
3.00
Pinnacle
2.98
Betano
2.85
Under
10Bet
1.38
Unibet
1.38
Pinnacle
1.37
Betano
1.37
Bet365
1.36
Both teams to score
Yes
47.7%
@ 1.62-9.3%
No
52.3%
@ 2.14+9.3%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
Bet365
1.67
William Hil
1.65
1xBet
1.63
Marathonbet
1.63
Betano
1.62
No
Unibet
2.20
BetVictor
2.15
Betano
2.15
10Bet
2.15
William Hil
2.15
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
14.6%@ 6.19+7.5%
0-0
11.5%@ 10.46+7.3%
1-0
10.5%@ 9.24+5.7%
0-1
10.1%@ 8.64+5.0%
2-1
7.7%@ 9.14+2.9%
1-2
7.5%@ 8.73+2.4%
2-0
6.9%@ 13.03+3.5%
0-2
6.4%@ 11.86+2.7%
Orebro SK goals ↓
Ostersunds FK goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
12%
10%
6.4%
2.4%
0.7%
1
11%
15%
7.5%
2.8%
0.8%
2
6.9%
7.7%
4.3%
1.6%
0.5%
3
2.7%
3.0%
1.7%
0.6%
0.2%
4
0.8%
0.9%
0.5%
0.2%
0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Orebro SK goals (down), columns = Ostersunds FK goals (across).
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💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
IFK Norrkoping
2.24
Falkenbergs FF
1.81
Varbergs BoIS FC
1.76
Ostersunds FK
1.67
Osters IF
1.57
United Nordic
1.52
Landskrona BoIS
1.48
Oddevold
1.38
Sandviken
1.29
Helsingborg
1.24
Ljungskile SK
1.14
Norrby IF
1.10
IFK Varnamo
1.05
IK brage
1.00
Orebro SK
0.95
GIF Sundsvall
0.62
Orebro SK is 0.71 points worse than Ostersunds FK in terms of average points per game (0.95 vs 1.67).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Falkenbergs FF
1.95
IFK Norrkoping
1.95
Varbergs BoIS FC
1.81
IK brage
1.67
Sandviken
1.62
Oddevold
1.62
Helsingborg
1.62
United Nordic
1.52
Osters IF
1.52
Ostersunds FK
1.43
Ljungskile SK
1.29
Landskrona BoIS
1.29
Norrby IF
1.19
IFK Varnamo
1.19
Orebro SK
1.00
GIF Sundsvall
0.71
Orebro SK is 0.43 goals worse than Ostersunds FK in terms of goals scored per game (1.00 vs 1.43).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
IFK Norrkoping
0.62
Landskrona BoIS
1.05
Ostersunds FK
1.10
Varbergs BoIS FC
1.29
Norrby IF
1.33
Ljungskile SK
1.33
United Nordic
1.43
Osters IF
1.43
Falkenbergs FF
1.43
Sandviken
1.48
Oddevold
1.48
Orebro SK
1.57
IFK Varnamo
1.81
Helsingborg
1.95
IK brage
2.00
GIF Sundsvall
2.10
Orebro SK is 0.48 goals worse than Ostersunds FK in terms of goals conceded per game (1.57 vs 1.10).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
Landskrona BoIS
57%
Sandviken
55%
IFK Norrkoping
55%
IFK Varnamo
53%
Ostersunds FK
53%
Osters IF
50%
Orebro SK
50%
Falkenbergs FF
50%
Ljungskile SK
50%
Oddevold
50%
United Nordic
49%
IK brage
48%
Varbergs BoIS FC
47%
Helsingborg
44%
Norrby IF
44%
GIF Sundsvall
41%
Orebro SK is 2.9 percentage points worse than Ostersunds FK in terms of average possession (50% vs 53%).
