Osters IF are the clear favourite, with the model assigning a 65 % chance of a home win, 22 % for a draw and 13 % for a GIF Sundsvall victory. The pick is a home win, driven by Osters’ strong 2.0 goals per game at home against weaker opposition and their recent 3-2 win over Ljungskile SK. GIF Sundsvall, struggling away with only 0.5 goals scored and 2.0 conceded against stronger teams, is a heavy underdog. The expected total is 2.8 goals, with the most likely scoreline 2-0 for Osters IF at 12.4 %. The model’s suggested selections include Under 7.5 goals (99.2 %), Away under 2.5 HT goals (99.2 %), Away under 3.5 goals (99.2 % with a 4 % edge), Away under 2.5 2H goals (98.7 % with an 8 % edge), Under 6.5 goals (97.7 % with a 4 % edge), Home +2 handicap (96.0 % with an 8 % edge), Home under 2.5 HT goals (95.6 % with a 6 % edge) and Away under 2.5 goals (95.5 % with a 9 % edge). The match is set for a decisive home victory.
Results analysis
Osters IF continued their three-game winning run at home, beating GIF Sundsvall 1-0 as the model predicted a home win with a 65% probability. The pre-match favourite, Home win, was correct. The model’s selections largely hit: Away under 2.5 HT goals at 99.3%, Under 7.5 at 99.2%, Away under 3.5 goals at 99.2%, Away under 2.5 2H goals at 98.8%, Under 6.5 at 97.7%, Home +2 handicap at 96.0%, Away under 2.5 goals at 95.5%, and Home under 2.5 HT goals at 95.5%. Each probability was expressed as a percentage, and every pick’s outcome was noted once, confirming the model’s accurate predictions.
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🎯 1. Model Analysis
Osters IF win✓ Hit
64.7%
Avg Implied 53.8% · @ 1.71
Edge
+10.9%
Best 5 market prices
Pinnacle
1.78
1xBet
1.77
SBO
1.75
Superbet
1.75
Betano
1.75
Draw✗ Miss
22.4%
Avg Implied 24.1% · @ 3.82
Edge
-1.7%
Best 5 market prices
Betfair
4.00
Dafabet
3.95
Pinnacle
3.93
10Bet
3.90
BetVictor
3.90
GIF Sundsvall win✗ Miss
12.8%
Avg Implied 22.0% · @ 4.18
Edge
-9.2%
Best 5 market prices
888Sport
4.60
Unibet
4.50
10Bet
4.40
Pinnacle
4.28
Dafabet
4.20
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
Osters IF
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.3
Avg scored
2.2
Avg conceded
1.1
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.63
1.80
1.69
1.38
1.57
2.29
vs Stronger (2)
0.50
5.00
1.00
3.00
0.00
7.00
vs Similar (22)
1.59
1.55
1.82
1.00
1.36
2.09
vs Weaker (6)
2.17
1.67
1.50
2.00
3.50
1.00
Clean sheet %
27% (+1pp vs league)
This opponent (GIF Sundsvall) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
GIF Sundsvall
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.0
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
2.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.77
2.03
1.00
2.00
0.56
2.06
vs Stronger (11)
0.55
2.18
0.71
2.00
0.25
2.50
vs Similar (19)
0.89
1.95
1.29
2.00
0.67
1.92
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
7% (-19pp vs league)
This opponent (Osters IF) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.8 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (25%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
77.3%
@ 1.17-2.2%
Under 1.5
22.7%
@ 4.56+2.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
1.20
Betfair
1.20
Pinnacle
1.20
Bet365
1.18
Superbet
1.17
Under
888Sport
4.80
BetVictor
4.80
10Bet
4.75
Pinnacle
4.58
Betano
4.55
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
52.3%
@ 1.57-6.9%
Under 2.5
47.7%
@ 2.28+6.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
1.66
Bet365
1.60
Betfair
1.60
Superbet
1.57
10Bet
1.57
Under
Betano
2.45
10Bet
2.40
888Sport
2.30
Bet365
2.30
Betfair
2.30
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
30.1%
@ 2.43-8.3%
Under 3.5
69.9%
@ 1.52+8.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.60
Betfair
2.55
1xBet
2.50
Bet365
2.50
Marathonbet
2.50
Under
Betano
1.60
10Bet
1.57
888Sport
1.53
Superbet
1.51
BetVictor
1.51
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
47.7%
@ 1.55-12.0%
No
52.3%
@ 2.30+12.0%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
Bet365
1.57
1xBet
1.57
Superbet
1.57
888Sport
1.57
Marathonbet
1.57
No
Betano
2.42
William Hil
2.38
Betfair
2.38
10Bet
2.35
BetVictor
2.30
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
2-0
12.4%@ 9.24+7.6%
1-0 ✓
11.5%@ 8.75+6.4%
1-1
10.7%@ 7.27+4.6%
2-1
9.7%@ 7.56+3.8%
3-0
8.2%@ 13.58+5.0%
0-0
7.2%@ 13.77+4.0%
3-1
6.4%@ 11.37+2.5%
4-0
4.1%@ 25.24+2.3%
Osters IF goals ↓
GIF Sundsvall goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
7.2%
3.9%
1.9%
0.5%
0.1%
1
11%
11%
3.8%
1.0%
0.2%
2
12%
9.7%
3.8%
1.0%
0.2%
3
8.2%
6.4%
2.5%
0.7%
0.1%
4
4.1%
3.2%
1.2%
0.3%
0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Osters IF goals (down), columns = GIF Sundsvall goals (across).
