This opponent (Varbergs BoIS FC) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Varbergs BoIS FC
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.6
Avg scored
2.3
Avg conceded
1.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.57
1.60
1.33
1.47
1.80
1.73
vs Stronger (1)
1.00
2.00
1.00
2.00
-
-
vs Similar (28)
1.54
1.61
1.36
1.43
1.71
1.79
vs Weaker (1)
3.00
1.00
-
-
3.00
1.00
Clean sheet %
13% (-12pp vs league)
This opponent (Osters IF) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 3.3 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 3 (22%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
85.2%
Under 1.5
14.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
64.2%
Under 2.5
35.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
42.1%
Under 3.5
57.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
63.6%
No
36.4%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
10.5%
2-1
9.6%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
6.5%
1-0
6.5%
2-2
6.2%
1-2
6.1%
3-0
5.1%
Osters IF goals ↓
Varbergs BoIS FC goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
4.6%
3.7%
3.0%
1.3%
0.4%
1
6.5%
10%
6.1%
2.6%
0.8%
2
7.5%
9.6%
6.2%
2.6%
0.8%
3
5.1%
6.5%
4.2%
1.8%
0.6%
4
2.6%
3.3%
2.1%
0.9%
0.3%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Osters IF goals (down), columns = Varbergs BoIS FC goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Degerfors IF
1.83
Osters IF
1.80
Landskrona BoIS
1.63
Helsingborg
1.57
Stockholm Internazionale
1.50
Orgryte IS
1.47
Sandviken
1.43
Trelleborg
1.40
IK brage
1.37
Utsikten
1.37
Varbergs BoIS FC
1.30
Orebro SK
1.30
Oddevold
1.20
Ostersunds FK
1.19
GIF Sundsvall
1.16
Gefle IF
1.07
Skövde AIK
0.83
Lund
0.00
Osters IF is 0.50 points better than Varbergs BoIS FC in terms of average points per game (1.80 vs 1.30).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Osters IF
1.83
Degerfors IF
1.67
Orgryte IS
1.67
Sandviken
1.63
Landskrona BoIS
1.53
Varbergs BoIS FC
1.53
Helsingborg
1.37
Utsikten
1.30
Gefle IF
1.23
Orebro SK
1.23
Oddevold
1.13
Trelleborg
1.10
Ostersunds FK
1.09
IK brage
1.03
Stockholm Internazionale
1.00
Lund
1.00
GIF Sundsvall
0.97
Skövde AIK
0.87
Osters IF is 0.30 goals better than Varbergs BoIS FC in terms of goals scored per game (1.83 vs 1.53).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Degerfors IF
0.93
IK brage
0.97
Stockholm Internazionale
1.00
Osters IF
1.03
Landskrona BoIS
1.13
Helsingborg
1.13
Orebro SK
1.20
Utsikten
1.27
Trelleborg
1.27
GIF Sundsvall
1.31
Sandviken
1.37
Orgryte IS
1.43
Ostersunds FK
1.44
Varbergs BoIS FC
1.47
Oddevold
1.57
Skövde AIK
1.73
Gefle IF
1.80
Lund
2.50
Osters IF is 0.43 goals better than Varbergs BoIS FC in terms of goals conceded per game (1.03 vs 1.47).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
Landskrona BoIS
64%
Sandviken
61%
Osters IF
58%
Lund
56%
IK brage
55%
Orebro SK
51%
Ostersunds FK
51%
GIF Sundsvall
50%
Helsingborg
48%
Trelleborg
48%
Degerfors IF
47%
Skövde AIK
47%
Orgryte IS
47%
Gefle IF
46%
Utsikten
46%
Stockholm Internazionale
43%
Oddevold
43%
Varbergs BoIS FC
40%
Osters IF is 17.2 percentage points better than Varbergs BoIS FC in terms of average possession (58% vs 40%).