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Orebro SK
For 3.1 · Against 5.8 · Total 8.9
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.2 · Against 2.0 · Total 3.2
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 13.2 · Against 13.0 · Total 26.2
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Ostersunds FK
For 5.5 · Against 3.0 · Total 8.5
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.7 · Against 1.5 · Total 3.2
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 12.0 · Against 13.0 · Total 25.0
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Orebro SK
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.3
10.0
8.8
1.3
1.3
1.3
25.1
23.8
26.0
vs Stronger (10)
6.0
-
6.0
0.3
0.0
0.5
28.0
-
28.0
vs Similar (40)
9.5
10.0
9.1
1.6
1.6
1.6
24.8
23.8
25.7
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
44%
57%
36%
16%
17%
15%
75%
80%
71%
% under line
56%
43%
64%
84%
83%
85%
25%
20%
29%
This opponent (Ostersunds FK) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Ostersunds FK
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
8.9
9.0
8.9
1.2
1.2
1.3
23.2
21.4
25.2
vs Stronger (1)
-
-
-
0.0
-
0.0
-
-
-
vs Similar (48)
8.9
9.0
8.9
1.3
1.2
1.3
23.2
21.4
25.2
vs Weaker (1)
-
-
-
0.0
0.0
-
-
-
-
% over line
40%
30%
50%
16%
17%
15%
69%
57%
83%
% under line
60%
70%
50%
84%
83%
85%
31%
43%
17%
This opponent (Orebro SK) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Osters IF
11.8
IFK Norrkoping
11.5
IFK Varnamo
10.9
Helsingborg
10.3
Landskrona BoIS
10.3
IK brage
10.2
Ljungskile SK
10.2
United Nordic
10.1
Varbergs BoIS FC
10.1
GIF Sundsvall
10.0
Sandviken
9.9
Oddevold
9.5
Ostersunds FK
9.4
Orebro SK
9.4
Norrby IF
9.0
Falkenbergs FF
8.8
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
IFK Norrkoping
4.2
Helsingborg
4.1
Ljungskile SK
3.9
Osters IF
3.9
Norrby IF
3.8
Varbergs BoIS FC
3.7
Landskrona BoIS
3.7
Orebro SK
3.7
IK brage
3.6
IFK Varnamo
3.3
Ostersunds FK
3.3
Sandviken
3.3
GIF Sundsvall
3.0
Oddevold
2.9
United Nordic
2.9
Falkenbergs FF
2.7
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
United Nordic
29.8
IFK Norrkoping
27.2
Ljungskile SK
26.6
Varbergs BoIS FC
26.6
Osters IF
25.2
Ostersunds FK
25.1
Norrby IF
24.3
IK brage
24.1
Orebro SK
24.0
Helsingborg
24.0
Landskrona BoIS
23.7
Sandviken
23.5
Falkenbergs FF
23.3
IFK Varnamo
22.9
Oddevold
21.4
GIF Sundsvall
21.1
Corners O/U 9.5
Over 9.5
43.6%
@ 1.65-12.5%
Under 9.5
56.4%
@ 2.11+12.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Unibet
1.73
10Bet
1.70
Pinnacle
1.68
Betano
1.60
1xBet
1.60
Under
Betano
2.22
Marathonbet
2.18
1xBet
2.17
Pinnacle
2.09
10Bet
2.05
Cards O/U 3.5
Over 3.5
41.9%
Under 3.5
58.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
74.0%
Under 21.5
26.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Orebro SK or Draw
66.6%
Avg Implied 61.7% · @ 1.51
Edge
+4.9%
35%
31%
33%
covers Orebro SK + Draw
Best 5 market prices
Betfair
1.57
Betano
1.53
1xBet
1.52
Marathonbet
1.52
10Bet
1.50
Orebro SK or Ostersunds FK
68.9%
Avg Implied 72.6% · @ 1.29
Edge
-3.7%
35%
31%
33%
covers Orebro SK + Ostersunds FK
Best 5 market prices
Bet365
1.33
Betano
1.30
William Hil
1.30
BetVictor
1.29
Betfair
1.29
Draw or Ostersunds FK
64.6%
Avg Implied 65.7% · @ 1.42
Edge
