Osters IF enter the match on a three-game winning streak, having edged GIF Sundsvall 1-0, while United Nordic also boast a two-game winning run, beating Bollstansås 2-0. The model’s most confident outcome is a home win, with a 48% chance, followed by a 28% draw and a 23% away win. The expected goal tally is 2.5, centring on a 2-goal total that carries a 27% probability. The single most likely scoreline is 1-1, with a 13.5% chance.
Osters IF, playing at home against a similarly-matched opponent, average 1.82 goals scored and 1.0 conceded. United Nordic, on the road, average 1.17 scored and 1.17 conceded. The model’s suggested picks include an 99.6% chance of Under 7.5, 98.6% for Under 6.5, 98.4% for Away under 2.5 HT goals, 98.2% for Away under 3.5 goals, 97.7% for Home under 2.5 HT goals, 97.1% for Away under 2.5 2H goals, 95.8% for Under 5.5 with a 9% edge, and 95.5% for Home under 2.5 2H goals.
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🎯 1. Model Analysis
Osters IF win
48.9%
Avg Implied 35.9% · @ 2.57
Edge
+13.0%
Best 5 market prices
Pinnacle
2.96
Betano
2.82
Marathonbet
2.78
Dafabet
2.70
Betfair
2.63
Draw
28.1%
Avg Implied 26.1% · @ 3.54
Edge
+2.1%
Best 5 market prices
Betfair
3.90
BetVictor
3.75
10Bet
3.65
Unibet
3.55
Dafabet
3.55
United Nordic win
23.0%
Avg Implied 38.0% · @ 2.43
Edge
-15.0%
Best 5 market prices
Superbet
2.67
1xBet
2.53
SBO
2.51
William Hil
2.50
10Bet
2.50
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
Osters IF
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.9
Avg scored
1.7
Avg conceded
1.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.67
1.73
1.75
1.25
1.57
2.29
vs Stronger (2)
0.50
5.00
1.00
3.00
0.00
7.00
vs Similar (21)
1.67
1.52
2.00
0.90
1.36
2.09
vs Weaker (7)
2.00
1.43
1.40
1.60
3.50
1.00
Clean sheet %
30% (+5pp vs league)
This opponent (United Nordic) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
United Nordic
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.5
Avg scored
1.4
Avg conceded
1.1
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.42
1.33
1.67
1.50
1.17
1.17
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (24)
1.42
1.33
1.67
1.50
1.17
1.17
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
29% (+4pp vs league)
This opponent (Osters IF) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.5 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (27%).
Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
72.7%
@ 1.14-9.2%
Under 1.5
27.3%
@ 5.16+9.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
1.17
10Bet
1.17
Bet365
1.17
Betano
1.17
Betfair
1.14
Under
Unibet
5.60
BetVictor
5.50
Betfair
5.50
1xBet
5.30
Superbet
5.25
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
45.9%
@ 1.50-16.2%
Under 2.5
54.1%
@ 2.46+16.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
1.60
Bet365
1.57
Betano
1.55
Marathonbet
1.52
10Bet
1.50
Under
10Bet
2.62
BetVictor
2.60
Unibet
2.55
Betfair
2.55
Superbet
2.55
Over/Under 3.5
Over 3.5
24.5%
@ 2.26-17.0%
Under 3.5
75.5%
@ 1.60+17.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.49
Marathonbet
2.40
Bet365
2.38
Betano
2.30
Betfair
2.30
Under
10Bet
1.67
1xBet
1.65
Superbet
1.65
Unibet
1.63
BetVictor
1.63
Both teams to score
Yes
50.2%
@ 1.42-14.9%
No
49.8%
@ 2.66+14.9%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
Bet365
1.50
Betfair
1.47
Marathonbet
1.46
Betano
1.45
Superbet
1.41
No
1xBet
2.77
BetVictor
2.75
William Hil
2.75
Unibet
2.70
10Bet
2.70
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
13.4%@ 7.11+7.1%
1-0
11.2%@ 12.08+7.5%
2-0
9.5%@ 14.79+6.5%
2-1
9.3%@ 9.17+4.5%
0-0
9.3%@ 15.45+6.4%
0-1
6.7%@ 11.75+2.9%
1-2
6.0%@ 9.00+1.0%
3-0
4.9%@ 26.49+3.2%
Osters IF goals ↓
United Nordic goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
9.3%
6.7%
3.9%
1.3%
0.3%
1
11%
13%
6.0%
1.9%
0.5%
2
9.5%
9.3%
4.6%
1.5%
0.4%
3
4.9%
4.8%
2.3%
0.8%
0.2%
4
1.9%
1.8%
0.9%
0.3%
0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Osters IF goals (down), columns = United Nordic goals (across).
