Orgryte IS will face Hammarby FF in a match that the model predicts will end in an away victory, with a 58% chance for Hammarby, 21% for Orgryte and 22% for a draw. The average number of goals expected is 3.5, and the most likely scoreline is 1-2, a 9.5% probability. Orgryte, playing at home against a stronger opponent, averages 1.67 goals scored and 2.17 conceded, while Hammarby, on the road against a weaker side, averages 2.8 goals scored and only 0.8 conceded. The model’s selections highlight a very high likelihood of low-scoring halves: Home under 2.5 HT goals at 98.3%, Home under 2.5 2H goals at 97.3% with a 5% edge, Home under 3.5 goals at 95.7%, Home under 1.5 HT goals at 91.7% with a 1% edge, and Home under 2.5 HT goals again at 91.7%. Over-goal picks include Under 7.5 at 97.2% with a 2% edge, Under 6.5 at 93.2% with a 3% edge, and Under 6.5 again at 93.2%. Hammarby’s offensive edge is reinforced by the Away +2 handicap at 91.3% and the Away over 0.5 goals at 89.4%. Both teams have recently finished with defeats, adding an extra layer of uncertainty to the encounter.
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🎯 1. Model Analysis
Orgryte IS win
20.5%
Avg Implied 8.7% · @ 10.71
Edge
+11.8%
Best 5 market prices
10Bet
13.00
Unibet
12.00
Betfair
12.00
Marathonbet
11.50
1xBet
11.20
Draw
21.6%
Avg Implied 14.3% · @ 6.50
Edge
+7.2%
Best 5 market prices
Betfair
7.00
Pinnacle
6.95
Dafabet
6.80
Marathonbet
6.75
Unibet
6.75
Hammarby FF win
57.9%
Avg Implied 77.0% · @ 1.21
Edge
-19.1%
Best 5 market prices
Betano
1.24
Dafabet
1.24
Bet365
1.22
William Hil
1.22
SBO
1.22
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
Orgryte IS
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.1
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
1.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.07
1.97
1.38
1.85
0.82
2.06
vs Stronger (11)
1.45
2.45
1.67
2.17
1.20
2.80
vs Similar (18)
0.83
1.72
1.14
1.57
0.64
1.82
vs Weaker (1)
1.00
1.00
-
-
1.00
1.00
Clean sheet %
17% (-10pp vs league)
This opponent (Hammarby FF) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Hammarby FF
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.6
Avg scored
1.7
Avg conceded
0.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
2.23
1.00
2.75
0.56
1.64
1.50
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (18)
1.44
1.33
1.89
0.78
1.00
1.89
vs Weaker (12)
3.42
0.50
3.86
0.29
2.80
0.80
Clean sheet %
43% (+17pp vs league)
This opponent (Orgryte IS) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 3.5 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 3 (21%).
Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
87.7%
@ 1.08+1.4%
Under 1.5
12.3%
@ 6.79-1.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
1.11
Betano
1.11
Pinnacle
1.10
Bet365
1.10
BetVictor
1.06
Under
BetVictor
7.50
Bet365
7.00
Unibet
7.00
Pinnacle
6.84
1xBet
6.75
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
68.6%
@ 1.31-2.5%
Under 2.5
31.4%
@ 3.23+2.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
1.35
Betano
1.34
Bet365
1.33
Pinnacle
1.31
Betfair
1.30
Under
Bet365
3.40
Betfair
3.40
Pinnacle
3.35
10Bet
3.25
BetVictor
3.20
Over/Under 3.5
Over 3.5
47.2%
@ 1.83-3.9%
Under 3.5
52.8%
@ 1.92+3.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
SBO
1.90
Betano
1.85
10Bet
1.85
Pinnacle
1.83
Marathonbet
1.83
Under
Pinnacle
1.99
10Bet
1.95
1xBet
1.94
Marathonbet
1.94
SBO
1.92
Both teams to score
Yes
65.8%
@ 1.71+11.5%
No
34.2%
@ 2.02-11.5%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
Bet365
1.75
Betano
1.72
Marathonbet
1.71
1xBet
1.71
10Bet
1.70
No
William Hil
2.15
BetVictor
2.05
1xBet
2.02
Betano
2.00
Bet365
2.00
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-2
9.5%@ 8.74+4.3%
1-1
9.3%@ 12.23+5.6%
0-2
7.3%@ 7.79+1.5%
1-3
7.1%@ 9.16+2.2%
2-2
6.1%@ 18.27+3.7%
0-1
5.7%@ 10.31+1.3%
2-1
5.5%@ 27.48+3.8%
0-3
5.5%@ 8.17-0.1%
Orgryte IS goals ↓
Hammarby FF goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
3.7%
5.7%
7.3%
5.5%
3.1%
1
2.9%
9.3%
9.5%
7.1%
4.0%
2
2.4%
5.5%
6.1%
4.6%
2.6%
3
1.1%
2.4%
2.7%
2.0%
1.1%
4
0.3%
0.8%
0.9%
0.6%
0.4%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Orgryte IS goals (down), columns = Hammarby FF goals (across).
