The upcoming match between Orgryte IS and Halmstad in the Sweden: Allsvenskan league promises to be an exciting high-scoring encounter, with an expected total of 3.3 goals. Orgryte IS comes into this match after a recent defeat, coming off the back of a 3-4 loss to AIK Stockholm. Halmstad, on the other hand, is looking to bounce back from two consecutive defeats, their last match ending in a 0-2 loss to Gais.
The statistics suggest a closely contested match, with Orgryte IS and Halmstad each having a 50% chance of winning and a 26% chance of drawing. The model's pick is a home win. Orgryte IS's home form against similar opponents sees them scoring an average of 1.38 goals and conceding 1.5 goals. Halmstad's away form against similar opponents sees them scoring an average of 1 goal and conceding 1.33 goals.
The model suggests an Over 1.5 goals selection with a probability of 84.9%. The most likely score is 1-1, with a probability of 10.8%. Orgryte IS has a 50% chance of winning, a 24% chance of drawing, and a 26% chance of losing.
Results analysis
The pre-match favourite, a home win for Orgryte IS, fell short as the match finished 1-1, a draw that extended both sides’ recent streaks of draws. The model’s call was wrong, despite a 50 % probability for a home victory. The model’s selection of the most likely score, 1-1, proved accurate, matching the final tally. Every suggested pick hit: Away under 2.5 HT goals at 98.9 %, Under 7.5 at 98.5 %, Away under 2.5 2H goals at 97.9 %, Home under 2.5 HT goals at 96.7 %, Away under 3.5 goals at 96.0 %, Under 6.5 at 95.9 %, Home under 2.5 2H goals at 93.1 %, and Away under 1.5 HT goals at 91.7 %. All probabilities were expressed as percentages, and every selection’s outcome was recorded.
Advertisement
🎯 1. Model Analysis
Orgryte IS win✗ Miss
50.4%
Avg Implied 47.2% · @ 1.97
Edge
+3.3%
Best 5 market prices
Pinnacle
2.01
Dafabet
2.01
Superbet
2.00
1xBet
1.98
Unibet
1.98
Draw✓ Hit
24.6%
Avg Implied 25.7% · @ 3.60
Edge
-1.1%
Best 5 market prices
Pinnacle
3.78
Dafabet
3.75
Bet365
3.70
Betfair
3.70
10Bet
3.70
Halmstad win✗ Miss
24.9%
Avg Implied 27.1% · @ 3.42
Edge
-2.1%
Best 5 market prices
Pinnacle
3.55
Unibet
3.55
Betfair
3.50
Bet365
3.50
Dafabet
3.50
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
Orgryte IS
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.7
Avg scored
1.5
Avg conceded
2.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.17
1.87
1.46
1.77
0.94
1.94
vs Stronger (11)
1.45
2.45
1.67
2.17
1.20
2.80
vs Similar (18)
1.00
1.56
1.29
1.43
0.82
1.64
vs Weaker (1)
1.00
1.00
-
-
1.00
1.00
Clean sheet %
27% (+0pp vs league)
This opponent (Halmstad) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Halmstad
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.7
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
2.0
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.77
1.53
0.64
1.50
0.88
1.56
vs Stronger (16)
0.75
1.62
0.40
1.40
0.91
1.73
vs Similar (14)
0.79
1.43
0.78
1.56
0.80
1.20
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
23% (-3pp vs league)
This opponent (Orgryte IS) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 3.1 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 3 (22%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
83.2%