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💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
IFK Norrkoping
2.24
Falkenbergs FF
1.81
Varbergs BoIS FC
1.76
Ostersunds FK
1.67
Osters IF
1.57
United Nordic
1.52
Landskrona BoIS
1.48
Oddevold
1.38
Sandviken
1.29
Helsingborg
1.24
Ljungskile SK
1.14
Norrby IF
1.10
IFK Varnamo
1.05
IK brage
1.00
Orebro SK
0.95
GIF Sundsvall
0.62
Osters IF is 0.05 points better than United Nordic in terms of average points per game (1.57 vs 1.52).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Falkenbergs FF
1.95
IFK Norrkoping
1.95
Varbergs BoIS FC
1.81
IK brage
1.67
Sandviken
1.62
Oddevold
1.62
Helsingborg
1.62
United Nordic
1.52
Osters IF
1.52
Ostersunds FK
1.43
Ljungskile SK
1.29
Landskrona BoIS
1.29
Norrby IF
1.19
IFK Varnamo
1.19
Orebro SK
1.00
GIF Sundsvall
0.71
Osters IF and United Nordic are level in goals scored per game (both 1.52).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
IFK Norrkoping
0.62
Landskrona BoIS
1.05
Ostersunds FK
1.10
Varbergs BoIS FC
1.29
Norrby IF
1.33
Ljungskile SK
1.33
United Nordic
1.43
Osters IF
1.43
Falkenbergs FF
1.43
Sandviken
1.48
Oddevold
1.48
Orebro SK
1.57
IFK Varnamo
1.81
Helsingborg
1.95
IK brage
2.00
GIF Sundsvall
2.10
Osters IF and United Nordic are level in goals conceded per game (both 1.43).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
Landskrona BoIS
57%
Sandviken
55%
IFK Norrkoping
55%
IFK Varnamo
53%
Ostersunds FK
53%
Osters IF
50%
Orebro SK
50%
Falkenbergs FF
50%
Ljungskile SK
50%
Oddevold
50%
United Nordic
49%
IK brage
48%
Varbergs BoIS FC
47%
Helsingborg
44%
Norrby IF
44%
GIF Sundsvall
41%
Osters IF is 1.3 percentage points better than United Nordic in terms of average possession (50% vs 49%).
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Osters IF
For 5.1 · Against 6.1 · Total 11.2
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.5 · Against 1.6 · Total 3.1
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 14.1 · Against 10.6 · Total 24.7
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
United Nordic
For 5.6 · Against 4.5 · Total 10.1
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.5 · Against 1.4 · Total 2.9
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 14.8 · Against 15.0 · Total 29.8
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Osters IF
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
11.6
11.4
11.9
2.4
2.4
2.3
24.3
23.9
24.8
vs Stronger (5)
7.8
7.7
8.0
1.8
2.7
0.5
23.2
24.0
21.0
vs Similar (38)
12.1
12.0
12.1
2.8
2.9
2.7
24.5
23.9
25.1
vs Weaker (7)
13.0
13.0
-
0.3
0.4
0.0
-
-
-
% over line
79%
78%
80%
32%
31%
33%
81%
71%
92%
% under line
21%
22%
20%
68%
69%
67%
19%
29%
8%
This opponent (United Nordic) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
United Nordic
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (24)
10.1
12.0
7.0
1.0
1.1
0.8
29.8
27.5
32.0
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (24)
10.1
12.0
7.0
1.0
1.1
0.8
29.8
27.5
32.0
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
62%
80%
33%
12%
17%
8%
100%
100%
100%
% under line
38%
20%
67%
88%
83%
92%
0%
0%
0%
This opponent (Osters IF) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Osters IF
11.8
IFK Norrkoping
11.5
IFK Varnamo