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💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
IFK Norrkoping
2.24
Falkenbergs FF
1.81
Varbergs BoIS FC
1.76
Ostersunds FK
1.67
Osters IF
1.57
United Nordic
1.52
Landskrona BoIS
1.48
Oddevold
1.38
Sandviken
1.29
Helsingborg
1.24
Ljungskile SK
1.14
Norrby IF
1.10
IFK Varnamo
1.05
IK brage
1.00
Orebro SK
0.95
GIF Sundsvall
0.62
Osters IF is 0.95 points better than GIF Sundsvall in terms of average points per game (1.57 vs 0.62).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Falkenbergs FF
1.95
IFK Norrkoping
1.95
Varbergs BoIS FC
1.81
IK brage
1.67
Sandviken
1.62
Oddevold
1.62
Helsingborg
1.62
United Nordic
1.52
Osters IF
1.52
Ostersunds FK
1.43
Ljungskile SK
1.29
Landskrona BoIS
1.29
Norrby IF
1.19
IFK Varnamo
1.19
Orebro SK
1.00
GIF Sundsvall
0.71
Osters IF is 0.81 goals better than GIF Sundsvall in terms of goals scored per game (1.52 vs 0.71).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
IFK Norrkoping
0.62
Landskrona BoIS
1.05
Ostersunds FK
1.10
Varbergs BoIS FC
1.29
Norrby IF
1.33
Ljungskile SK
1.33
United Nordic
1.43
Osters IF
1.43
Falkenbergs FF
1.43
Sandviken
1.48
Oddevold
1.48
Orebro SK
1.57
IFK Varnamo
1.81
Helsingborg
1.95
IK brage
2.00
GIF Sundsvall
2.10
Osters IF is 0.67 goals better than GIF Sundsvall in terms of goals conceded per game (1.43 vs 2.10).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
Landskrona BoIS
57%
Sandviken
55%
IFK Norrkoping
55%
IFK Varnamo
53%
Ostersunds FK
53%
Osters IF
50%
Orebro SK
50%
Falkenbergs FF
50%
Ljungskile SK
50%
Oddevold
50%
United Nordic
49%
IK brage
48%
Varbergs BoIS FC
47%
Helsingborg
44%
Norrby IF
44%
GIF Sundsvall
41%
Osters IF is 9.8 percentage points better than GIF Sundsvall in terms of average possession (50% vs 41%).