@ 1.21+6.1%
Under 1.5
16.8%
@ 4.07-6.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
1.23
Betano
1.23
888Sport
1.22
10Bet
1.22
Bet365
1.22
Under
Betfair
4.33
10Bet
4.33
Pinnacle
4.22
Superbet
4.10
BetVictor
4.10
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
60.9%
@ 1.69+5.4%
Under 2.5
39.1%
@ 2.10-5.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
1.73
1xBet
1.71
Bet365
1.70
Betano
1.70
Marathonbet
1.70
Under
10Bet
2.20
Pinnacle
2.16
Betfair
2.15
Marathonbet
2.11
Superbet
2.10
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
38.5%
@ 2.70+4.1%
Under 3.5
61.5%
@ 1.42-4.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.85
888Sport
2.75
BetVictor
2.75
Superbet
2.70
10Bet
2.70
Under
10Bet
1.48
Betfair
1.44
Bet365
1.44
Betano
1.44
Pinnacle
1.43
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
62.0%
@ 1.59+3.7%
No
38.0%
@ 2.22-3.7%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
Bet365
1.67
Superbet
1.61
Betano
1.60
Betfair
1.60
Marathonbet
1.59
No
Betfair
2.30
888Sport
2.25
BetVictor
2.25
10Bet
2.25
William Hil
2.25
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1 ✓
11.3%@ 6.72+4.6%
2-1
9.6%@ 7.87+3.9%
2-0
7.6%@ 10.05+3.1%
1-0
7.0%@ 8.48+1.7%
1-2
6.5%@ 10.88+2.4%
2-2
6.1%@ 11.65+2.3%
3-1
6.0%@ 13.25+2.6%
0-0
5.3%@ 12.12+1.6%
Orgryte IS goals ↓
Halmstad goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
5.3%
4.5%
3.5%
1.5%
0.5%
1
7.0%
11%
6.5%
2.8%
0.9%
2
7.6%
9.6%
6.1%
2.6%
0.8%
3
4.7%
6.0%
3.8%
1.6%
0.5%
4
2.2%
2.8%
1.8%
0.8%
0.2%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Orgryte IS goals (down), columns = Halmstad goals (across).
Advertisement
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Sirius
2.21
Hammarby FF
1.89
Djurgardens IF
1.84
AIK Stockholm
1.72
BK Hacken
1.63
IF Elfsborg
1.63
Malmo FF
1.53
Vasteras SK FK
1.53
Gais
1.37
IF Brommapojkarna
1.26
IFK Goteborg
1.21
Mjallby AIF
1.11
Kalmar FF
1.00
Degerfors IF
0.84
Orgryte IS
0.74
Halmstad
0.58
Orgryte IS is 0.16 points better than Halmstad in terms of average points per game (0.74 vs 0.58).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Sirius
2.47
Hammarby FF
2.32
Djurgardens IF
2.26
BK Hacken
1.74
Malmo FF
1.74
AIK Stockholm
1.56
Vasteras SK FK
1.47
IF Elfsborg
1.42
IF Brommapojkarna
1.42
Mjallby AIF
1.33
Gais
1.32
IFK Goteborg
1.26
Orgryte IS
1.16
Kalmar FF
1.11
Degerfors IF
0.89
Halmstad
0.68
Orgryte IS is 0.47 goals better than Halmstad in terms of goals scored per game (1.16 vs 0.68).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Gais
0.95
Hammarby FF
0.95
IF Elfsborg
1.00
Djurgardens IF
1.00
Sirius
1.42
AIK Stockholm
1.50
BK Hacken
1.53
Kalmar FF
1.53
Malmo FF
1.58
Mjallby AIF
1.61
IF Brommapojkarna
1.63
Degerfors IF
1.63
Vasteras SK FK
1.74
Halmstad
1.84
IFK Goteborg
2.05
Orgryte IS
2.21
Orgryte IS is 0.37 goals worse than Halmstad in terms of goals conceded per game (2.21 vs 1.84).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
Hammarby FF
61%
Djurgardens IF
56%
Malmo FF
56%
Mjallby AIF
53%
BK Hacken
52%
AIK Stockholm
52%
IFK Goteborg
51%
Gais
50%
Sirius
48%
IF Elfsborg
48%
Vasteras SK FK
48%
Kalmar FF
47%
IF Brommapojkarna
47%
Degerfors IF
46%
Orgryte IS
43%
Halmstad
41%
Orgryte IS is 2.5 percentage points better than Halmstad in terms of average possession (43% vs 41%).