-1.1%
35%
31%
33%
covers Draw + Ostersunds FK
Best 5 market prices
Betano
1.47
10Bet
1.45
William Hil
1.44
Bet365
1.44
Marathonbet
1.41
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🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
Home & Away Over/Under
How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Orebro SK over/under 0.5
Over
68.7%
@ 1.27-3.9%
Under
31.3%
@ 3.38+3.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.29
BetVictor
1.29
Betfair
1.29
Pinnacle
1.28
Bet365
1.28
Under
Bet365
3.50
10Bet
3.45
Pinnacle
3.43
Unibet
3.40
Betano
3.40
Orebro SK over/under 1.5
Over
32.4%
@ 2.34-7.3%
Under
67.6%
@ 1.54+7.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.47
Betfair
2.38
Marathonbet
2.38
1xBet
2.38
BetVictor
2.38
Under
Betano
1.57
Bet365
1.57
Unibet
1.56
10Bet
1.55
1xBet
1.53
Orebro SK over/under 2.5
Over
11.2%
@ 5.29-6.3%
Under
88.8%
@ 1.12+6.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betfair
5.50
BetVictor
5.50
Bet365
5.50
1xBet
5.35
Marathonbet
5.35
Under
Betano
1.15
Bet365
1.14
Betfair
1.13
Unibet
1.13
10Bet
1.12
Orebro SK over/under 3.5
Over
3.1%
@ 12.25-4.7%
Under
96.9%
@ 1.03+4.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
15.00
Betano
9.50
Under
Betano
1.04
Bet365
1.03
Ostersunds FK over/under 0.5
Over
67.4%
@ 1.24-7.5%
Under
32.6%
@ 3.69+7.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.27
10Bet
1.25
Bet365
1.25
1xBet
1.23
Pinnacle
1.23
Under
Pinnacle
3.82
BetVictor
3.75
Unibet
3.75
Betfair
3.75
Bet365
3.75
Ostersunds FK over/under 1.5
Over
30.9%
@ 2.20-11.4%
Under
69.1%
@ 1.61+11.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
2.25
Betano
2.25
Pinnacle
2.24
BetVictor
2.20
10Bet
2.20
Under
Unibet
1.65
Marathonbet
1.63
1xBet
1.63
Betfair
1.62
Pinnacle
1.62
Ostersunds FK over/under 2.5
Over
10.4%
@ 4.88-8.6%
Under
89.6%
@ 1.15+8.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
5.50
10Bet
5.00
Betfair
5.00
BetVictor
5.00
1xBet
4.75
Under
Unibet
1.17
Betano
1.17
1xBet
1.14
Betfair
1.14
Bet365
1.14
Ostersunds FK over/under 3.5
Over
2.7%
@ 11.42-5.6%
Under
97.3%
@ 1.03+5.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
15.00
Betfair
10.00
Betano
9.25
Under
Betano
1.04
Betfair
1.03
Bet365
1.03
⚖️ 7. Handicap
Handicap
The handicap is applied to Orebro SK, so a minus line means Orebro SK give that many goals of a start and Ostersunds FK receive them. At -1, Orebro SK must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Orebro SK win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Orebro SK)
Orebro SK -2
4.9%
@ 10.25-3.6%
Draw -2
10.4%
@ 6.58-2.9%
Ostersunds FK +2
84.7%
@ 1.12+6.5%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
13.00
Unibet
11.00
Marathonbet
6.75
Draw
Bet365
8.00
Unibet
7.00
Marathonbet
4.75
Away
Bet365
1.14
Unibet
1.11
Marathonbet
1.10
Handicap -1 (Orebro SK)
Orebro SK -1
15.3%
@ 5.26-1.6%
Draw -1
20.1%
@ 4.30-0.6%
Ostersunds FK +1
64.6%
@ 1.43+2.2%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
5.50
10Bet
5.25
Marathonbet
5.20
Unibet
5.10
Draw
Bet365
4.50
Marathonbet
4.30
Unibet
4.20
10Bet
4.20
Away
10Bet
1.45
Bet365
1.44
Marathonbet
1.41
Unibet
1.41
Handicap +1 (Orebro SK)
Orebro SK +1
66.6%
@ 1.51+7.5%
Draw +1
19.4%
@ 4.09-2.4%
Ostersunds FK -1
14.1%