10.9
Helsingborg
10.3
Landskrona BoIS
10.3
IK brage
10.2
Ljungskile SK
10.2
United Nordic
10.1
Varbergs BoIS FC
10.1
GIF Sundsvall
10.0
Sandviken
9.9
Oddevold
9.5
Ostersunds FK
9.4
Orebro SK
9.4
Norrby IF
9.0
Falkenbergs FF
8.8
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
IFK Norrkoping
4.2
Helsingborg
4.1
Ljungskile SK
3.9
Osters IF
3.9
Norrby IF
3.8
Varbergs BoIS FC
3.7
Landskrona BoIS
3.7
Orebro SK
3.7
IK brage
3.6
IFK Varnamo
3.3
Ostersunds FK
3.3
Sandviken
3.3
GIF Sundsvall
3.0
Oddevold
2.9
United Nordic
2.9
Falkenbergs FF
2.7
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
United Nordic
29.8
IFK Norrkoping
27.2
Ljungskile SK
26.6
Varbergs BoIS FC
26.6
Osters IF
25.2
Ostersunds FK
25.1
Norrby IF
24.3
IK brage
24.1
Orebro SK
24.0
Helsingborg
24.0
Landskrona BoIS
23.7
Sandviken
23.5
Falkenbergs FF
23.3
IFK Varnamo
22.9
Oddevold
21.4
GIF Sundsvall
21.1
Corners O/U 9.5
Over 9.5
45.6%
@ 1.74-7.5%
Under 9.5
54.4%
@ 1.98+7.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
1.80
Betano
1.80
10Bet
1.77
Marathonbet
1.70
Pinnacle
1.70
Under
Pinnacle
2.05
1xBet
2.04
Marathonbet
2.01
10Bet
1.95
Betano
1.91
Cards O/U 3.5
Over 3.5
40.2%
Under 3.5
59.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
79.5%
Under 21.5
20.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Osters IF or Draw
77.0%
Avg Implied 62.3% · @ 1.50
Edge
+14.7%
49%
28%
23%
covers Osters IF + Draw
Best 5 market prices
Betano
1.62
Betfair
1.62
Marathonbet
1.54
Bet365
1.53
10Bet
1.50
Osters IF or United Nordic
71.9%
Avg Implied 74.4% · @ 1.25
Edge
-2.6%
49%
28%
23%
covers Osters IF + United Nordic
Best 5 market prices
William Hil
1.30
Bet365
1.28
Betano
1.28
Marathonbet
1.27
1xBet
1.26
Draw or United Nordic
51.1%
Avg Implied 63.2% · @ 1.47
Edge
-12.1%
49%
28%
23%
covers Draw + United Nordic
Best 5 market prices
SBO
1.53
Superbet
1.52
William Hil
1.50
10Bet
1.50
Bet365
1.50
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🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
Home & Away Over/Under
How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Osters IF over/under 0.5
Over
78.4%
@ 1.19+0.2%
Under
21.6%
@ 4.27-0.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.23
Pinnacle
1.22
Bet365
1.22
Marathonbet
1.21
Betfair
1.20
Under
Superbet
4.75
1xBet
4.70
BetVictor
4.60
10Bet
4.50
Pinnacle
4.11
Osters IF over/under 1.5
Over
45.3%
@ 1.99-1.7%
Under
54.7%
@ 1.77+1.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.26
Marathonbet
2.12
Betfair
2.10
Betano
2.07
Bet365
2.00
Under
Superbet
1.95
1xBet
1.86
10Bet
1.85
BetVictor
1.83
Bet365
1.73
Osters IF over/under 2.5
Over
19.9%
@ 4.10-2.8%
Under
80.1%
@ 1.20+2.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
4.65
Betfair
4.50
Pinnacle
4.42
Bet365
4.33
Betano
4.30
Under
Superbet
1.26
BetVictor
1.22
10Bet
1.22
1xBet
1.22
Bet365
1.20
Osters IF over/under 3.5
Over
7.0%
@ 9.32-3.1%
Under
93.0%
@ 1.04+3.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
11.00
Betfair
9.50
Betano
8.50
1xBet
8.30
Under
Bet365
1.05
Betano
1.05
Betfair
1.04
1xBet
1.03
United Nordic over/under 0.5
Over
62.5%
@ 1.17-16.9%
Under
37.5%
@ 4.50+16.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.18
Bet365
1.18
Superbet
1.18
10Bet
1.17
Betfair
1.17
Under
1xBet
4.65
BetVictor