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Orgryte IS
For 4.4 · Against 5.5 · Total 9.9
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.7 · Against 1.6 · Total 3.3
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 10.3 · Against 11.8 · Total 22.1
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Halmstad
For 4.2 · Against 7.6 · Total 11.8
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.4 · Against 1.4 · Total 2.8
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 13.0 · Against 9.0 · Total 22.0
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Orgryte IS
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
10.2
9.2
10.9
1.9
2.0
1.8
21.6
21.4
21.8
vs Stronger (11)
11.0
11.4
10.6
2.7
3.2
2.2
21.1
20.4
21.8
vs Similar (35)
9.6
7.8
11.0
1.7
1.8
1.6
22.0
22.0
22.0
vs Weaker (4)
11.5
-
11.5
2.0
0.0
2.7
21.0
-
21.0
% over line
52%
46%
56%
24%
26%
22%
45%
46%
44%
% under line
48%
54%
44%
76%
74%
78%
55%
54%
56%
This opponent (Halmstad) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Halmstad
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
10.1
9.3
10.9
3.1
3.1
3.0
23.6
24.0
23.2
vs Stronger (30)
10.2
9.9
10.5
3.3
2.7
3.7
23.1
22.9
23.2
vs Similar (20)
9.8
8.5
11.7
2.8
3.6
1.7
24.5
25.5
23.1
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
54%
48%
61%
44%
46%
42%
63%
61%
65%
% under line
46%
52%
39%
56%
54%
58%
37%
39%
35%
This opponent (Orgryte IS) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
IFK Goteborg
11.3
Sirius
11.1
BK Hacken
10.8
IF Brommapojkarna
10.8
Orgryte IS
10.6
Djurgardens IF
10.6
Gais
10.4
AIK Stockholm
10.4
Vasteras SK FK
10.3
Degerfors IF
10.2
Kalmar FF
10.2
Mjallby AIF
10.1
Hammarby FF
10.0
Halmstad
10.0
Malmo FF
9.9
IF Elfsborg
9.9
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Djurgardens IF
4.4
BK Hacken
4.3
IFK Goteborg
4.3
AIK Stockholm
4.2
Degerfors IF
3.9
Gais
3.8
Malmo FF
3.8
Mjallby AIF
3.7
IF Brommapojkarna
3.7
Hammarby FF
3.7
Halmstad
3.6
Vasteras SK FK
3.6
IF Elfsborg
3.5
Sirius
3.5
Kalmar FF
3.4
Orgryte IS
2.9
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Djurgardens IF
25.8
Malmo FF
25.7
IFK Goteborg
25.7
Sirius
25.4
Mjallby AIF
25.3
Degerfors IF
25.2
Gais
24.9
Vasteras SK FK
24.8
Hammarby FF
24.8
BK Hacken
24.7
IF Brommapojkarna
24.1
IF Elfsborg
24.0
AIK Stockholm
23.9
Halmstad
23.8
Kalmar FF
23.4
Orgryte IS
21.2
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Over
Over 9.5
61.6%
@ 1.55+2.4%
Under 9.5
38.4%
@ 2.26-2.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
1.65
Betano
1.57
Pinnacle
1.56
Unibet
1.55
Marathonbet
1.52
Under
Betano
2.32
Pinnacle
2.31
1xBet
2.30
Marathonbet
2.27
Unibet
2.25
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
47.1%
Under 3.5
52.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Under
Over 21.5
55.2%
Under 21.5
44.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Orgryte IS or Draw✓ Hit
75.1%
Avg Implied 72.8% · @ 1.28
Edge
+2.2%
50%
25%
25%
covers Orgryte IS + Draw
Best 5 market prices
Betano
1.33
888Sport
1.30
10Bet
1.30
William Hil
1.30
Betfair
1.29
Orgryte IS or Halmstad✗ Miss
75.4%
Avg Implied 74.8% · @ 1.25
Edge
+0.6%
50%
25%
25%
covers Orgryte IS + Halmstad
Best 5 market prices
Bet365
1.28
Unibet
1.27
Betano
1.27
Superbet
1.26
Marathonbet
1.26
Draw or Halmstad✓ Hit
49.6%
Avg Implied 52.4% · @ 1.79
Edge
-2.8%
50%
25%
25%
covers Draw + Halmstad
Best 5 market prices
Betano
1.85
SBO
1.84
Betfair
1.83
Bet365
1.80
10Bet
1.80
Advertisement
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
