This opponent (Trelleborg) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Trelleborg
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.9
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
1.0
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.13
1.47
1.12
1.69
1.14
1.21
vs Stronger (1)
0.00
6.00
0.00
6.00
-
-
vs Similar (29)
1.17
1.31
1.20
1.40
1.14
1.21
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
27% (+1pp vs league)
This opponent (Orgryte IS) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.6 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (26%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
74.1%
Under 1.5
25.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
47.6%
Under 2.5
52.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
25.9%
Under 3.5
74.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
53.6%
No
46.4%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
13.8%
0-1
9.0%
0-0
8.9%
1-2 ✓
8.5%
1-0
8.0%
2-1
7.7%
0-2
7.0%
2-0
5.7%
Orgryte IS goals ↓
Trelleborg goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
8.9%
9.0%
7.0%
3.1%
1.1%
1
8.0%
14%
8.5%
3.8%
1.3%
2
5.7%
7.7%
5.2%
2.3%
0.8%
3
2.3%
3.1%
2.1%
1.0%
0.3%
4
0.7%
1.0%
0.6%
0.3%
0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Orgryte IS goals (down), columns = Trelleborg goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Degerfors IF
1.83
Osters IF
1.80
Landskrona BoIS
1.63
Helsingborg
1.57
Stockholm Internazionale
1.50
Orgryte IS
1.47
Sandviken
1.43
Trelleborg
1.40
IK brage
1.37
Utsikten
1.37
Varbergs BoIS FC
1.30
Orebro SK
1.30
Oddevold
1.20
Ostersunds FK
1.19
GIF Sundsvall
1.16
Gefle IF
1.07
Skövde AIK
0.83
Lund
0.00
Orgryte IS is 0.07 points better than Trelleborg in terms of average points per game (1.47 vs 1.40).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Osters IF
1.83
Degerfors IF
1.67
Orgryte IS
1.67
Sandviken
1.63
Landskrona BoIS
1.53
Varbergs BoIS FC
1.53
Helsingborg
1.37
Utsikten
1.30
Gefle IF
1.23
Orebro SK
1.23
Oddevold
1.13
Trelleborg
1.10
Ostersunds FK
1.09
IK brage
1.03
Stockholm Internazionale
1.00
Lund
1.00
GIF Sundsvall
0.97
Skövde AIK
0.87
Orgryte IS is 0.57 goals better than Trelleborg in terms of goals scored per game (1.67 vs 1.10).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Degerfors IF
0.93
IK brage
0.97
Stockholm Internazionale
1.00
Osters IF
1.03
Landskrona BoIS
1.13
Helsingborg
1.13
Orebro SK
1.20
Utsikten
1.27
Trelleborg
1.27
GIF Sundsvall
1.31
Sandviken
1.37
Orgryte IS
1.43
Ostersunds FK
1.44
Varbergs BoIS FC
1.47
Oddevold
1.57
Skövde AIK
1.73
Gefle IF
1.80
Lund
2.50
Orgryte IS is 0.17 goals worse than Trelleborg in terms of goals conceded per game (1.43 vs 1.27).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
Landskrona BoIS
64%
Sandviken
61%
Osters IF
58%
Lund
56%
IK brage
55%
Orebro SK
51%
Ostersunds FK
51%
GIF Sundsvall
50%
Helsingborg
48%
Trelleborg
48%
Degerfors IF
47%
Skövde AIK
47%
Orgryte IS
47%
Gefle IF
46%
Utsikten
46%
Stockholm Internazionale
43%
Oddevold
43%
Varbergs BoIS FC
40%
Orgryte IS is 1.2 percentage points worse than Trelleborg in terms of average possession (47% vs 48%).