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💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Sirius
2.21
Hammarby FF
1.89
Djurgardens IF
1.84
AIK Stockholm
1.72
BK Hacken
1.63
IF Elfsborg
1.63
Vasteras SK FK
1.53
Malmo FF
1.53
Gais
1.37
IF Brommapojkarna
1.26
IFK Goteborg
1.21
Mjallby AIF
1.11
Kalmar FF
1.00
Degerfors IF
0.84
Orgryte IS
0.74
Halmstad
0.58
Orgryte IS is 1.16 points worse than Hammarby FF in terms of average points per game (0.74 vs 1.89).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Sirius
2.47
Hammarby FF
2.32
Djurgardens IF
2.26
BK Hacken
1.74
Malmo FF
1.74
AIK Stockholm
1.56
Vasteras SK FK
1.47
IF Elfsborg
1.42
IF Brommapojkarna
1.42
Mjallby AIF
1.33
Gais
1.32
IFK Goteborg
1.26
Orgryte IS
1.16
Kalmar FF
1.11
Degerfors IF
0.89
Halmstad
0.68
Orgryte IS is 1.16 goals worse than Hammarby FF in terms of goals scored per game (1.16 vs 2.32).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Gais
0.95
Hammarby FF
0.95
IF Elfsborg
1.00
Djurgardens IF
1.00
Sirius
1.42
AIK Stockholm
1.50
BK Hacken
1.53
Kalmar FF
1.53
Malmo FF
1.58
Mjallby AIF
1.61
IF Brommapojkarna
1.63
Degerfors IF
1.63
Vasteras SK FK
1.74
Halmstad
1.84
IFK Goteborg
2.05
Orgryte IS
2.21
Orgryte IS is 1.26 goals worse than Hammarby FF in terms of goals conceded per game (2.21 vs 0.95).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
Hammarby FF
61%
Djurgardens IF
56%
Malmo FF
56%
Mjallby AIF
53%
BK Hacken
52%
AIK Stockholm
52%
IFK Goteborg
51%
Gais
50%
Sirius
48%
IF Elfsborg
48%
Vasteras SK FK
48%
Kalmar FF
47%
IF Brommapojkarna
47%
Degerfors IF
46%
Orgryte IS
43%
Halmstad
41%
Orgryte IS is 17.4 percentage points worse than Hammarby FF in terms of average possession (43% vs 61%).