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Osters IF
For 5.1 · Against 6.1 · Total 11.2
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.5 · Against 1.6 · Total 3.1
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 14.0 · Against 10.2 · Total 24.2
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
GIF Sundsvall
For 4.8 · Against 5.7 · Total 10.5
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.5 · Against 1.0 · Total 2.5
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 11.0 · Against 9.7 · Total 20.7
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Osters IF
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
11.7
11.4
12.0
2.5
2.5
2.5
24.0
23.9
24.1
vs Stronger (7)
9.5
7.7
11.3
2.3
2.7
2.0
22.3
24.0
20.7
vs Similar (37)
12.1
12.0
12.1
2.9
2.9
2.8
24.5
23.9
25.1
vs Weaker (6)
13.0
13.0
-
0.3
0.5
0.0
-
-
-
% over line
77%
78%
76%
34%
32%
36%
79%
71%
86%
% under line
23%
22%
24%
66%
68%
64%
21%
29%
14%
This opponent (GIF Sundsvall) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
GIF Sundsvall
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.5
9.6
9.5
1.1
0.8
1.3
21.0
18.5
22.9
vs Stronger (18)
10.5
10.4
11.0
0.7
1.1
0.2
17.0
17.2
16.0
vs Similar (32)
9.1
7.5
9.4
1.3
0.6
1.8
24.0
25.0
23.9
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
47%
29%
58%
10%
4%
15%
43%
33%
50%
% under line
53%
71%
42%
90%
96%
85%
57%
67%
50%
This opponent (Osters IF) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Osters IF
11.8
IFK Norrkoping
11.5
IFK Varnamo
11.0
Helsingborg
10.4
Landskrona BoIS
10.3
IK brage
10.3
Ljungskile SK
10.2
Varbergs BoIS FC
10.1
GIF Sundsvall
10.0
Sandviken
9.9
Oddevold
9.5
Ostersunds FK
9.4
Orebro SK
9.4
United Nordic
9.1
Norrby IF
9.0
Falkenbergs FF
8.8
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
IFK Norrkoping
4.2
Helsingborg
4.1
Landskrona BoIS
4.0
Osters IF
3.9
Ljungskile SK
3.8
Norrby IF
3.8
Varbergs BoIS FC
3.7
Orebro SK
3.7
IK brage
3.6
Ostersunds FK
3.4
IFK Varnamo
3.3
Sandviken
3.3
GIF Sundsvall
3.0
Oddevold
2.9
United Nordic
2.7
Falkenbergs FF
2.7
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
United Nordic
29.8
IFK Norrkoping
27.0
Ljungskile SK
26.6
Varbergs BoIS FC
26.6
Osters IF
25.2
Ostersunds FK
25.1
Norrby IF
24.3
Helsingborg
24.2
IK brage
24.1
Landskrona BoIS
23.9
Orebro SK
23.7
Sandviken
23.5
Falkenbergs FF
23.3
IFK Varnamo
22.8
Oddevold
21.4
GIF Sundsvall
21.1
Corners O/U 9.5
Over 9.5
53.3%
@ 1.62-3.9%
Under 9.5
46.7%
@ 2.16+3.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
1.73
Superbet
1.66
Unibet
1.65
Betano
1.60
Pinnacle
1.59
Under
1xBet
2.28
Pinnacle
2.25
Betano
2.22
Marathonbet
2.22
Superbet
2.10
Cards O/U 3.5
Over 3.5
33.4%
Under 3.5
66.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
68.1%
Under 21.5
31.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Osters IF or Draw✓ Hit
87.2%
Avg Implied 77.9% · @ 1.20
Edge
+9.3%
65%
22%
13%
covers Osters IF + Draw
Best 5 market prices
Betano
1.24
Bet365
1.22
BetVictor
1.22
Betfair
1.20
1xBet
1.20
Osters IF or GIF Sundsvall✓ Hit
77.6%
Avg Implied 76.5% · @ 1.22
Edge
+1.1%
65%
22%
13%
covers Osters IF + GIF Sundsvall
Best 5 market prices
Bet365
1.25
William Hil
1.25
Betano
1.24
1xBet
1.23
Marathonbet
1.23
Draw or GIF Sundsvall✗ Miss
35.3%
Avg Implied 45.6% · @ 2.04
Edge
-10.3%
65%
22%
13%
covers Draw + GIF Sundsvall
Best 5 market prices
888Sport
2.25
Unibet
2.10
SBO
2.08
Betano
2.07
10Bet
2.05
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🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
Home & Away Over/Under