4.60
Betfair
4.50
Bet365
4.50
10Bet
4.50
United Nordic over/under 1.5
Over
25.7%
@ 1.88-23.7%
Under
74.3%
@ 1.84+23.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
1.95
Superbet
1.92
Marathonbet
1.91
Bet365
1.91
1xBet
1.90
Under
Betano
1.90
10Bet
1.85
Pinnacle
1.85
1xBet
1.84
Betfair
1.83
United Nordic over/under 2.5
Over
7.7%
@ 3.81-16.6%
Under
92.3%
@ 1.22+16.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
4.05
Bet365
4.00
Marathonbet
3.84
1xBet
3.84
BetVictor
3.80
Under
Betano
1.27
Pinnacle
1.23
Superbet
1.22
10Bet
1.22
BetVictor
1.22
United Nordic over/under 3.5
Over
1.8%
@ 8.28-9.6%
Under
98.2%
@ 1.06+9.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
10.00
1xBet
8.10
Betfair
8.00
Betano
7.00
Under
Betano
1.08
Bet365
1.06
Betfair
1.06
1xBet
1.03
⚖️ 7. Handicap
Handicap
The handicap is applied to Osters IF, so a minus line means Osters IF give that many goals of a start and United Nordic receive them. At -1, Osters IF must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Osters IF win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Osters IF)
Osters IF -2
10.4%
@ 8.82+0.4%
Draw -2
15.3%
@ 6.42+1.5%
United Nordic +2
74.3%
@ 1.17-1.9%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
11.00
Betfair
10.00
10Bet
8.00
Marathonbet
6.30
Draw
Bet365
7.50
Betfair
7.00
10Bet
6.25
Marathonbet
4.95
Away
10Bet
1.20
Bet365
1.18
Betfair
1.17
Marathonbet
1.11
Handicap -1 (Osters IF)
Osters IF -1
25.7%
@ 4.68+6.5%
Draw -1
23.2%
@ 4.57+3.5%
United Nordic +1
51.1%
@ 1.48-10.0%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Marathonbet
5.40
Bet365
4.50
10Bet
4.50
Betfair
4.33
Draw
Marathonbet
4.85
Bet365
4.75
Betfair
4.33
10Bet
4.33
Away
Betfair
1.50
Bet365
1.50
10Bet
1.50
Marathonbet
1.40
Handicap +1 (Osters IF)
Osters IF +1
77.0%
@ 1.53+18.1%
Draw +1
14.4%
@ 4.45-5.8%
United Nordic -1
8.6%
@ 4.33-12.2%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Betfair
1.57
Marathonbet
1.54
10Bet
1.50
Bet365
1.50
Draw
Bet365
4.75
Marathonbet
4.40
Betfair
4.33
10Bet
4.33
Away
10Bet
4.50
Bet365
4.50
Marathonbet
4.30
Betfair
4.00
Handicap +2 (Osters IF)
Osters IF +2
91.4%
@ 1.18+14.3%
Draw +2
6.2%
@ 6.87-7.0%
United Nordic -2
2.3%
@ 9.33-7.4%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Betfair
1.20
Bet365
1.18
Marathonbet
1.15
Draw
Marathonbet
7.10
Bet365
7.00
Betfair
6.50
Away
Bet365
10.00
Betfair
9.00
Marathonbet
9.00
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Osters IF
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.73
0.73
0.69
0.31
0.79
1.21
vs Stronger (2)
0.50
1.50
1.00
0.00
0.00
3.00
vs Similar (21)
0.52
0.76
0.60
0.40
0.45
1.09
vs Weaker (7)
1.43
0.43
0.80
0.20
3.00
1.00
Clean sheet %
53% (+28pp vs league)
This opponent (United Nordic) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
United Nordic
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.58
0.54
0.67
0.67
0.50
0.42
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (24)
0.58
0.54
0.67
0.67
0.50
0.42
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
62% (+37pp vs league)
This opponent (Osters IF) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5
Over 0.5
66.2%
@ 1.25-8.0%
Under 0.5
33.8%
@ 3.59+8.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.31
Marathonbet
1.28
10Bet