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Orgryte IS
For 4.1 · Against 6.7 · Total 10.8
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.3 · Against 1.4 · Total 2.7
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 10.0 · Against 10.6 · Total 20.6
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Hammarby FF
For 7.2 · Against 2.8 · Total 10.0
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.5 · Against 2.0 · Total 3.5
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 11.6 · Against 11.9 · Total 23.5
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Orgryte IS
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
10.3
9.2
11.1
1.9
2.1
1.8
21.7
21.6
21.8
vs Stronger (11)
11.0
11.4
10.6
2.7
3.2
2.2
21.1
20.4
21.8
vs Similar (35)
9.8
7.8
11.3
1.7
1.9
1.5
22.1
22.4
21.9
vs Weaker (4)
11.5
-
11.5
2.0
0.0
2.7
21.0
-
21.0
% over line
52%
46%
56%
24%
27%
21%
45%
46%
44%
% under line
48%
54%
44%
76%
73%
79%
55%
54%
56%
This opponent (Hammarby FF) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Hammarby FF
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.9
9.8
10.1
2.6
2.7
2.5
24.4
24.5
24.4
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (30)
9.8
10.2
9.4
3.0
3.3
2.7
24.7
25.7
23.9
vs Weaker (20)
10.1
9.1
11.0
1.9
1.7
2.2
24.0
22.7
25.1
% over line
49%
41%
55%
32%
29%
35%
73%
65%
80%
% under line
51%
59%
45%
68%
71%
65%
27%
35%
20%
This opponent (Orgryte IS) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
IFK Goteborg
11.6
Sirius
11.1
Orgryte IS
10.7
BK Hacken
10.7
IF Brommapojkarna
10.7
Gais
10.4
AIK Stockholm
10.4
Degerfors IF
10.3
Djurgardens IF
10.2
Halmstad
10.2
Kalmar FF
10.2
IF Elfsborg
10.0
Vasteras SK FK
9.9
Hammarby FF
9.9
Mjallby AIF
9.8
Malmo FF
9.8
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Djurgardens IF
4.4
BK Hacken
4.3
IFK Goteborg
4.2
AIK Stockholm
4.2
Degerfors IF
3.9
Malmo FF
3.8
IF Brommapojkarna
3.7
Mjallby AIF
3.7
Gais
3.7
Vasteras SK FK
3.6
Hammarby FF
3.6
Halmstad
3.5
IF Elfsborg
3.5
Sirius
3.5
Kalmar FF
3.4
Orgryte IS
2.8
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Djurgardens IF
25.7
Malmo FF
25.7
IFK Goteborg
25.7
Sirius
25.4
Degerfors IF
25.4
Mjallby AIF
25.1
Vasteras SK FK
25.1
Gais
25.0
IF Brommapojkarna
24.6
BK Hacken
24.4
Hammarby FF
24.4
IF Elfsborg
24.3
AIK Stockholm
24.1
Kalmar FF
23.6
Halmstad
23.3
Orgryte IS
21.1
Corners O/U 9.5
Over 9.5
55.6%
@ 1.47-7.6%
Under 9.5
44.4%
@ 2.52+7.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.53
Unibet
1.41
Under
Unibet
2.63
Betano
2.40
Cards O/U 3.5
Over 3.5
42.6%
Under 3.5
57.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
60.9%
Under 21.5
39.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Orgryte IS or Draw
42.1%
Avg Implied 23.0% · @ 4.11
Edge
+19.1%
21%
22%
58%
covers Orgryte IS + Draw
Best 5 market prices
Betfair
4.50
Betano
4.25
1xBet
4.25
Marathonbet
4.25
10Bet
4.20
Orgryte IS or Hammarby FF
78.4%
Avg Implied 86.3% · @ 1.09
Edge
-7.9%
21%
22%
58%
covers Orgryte IS + Hammarby FF
Best 5 market prices
Betano
1.12
William Hil
1.11
Bet365
1.11
Betfair
1.10
BetVictor
1.10
Draw or Hammarby FF
79.5%
Avg Implied 90.7% · @ 1.04
Edge
-11.2%
21%
22%
58%
covers Draw + Hammarby FF
Best 5 market prices
Bet365
1.07
Betano
1.07
BetVictor
1.06
William Hil
1.05
10Bet
1.04
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🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
Home & Away Over/Under
How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Orgryte IS over/under 0.5
Over
72.7%
@ 1.62+15.8%
Under
27.3%
@ 2.14-15.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
1.65
Pinnacle
1.65
Betano
1.65
Unibet
1.64
Marathonbet
1.63
Under
Pinnacle
2.20
Betfair
2.20
Bet365
2.20
Betano
2.15
BetVictor
2.15
Orgryte IS over/under 1.5
Over
37.2%
@ 4.04+14.3%
Under
62.8%
@ 1.20-14.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
4.30
Pinnacle
4.25
10Bet
4.20
BetVictor
4.20
Unibet
4.10
Under
1xBet
1.26
Betano
1.22
Bet365
1.22
Betfair
1.20
Pinnacle
1.20
Orgryte IS over/under 2.5
Over
14.2%
@ 10.95+5.6%
Under
85.8%
@ 1.03-5.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
13.00
Marathonbet
12.50
Betfair
10.00
1xBet
10.00
Betano
9.25
Under
Betano
1.04
Bet365
1.04
Betfair
1.03
1xBet
1.01
Orgryte IS over/under 3.5
Over
4.3%
@ 41.00-95.7%
Under
95.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
41.00
Under
No market prices yet.