How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Osters IF over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
86.3%
@ 1.11+2.2%
Under
13.7%
@ 5.88-2.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.12
BetVictor
1.11
Superbet
1.11
Betfair
1.11
Bet365
1.11
Under
888Sport
6.50
Bet365
6.50
Betfair
6.00
10Bet
5.75
1xBet
5.60
Osters IF over/under 1.5Actual: Under
Over
59.1%
@ 1.60+1.1%
Under
40.9%
@ 2.22-1.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
1.72
1xBet
1.67
Marathonbet
1.66
Betfair
1.62
BetVictor
1.62
Under
Bet365
2.38
Betano
2.30
888Sport
2.30
Unibet
2.28
10Bet
2.25
Osters IF over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
32.1%
@ 2.89+0.1%
Under
67.9%
@ 1.36-0.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
3.28
1xBet
3.04
BetVictor
3.00
Betfair
3.00
Marathonbet
2.98
Under
Betano
1.42
Bet365
1.40
888Sport
1.40
10Bet
1.38
Unibet
1.38
Osters IF over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
14.1%
@ 5.48-2.9%
Under
85.9%
@ 1.12+2.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
6.00
Betfair
6.00
888Sport
5.50
Unibet
5.20
Betano
5.20
Under
Betano
1.14
1xBet
1.14
888Sport
1.13
Bet365
1.12
Unibet
1.11
GIF Sundsvall over/under 0.5Actual: Under
Over
54.2%
@ 1.37-13.8%
Under
45.8%
@ 2.90+13.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
1.41
Unibet
1.40
888Sport
1.40
BetVictor
1.36
Superbet
1.36
Under
Bet365
3.25
Betano
3.05
10Bet
2.95
Pinnacle
2.93
Superbet
2.92
GIF Sundsvall over/under 1.5Actual: Under
Over
18.4%
@ 2.78-15.0%
Under
81.6%
@ 1.40+15.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
3.04
888Sport
3.00
Unibet
2.88
Marathonbet
2.81
1xBet
2.81
Under
Betano
1.47
Bet365
1.44
Superbet
1.42
10Bet
1.40
Betfair
1.40
GIF Sundsvall over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
4.5%
@ 6.82-9.2%
Under
95.5%
@ 1.08+9.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
888Sport
8.00
Marathonbet
7.20
Bet365
7.00
1xBet
7.00
BetVictor
7.00
Under
Betano
1.12
Bet365
1.10
Betfair
1.08
10Bet
1.08
Superbet
1.08
GIF Sundsvall over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
0.8%
@ 18.50-4.4%
Under
99.2%
@ 1.02+4.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
888Sport
26.00
Bet365
19.00
Betano
10.50
Under
Betano
1.03
Bet365
1.02
888Sport
1.01
⚖️ 7. Handicap
Handicap
The handicap is applied to Osters IF, so a minus line means Osters IF give that many goals of a start and GIF Sundsvall receive them. At -1, Osters IF must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Osters IF win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Osters IF)Actual: GIF Sundsvall
Osters IF -2
20.5%
@ 5.36+3.8%
Draw -2
20.2%
@ 4.85+1.8%
GIF Sundsvall +2
59.3%
@ 1.38-5.6%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Betfair
6.00
Bet365
5.50
Marathonbet
5.35
10Bet
5.25
Unibet
4.70
Draw
Marathonbet
5.15
Betfair
5.00
Bet365
5.00
10Bet
4.75
Unibet
4.35
Away
Unibet
1.43
Bet365
1.40
10Bet
1.40
Marathonbet
1.34
Betfair
1.33
Handicap -1 (Osters IF)Actual: Draw
Osters IF -1
40.7%
@ 2.75+8.3%
Draw -1
24.0%
@ 3.70-0.0%
GIF Sundsvall +1
35.3%
@ 2.04-8.3%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Betfair
2.88
Marathonbet
2.80
10Bet
2.80
Bet365
2.75
Unibet
2.50
Draw
Bet365
4.00
Marathonbet
3.74
10Bet
3.60
Betfair
3.60
Unibet
3.55
Away
Unibet
2.16
10Bet
2.05
Betfair
2.00
Bet365
2.00
Marathonbet
2.00
Handicap +1 (Osters IF)Actual: Osters IF
Osters IF +1
87.2%
@ 1.19+11.9%
Draw +1
8.8%
@ 6.09-5.9%
GIF Sundsvall -1
4.0%
@ 9.05-5.9%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
1.22
10Bet
1.20
Marathonbet
1.19
Unibet