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Orgryte IS
For 6.0 · Against 5.0 · Total 11.0
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.3 · Against 2.0 · Total 4.3
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 11.7 · Against 12.1 · Total 23.8
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Trelleborg
For 4.9 · Against 4.8 · Total 9.7
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.5 · Against 2.2 · Total 3.7
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 11.1 · Against 13.9 · Total 25.0
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Orgryte IS
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
11.1
11.4
10.8
3.5
3.4
3.6
24.9
25.8
24.1
vs Stronger (2)
12.0
14.0
10.0
8.0
7.0
9.0
22.0
22.0
22.0
vs Similar (46)
11.0
11.1
10.9
3.3
3.2
3.4
25.4
26.1
24.6
vs Weaker (2)
11.5
14.0
9.0
3.5
5.0
2.0
21.5
25.0
18.0
% over line
68%
72%
63%
50%
52%
48%
69%
82%
56%
% under line
32%
28%
37%
50%
48%
52%
31%
18%
44%
This opponent (Trelleborg) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Trelleborg
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
10.4
9.7
10.9
2.7
2.8
2.6
25.2
26.9
23.7
vs Stronger (2)
7.5
5.0
10.0
3.0
4.0
2.0
24.5
29.0
20.0
vs Similar (48)
10.5
10.0
11.0
2.7
2.7
2.6
25.2
26.8
23.9
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
53%
44%
61%
40%
46%
33%
79%
94%
67%
% under line
47%
56%
39%
60%
54%
67%
21%
6%
33%
This opponent (Orgryte IS) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Skövde AIK
11.7
Helsingborg
11.2
Oddevold
11.0
Orgryte IS
11.0
GIF Sundsvall
10.9
Orebro SK
10.7
Osters IF
10.6
Landskrona BoIS
10.5
Varbergs BoIS FC
10.5
Ostersunds FK
10.5
Degerfors IF
10.5
Trelleborg
10.3
Utsikten
10.0
Gefle IF
9.9
IK brage
9.4
Sandviken
6.8
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Utsikten
5.6
Osters IF
4.6
Orgryte IS
4.6
Helsingborg
4.5
Ostersunds FK
4.4
Sandviken
4.4
Landskrona BoIS
4.3
Gefle IF
4.2
Varbergs BoIS FC
4.1
Trelleborg
4.1
Orebro SK
4.0
Degerfors IF
3.9
Skövde AIK
3.8
IK brage
3.6
GIF Sundsvall
3.1
Oddevold
1.0
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Utsikten
29.5
Varbergs BoIS FC
27.9
Sandviken
27.3
Gefle IF
27.0
Ostersunds FK
26.3
Skövde AIK
26.3
Trelleborg
26.0
Orgryte IS
25.5
Helsingborg
25.1
Osters IF
24.9
Landskrona BoIS
24.9
IK brage
24.6
Orebro SK
24.1
Degerfors IF
24.0
Oddevold
23.5
GIF Sundsvall
21.1
Corners O/U 9.5
Over 9.5
62.0%
Under 9.5
38.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5
Over 3.5
58.8%
Under 3.5
41.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
72.8%
Under 21.5
27.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Orgryte IS
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.8
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.50
0.70
0.53
0.67
0.47
0.73
vs Stronger (1)
0.00
2.00
0.00
2.00
-
-
vs Similar (28)
0.54
0.64
0.57
0.57
0.50
0.71
vs Weaker (1)
0.00
1.00
-
-
0.00
1.00
Clean sheet %
43% (+18pp vs league)
This opponent (Trelleborg) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Trelleborg
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.47
0.70
0.56
0.88
0.36
0.50
vs Stronger (1)
0.00
3.00
0.00
3.00
-
-
vs Similar (29)
0.48
0.62
0.60
0.73
0.36
0.50
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
53% (+28pp vs league)
This opponent (Orgryte IS) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Orgryte IS over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Orgryte IS over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Orgryte IS over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Trelleborg over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Trelleborg over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Trelleborg over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Orgryte IS
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.57
0.93
0.40
1.07
0.73
0.80
vs Stronger (1)
1.00
2.00
1.00
2.00
-
-
vs Similar (28)
0.57
0.93
0.36
1.00
0.79
0.86
vs Weaker (1)
0.00
0.00
-
-
0.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
37% (+11pp vs league)
This opponent (Trelleborg) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Trelleborg
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.9
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.67
0.77
0.56
0.81
0.79
0.71
vs Stronger (1)
0.00
3.00
0.00
3.00
-
-
vs Similar (29)
0.69
0.69
0.60
0.67
0.79
0.71
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
53% (+28pp vs league)