Hammarby FF over/under 0.5
Over
89.4%
@ 1.03-2.2%
Under
10.6%
@ 11.25+2.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
1.04
Betano
1.04
Betfair
1.03
1xBet
1.01
Under
Bet365
13.00
1xBet
13.00
Betfair
10.00
Betano
9.00
Hammarby FF over/under 1.5
Over
65.6%
@ 1.21-11.4%
Under
34.4%
@ 4.02+11.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
1.25
Betano
1.24
Pinnacle
1.22
10Bet
1.20
BetVictor
1.20
Under
Betfair
4.50
Marathonbet
4.10
BetVictor
4.10
Pinnacle
4.07
1xBet
4.00
Hammarby FF over/under 2.5
Over
38.8%
@ 1.70-16.0%
Under
61.2%
@ 2.06+16.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
1.73
1xBet
1.73
Betano
1.72
Marathonbet
1.71
10Bet
1.70
Under
Pinnacle
2.12
Betfair
2.10
Marathonbet
2.10
Unibet
2.08
BetVictor
2.05
Hammarby FF over/under 3.5
Over
18.9%
@ 2.79-14.5%
Under
81.1%
@ 1.39+14.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
3.00
Pinnacle
2.90
BetVictor
2.80
1xBet
2.80
Betfair
2.75
Under
Betano
1.42
Unibet
1.41
Marathonbet
1.41
BetVictor
1.40
10Bet
1.40
⚖️ 7. Handicap
Handicap
The handicap is applied to Orgryte IS, so a minus line means Orgryte IS give that many goals of a start and Hammarby FF receive them. At -1, Orgryte IS must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Orgryte IS win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Orgryte IS)
Orgryte IS -2
2.9%
Draw -2
5.9%
Hammarby FF +2
91.3%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap -1 (Orgryte IS)
Orgryte IS -1
8.7%
@ 26.00+5.1%
Draw -1
11.8%
@ 13.00+4.5%
Hammarby FF +1
79.5%
@ 1.06-9.6%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
26.00
Draw
Bet365
13.00
Away
Bet365
1.06
Handicap +1 (Orgryte IS)
Orgryte IS +1
42.1%
@ 4.23+20.8%
Draw +1
21.0%
@ 4.28-0.0%
Hammarby FF -1
36.9%
@ 1.56-20.8%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Betfair
4.50
Marathonbet
4.25
10Bet
4.20
Unibet
4.20
Bet365
4.00
Draw
Bet365
4.50
Betfair
4.50
Marathonbet
4.30
Unibet
4.10
10Bet
4.00
Away
Bet365
1.62
Marathonbet
1.59
10Bet
1.57
Betfair
1.53
Unibet
1.50
Handicap +2 (Orgryte IS)
Orgryte IS +2
63.1%
@ 2.25+23.3%
Draw +2
17.5%
@ 4.04-4.7%
Hammarby FF -2
19.4%
@ 2.36-18.6%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Unibet
2.30
Marathonbet
2.27
10Bet
2.25
Betfair
2.25
Bet365
2.20
Draw
Bet365
4.33
Marathonbet
4.20
Betfair
4.00
10Bet
3.90
Unibet
3.75
Away
Bet365
2.50
10Bet
2.38
Betfair
2.38
Marathonbet
2.28
Unibet
2.25
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Orgryte IS
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.50
0.77
0.54
0.85
0.47
0.71
vs Stronger (11)
0.73
1.00
0.50
0.83
1.00
1.20
vs Similar (18)
0.39
0.67
0.57
0.86
0.27
0.55
vs Weaker (1)
0.00
0.00
-
-
0.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
40% (+13pp vs league)
This opponent (Hammarby FF) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Hammarby FF
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.97
0.43
1.12
0.38
0.79
0.50
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (18)
0.83
0.56
1.00
0.44
0.67
0.67
vs Weaker (12)
1.17
0.25
1.29
0.29
1.00
0.20
Clean sheet %
60% (+33pp vs league)
This opponent (Orgryte IS) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5
Over 0.5
74.4%
@ 1.18-4.4%
Under 0.5
25.6%
@ 4.37+4.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.22