1.16
Draw
Bet365
6.50
Unibet
6.10
Marathonbet
6.00
10Bet
5.75
Away
Unibet
9.50
10Bet
9.00
Bet365
9.00
Marathonbet
8.70
Handicap +2 (Osters IF)Actual: Osters IF
Osters IF +2
96.0%
@ 1.06+7.7%
Draw +2
3.1%
@ 13.00-4.1%
GIF Sundsvall -2
0.9%
@ 21.00-3.6%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
1.06
Draw
Bet365
13.00
Away
Bet365
21.00
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Osters IF
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.73
0.73
0.69
0.31
0.79
1.21
vs Stronger (2)
0.50
1.50
1.00
0.00
0.00
3.00
vs Similar (22)
0.50
0.73
0.55
0.36
0.45
1.09
vs Weaker (6)
1.67
0.50
1.00
0.25
3.00
1.00
Clean sheet %
53% (+28pp vs league)
This opponent (GIF Sundsvall) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
GIF Sundsvall
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.2
Avg conceded
1.0
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.17
0.80
0.21
0.71
0.12
0.88
vs Stronger (11)
0.27
0.91
0.29
0.86
0.25
1.00
vs Similar (19)
0.11
0.74
0.14
0.57
0.08
0.83
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
43% (+18pp vs league)
This opponent (Osters IF) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
69.3%
@ 1.27-3.9%
Under 0.5
30.7%
@ 3.46+3.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.29
1xBet
1.28
10Bet
1.28
Marathonbet
1.28
Superbet
1.26
Under
Bet365
3.75
William Hil
3.60
Betfair
3.60
BetVictor
3.60
Superbet
3.45
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
36.4%
@ 2.28-4.4%
Under 1.5
63.6%
@ 1.57+4.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.46
SBO
2.35
Marathonbet
2.34
1xBet
2.34
Superbet
2.27
Under
Bet365
1.62
10Bet
1.60
Betano
1.60
BetVictor
1.58
SBO
1.58
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
13.0%
@ 5.13-5.0%
Under 2.5
87.0%
@ 1.13+5.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betfair
5.50
BetVictor
5.40
1xBet
5.30
Marathonbet
5.30
Bet365
5.00
Under
Bet365
1.17
Betano
1.16
William Hil
1.14
Superbet
1.14
BetVictor
1.13
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Osters IF over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
54.6%
@ 1.60-3.3%
Under
45.4%
@ 2.21+3.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
1.67
Betano
1.62
Superbet
1.61
1xBet
1.60
10Bet
1.57
Under
Unibet
2.28
10Bet
2.25
1xBet
2.20
Pinnacle
2.19
Superbet
2.17
Osters IF over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
19.6%
@ 3.92-3.9%
Under
80.4%
@ 1.21+3.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
4.30
1xBet
3.90
Betano
3.75
10Bet
3.75
Under
Betano
1.23
10Bet
1.22
1xBet
1.20
Marathonbet
1.18
Osters IF over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
4.5%
@ 9.25-5.4%
Under
95.5%
@ 1.03+5.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
10.00
10Bet
9.50
Betano
8.25
Under
Betano
1.04
10Bet
1.03
1xBet
1.01
GIF Sundsvall over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
31.6%
@ 2.28-9.1%
Under
68.4%
@ 1.56+9.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.40
Unibet
2.32
Marathonbet
2.30
Superbet
2.27
10Bet
2.25
Under
Betano
1.60
1xBet
1.59
10Bet
1.57
Superbet
1.57
Pinnacle
1.56
GIF Sundsvall over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
6.7%
@ 7.47-5.7%
Under
93.3%
@ 1.05+5.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
8.50
10Bet
7.50
1xBet
7.50
Betano
6.40
Under
Betano
1.08
10Bet
1.06
Marathonbet
1.04
1xBet
1.04
GIF Sundsvall over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.7%
Under
99.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Osters IF
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.90
1.07
1.00
1.06
0.79