1.25
Bet365
1.25
1xBet
1.24
Under
William Hil
3.80
Betfair
3.80
BetVictor
3.80
Superbet
3.75
Bet365
3.75
Half Time Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
30.0%
@ 2.18-12.5%
Under 1.5
70.0%
@ 1.62+12.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.36
Betano
2.30
Marathonbet
2.29
Betfair
2.20
1xBet
2.17
Under
Bet365
1.67
Superbet
1.67
William Hil
1.65
BetVictor
1.64
1xBet
1.63
Half Time Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
10.2%
@ 4.86-8.9%
Under 2.5
89.8%
@ 1.15+8.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
5.30
Betfair
5.20
BetVictor
5.00
Bet365
5.00
1xBet
4.80
Under
William Hil
1.18
Superbet
1.17
Bet365
1.17
Betano
1.16
BetVictor
1.14
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Osters IF over/under 0.5 HT
Over
44.6%
@ 1.85-5.9%
Under
55.4%
@ 1.88+5.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
1.97
Betano
1.93
Marathonbet
1.93
10Bet
1.80
1xBet
1.73
Under
Superbet
2.02
1xBet
2.00
10Bet
1.91
Pinnacle
1.82
Betano
1.78
Osters IF over/under 1.5 HT
Over
11.6%
@ 5.40-5.5%
Under
88.4%
@ 1.12+5.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
6.30
Betano
5.30
1xBet
5.00
10Bet
5.00
Under
10Bet
1.14
1xBet
1.14
Betano
1.12
Marathonbet
1.08
Osters IF over/under 2.5 HT
Over
2.5%
@ 12.75-4.9%
Under
97.5%
@ 1.02+4.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
15.00
Betano
10.50
Under
Betano
1.02
10Bet
1.02
United Nordic over/under 0.5 HT
Over
39.6%
@ 1.80-12.2%
Under
60.4%
@ 1.94+12.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
1.83
Pinnacle
1.83
Marathonbet
1.82
Betano
1.80
10Bet
1.80
Under
1xBet
2.10
Pinnacle
1.96
10Bet
1.91
Betano
1.91
Superbet
1.88
United Nordic over/under 1.5 HT
Over
9.3%
@ 5.01-9.2%
Under
90.7%
@ 1.14+9.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
5.50
10Bet
5.00
1xBet
5.00
Betano
4.55
Under
Betano
1.16
10Bet
1.14
1xBet
1.14
Marathonbet
1.11
United Nordic over/under 2.5 HT
Over
1.4%
@ 12.25-6.3%
Under
98.6%
@ 1.02+6.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
15.00
Betano
9.50
Under
Betano
1.03
10Bet
1.02
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Osters IF
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.9
Avg scored
1.4
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.93
1.00
1.06
0.94
0.79
1.07
vs Stronger (2)
0.00
3.50
0.00
3.00
0.00
4.00
vs Similar (21)
1.14
0.76
1.40
0.50
0.91
1.00
vs Weaker (7)
0.57
1.00
0.60
1.40
0.50
0.00
Clean sheet %
53% (+28pp vs league)
This opponent (United Nordic) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
United Nordic
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.83
0.79
1.00
0.83
0.67
0.75
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (24)
0.83
0.79
1.00
0.83
0.67
0.75
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
46% (+21pp vs league)
This opponent (Osters IF) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5
Over 0.5
76.4%
@ 1.13-5.5%
Under 0.5
23.6%
@ 5.13+5.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.15
William Hil
1.15
Bet365
1.14
Superbet
1.13
Marathonbet
1.12
Under
Bet365
5.50
1xBet
5.50
Superbet
5.15
William Hil
5.00
Marathonbet
4.95
Second Half Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
41.3%
@ 1.69-13.7%
Under 1.5
58.7%
@ 2.06+13.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