@ 4.66-5.0%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Marathonbet
1.52
Unibet
1.52
Bet365
1.50
Betfair
1.50
10Bet
1.50
Draw
Bet365
4.50
10Bet
4.00
Betfair
4.00
Marathonbet
4.00
Unibet
3.95
Away
10Bet
5.00
Bet365
5.00
Betfair
4.50
Marathonbet
4.45
Unibet
4.35
Handicap +2 (Orebro SK)
Orebro SK +2
85.9%
@ 1.15+7.6%
Draw +2
9.7%
@ 6.90-3.4%
Ostersunds FK -2
4.4%
@ 10.50-4.2%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
1.17
Unibet
1.16
Betfair
1.14
Marathonbet
1.14
Draw
Bet365
7.50
Betfair
7.00
Marathonbet
6.70
Unibet
6.40
Away
Bet365
13.00
Betfair
11.00
Unibet
9.00
Marathonbet
9.00
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Orebro SK
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.60
0.67
0.57
0.57
0.62
0.75
vs Stronger (6)
0.50
1.00
1.00
1.00
0.00
1.00
vs Similar (24)
0.62
0.58
0.45
0.45
0.77
0.69
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
50% (+25pp vs league)
This opponent (Ostersunds FK) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Ostersunds FK
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.6
Avg scored
0.2
Avg conceded
0.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.50
0.47
0.79
0.36
0.25
0.56
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (30)
0.50
0.47
0.79
0.36
0.25
0.56
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
63% (+38pp vs league)
This opponent (Orebro SK) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5
Over 0.5
66.5%
@ 1.34-2.6%
Under 0.5
33.5%
@ 3.00+2.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.40
BetVictor
1.37
Bet365
1.36
1xBet
1.34
Marathonbet
1.34
Under
Betfair
3.20
Pinnacle
3.15
10Bet
3.10
Bet365
3.00
William Hil
3.00
Half Time Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
30.4%
@ 2.58-5.5%
Under 1.5
69.6%
@ 1.45+5.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.68
Betano
2.67
William Hil
2.62
Bet365
2.62
Betfair
2.60
Under
10Bet
1.48
Unibet
1.46
BetVictor
1.45
Betfair
1.44
William Hil
1.44
Half Time Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
10.2%
@ 6.44-4.2%
Under 2.5
89.8%
@ 1.08+4.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betfair
7.00
Bet365
7.00
BetVictor
7.00
William Hil
6.50
Marathonbet
5.95
Under
Betano
1.11
William Hil
1.10
Bet365
1.10
BetVictor
1.07
Betfair
1.07
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Orebro SK over/under 0.5 HT
Over
44.5%
@ 2.05-0.7%
Under
55.5%
@ 1.69+0.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.11
1xBet
2.10
Betano
2.07
Marathonbet
2.05
10Bet
2.00
Under
10Bet
1.73
Unibet
1.71
Pinnacle
1.69
1xBet
1.67
Marathonbet
1.67
Orebro SK over/under 1.5 HT
Over
9.9%
@ 6.25-4.8%
Under
90.1%
@ 1.08+4.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
6.70
1xBet
6.50
10Bet
6.00
Betano
5.80
Under
Betano
1.10
10Bet
1.09
1xBet
1.08
Marathonbet
1.07
Orebro SK over/under 2.5 HT
Over
1.5%
@ 15.88-4.5%
Under
98.5%
@ 1.01+4.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
21.00
Betano
10.75
Under
Betano
1.01
10Bet
1.01
Ostersunds FK over/under 0.5 HT
Over
42.7%
@ 1.94-5.0%
Under
57.3%
@ 1.77+5.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
2.02
Pinnacle
1.97
Marathonbet
1.94
10Bet
1.91
1xBet
1.91
Under
1xBet
1.80
10Bet
1.80
Unibet
1.79
Pinnacle
1.78
Marathonbet
1.75
Ostersunds FK over/under 1.5 HT