William Hil
1.20
10Bet
1.18
Bet365
1.18
BetVictor
1.17
Under
Betfair
4.80
Bet365
4.50
BetVictor
4.50
Marathonbet
4.33
10Bet
4.33
Half Time Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
44.4%
@ 1.90-4.7%
Under 1.5
55.6%
@ 1.83+4.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
SBO
2.00
Betano
1.98
1xBet
1.92
Marathonbet
1.92
William Hil
1.91
Under
10Bet
1.85
Betfair
1.85
Pinnacle
1.85
Unibet
1.84
1xBet
1.83
Half Time Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
16.3%
@ 3.86-7.6%
Under 2.5
83.7%
@ 1.22+7.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
4.00
BetVictor
4.00
William Hil
3.90
Betano
3.85
Betfair
3.80
Under
Betano
1.23
Betfair
1.22
William Hil
1.22
Bet365
1.22
1xBet
1.21
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Orgryte IS over/under 0.5 HT
Over
32.3%
@ 2.86-0.1%
Under
67.7%
@ 1.37+0.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
3.13
Betano
2.92
Marathonbet
2.88
Unibet
2.85
10Bet
2.80
Under
1xBet
1.43
Betano
1.38
10Bet
1.38
Unibet
1.35
Marathonbet
1.35
Orgryte IS over/under 1.5 HT
Over
7.8%
@ 10.19-1.4%
Under
92.2%
@ 1.03+1.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
11.00
1xBet
10.50
10Bet
10.00
Betano
9.25
Under
Betano
1.04
10Bet
1.03
1xBet
1.01
Orgryte IS over/under 2.5 HT
Over
1.2%
Under
98.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Hammarby FF over/under 0.5 HT
Over
64.1%
@ 1.32-6.2%
Under
35.9%
@ 3.13+6.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.36
1xBet
1.31
10Bet
1.30
Under
1xBet
3.20
10Bet
3.20
Betano
3.00
Hammarby FF over/under 1.5 HT
Over
24.6%
@ 2.45-13.1%
Under
75.4%
@ 1.49+13.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
2.57
Pinnacle
2.50
Marathonbet
2.49
1xBet
2.43
10Bet
2.40
Under
Pinnacle
1.50
10Bet
1.50
Unibet
1.50
1xBet
1.49
Betano
1.47
Hammarby FF over/under 2.5 HT
Over
8.0%
@ 5.60-8.5%
Under
92.0%
@ 1.11+8.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
5.70
Betano
5.60
10Bet
5.50
Under
Betano
1.12
10Bet
1.11
1xBet
1.09
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Orgryte IS
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
1.0
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.57
1.20
0.85
1.00
0.35
1.35
vs Stronger (11)
0.73
1.45
1.17
1.33
0.20
1.60
vs Similar (18)
0.44
1.06
0.57
0.71
0.36
1.27
vs Weaker (1)
1.00
1.00
-
-
1.00
1.00
Clean sheet %
23% (-3pp vs league)
This opponent (Hammarby FF) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Hammarby FF
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.27
0.57
1.62
0.19
0.86
1.00
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (18)
0.61
0.78
0.89
0.33
0.33
1.22
vs Weaker (12)
2.25
0.25
2.57
0.00
1.80
0.60
Clean sheet %
67% (+40pp vs league)
This opponent (Orgryte IS) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5
Over 0.5
82.3%
@ 1.10-2.7%
Under 0.5
17.7%
@ 6.25+2.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
William Hil
1.12
Betano
1.11
Bet365
1.11
1xBet
1.07
Under
1xBet
6.80
Bet365
6.50
Betano
6.20
William Hil
5.50
Second Half Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
49.6%
@ 1.53-11.1%
Under 1.5
50.4%
@ 2.36+11.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
1.57
William Hil
1.57
Betano
1.53
Unibet
1.50
Marathonbet
1.50