This opponent (Orgryte IS) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Orgryte IS over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Orgryte IS over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Orgryte IS over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Trelleborg over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Trelleborg over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Trelleborg over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 19.5 fouls
85.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 2.5 cards
77.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 5.5 cards
76.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 3.5
74.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 1.5
74.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 8.5 corners
73.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 21.5 fouls
72.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Orgryte IS
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Edi Sylisufaj57%
Noah Christoffersson27%
Jonathan Azulay25%
Tobias Sana20%
Viktor Lundberg18%
William Kenndal17%
William Svensson15%
Anton Andreasson14%
Aydarus Abukar8%
Amel Mujanić7%
Isak Dahlqvist7%
Mikael Dyrestam0%
Erion Sadiku0%
Daniel Paulson0%
Nicklas Bärkroth0%
Hampus Gustafsson0%
Christoffer Styffe0%
Charlie Vindehall0%
Linus Tagesson0%
Filip Trpčevski0%
Abdoulaye Faye0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Abdoulaye Faye31%
Viktor Lundberg27%
Amel Mujanić20%
Isak Dahlqvist20%
Jonathan Azulay19%
Mikael Dyrestam17%
William Kenndal17%
William Svensson15%
Tobias Sana10%
Erion Sadiku10%
Aydarus Abukar8%
Charlie Vindehall7%
Hampus Gustafsson6%
Daniel Paulson0%
Noah Christoffersson0%
Anton Andreasson0%
Nicklas Bärkroth0%
Edi Sylisufaj0%
Christoffer Styffe0%
Linus Tagesson0%
Filip Trpčevski0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Daniel Paulson38%
Linus Tagesson33%
Filip Trpčevski25%
Tobias Sana20%
Amel Mujanić13%
Isak Dahlqvist13%
Mikael Dyrestam8%
William Svensson8%
Aydarus Abukar8%
Anton Andreasson7%
Noah Christoffersson7%
Erion Sadiku0%
Jonathan Azulay0%
Viktor Lundberg0%
Nicklas Bärkroth0%
Edi Sylisufaj0%
Hampus Gustafsson0%
Christoffer Styffe0%
William Kenndal0%
Charlie Vindehall0%
Abdoulaye Faye0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Edi Sylisufaj57%
Amel Mujanić40%
Tobias Sana20%
Noah Christoffersson13%
Isak Dahlqvist13%
Daniel Paulson12%
Mikael Dyrestam8%
Aydarus Abukar8%
Anton Andreasson7%
Erion Sadiku0%
Jonathan Azulay0%
Viktor Lundberg0%
Nicklas Bärkroth0%
Hampus Gustafsson0%
Christoffer Styffe0%
William Kenndal0%
Charlie Vindehall0%
Linus Tagesson0%
William Svensson0%
Filip Trpčevski0%
Abdoulaye Faye0%
Trelleborg
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Hady Saleh Karim44%
Nicolas Mortensen25%
Fritiof Björkén20%
Filip Bohman20%
Pierre Larsen17%
Othmane Salama8%
Eren Alievski8%
Andreas Larsen0%
Felix Hörberg0%
Charlie Weberg0%
Mattias Andersson0%
Zander Hyltoft0%
Tobias Karlsson0%
Viktor Christiansson0%
Fredrik Martinsson0%
Samuel Asoma0%
Markus Björkqvist0%
Abel Ogwuche0%
Ammar Asani0%
Johannes Kack0%
Armin Culum0%
Emmanuel Godwin0%
Karl Wendt0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Zander Hyltoft40%
Abel Ogwuche25%
Filip Bohman20%
Felix Hörberg17%
Ammar Asani17%
Hady Saleh Karim11%
Emmanuel Godwin11%
Tobias Karlsson8%
Othmane Salama8%
Eren Alievski8%
Pierre Larsen0%
Nicolas Mortensen0%
Andreas Larsen0%
Fritiof Björkén0%
Charlie Weberg0%
Mattias Andersson0%
Viktor Christiansson0%
Fredrik Martinsson0%
Samuel Asoma0%
Markus Björkqvist0%
Johannes Kack0%
Armin Culum0%
Karl Wendt0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Johannes Kack20%
Armin Culum18%
Emmanuel Godwin11%
Pierre Larsen8%
Felix Hörberg8%
Nicolas Mortensen0%
Andreas Larsen0%
Fritiof Björkén0%
Charlie Weberg0%
Mattias Andersson0%
Zander Hyltoft0%
Tobias Karlsson0%
Viktor Christiansson0%
Fredrik Martinsson0%
Samuel Asoma0%
Filip Bohman0%
Hady Saleh Karim0%
Markus Björkqvist0%
Othmane Salama0%
Abel Ogwuche0%
Eren Alievski0%
Ammar Asani0%
Karl Wendt0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Hady Saleh Karim44%
Armin Culum18%
Othmane Salama17%
Karl Wendt17%
Filip Bohman10%
Pierre Larsen8%
Felix Hörberg8%
Nicolas Mortensen0%
Andreas Larsen0%
Fritiof Björkén0%
Charlie Weberg0%
Mattias Andersson0%
Zander Hyltoft0%
Tobias Karlsson0%
Viktor Christiansson0%
Fredrik Martinsson0%
Samuel Asoma0%
Markus Björkqvist0%
Abel Ogwuche0%
Eren Alievski0%
Ammar Asani0%
Johannes Kack0%
Emmanuel Godwin0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
Sweden: Superettan 2024/25 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Sweden: Superettan stats & trends →