Over
10.7%
@ 5.79-5.3%
Under
89.3%
@ 1.10+5.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
6.05
1xBet
6.00
Betano
5.60
10Bet
5.50
Under
1xBet
1.11
10Bet
1.11
Betano
1.11
Marathonbet
1.09
Ostersunds FK over/under 2.5 HT
Over
1.4%
@ 14.88-5.0%
Under
98.6%
@ 1.01+5.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
19.00
Betano
10.75
Under
Betano
1.02
10Bet
1.01
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Orebro SK
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
1.1
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.63
0.97
0.57
0.93
0.69
1.00
vs Stronger (6)
1.00
0.67
1.00
1.00
1.00
0.33
vs Similar (24)
0.54
1.04
0.45
0.91
0.62
1.15
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
40% (+15pp vs league)
This opponent (Ostersunds FK) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Ostersunds FK
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.83
0.73
0.79
0.79
0.88
0.69
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (30)
0.83
0.73
0.79
0.79
0.88
0.69
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
50% (+25pp vs league)
This opponent (Orebro SK) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5
Over 0.5
75.5%
@ 1.20-1.1%
Under 0.5
24.5%
@ 3.94+1.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
William Hil
1.22
Bet365
1.22
Betano
1.21
Marathonbet
1.18
1xBet
1.18
Under
Bet365
4.00
Marathonbet
3.94
1xBet
3.94
William Hil
3.90
Betano
3.90
Second Half Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
40.0%
@ 1.98-7.0%
Under 1.5
60.0%
@ 1.75+7.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
2.01
1xBet
2.01
William Hil
2.00
Bet365
2.00
Betano
1.93
Under
Betano
1.78
Unibet
1.77
1xBet
1.74
Marathonbet
1.74
William Hil
1.73
Second Half Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
15.6%
@ 4.08-7.1%
Under 2.5
84.4%
@ 1.20+7.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
4.33
William Hil
4.20
1xBet
4.05
Marathonbet
4.05
Betano
3.75
Under
Betano
1.23
William Hil
1.20
Bet365
1.20
Marathonbet
1.18
1xBet
1.18
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Orebro SK over/under 0.5 2H
Over
49.5%
@ 1.73-3.8%
Under
50.5%
@ 1.98+3.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
1.75
1xBet
1.75
10Bet
1.73
Betano
1.70
Under
Betano
2.02
10Bet
2.00
1xBet
1.94
Marathonbet
1.94
Orebro SK over/under 1.5 2H
Over
16.7%
@ 4.64-3.2%
Under
83.3%
@ 1.16+3.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
4.80
Marathonbet
4.80
10Bet
4.75
Betano
4.20
Under
Betano
1.19
10Bet
1.15
1xBet
1.14
Marathonbet
1.14
Orebro SK over/under 2.5 2H
Over
3.1%
@ 11.00-5.4%
Under
96.9%
@ 1.02+5.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
13.00
Betano
9.00
Under
Betano
1.03
10Bet
1.02
Ostersunds FK over/under 0.5 2H
Over
50.0%
@ 1.69-4.7%
Under
50.0%
@ 2.04+4.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
1.73
Betano
1.67
1xBet
1.67
Under
Betano
2.07
1xBet
2.05
10Bet
2.00
Ostersunds FK over/under 1.5 2H
Over
15.5%
@ 4.31-5.9%
Under
84.5%
@ 1.18+5.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
4.50
Marathonbet
4.35
1xBet
4.35
Betano
4.05
Under
Betano
1.20
10Bet
1.17
Marathonbet
1.17
1xBet
1.17
Ostersunds FK over/under 2.5 2H
Over
3.1%
@ 10.88-5.6%
Under
96.9%
@ 1.03+5.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