Home & Away Over/Under
How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Orgryte IS over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
84.6%
@ 1.16+4.7%
Under
15.4%
@ 4.63-4.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.19
Bet365
1.18
888Sport
1.17
Superbet
1.17
10Bet
1.15
Under
Betfair
5.00
BetVictor
4.75
10Bet
4.75
888Sport
4.60
Superbet
4.60
Orgryte IS over/under 1.5Actual: Under
Over
55.9%
@ 1.84+5.2%
Under
44.1%
@ 1.89-5.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
1.91
1xBet
1.87
Marathonbet
1.87
Superbet
1.85
888Sport
1.85
Under
Betfair
2.00
10Bet
1.91
Pinnacle
1.91
Marathonbet
1.90
Betano
1.90
Orgryte IS over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
28.9%
@ 3.64+3.4%
Under
71.1%
@ 1.25-3.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
3.84
Bet365
3.75
BetVictor
3.75
888Sport
3.70
Marathonbet
3.65
Under
Betano
1.27
Pinnacle
1.26
Superbet
1.26
Betfair
1.25
888Sport
1.25
Orgryte IS over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
12.1%
@ 8.23+0.7%
Under
87.9%
@ 1.05-0.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
10.00
888Sport
8.50
1xBet
8.10
Marathonbet
8.10
Betfair
8.00
Under
Betano
1.08
888Sport
1.06
Bet365
1.06
Betfair
1.06
Superbet
1.06
Halmstad over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
72.0%
@ 1.33+2.4%
Under
28.0%
@ 3.05-2.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
1.36
Betano
1.36
Pinnacle
1.35
Superbet
1.35
BetVictor
1.33
Under
Betfair
3.20
Pinnacle
3.15
10Bet
3.10
Superbet
3.05
1xBet
3.04
Halmstad over/under 1.5Actual: Under
Over
36.3%
@ 2.65+1.2%
Under
63.7%
@ 1.44-1.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.82
Bet365
2.75
Marathonbet
2.68
1xBet
2.68
BetVictor
2.63
Under
Superbet
1.45
Betano
1.45
10Bet
1.45
Pinnacle
1.44
Marathonbet
1.44
Halmstad over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
13.7%
@ 6.36-1.0%
Under
86.3%
@ 1.09+1.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
7.00
Marathonbet
6.60
1xBet
6.60
888Sport
6.50
BetVictor
6.50
Under
Betano
1.12
Betfair
1.10
888Sport
1.10
Bet365
1.10
Superbet
1.10
Halmstad over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
4.0%
@ 16.69-1.7%
Under
96.0%
@ 1.02+1.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
21.00
888Sport
19.00
Superbet
16.00
Betano
10.75
Under
Betano
1.03
888Sport
1.02
Superbet
1.01
Bet365
1.01
⚖️ 7. Handicap
Handicap
The handicap is applied to Orgryte IS, so a minus line means Orgryte IS give that many goals of a start and Halmstad receive them. At -1, Orgryte IS must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Orgryte IS win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Orgryte IS)Actual: Halmstad
Orgryte IS -2
13.5%
@ 7.07+0.9%
Draw -2
15.6%
@ 5.48-0.6%
Halmstad +2
70.9%
@ 1.25-0.2%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Betfair
7.50
Bet365
7.50
10Bet
7.00
Marathonbet
6.95
Unibet
6.75
Draw
Marathonbet
5.75
10Bet
5.50
Betfair
5.50
Bet365
5.50
Superbet
5.40
Away
Bet365
1.28
Superbet
1.27
Unibet
1.25
10Bet
1.25
Betfair
1.25
Handicap -1 (Orgryte IS)Actual: Halmstad
Orgryte IS -1
29.1%
@ 3.41+2.9%
Draw -1
21.3%
@ 3.77-2.4%
Halmstad +1
49.6%
@ 1.79-0.5%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
3.50
Marathonbet
3.42
10Bet
3.40
Betfair
3.40
Superbet
3.40
Draw
Bet365
4.00
Superbet
3.80
Betfair
3.75
Marathonbet
3.74
10Bet
3.70
Away
10Bet
1.80
Bet365
1.80
Betfair
1.80
Marathonbet
1.79
Superbet
1.78
Handicap +1 (Orgryte IS)Actual: Orgryte IS
Orgryte IS +1
75.1%
@ 1.28+5.4%
Draw +1
14.2%
@ 5.13-3.3%