Under
Betano
2.47
Marathonbet
2.41
1xBet
2.41
Unibet
2.35
William Hil
2.25
Second Half Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
25.0%
@ 2.61-10.7%
Under 2.5
75.0%
@ 1.44+10.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
William Hil
2.80
Bet365
2.62
Betano
2.55
1xBet
2.53
Marathonbet
2.53
Under
Betano
1.50
1xBet
1.46
Marathonbet
1.46
Bet365
1.44
William Hil
1.36
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Orgryte IS over/under 0.5 2H
Over
40.0%
@ 2.32+0.1%
Under
60.0%
@ 1.54-0.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
2.38
10Bet
2.35
Betano
2.35
1xBet
2.20
Under
1xBet
1.59
Betano
1.55
10Bet
1.53
Marathonbet
1.50
Orgryte IS over/under 1.5 2H
Over
12.4%
@ 7.90+0.7%
Under
87.6%
@ 1.05-0.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
8.90
10Bet
8.00
1xBet
7.60
Betano
7.10
Under
Betano
1.08
10Bet
1.05
1xBet
1.04
Marathonbet
1.02
Orgryte IS over/under 2.5 2H
Over
3.4%
@ 12.50-4.1%
Under
96.6%
@ 1.01+4.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
12.50
Under
Betano
1.01
Hammarby FF over/under 0.5 2H
Over
68.2%
@ 1.19-9.9%
Under
31.8%
@ 4.23+9.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.20
1xBet
1.18
10Bet
1.18
Under
10Bet
4.33
1xBet
4.20
Betano
4.15
Hammarby FF over/under 1.5 2H
Over
30.6%
@ 1.91-18.0%
Under
69.4%
@ 1.80+18.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.93
Betano
1.91
10Bet
1.91
Marathonbet
1.88
Under
Betano
1.83
Marathonbet
1.80
10Bet
1.80
1xBet
1.78
Hammarby FF over/under 2.5 2H
Over
8.7%
@ 3.78-15.8%
Under
91.3%
@ 1.23+15.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
3.90
10Bet
3.80
Betano
3.65
Under
Betano
1.26
10Bet
1.22
1xBet
1.20
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🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Home under 2.5 HT goals
98.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 7.5
97.2%
1.02
Betano
1.03
1xBet
1.02
Bet365
1.02
-
-
+3.1%
Home under 2.5 2H goals
96.6%
1.01
Betano
1.01
-
-
-
-
+4.1%
Home under 3.5 goals
95.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 6.5
93.2%
1.06
Betano
1.07
Bet365
1.06
1xBet
1.06
-
-
+3.6%
Home under 1.5 HT goals
92.2%
1.03
Betano
1.04
10Bet
1.03
1xBet
1.01
-
-
+1.4%
Away under 2.5 HT goals
92.0%
1.11
Betano
1.12
10Bet
1.11
1xBet
1.09
-
-
+8.5%
Away under 2.5 2H goals
91.3%
1.23
Betano
1.26
10Bet
1.22
1xBet
1.20
-
-
+15.8%
Away +2 handicap
91.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away over 0.5 goals
89.4%
1.03
Bet365
1.04
Betano
1.04
Betfair
1.03
1xBet
1.01
-
-2.2%
Under 5.5 cards
87.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 1.5
87.7%
1.08
10Bet
1.11
Betano
1.11
Pinnacle
1.10
Bet365
1.10
BetVictor
1.06
+1.4%
Home under 1.5 2H goals
87.6%
1.05
Betano
1.08
10Bet
1.05
1xBet
1.04
Marathonbet
1.02
-
-0.7%
Home under 2.5 goals
85.8%
1.03
Betano
1.04
Bet365
1.04
Betfair
1.03
1xBet
1.01
-
-5.6%
Under 5.5
85.2%
1.15
Betano
1.18
10Bet
1.18
Bet365
1.17
Pinnacle
1.16
Unibet
1.14
+4.4%
Under 2.5 HT goals
83.7%
1.22
Betano
1.23
Betfair
1.22
William Hil
1.22
Bet365
1.22
1xBet
1.21
+7.6%
Over 0.5 2H goals
82.3%
1.10
William Hil
1.12
Betano
1.11
Bet365
1.11
1xBet
1.07
-
-2.7%
Away under 3.5 goals
81.1%
1.39
Betano
1.42
Unibet
1.41
Marathonbet
1.41
BetVictor
1.40
10Bet
1.40
+14.5%
Draw or Away