13.00
Betano
8.75
Under
Betano
1.04
10Bet
1.02
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🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Under 7.5
99.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 6.5
99.1%
1.01
Betano
1.02
1xBet
1.01
Bet365
1.01
-
-
+3.7%
Away under 2.5 HT goals
98.6%
1.01
Betano
1.02
10Bet
1.01
-
-
-
+5.0%
Home under 2.5 HT goals
98.5%
1.01
Betano
1.01
10Bet
1.01
-
-
-
+4.5%
Away under 3.5 goals
97.3%
1.03
Betano
1.04
Betfair
1.03
Bet365
1.03
-
-
+5.6%
Under 5.5
97.1%
1.04
Betano
1.05
Bet365
1.04
1xBet
1.04
-
-
+6.0%
Home under 3.5 goals
96.9%
1.03
Betano
1.04
Bet365
1.03
-
-
-
+4.7%
Away under 2.5 2H goals
96.9%
1.03
Betano
1.04
10Bet
1.02
-
-
-
+5.6%
Home under 2.5 2H goals
96.9%
1.02
Betano
1.03
10Bet
1.02
-
-
-
+5.4%
Under 4.5
91.8%
1.12
10Bet
1.14
Pinnacle
1.14
Betano
1.14
Bet365
1.12
Unibet
1.11
+8.8%
Home under 1.5 HT goals
90.1%
1.08
Betano
1.10
10Bet
1.09
1xBet
1.08
Marathonbet
1.07
-
+4.8%
Under 2.5 HT goals
89.8%
1.08
Betano
1.11
William Hil
1.10
Bet365
1.10
BetVictor
1.07
Betfair
1.07
+4.2%
Away under 2.5 goals
89.6%
1.15
Unibet
1.17
Betano
1.17
1xBet
1.14
Betfair
1.14
Bet365
1.14
+8.6%
Away under 1.5 HT goals
89.3%
1.10
1xBet
1.11
10Bet
1.11
Betano
1.11
Marathonbet
1.09
-
+5.3%
Home under 2.5 goals
88.8%
1.12
Betano
1.15
Bet365
1.14
Betfair
1.13
Unibet
1.13
10Bet
1.12
+6.3%
Under 5.5 cards
88.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home +2 handicap
85.9%
1.15
Bet365
1.17
Unibet
1.16
Betfair
1.14
Marathonbet
1.14
-
+7.6%
Over 19.5 fouls
85.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away +2 handicap
84.7%
1.12
Bet365
1.14
Unibet
1.11
Marathonbet
1.10
-
-
+6.5%
Away under 1.5 2H goals
84.5%
1.18
Betano
1.20
10Bet
1.17
Marathonbet
1.17
1xBet
1.17
-
+5.9%
Under 2.5 2H goals
84.4%
1.20
Betano
1.23
William Hil
1.20
Bet365
1.20
Marathonbet
1.18
1xBet
1.18
+7.1%
Home under 1.5 2H goals
83.3%
1.16
Betano
1.19
10Bet
1.15
1xBet
1.14
Marathonbet
1.14
-
+3.2%
Under 3.5
80.3%
1.36
10Bet
1.38
Unibet
1.38
Pinnacle
1.37
Betano
1.37
Bet365
1.36
+11.9%
Under 11.5 corners
78.5%
1.42
1xBet
1.44
Betano
1.44
Marathonbet
1.41
Unibet
1.38
-
+13.8%
Under 4.5 cards
76.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 0.5 2H goals
75.5%
1.20
William Hil
1.22
Bet365
1.22
Betano
1.21
Marathonbet
1.18
1xBet
1.18
-1.1%
Over 21.5 fouls
74.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Orebro SK
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Ahmed Yasin33%
Karl Holmberg33%
Antonio Yakoub33%
Jacob Ortmark0%
John Stenberg0%
Jakub Ojrzyński0%
Christopher Redenstrand0%
Hampus Söderstrom0%
Giuseppe Bovalina0%
Victor Sandberg0%
Erman Hrastovina0%
Hasan Dana0%
Fabian Walhström0%
Edwin Ibrahimbegovic0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
John Stenberg33%
Jakub Ojrzyński33%
Hampus Söderstrom33%
Edwin Ibrahimbegovic33%
Jacob Ortmark0%
Ahmed Yasin0%
Karl Holmberg0%
Antonio Yakoub0%
Christopher Redenstrand0%
Giuseppe Bovalina0%
Victor Sandberg0%
Erman Hrastovina0%
Hasan Dana0%
Fabian Walhström0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Karl Holmberg33%
Jacob Ortmark0%
Ahmed Yasin0%
John Stenberg0%
Jakub Ojrzyński0%
Antonio Yakoub0%
Christopher Redenstrand0%
Hampus Söderstrom0%