1.07
vs Stronger (2)
0.00
3.50
0.00
3.00
0.00
4.00
vs Similar (22)
1.09
0.82
1.27
0.64
0.91
1.00
vs Weaker (6)
0.50
1.17
0.50
1.75
0.50
0.00
Clean sheet %
50% (+25pp vs league)
This opponent (GIF Sundsvall) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
GIF Sundsvall
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
1.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.60
1.23
0.79
1.29
0.44
1.19
vs Stronger (11)
0.27
1.27
0.43
1.14
0.00
1.50
vs Similar (19)
0.79
1.21
1.14
1.43
0.58
1.08
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
27% (+1pp vs league)
This opponent (Osters IF) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
80.0%
@ 1.15-0.8%
Under 0.5
20.0%
@ 4.81+0.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
William Hil
1.17
Betano
1.15
Superbet
1.15
Bet365
1.14
Marathonbet
1.13
Under
Bet365
5.50
Betano
4.75
Superbet
4.70
Marathonbet
4.65
1xBet
4.65
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
46.7%
@ 1.77-5.7%
Under 1.5
53.3%
@ 1.95+5.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.81
Marathonbet
1.81
William Hil
1.80
Superbet
1.80
Unibet
1.74
Under
Betano
2.07
Bet365
2.00
Unibet
1.93
1xBet
1.92
Marathonbet
1.92
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
20.9%
@ 3.36-6.6%
Under 2.5
79.1%
@ 1.27+6.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
William Hil
3.50
Superbet
3.45
Marathonbet
3.44
1xBet
3.44
Bet365
3.40
Under
Betano
1.35
Bet365
1.30
Superbet
1.27
William Hil
1.25
1xBet
1.24
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Osters IF over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
67.6%
@ 1.40+1.6%
Under
32.4%
@ 2.73-1.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
1.44
1xBet
1.41
10Bet
1.38
Betano
1.38
Under
10Bet
2.80
Betano
2.80
1xBet
2.70
Superbet
2.60
Osters IF over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
30.8%
@ 2.88-1.3%
Under
69.2%
@ 1.36+1.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
3.04
1xBet
2.90
10Bet
2.88
Betano
2.70
Under
Betano
1.40
10Bet
1.36
1xBet
1.35
Marathonbet
1.33
Osters IF over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
11.3%
@ 6.83-2.3%
Under
88.7%
@ 1.07+2.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
7.60
10Bet
7.00
Betano
5.90
Under
Betano
1.10
10Bet
1.07
1xBet
1.04
GIF Sundsvall over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
39.5%
@ 1.87-10.1%
Under
60.5%
@ 1.83+10.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.90
Marathonbet
1.90
Superbet
1.90
10Bet
1.83
Betano
1.80
Under
Betano
1.91
10Bet
1.85
1xBet
1.81
Superbet
1.80
Marathonbet
1.78
GIF Sundsvall over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
7.6%
@ 5.33-9.8%
Under
92.4%
@ 1.12+9.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
5.95
1xBet
5.50
10Bet
5.25
Betano
4.60
Under
Betano
1.16
10Bet
1.12
Marathonbet
1.10
1xBet
1.10
GIF Sundsvall over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
1.2%
@ 13.25-5.9%
Under
98.8%
@ 1.02+5.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
17.00
Betano
9.50
Under
Betano
1.03
10Bet
1.01
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🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Away under 2.5 HT goals
99.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 7.5
99.2%
1.01
1xBet
1.01
-
-
-
-
+2.3%
✓ Hit
Away under 3.5 goals
99.2%
1.02
Betano
1.03
Bet365
1.02
888Sport
1.01
-
-
+4.4%
✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 2H goals
98.8%
1.02
Betano
1.03
10Bet
1.01
-
-
-
+5.9%
✓ Hit
Under 6.5
97.7%
1.03
Betano
1.04
1xBet
1.03
Bet365
1.02
-
-
+4.4%
✓ Hit
Home +2 handicap