79.5%
1.04
Bet365
1.07
Betano
1.07
BetVictor
1.06
William Hil
1.05
10Bet
1.04
-11.2%
Away +1 handicap
79.5%
1.06
Bet365
1.06
-
-
-
-
-9.6%
Home or Away
78.4%
1.09
Betano
1.12
William Hil
1.11
Bet365
1.11
Betfair
1.10
BetVictor
1.10
-7.9%
Over 19.5 fouls
76.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 4.5 cards
75.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 1.5 HT goals
75.4%
1.49
Pinnacle
1.50
10Bet
1.50
Unibet
1.50
1xBet
1.49
Betano
1.47
+13.1%
Under 2.5 2H goals
75.0%
1.44
Betano
1.50
1xBet
1.46
Marathonbet
1.46
Bet365
1.44
William Hil
1.36
+10.7%
Over 0.5 HT goals
74.4%
1.18
Betano
1.22
William Hil
1.20
10Bet
1.18
Bet365
1.18
BetVictor
1.17
-4.4%
Home over 0.5 goals
72.7%
1.62
10Bet
1.65
Pinnacle
1.65
Betano
1.65
Unibet
1.64
Marathonbet
1.63
+15.8%
Under 4.5
71.8%
1.38
10Bet
1.42
Pinnacle
1.40
Betano
1.40
Bet365
1.40
Unibet
1.37
+4.8%
Under 25.5 fouls
70.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Orgryte IS
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Noah Christoffersson22%
Adam Andersson17%
Jerome Tibbling Ugwo17%
Anton Andreasson16%
Tobias Sana11%
Christoffer Styffe11%
Daniel Paulson6%
William Hofvander5%
Benjamin Laturnus5%
Mikael Dyrestam0%
Jonathan Azulay0%
Rasmus Alm0%
Johan Hammar0%
Owen Parker-Price0%
Hampus Gustafsson0%
Hampus Dahlqvist0%
William Kenndal0%
Charlie Vindehall0%
William Svensson0%
Sebastian Lagerlund0%
Michael Parker0%
Marlon Ebietomere0%
Demirel Hodžić0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Demirel Hodžić29%
Sebastian Lagerlund25%
Jerome Tibbling Ugwo22%
William Kenndal20%
Tobias Sana17%
William Hofvander16%
Marlon Ebietomere12%
Mikael Dyrestam11%
Owen Parker-Price11%
Christoffer Styffe11%
Benjamin Laturnus11%
Michael Parker11%
Daniel Paulson6%
Jonathan Azulay0%
Rasmus Alm0%
Noah Christoffersson0%
Anton Andreasson0%
Johan Hammar0%
Adam Andersson0%
Hampus Gustafsson0%
Hampus Dahlqvist0%
Charlie Vindehall0%
William Svensson0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Tobias Sana22%
Adam Andersson17%
Mikael Dyrestam11%
Owen Parker-Price11%
Charlie Vindehall11%
William Hofvander11%
Noah Christoffersson6%
Christoffer Styffe6%
Jerome Tibbling Ugwo6%
Jonathan Azulay0%
Rasmus Alm0%
Daniel Paulson0%
Anton Andreasson0%
Johan Hammar0%
Hampus Gustafsson0%
Hampus Dahlqvist0%
William Kenndal0%
William Svensson0%
Benjamin Laturnus0%
Sebastian Lagerlund0%
Michael Parker0%
Marlon Ebietomere0%
Demirel Hodžić0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Noah Christoffersson33%
Johan Hammar33%
William Hofvander26%
Jerome Tibbling Ugwo11%
Daniel Paulson6%
Owen Parker-Price6%
Tobias Sana0%
Mikael Dyrestam0%
Jonathan Azulay0%
Rasmus Alm0%
Anton Andreasson0%
Adam Andersson0%
Hampus Gustafsson0%
Hampus Dahlqvist0%
Christoffer Styffe0%
William Kenndal0%
Charlie Vindehall0%
William Svensson0%
Benjamin Laturnus0%
Sebastian Lagerlund0%
Michael Parker0%
Marlon Ebietomere0%
Demirel Hodžić0%
Hammarby FF
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Paulos Abraham53%
Victor Lind37%
Waylon Renecke25%
Montader Madjed21%
Frank Junior Adjei19%
Nahir Besara18%
Nikola Vasic14%
Noah Persson11%
Tesfaldet Tekie8%
Victor Eriksson7%
Ibrahima Fofana7%
Frederik Winther6%
Warner Hahn0%
Oscar Johansson Schellhas0%