Giuseppe Bovalina0%
Victor Sandberg0%
Erman Hrastovina0%
Hasan Dana0%
Fabian Walhström0%
Edwin Ibrahimbegovic0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Antonio Yakoub33%
Jacob Ortmark0%
Ahmed Yasin0%
Karl Holmberg0%
John Stenberg0%
Jakub Ojrzyński0%
Christopher Redenstrand0%
Hampus Söderstrom0%
Giuseppe Bovalina0%
Victor Sandberg0%
Erman Hrastovina0%
Hasan Dana0%
Fabian Walhström0%
Edwin Ibrahimbegovic0%
Ostersunds FK
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Emil Özkan33%
Curtis Edwards0%
Dennis Widgren0%
Daniel Miljanovic0%
Simon Marklund0%
Amar Begić0%
Abel Stensrud0%
Yannick Adjoumani0%
Melker Uppenberg0%
Edgar Sarkis Navassardian0%
Hugo Azzi0%
Sunday Anyanwu0%
Mario Palomino Delgado0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Hugo Azzi67%
Daniel Miljanovic33%
Abel Stensrud33%
Emil Özkan33%
Sunday Anyanwu33%
Curtis Edwards0%
Dennis Widgren0%
Simon Marklund0%
Amar Begić0%
Yannick Adjoumani0%
Melker Uppenberg0%
Edgar Sarkis Navassardian0%
Mario Palomino Delgado0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Simon Marklund33%
Curtis Edwards0%
Dennis Widgren0%
Daniel Miljanovic0%
Amar Begić0%
Abel Stensrud0%
Yannick Adjoumani0%
Emil Özkan0%
Melker Uppenberg0%
Edgar Sarkis Navassardian0%
Hugo Azzi0%
Sunday Anyanwu0%
Mario Palomino Delgado0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Curtis Edwards0%
Dennis Widgren0%
Daniel Miljanovic0%
Simon Marklund0%
Amar Begić0%
Abel Stensrud0%
Yannick Adjoumani0%
Emil Özkan0%
Melker Uppenberg0%
Edgar Sarkis Navassardian0%
Hugo Azzi0%
Sunday Anyanwu0%
Mario Palomino Delgado0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
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💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
IN (25)
€9m
HEL (25)
€7m
LB (20)
€6m
VBF (24)
€6m
FF (19)
€5m
OI (23)
€5m
ODD (23)
€5m
IV (21)
€5m
OS (23)
€5m
IB (23)
€5m
SAN (20)
€4m
GS (22)
€4m
OF (21)
€4m
LS (22)
€3m
UN (17)
€3m
NI (17)
€3m
Orebro SK and Ostersunds FK have a similar squad value (both €5m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
IN (8)
€3m
IV (7)
€2m
HEL (8)
€2m
FF (8)
€2m
LB (5)
€2m
VBF (7)
€2m
OI (7)
€2m
ODD (6)
€1m
SAN (5)
€1m
OS (6)
€1m
GS (8)
€1m
NI (6)
€1m
LS (7)
€1m
IB (5)
€1m
OF (5)
€1m
UN (4)
€0m
Orebro SK and Ostersunds FK have a similar attack value (both €1m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
IN (8)
€3m
HEL (7)
€2m
VBF (8)
€2m
LB (7)
€2m
OF (6)
€2m
OI (6)
€2m
IB (7)
€1m
ODD (7)
€1m
GS (5)
€1m
SAN (6)
€1m
OS (5)
€1m
LS (4)
€1m
UN (4)
€1m
IV (4)
€1m
FF (2)
€1m
NI (3)
€0m
Orebro SK and Ostersunds FK have a similar midfield value (both €1m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
IN (9)
€3m
FF (9)
€3m
OS (12)
€3m
ODD (10)
€3m
HEL (10)
€2m
LB (8)
€2m
IB (11)
€2m
VBF (9)
€2m
OI (10)
€2m
UN (9)
€2m
SAN (9)
€2m
IV (10)
€2m
OF (10)
€2m
GS (9)
€2m
LS (11)
€2m
NI (8)
€1m
Orebro SK and Ostersunds FK have a similar defence value (both €3m).
Sweden: Superettan 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Sweden: Superettan stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
IFK Norrkoping
Falkenbergs FF
Varbergs BoIS FC
Osters IF
United Nordic
Landskrona BoIS
Oddevold
Sandviken
Helsingborg
Ljungskile SK
Norrby IF
IFK Varnamo
IK brage
GIF Sundsvall