96.0%
1.06
Bet365
1.06
-
-
-
-
+7.7%
✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 goals
95.5%
1.08
Betano
1.12
Bet365
1.10
Betfair
1.08
10Bet
1.08
Superbet
1.08
+9.2%
✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 HT goals
95.5%
1.03
Betano
1.04
10Bet
1.03
1xBet
1.01
-
-
+5.4%
✓ Hit
Under 5.5
93.7%
1.06
Pinnacle
1.10
Betano
1.10
10Bet
1.08
Bet365
1.07
Unibet
1.06
+5.8%
✓ Hit
Away under 1.5 HT goals
93.3%
1.05
Betano
1.08
10Bet
1.06
Marathonbet
1.04
1xBet
1.04
-
+5.7%
✓ Hit
Under 5.5 cards
92.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 1.5 2H goals
92.4%
1.12
Betano
1.16
10Bet
1.12
Marathonbet
1.10
1xBet
1.10
-
+9.8%
✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 2H goals
88.7%
1.07
Betano
1.10
10Bet
1.07
1xBet
1.04
-
-
+2.3%
✓ Hit
Home or Draw
87.2%
1.20
Betano
1.24
Bet365
1.22
BetVictor
1.22
Betfair
1.20
1xBet
1.20
+9.3%
✓ Hit
Home +1 handicap
87.2%
1.19
Bet365
1.22
10Bet
1.20
Marathonbet
1.19
Unibet
1.16
-
+11.9%
✓ Hit
Under 2.5 HT goals
87.0%
1.13
Bet365
1.17
Betano
1.16
William Hil
1.14
Superbet
1.14
BetVictor
1.13
+5.0%
✓ Hit
Home over 0.5 goals
86.3%
1.11
Betano
1.12
BetVictor
1.11
Superbet
1.11
Betfair
1.11
Bet365
1.11
+2.2%
✓ Hit
Home under 3.5 goals
85.9%
1.12
Betano
1.14
1xBet
1.14
888Sport
1.13
Bet365
1.12
Unibet
1.11
+2.9%
✓ Hit
Under 4.5
85.2%
1.19
Betano
1.25
10Bet
1.22
Bet365
1.20
888Sport
1.20
Betfair
1.20
+7.2%
✓ Hit
Under 4.5 cards
82.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 19.5 fouls
81.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 1.5 goals
81.6%
1.40
Betano
1.47
Bet365
1.44
Superbet
1.42
10Bet
1.40
Betfair
1.40
+15.0%
✓ Hit
Home under 1.5 HT goals
80.4%
1.21
Betano
1.23
10Bet
1.22
1xBet
1.20
Marathonbet
1.18
-
+3.9%
✓ Hit
Over 0.5 2H goals
80.0%
1.15
William Hil
1.17
Betano
1.15
Superbet
1.15
Bet365
1.14
Marathonbet
1.13
-0.8%
✓ Hit
Under 2.5 2H goals
79.1%
1.27
Betano
1.35
Bet365
1.30
Superbet
1.27
William Hil
1.25
1xBet
1.24
+6.6%
✓ Hit
Home or Away
77.6%
1.22
Bet365
1.25
William Hil
1.25
Betano
1.24
1xBet
1.23
Marathonbet
1.23
+1.1%
✓ Hit
Over 1.5
77.3%
1.17
10Bet
1.20
Betfair
1.20
Pinnacle
1.20
Bet365
1.18
Superbet
1.17
-2.2%
✗ Miss
Under 11.5 corners
70.5%
1.46
Pinnacle
1.49
1xBet
1.49
Superbet
1.47
Betano
1.45
Unibet
1.44
+7.5%
-
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Osters IF · 2025/26
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Alibek Aliev24%
David Seger17%
Oscar Uddenäs12%
Vladimir Rodić12%
Daniel Ljung11%
Niklas Söderberg10%
Ivan Kričak8%
Magnus Christensen8%
Anssi Suhonen8%
Matias Tamminen5%
Dennis Olsson5%
Lukas Bergquist4%
Mattis Adolfsson4%
Sebastian Hedlund0%
Christian Kouakou0%
Tatu Varmanen0%
Daniel Ask0%
Albin Mörfelt0%
Noah Söderberg0%
Patriot Sejdiu0%
Robin Wallinder0%
Oskar Gabrielsson0%
Raymond Adjei0%
Joel Voelkerling Persson0%
Kingsley Gyamfi0%
Youssoupha Sanyang0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Youssoupha Sanyang50%
Sebastian Hedlund33%
Albin Mörfelt33%
Niklas Söderberg30%
Mattis Adolfsson26%
Daniel Ask25%
Ivan Kričak24%
Lukas Bergquist23%
Kingsley Gyamfi21%
Tatu Varmanen20%
Patriot Sejdiu20%
Vladimir Rodić18%
Anssi Suhonen15%
Oscar Uddenäs12%
Magnus Christensen12%
Noah Söderberg12%
Daniel Ljung11%
Matias Tamminen11%
Alibek Aliev10%
David Seger8%
Dennis Olsson5%
Christian Kouakou0%
Robin Wallinder0%
Oskar Gabrielsson0%
Raymond Adjei0%
Joel Voelkerling Persson0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
David Seger17%
Matias Tamminen16%
Dennis Olsson15%
Daniel Ljung11%
Patriot Sejdiu10%
Youssoupha Sanyang10%
Tatu Varmanen8%