1.76
Betano
1.70
Bet365
1.67
Superbet
1.67
William Hil
1.67
Under
1xBet
2.12
Bet365
2.10
Superbet
2.07
Betano
2.05
William Hil
2.05
Second Half Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
16.4%
@ 3.12-13.3%
Under 2.5
83.6%
@ 1.31+13.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
3.30
Bet365
3.25
William Hil
3.10
Superbet
3.05
Betano
3.00
Under
Betano
1.34
Superbet
1.33
Bet365
1.33
1xBet
1.31
William Hil
1.30
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Osters IF over/under 0.5 2H
Over
53.9%
@ 1.55-5.9%
Under
46.1%
@ 2.30+5.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
1.63
Betano
1.60
Superbet
1.51
1xBet
1.51
10Bet
1.50
Under
10Bet
2.40
1xBet
2.40
Superbet
2.40
Betano
2.20
Marathonbet
2.11
Osters IF over/under 1.5 2H
Over
16.3%
@ 3.70-8.6%
Under
83.7%
@ 1.23+8.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
4.25
Betano
3.70
10Bet
3.45
1xBet
3.40
Under
1xBet
1.26
10Bet
1.25
Betano
1.23
Marathonbet
1.18
Osters IF over/under 2.5 2H
Over
4.6%
@ 8.72-6.0%
Under
95.4%
@ 1.03+6.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
9.40
10Bet
8.50
Betano
8.25
Under
Betano
1.04
10Bet
1.04
1xBet
1.01
United Nordic over/under 0.5 2H
Over
46.9%
@ 1.53-13.7%
Under
53.1%
@ 2.35+13.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
1.58
1xBet
1.53
Betano
1.50
10Bet
1.50
Under
10Bet
2.40
Betano
2.40
1xBet
2.33
Superbet
2.25
United Nordic over/under 1.5 2H
Over
12.7%
@ 3.48-13.8%
Under
87.3%
@ 1.25+13.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
3.72
1xBet
3.50
10Bet
3.45
Betano
3.25
Under
Betano
1.29
10Bet
1.25
1xBet
1.24
Marathonbet
1.23
United Nordic over/under 2.5 2H
Over
2.4%
@ 8.57-8.4%
Under
97.6%
@ 1.04+8.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
9.90
10Bet
8.50
Betano
7.30
Under
Betano
1.06
10Bet
1.04
1xBet
1.01
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🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Under 7.5
99.6%
1.01
Bet365
1.01
1xBet
1.01
-
-
-
+3.1%
Away under 2.5 HT goals
98.6%
1.02
Betano
1.03
10Bet
1.02
-
-
-
+6.3%
Under 6.5
98.5%
1.03
Betano
1.03
1xBet
1.03
Bet365
1.02
-
-
+5.5%
Away under 3.5 goals
98.2%
1.06
Betano
1.08
Bet365
1.06
Betfair
1.06
1xBet
1.03
-
+9.6%
Away under 2.5 2H goals
97.6%
1.04
Betano
1.06
10Bet
1.04
1xBet
1.01
-
-
+8.4%
Home under 2.5 HT goals
97.5%
1.02
Betano
1.02
10Bet
1.02
-
-
-
+4.9%
Under 5.5
95.7%
1.07
10Bet
1.11
Pinnacle
1.10
Betano
1.10
Superbet
1.09
Bet365
1.08
+9.0%
Home under 2.5 2H goals
95.4%
1.03
Betano
1.04
10Bet
1.04
1xBet
1.01
-
-
+6.0%
Home under 3.5 goals
93.0%
1.04
Bet365
1.05
Betano
1.05
Betfair
1.04
1xBet
1.03
-
+3.1%
Away under 2.5 goals
92.3%
1.22
Betano
1.27
Pinnacle
1.23
Superbet
1.22
10Bet
1.22
BetVictor
1.22
+16.6%
Home +2 handicap
91.4%
1.18
Betfair
1.20
Bet365
1.18
Marathonbet
1.15
-
-
+14.3%
Away under 1.5 HT goals
90.7%
1.14
Betano
1.16
10Bet
1.14
1xBet
1.14
Marathonbet
1.11
-
+9.2%
Under 2.5 HT goals
89.8%
1.15
William Hil
1.18
Superbet
1.17
Bet365
1.17
Betano
1.16
BetVictor
1.14
+8.9%
Over 19.5 fouls
89.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 5.5 cards
89.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 4.5
89.0%
1.23
10Bet
1.28
Superbet
1.26
BetVictor
1.25
Betano
1.24
Unibet
1.24
+13.3%
Home under 1.5 HT goals