Halmstad -1
10.8%
@ 6.94-2.1%
Best 5 market prices
Home
10Bet
1.30
Superbet
1.30
Marathonbet
1.28
Bet365
1.28
Unibet
1.26
Draw
Bet365
5.50
Marathonbet
5.15
Superbet
5.10
10Bet
5.00
Unibet
4.90
Away
Bet365
7.50
Marathonbet
7.10
Unibet
7.00
Superbet
6.60
10Bet
6.50
Handicap +2 (Orgryte IS)Actual: Orgryte IS
Orgryte IS +2
89.2%
@ 1.07+2.5%
Draw +2
7.2%
@ 11.00-1.2%
Halmstad -2
3.6%
@ 19.00-1.3%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
1.07
Draw
Bet365
11.00
Away
Bet365
19.00
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Orgryte IS
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
1.0
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.57
0.70
0.62
0.77
0.53
0.65
vs Stronger (11)
0.73
1.00
0.50
0.83
1.00
1.20
vs Similar (18)
0.50
0.56
0.71
0.71
0.36
0.45
vs Weaker (1)
0.00
0.00
-
-
0.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
47% (+20pp vs league)
This opponent (Halmstad) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Halmstad
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.40
0.57
0.36
0.43
0.44
0.69
vs Stronger (16)
0.44
0.62
0.20
0.40
0.55
0.73
vs Similar (14)
0.36
0.50
0.44
0.44
0.20
0.60
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
63% (+37pp vs league)
This opponent (Orgryte IS) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
71.6%
@ 1.31+0.7%
Under 0.5
28.4%
@ 3.20-0.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.36
Bet365
1.33
Superbet
1.32
1xBet
1.31
Marathonbet
1.31
Under
Betfair
3.30
10Bet
3.30
Bet365
3.25
Superbet
3.20
BetVictor
3.20
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
33.0%
@ 2.46-4.8%
Under 1.5
67.0%
@ 1.49+4.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.59
Betano
2.57
Bet365
2.50
William Hil
2.50
1xBet
2.50
Under
10Bet
1.55
Superbet
1.51
Betano
1.50
Bet365
1.50
Betfair
1.50
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
13.5%
@ 5.95-2.1%
Under 2.5
86.5%
@ 1.10+2.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
BetVictor
6.50
Bet365
6.50
Betfair
6.50
William Hil
6.00
Marathonbet
5.75
Under
Betano
1.13
Superbet
1.12
William Hil
1.11
Unibet
1.11
Bet365
1.11
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Orgryte IS over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
48.7%
@ 1.74-4.8%
Under
51.3%
@ 2.00+4.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.82
Pinnacle
1.78
Superbet
1.75
Marathonbet
1.75
Unibet
1.70
Under
1xBet
2.10
10Bet
2.05
Pinnacle
2.02
Unibet
1.98
Superbet
1.97
Orgryte IS over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
17.8%
@ 4.74-1.8%
Under
82.2%
@ 1.16+1.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
5.00
1xBet
5.00
Betano
4.70
Superbet
4.65
10Bet
4.33
Under
10Bet
1.18
Betano
1.17
Superbet
1.16
1xBet
1.14
Marathonbet
1.13
Orgryte IS over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
3.3%
@ 12.17-4.4%
Under
96.7%
@ 1.02+4.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
14.00
10Bet
12.00
Betano
10.50
Under
Betano
1.03
10Bet
1.02
Superbet
1.01
Halmstad over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
37.0%
@ 2.21-5.0%
Under
63.0%
@ 1.60+5.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.33
Betano
2.25
Superbet
2.20
1xBet
2.20
Marathonbet
2.18
Under
1xBet
1.62
10Bet
1.62
Pinnacle
1.60
Superbet
1.60
Betano
1.60
Halmstad over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
8.3%
@ 7.22-4.5%
Under
91.7%
@ 1.06+4.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
7.80
1xBet
7.50
10Bet
7.00
Superbet
7.00
Betano
6.80
Under
Betano
1.08
Superbet
1.07