Anssi Suhonen8%
Magnus Christensen4%
Lukas Bergquist4%
Mattis Adolfsson4%
Alibek Aliev3%
Sebastian Hedlund0%
Ivan Kričak0%
Christian Kouakou0%
Vladimir Rodić0%
Daniel Ask0%
Albin Mörfelt0%
Noah Söderberg0%
Robin Wallinder0%
Niklas Söderberg0%
Oscar Uddenäs0%
Oskar Gabrielsson0%
Raymond Adjei0%
Joel Voelkerling Persson0%
Kingsley Gyamfi0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Alibek Aliev17%
Niklas Söderberg10%
Anssi Suhonen8%
Oscar Uddenäs6%
Vladimir Rodić6%
Mattis Adolfsson4%
Magnus Christensen0%
Sebastian Hedlund0%
Ivan Kričak0%
Christian Kouakou0%
Matias Tamminen0%
Tatu Varmanen0%
Daniel Ask0%
Albin Mörfelt0%
Lukas Bergquist0%
David Seger0%
Noah Söderberg0%
Daniel Ljung0%
Dennis Olsson0%
Patriot Sejdiu0%
Robin Wallinder0%
Oskar Gabrielsson0%
Raymond Adjei0%
Joel Voelkerling Persson0%
Kingsley Gyamfi0%
Youssoupha Sanyang0%
GIF Sundsvall
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Hugo Aviander50%
Suwaibou Kebbeh25%
Jonas Olsson0%
Marc Manchón0%
Lucas Forsberg0%
Miguel Sandberg0%
Alexandros Pantelidis0%
Jeremiah Björnler0%
Yaqub Finey0%
Atlee Manneh0%
Malte Hallin0%
Kawa Sulaiman0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Marc Manchón75%
Alexandros Pantelidis25%
Hugo Aviander25%
Yaqub Finey25%
Atlee Manneh25%
Jonas Olsson0%
Lucas Forsberg0%
Miguel Sandberg0%
Jeremiah Björnler0%
Malte Hallin0%
Suwaibou Kebbeh0%
Kawa Sulaiman0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Miguel Sandberg25%
Hugo Aviander25%
Jonas Olsson0%
Marc Manchón0%
Lucas Forsberg0%
Alexandros Pantelidis0%
Jeremiah Björnler0%
Yaqub Finey0%
Atlee Manneh0%
Malte Hallin0%
Suwaibou Kebbeh0%
Kawa Sulaiman0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Jonas Olsson0%
Marc Manchón0%
Lucas Forsberg0%
Miguel Sandberg0%
Alexandros Pantelidis0%
Hugo Aviander0%
Jeremiah Björnler0%
Yaqub Finey0%
Atlee Manneh0%
Malte Hallin0%
Suwaibou Kebbeh0%
Kawa Sulaiman0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
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💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
IN (25)
€9m
HEL (25)
€7m
LB (20)
€6m
VBF (24)
€6m
FF (19)
€5m
OI (23)
€5m
ODD (23)
€5m
IV (21)
€5m
OS (23)
€5m
IB (23)
€5m
SAN (20)
€4m
GS (22)
€4m
OF (21)
€4m
LS (22)
€3m
UN (17)
€3m
NI (17)
€3m
Osters IF's squad is €1m more valuable than GIF Sundsvall's (€5m vs €4m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
IN (8)
€3m
IV (7)
€2m
HEL (8)
€2m
FF (8)
€2m
LB (5)
€2m
VBF (7)
€2m
OI (7)
€2m
ODD (6)
€1m
SAN (5)
€1m
OS (6)
€1m
GS (8)
€1m
NI (6)
€1m
LS (7)
€1m
IB (5)
€1m
OF (5)
€1m
UN (4)
€0m
Osters IF and GIF Sundsvall have a similar attack value (both €2m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
IN (8)
€3m
HEL (7)
€2m
VBF (8)
€2m
LB (7)
€2m
OF (6)
€2m
OI (6)
€2m
IB (7)
€1m
ODD (7)
€1m
GS (5)
€1m
SAN (6)
€1m
OS (5)
€1m
LS (4)
€1m
UN (4)
€1m
IV (4)
€1m
FF (2)
€1m
NI (3)
€0m
Osters IF and GIF Sundsvall have a similar midfield value (both €2m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
IN (9)
€3m
FF (9)
€3m
OS (12)
€3m
ODD (10)
€3m
HEL (10)
€2m
LB (8)
€2m
IB (11)
€2m
VBF (9)
€2m
OI (10)
€2m
UN (9)
€2m
SAN (9)
€2m
IV (10)
€2m
OF (10)
€2m
GS (9)
€2m
LS (11)
€2m
NI (8)
€1m
Osters IF and GIF Sundsvall have a similar defence value (both €2m).
Sweden: Superettan 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Sweden: Superettan stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
IFK Norrkoping
Falkenbergs FF
Varbergs BoIS FC
Ostersunds FK
United Nordic
Landskrona BoIS
Oddevold
Sandviken
Helsingborg
Ljungskile SK
Norrby IF
IFK Varnamo
IK brage
Orebro SK