Markus Karlsson0%
Oliver Jordan Hagen0%
Amin Boudri0%
Moise Kaboré0%
Hampus Skoglund0%
Wilson Lindberg Uhrstrom0%
Suwaibou Kebbeh0%
Oscar Steinke Brånby0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Victor Eriksson27%
Frank Junior Adjei19%
Hampus Skoglund17%
Moise Kaboré12%
Noah Persson11%
Nahir Besara6%
Frederik Winther6%
Oscar Johansson Schellhas6%
Warner Hahn5%
Markus Karlsson5%
Tesfaldet Tekie0%
Victor Lind0%
Ibrahima Fofana0%
Paulos Abraham0%
Nikola Vasic0%
Montader Madjed0%
Waylon Renecke0%
Oliver Jordan Hagen0%
Amin Boudri0%
Wilson Lindberg Uhrstrom0%
Suwaibou Kebbeh0%
Oscar Steinke Brånby0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Victor Lind37%
Amin Boudri20%
Nahir Besara18%
Paulos Abraham16%
Oscar Johansson Schellhas11%
Noah Persson11%
Markus Karlsson11%
Ibrahima Fofana7%
Frank Junior Adjei6%
Hampus Skoglund6%
Frederik Winther0%
Warner Hahn0%
Tesfaldet Tekie0%
Victor Eriksson0%
Nikola Vasic0%
Montader Madjed0%
Waylon Renecke0%
Oliver Jordan Hagen0%
Moise Kaboré0%
Wilson Lindberg Uhrstrom0%
Suwaibou Kebbeh0%
Oscar Steinke Brånby0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Nahir Besara53%
Paulos Abraham42%
Victor Lind37%
Montader Madjed37%
Frank Junior Adjei25%
Nikola Vasic14%
Frederik Winther11%
Warner Hahn0%
Oscar Johansson Schellhas0%
Tesfaldet Tekie0%
Victor Eriksson0%
Ibrahima Fofana0%
Noah Persson0%
Waylon Renecke0%
Markus Karlsson0%
Oliver Jordan Hagen0%
Amin Boudri0%
Moise Kaboré0%
Hampus Skoglund0%
Wilson Lindberg Uhrstrom0%
Suwaibou Kebbeh0%
Oscar Steinke Brånby0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
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💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MF (28)
€35m
HF (22)
€35m
SIR (24)
€28m
DI (22)
€27m
MA (24)
€26m
AS (27)
€21m
IG (25)
€18m
IE (26)
€17m
BH (22)
€16m
GAI (29)
€13m
KF (21)
€10m
VSF (24)
€10m
IB (25)
€9m
HAL (20)
€8m
OI (26)
€8m
DI (23)
€6m
Orgryte IS's squad is €26m less valuable than Hammarby FF's (€8m vs €35m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SIR (10)
€18m
HF (9)
€13m
MF (8)
€12m
IG (9)
€8m
AS (7)
€8m
DI (6)
€8m
MA (9)
€7m
BH (4)
€6m
IE (9)
€5m
GAI (10)
€5m
KF (8)
€4m
HAL (7)
€4m
IB (10)
€3m
VSF (8)
€3m
OI (7)
€2m
DI (5)
€1m
Orgryte IS's attack is €11m less valuable than Hammarby FF's (€2m vs €13m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
DI (6)
€14m
HF (4)
€11m
MF (7)
€11m
MA (6)
€11m
AS (9)
€7m
SIR (5)
€5m
IE (5)
€4m
IG (4)
€3m
GAI (8)
€3m
BH (6)
€3m
VSF (6)
€3m
DI (7)
€3m
KF (5)
€2m
OI (7)
€2m
IB (4)
€2m
HAL (4)
€1m
Orgryte IS's midfield is €10m less valuable than Hammarby FF's (€2m vs €11m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MF (13)
€12m
HF (9)
€10m
MA (9)
€8m
IE (12)
€7m
BH (12)
€7m
DI (10)
€6m
AS (11)
€6m
IG (12)
€6m
GAI (11)
€5m
OI (12)
€4m
SIR (9)
€4m
IB (11)
€4m
VSF (10)
€4m
KF (8)
€3m
HAL (9)
€3m
DI (11)
€3m
Orgryte IS's defence is €6m less valuable than Hammarby FF's (€4m vs €10m).
Sweden: Allsvenskan 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Sweden: Allsvenskan stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
Sirius
Djurgardens IF
IF Elfsborg
BK Hacken
AIK Stockholm
Malmo FF
Vasteras SK FK
Gais
IF Brommapojkarna
IFK Goteborg
Mjallby AIF
Kalmar FF
Degerfors IF
Halmstad