10Bet
1.07
1xBet
1.06
Marathonbet
1.04
Halmstad over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
1.1%
@ 21.17-3.5%
Under
98.9%
@ 1.01+3.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
26.00
Superbet
25.00
Betano
12.50
Under
Betano
1.01
10Bet
1.01
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Orgryte IS
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.1
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
1.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.60
1.17
0.85
1.00
0.41
1.29
vs Stronger (11)
0.73
1.45
1.17
1.33
0.20
1.60
vs Similar (18)
0.50
1.00
0.57
0.71
0.45
1.18
vs Weaker (1)
1.00
1.00
-
-
1.00
1.00
Clean sheet %
27% (+0pp vs league)
This opponent (Halmstad) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Halmstad
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.2
Avg conceded
1.1
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.37
0.97
0.29
1.07
0.44
0.88
vs Stronger (16)
0.31
1.00
0.20
1.00
0.36
1.00
vs Similar (14)
0.43
0.93
0.33
1.11
0.60
0.60
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
37% (+10pp vs league)
This opponent (Orgryte IS) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
81.4%
Under 0.5
18.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
48.4%
Under 1.5
51.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
21.6%
Under 2.5
78.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Orgryte IS over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
60.0%
Under
40.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Orgryte IS over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
26.6%
Under
73.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Orgryte IS over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
6.9%
Under
93.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Halmstad over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
45.3%
Under
54.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Halmstad over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
13.2%
Under
86.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Halmstad over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
2.1%
Under
97.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Advertisement
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Away under 2.5 HT goals
98.9%
1.01
Betano
1.01
10Bet
1.01
-
-
-
+3.5%
✓ Hit
Under 7.5
98.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 2H goals
97.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 HT goals
96.7%
1.02
Betano
1.03
10Bet
1.02
Superbet
1.01
-
-
+4.4%
✓ Hit
Away under 3.5 goals
96.0%
1.02
Betano
1.03
888Sport
1.02
Superbet
1.01
Bet365
1.01
-
+1.7%
✓ Hit
Under 6.5
95.9%
1.01
Betano
1.02
Superbet
1.01
Bet365
1.01
1xBet
1.01
-
+1.2%
✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 2H goals
93.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Away under 1.5 HT goals
91.7%
1.06
Betano
1.08
Superbet
1.07
10Bet
1.07
1xBet
1.06
Marathonbet
1.04
+4.5%
✓ Hit
Under 5.5
90.1%
1.05
Betano
1.06
Betfair
1.05
Superbet
1.05
888Sport
1.05
Bet365
1.05
+0.1%
✓ Hit
Home +2 handicap
89.2%
1.07
Bet365
1.07
-
-
-
-
+2.5%
✓ Hit
Home under 3.5 goals
87.9%
1.05
Betano
1.08
888Sport
1.06
Bet365
1.06
Betfair
1.06
Superbet
1.06
-0.7%
✓ Hit
Away under 1.5 2H goals
86.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 2.5 HT goals
86.5%
1.10
Betano
1.13
Superbet
1.12
William Hil
1.11
Unibet
1.11
Bet365
1.11
+2.1%
✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 goals
86.3%
1.09
Betano
1.12
Betfair
1.10