88.4%
1.12
10Bet
1.14
1xBet
1.14
Betano
1.12
Marathonbet
1.08
-
+5.5%
Away under 1.5 2H goals
87.3%
1.25
Betano
1.29
10Bet
1.25
1xBet
1.24
Marathonbet
1.23
-
+13.8%
Home under 1.5 2H goals
83.7%
1.23
1xBet
1.26
10Bet
1.25
Betano
1.23
Marathonbet
1.18
-
+8.6%
Under 2.5 2H goals
83.6%
1.31
Betano
1.34
Superbet
1.33
Bet365
1.33
1xBet
1.31
William Hil
1.30
+13.3%
Home under 2.5 goals
80.1%
1.20
Superbet
1.26
BetVictor
1.22
10Bet
1.22
1xBet
1.22
Bet365
1.20
+2.8%
Over 21.5 fouls
79.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home over 0.5 goals
78.4%
1.19
Betano
1.23
Pinnacle
1.22
Bet365
1.22
Marathonbet
1.21
Betfair
1.20
+0.2%
Under 4.5 cards
77.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home or Draw
77.0%
1.50
Betano
1.62
Betfair
1.62
Marathonbet
1.54
Bet365
1.53
10Bet
1.50
+14.7%
Home +1 handicap
77.0%
1.53
Betfair
1.57
Marathonbet
1.54
10Bet
1.50
Bet365
1.50
-
+18.1%
Under 11.5 corners
77.0%
1.35
1xBet
1.37
Marathonbet
1.34
-
-
-
+10.0%
Over 0.5 2H goals
76.4%
1.13
Betano
1.15
William Hil
1.15
Bet365
1.14
Superbet
1.13
Marathonbet
1.12
-5.5%
Under 3.5
75.5%
1.60
10Bet
1.67
1xBet
1.65
Superbet
1.65
Unibet
1.63
BetVictor
1.63
+17.0%
Away +2 handicap
74.3%
1.17
10Bet
1.20
Bet365
1.18
Betfair
1.17
Marathonbet
1.11
-
-1.9%
Over 1.5
72.7%
1.14
Pinnacle
1.17
10Bet
1.17
Bet365
1.17
Betano
1.17
Betfair
1.14
-9.2%
Home or Away
71.9%
1.25
William Hil
1.30
Bet365
1.28
Betano
1.28
Marathonbet
1.27
1xBet
1.26
-2.6%
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Osters IF · 2025/26
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Alibek Aliev24%
David Seger17%
Oscar Uddenäs12%
Vladimir Rodić12%
Daniel Ljung11%
Niklas Söderberg10%
Ivan Kričak8%
Magnus Christensen8%
Anssi Suhonen8%
Matias Tamminen5%
Dennis Olsson5%
Lukas Bergquist4%
Mattis Adolfsson4%
Sebastian Hedlund0%
Christian Kouakou0%
Tatu Varmanen0%
Daniel Ask0%
Albin Mörfelt0%
Noah Söderberg0%
Patriot Sejdiu0%
Robin Wallinder0%
Oskar Gabrielsson0%
Raymond Adjei0%
Joel Voelkerling Persson0%
Kingsley Gyamfi0%
Youssoupha Sanyang0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Youssoupha Sanyang50%
Sebastian Hedlund33%
Albin Mörfelt33%
Niklas Söderberg30%
Mattis Adolfsson26%
Daniel Ask25%
Ivan Kričak24%
Lukas Bergquist23%
Kingsley Gyamfi21%
Tatu Varmanen20%
Patriot Sejdiu20%
Vladimir Rodić18%
Anssi Suhonen15%
Oscar Uddenäs12%
Magnus Christensen12%
Noah Söderberg12%
Daniel Ljung11%
Matias Tamminen11%
Alibek Aliev10%
David Seger8%
Dennis Olsson5%
Christian Kouakou0%
Robin Wallinder0%
Oskar Gabrielsson0%
Raymond Adjei0%
Joel Voelkerling Persson0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
David Seger17%
Matias Tamminen16%
Dennis Olsson15%
Daniel Ljung11%
Patriot Sejdiu10%
Youssoupha Sanyang10%
Tatu Varmanen8%
Anssi Suhonen8%
Magnus Christensen4%
Lukas Bergquist4%
Mattis Adolfsson4%
Alibek Aliev3%
Sebastian Hedlund0%
Ivan Kričak0%
Christian Kouakou0%
Vladimir Rodić0%
Daniel Ask0%
Albin Mörfelt0%
Noah Söderberg0%
Robin Wallinder0%
Niklas Söderberg0%
Oscar Uddenäs0%
Oskar Gabrielsson0%
Raymond Adjei0%
Joel Voelkerling Persson0%
Kingsley Gyamfi0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Alibek Aliev17%
Niklas Söderberg10%
Anssi Suhonen8%
Oscar Uddenäs6%
Vladimir Rodić6%
Mattis Adolfsson4%
Magnus Christensen0%