888Sport
1.10
Bet365
1.10
Superbet
1.10
+1.0%
✓ Hit
Under 5.5 cards
85.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home over 0.5 goals
84.6%
1.16
Betano
1.19
Bet365
1.18
888Sport
1.17
Superbet
1.17
10Bet
1.15
+4.7%
✓ Hit
Over 1.5
83.2%
1.21
Pinnacle
1.23
Betano
1.23
888Sport
1.22
10Bet
1.22
Bet365
1.22
+6.1%
✓ Hit
Home under 1.5 HT goals
82.2%
1.16
10Bet
1.18
Betano
1.17
Superbet
1.16
1xBet
1.14
Marathonbet
1.13
+1.8%
✓ Hit
Over 0.5 2H goals
81.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Under 4.5
79.0%
1.15
10Bet
1.18
Bet365
1.17
Betano
1.17
Betfair
1.17
Superbet
1.16
-2.1%
✓ Hit
Under 2.5 2H goals
78.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 25.5 fouls
75.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home or Away
75.4%
1.25
Bet365
1.28
Unibet
1.27
Betano
1.27
Superbet
1.26
Marathonbet
1.26
+0.6%
✗ Miss
Home or Draw
75.1%
1.28
Betano
1.33
888Sport
1.30
10Bet
1.30
William Hil
1.30
Betfair
1.29
+2.2%
✓ Hit
Home +1 handicap
75.1%
1.28
10Bet
1.30
Superbet
1.30
Marathonbet
1.28
Bet365
1.28
Unibet
1.26
+5.4%
✓ Hit
Home under 1.5 2H goals
73.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 8.5 corners
73.2%
1.32
Superbet
1.41
Betano
1.33
Unibet
1.33
Marathonbet
1.28
1xBet
1.26
+4.1%
✓ Hit
Away over 0.5 goals
72.0%
1.33
Bet365
1.36
Betano
1.36
Pinnacle
1.35
Superbet
1.35
BetVictor
1.33
+2.4%
✓ Hit
Under 4.5 cards
71.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 0.5 HT goals
71.6%
1.31
Betano
1.36
Bet365
1.33
Superbet
1.32
1xBet
1.31
Marathonbet
1.31
+0.7%
✓ Hit
Over 19.5 fouls
71.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Home under 2.5 goals
71.1%
1.25
Betano
1.27
Pinnacle
1.26
Superbet
1.26
Betfair
1.25
888Sport
1.25
-3.4%
✓ Hit
Away +2 handicap
70.9%
1.25
Bet365
1.28
Superbet
1.27
Unibet
1.25
10Bet
1.25
Betfair
1.25
-0.2%
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Orgryte IS
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Noah Christoffersson22%
Adam Andersson17%
Jerome Tibbling Ugwo17%
Anton Andreasson16%
Tobias Sana11%
Christoffer Styffe11%
Daniel Paulson6%
William Hofvander5%
Benjamin Laturnus5%
Mikael Dyrestam0%
Jonathan Azulay0%
Rasmus Alm0%
Johan Hammar0%
Owen Parker-Price0%
Hampus Gustafsson0%
Hampus Dahlqvist0%
William Kenndal0%
Charlie Vindehall0%
William Svensson0%
Sebastian Lagerlund0%
Michael Parker0%
Marlon Ebietomere0%
Demirel Hodžić0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Demirel Hodžić29%
Sebastian Lagerlund25%
Jerome Tibbling Ugwo22%
William Kenndal20%
Tobias Sana17%
William Hofvander16%
Marlon Ebietomere12%
Mikael Dyrestam11%
Owen Parker-Price11%
Christoffer Styffe11%
Benjamin Laturnus11%
Michael Parker11%
Daniel Paulson6%
Jonathan Azulay0%
Rasmus Alm0%
Noah Christoffersson0%
Anton Andreasson0%
Johan Hammar0%
Adam Andersson0%
Hampus Gustafsson0%
Hampus Dahlqvist0%
Charlie Vindehall0%
William Svensson0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Tobias Sana22%
Adam Andersson17%
Mikael Dyrestam11%
Owen Parker-Price11%
Charlie Vindehall11%
William Hofvander11%
Noah Christoffersson6%
Christoffer Styffe6%
Jerome Tibbling Ugwo6%
Jonathan Azulay0%
Rasmus Alm0%
Daniel Paulson0%
Anton Andreasson0%
Johan Hammar0%
Hampus Gustafsson0%
Hampus Dahlqvist0%
William Kenndal0%
William Svensson0%
Benjamin Laturnus0%
Sebastian Lagerlund0%
Michael Parker0%
Marlon Ebietomere0%
Demirel Hodžić0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Noah Christoffersson33%
Johan Hammar33%
William Hofvander26%
Jerome Tibbling Ugwo11%
Daniel Paulson6%
Owen Parker-Price6%
Tobias Sana0%
Mikael Dyrestam0%
Jonathan Azulay0%
Rasmus Alm0%
Anton Andreasson0%
Adam Andersson0%
Hampus Gustafsson0%
Hampus Dahlqvist0%
Christoffer Styffe0%
William Kenndal0%
Charlie Vindehall0%
William Svensson0%
Benjamin Laturnus0%
Sebastian Lagerlund0%
Michael Parker0%
Marlon Ebietomere0%
Demirel Hodžić0%
Halmstad
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Otso Liimatta22%
Rocco Ascone17%
Ludvig Arvidsson12%
Hussein Carneil11%
Omar Faraj11%
Pascal Gregor0%
Andre Boman0%
Gabriel Wallentin0%
Joel Allansson0%
Tim Rönning0%
Rami Kaib0%
Niilo Mäenpää0%
Filip Schyberg0%
Erko Tougjas0%
Gustav Friberg0%
Aleksander Nilsson0%
Emmanuel Yeboah0%
Marvin Illary0%
Oliver Kapsimalis0%
Malte Persson0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Rami Kaib35%
Filip Schyberg33%
Gustav Friberg25%
Otso Liimatta22%
Aleksander Nilsson22%
Rocco Ascone17%
Niilo Mäenpää14%
Erko Tougjas13%
Gabriel Wallentin8%
Oliver Kapsimalis7%
Pascal Gregor6%
Andre Boman6%
Tim Rönning6%
Hussein Carneil6%
Joel Allansson5%
Omar Faraj5%
Emmanuel Yeboah0%
Ludvig Arvidsson0%
Marvin Illary0%
Malte Persson0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Hussein Carneil11%
Ludvig Arvidsson6%
Rami Kaib6%
Marvin Illary6%
Andre Boman6%
Joel Allansson5%
Malte Persson5%
Pascal Gregor0%
Gabriel Wallentin0%
Tim Rönning0%
Niilo Mäenpää0%
Filip Schyberg0%
Rocco Ascone0%
Omar Faraj0%
Erko Tougjas0%
Gustav Friberg0%
Otso Liimatta0%
Aleksander Nilsson0%
Emmanuel Yeboah0%
Oliver Kapsimalis0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Hussein Carneil33%
Omar Faraj26%
Ludvig Arvidsson12%
Rami Kaib6%
Rocco Ascone6%
Malte Persson5%
Pascal Gregor0%
Andre Boman0%
Gabriel Wallentin0%
Joel Allansson0%
Tim Rönning0%
Niilo Mäenpää0%
Filip Schyberg0%
Erko Tougjas0%
Gustav Friberg0%
Otso Liimatta0%
Aleksander Nilsson0%
Emmanuel Yeboah0%
Marvin Illary0%
Oliver Kapsimalis0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
Advertisement
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MF (28)
€35m
HF (22)
€35m
SIR (24)
€28m
DI (22)
€27m
MA (24)
€26m
AS (27)
€21m
IG (25)
€18m
IE (26)
€17m
BH (22)
€16m
GAI (29)
€13m
KF (21)
€10m
VSF (24)
€10m
IB (25)
€9m
HAL (20)
€8m
OI (26)
€8m
DI (23)
€6m
Orgryte IS and Halmstad have a similar squad value (both €8m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SIR (10)
€18m
HF (9)
€13m
MF (8)
€12m
IG (9)
€8m
AS (7)
€8m
DI (6)
€8m
MA (9)
€7m
BH (4)
€6m
IE (9)
€5m
GAI (10)
€5m
KF (8)
€4m
HAL (7)
€4m
IB (10)
€3m
VSF (8)
€3m
OI (7)
€2m
DI (5)
€1m
Orgryte IS's attack is €2m less valuable than Halmstad's (€2m vs €4m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
DI (6)
€14m
HF (4)
€11m
MF (7)
€11m
MA (6)
€11m
AS (9)
€7m
SIR (5)
€5m
IE (5)
€4m
IG (4)
€3m
GAI (8)
€3m
BH (6)
€3m
VSF (6)
€3m
DI (7)
€3m
KF (5)
€2m
OI (7)
€2m
IB (4)
€2m
HAL (4)
€1m
Orgryte IS and Halmstad have a similar midfield value (both €2m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MF (13)
€12m
HF (9)
€10m
MA (9)
€8m
IE (12)
€7m
BH (12)
€7m
DI (10)
€6m
AS (11)
€6m
IG (12)
€6m
GAI (11)
€5m
OI (12)
€4m
SIR (9)
€4m
IB (11)
€4m
VSF (10)
€4m
KF (8)
€3m
HAL (9)
€3m
DI (11)
€3m
Orgryte IS's defence is €1m more valuable than Halmstad's (€4m vs €3m).
Sweden: Allsvenskan 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Sweden: Allsvenskan stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
Sirius
Hammarby FF
Djurgardens IF
IF Elfsborg
BK Hacken
AIK Stockholm
Malmo FF
Vasteras SK FK
Gais
IF Brommapojkarna
IFK Goteborg
Mjallby AIF
Kalmar FF
Degerfors IF