Sebastian Hedlund0%
Ivan Kričak0%
Christian Kouakou0%
Matias Tamminen0%
Tatu Varmanen0%
Daniel Ask0%
Albin Mörfelt0%
Lukas Bergquist0%
David Seger0%
Noah Söderberg0%
Daniel Ljung0%
Dennis Olsson0%
Patriot Sejdiu0%
Robin Wallinder0%
Oskar Gabrielsson0%
Raymond Adjei0%
Joel Voelkerling Persson0%
Kingsley Gyamfi0%
Youssoupha Sanyang0%
United Nordic
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Kalipha Jawla50%
Lorent Mehmeti25%
Amar Eminovic25%
William Eskelinen0%
Elias Andersson0%
Niklas Söderberg0%
Teo Grönborg0%
Mohammad Fazal0%
Aziz Harabi0%
Shirko Shhab0%
Matteus Behnan0%
Christian Aphrem0%
Emanuel Swedi0%
Nhome Daneyl0%
Jonathan Gursac0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Mohammad Fazal33%
Shirko Shhab33%
Jonathan Gursac33%
Teo Grönborg25%
Lorent Mehmeti25%
Matteus Behnan25%
William Eskelinen0%
Elias Andersson0%
Niklas Söderberg0%
Aziz Harabi0%
Kalipha Jawla0%
Amar Eminovic0%
Christian Aphrem0%
Emanuel Swedi0%
Nhome Daneyl0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Christian Aphrem25%
William Eskelinen0%
Elias Andersson0%
Niklas Söderberg0%
Teo Grönborg0%
Mohammad Fazal0%
Aziz Harabi0%
Lorent Mehmeti0%
Kalipha Jawla0%
Amar Eminovic0%
Shirko Shhab0%
Matteus Behnan0%
Emanuel Swedi0%
Nhome Daneyl0%
Jonathan Gursac0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Teo Grönborg25%
Kalipha Jawla25%
William Eskelinen0%
Elias Andersson0%
Niklas Söderberg0%
Mohammad Fazal0%
Aziz Harabi0%
Lorent Mehmeti0%
Amar Eminovic0%
Shirko Shhab0%
Matteus Behnan0%
Christian Aphrem0%
Emanuel Swedi0%
Nhome Daneyl0%
Jonathan Gursac0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
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💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
IN (25)
€9m
HEL (25)
€7m
LB (20)
€6m
VBF (24)
€6m
FF (19)
€5m
OI (23)
€5m
ODD (23)
€5m
IV (21)
€5m
OS (23)
€5m
IB (23)
€5m
SAN (20)
€4m
GS (22)
€4m
OF (21)
€4m
LS (22)
€3m
UN (17)
€3m
NI (17)
€3m
Osters IF's squad is €2m more valuable than United Nordic's (€5m vs €3m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
IN (8)
€3m
IV (7)
€2m
HEL (8)
€2m
FF (8)
€2m
LB (5)
€2m
VBF (7)
€2m
OI (7)
€2m
ODD (6)
€1m
SAN (5)
€1m
OS (6)
€1m
GS (8)
€1m
NI (6)
€1m
LS (7)
€1m
IB (5)
€1m
OF (5)
€1m
UN (4)
€0m
Osters IF's attack is €1m more valuable than United Nordic's (€2m vs €0m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
IN (8)
€3m
HEL (7)
€2m
VBF (8)
€2m
LB (7)
€2m
OF (6)
€2m
OI (6)
€2m
IB (7)
€1m
ODD (7)
€1m
GS (5)
€1m
SAN (6)
€1m
OS (5)
€1m
LS (4)
€1m
UN (4)
€1m
IV (4)
€1m
FF (2)
€1m
NI (3)
€0m
Osters IF and United Nordic have a similar midfield value (both €2m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
IN (9)
€3m
FF (9)
€3m
OS (12)
€3m
ODD (10)
€3m
HEL (10)
€2m
LB (8)
€2m
IB (11)
€2m
VBF (9)
€2m
OI (10)
€2m
UN (9)
€2m
SAN (9)
€2m
IV (10)
€2m
OF (10)
€2m
GS (9)
€2m
LS (11)
€2m
NI (8)
€1m
Osters IF and United Nordic have a similar defence value (both €2m).
Sweden: Superettan 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Sweden: Superettan stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
IFK Norrkoping
Falkenbergs FF
Varbergs BoIS FC
Ostersunds FK
Landskrona BoIS
Oddevold
Sandviken
Helsingborg
Ljungskile SK
Norrby IF
IFK Varnamo
IK brage
Orebro SK
GIF Sundsvall