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Osters IF
For 7.6 · Against 3.8 · Total 11.4
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.1 · Against 1.9 · Total 4.0
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 12.9 · Against 14.4 · Total 27.3
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Varbergs BoIS FC
For 3.8 · Against 6.7 · Total 10.5
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.4 · Against 1.8 · Total 4.2
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 13.8 · Against 10.5 · Total 24.3
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Osters IF
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
11.2
9.9
12.3
3.1
2.7
3.4
26.1
25.6
26.5
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (44)
11.2
9.7
12.2
3.2
2.6
3.6
25.6
25.2
25.9
vs Weaker (6)
11.4
10.5
15.0
2.3
2.8
1.5
29.0
27.0
37.0
% over line
74%
56%
89%
46%
38%
54%
77%
75%
79%
% under line
26%
44%
11%
54%
62%
46%
23%
25%
21%
This opponent (Varbergs BoIS FC) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Varbergs BoIS FC
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
11.3
11.5
11.2
2.7
2.7
2.8
26.5
27.5
25.7
vs Stronger (13)
11.2
11.7
10.7
3.5
4.0
3.0
28.2
29.2
27.3
vs Similar (36)
11.5
11.4
11.5
2.6
2.2
2.9
25.6
26.5
24.8
vs Weaker (1)
-
-
-
0.0
-
0.0
-
-
-
% over line
66%
69%
63%
34%
38%
31%
83%
88%
79%
% under line
34%
31%
37%
66%
62%
69%
17%
12%
21%
This opponent (Osters IF) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Skövde AIK
11.1
Orgryte IS
11.1
Helsingborg
11.0
Osters IF
10.8
Varbergs BoIS FC
10.7
Landskrona BoIS
10.5
Trelleborg
10.5
Degerfors IF
10.5
Orebro SK
10.4
GIF Sundsvall
10.3
IK brage
10.3
Ostersunds FK
10.3
Utsikten
10.2
Gefle IF
9.6
Oddevold
9.0
Sandviken
8.6
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Utsikten
5.6
Osters IF
4.5
Gefle IF
4.3
Ostersunds FK
4.3
Orgryte IS
4.2
Varbergs BoIS FC
4.1
Helsingborg
4.1
Landskrona BoIS
4.1
Skövde AIK
4.0
Sandviken
3.9
Trelleborg
3.8
Orebro SK
3.7
Degerfors IF
3.6
Oddevold
3.5
IK brage
3.4
GIF Sundsvall
3.2
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Utsikten
29.3
Gefle IF
27.3
Varbergs BoIS FC
27.0
Skövde AIK
26.2
Ostersunds FK
25.4
Osters IF
25.2
Trelleborg
25.2
Sandviken
25.0
Helsingborg
24.7
Landskrona BoIS
24.3
IK brage
24.2
Orebro SK
24.0
Orgryte IS
23.2
Degerfors IF
23.0
GIF Sundsvall
20.7
Oddevold
19.5
Corners O/U 9.5
Over 9.5
54.1%
Under 9.5
45.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5
Over 3.5
54.2%
Under 3.5
45.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
73.4%
Under 21.5
26.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Osters IF
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.77
0.43
1.00
0.33
0.53
0.53
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (26)
0.81
0.50
1.08
0.42
0.57
0.57
vs Weaker (4)
0.50
0.00
0.67
0.00
0.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
63% (+38pp vs league)
This opponent (Varbergs BoIS FC) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Varbergs BoIS FC
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.57
0.70
0.47
0.80
0.67
0.60
vs Stronger (1)
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
-
-
vs Similar (28)
0.50
0.75
0.50
0.86
0.50
0.64
vs Weaker (1)
3.00
0.00
-
-
3.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
50% (+25pp vs league)
This opponent (Osters IF) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Osters IF over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Osters IF over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Osters IF over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Varbergs BoIS FC over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Varbergs BoIS FC over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Varbergs BoIS FC over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Osters IF
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.03
0.43
1.13
0.33
0.93
0.53
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (26)
0.88
0.50
0.92
0.42
0.86
0.57
vs Weaker (4)
2.00
0.00
2.00
0.00
2.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
60% (+35pp vs league)
This opponent (Varbergs BoIS FC) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Varbergs BoIS FC
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.1
Avg scored
1.5
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.00
0.90
0.87
0.67
1.13
1.13
vs Stronger (1)
1.00
2.00
1.00
2.00
-
-
vs Similar (28)
1.04
0.86
0.86
0.57
1.21
1.14
vs Weaker (1)
0.00
1.00
-
-
0.00
1.00
Clean sheet %
40% (+15pp vs league)
This opponent (Osters IF) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Osters IF over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Osters IF over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Osters IF over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Varbergs BoIS FC over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Varbergs BoIS FC over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Varbergs BoIS FC over/under 2.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 19.5 fouls
85.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 1.5
85.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 5.5 cards
80.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 2.5 cards
74.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 21.5 fouls
73.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Osters IF
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Alibek Aliev42%
Adam Bergmark Wiberg29%
Vladimir Rodić25%
Kevin Höög Jansson25%
David Seger25%
Theodor Johansson17%
Daniel Ljung15%
Albin Mörfelt8%
Lukas Bergquist7%
Þorri Mar Þórisson0%
Sebastian Hedlund0%
Ivan Kričak0%
Manasse Kusu0%
Tatu Varmanen0%
Martin Andersen0%
Robin Wallinder0%
Niklas Söderberg0%
Mattis Adolfsson0%
Raymond Adjei0%
Adam Herdonsson0%
Hannes Bladh-Pijaca0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Manasse Kusu44%
Mattis Adolfsson36%
Ivan Kričak31%
Alibek Aliev25%
Kevin Höög Jansson25%
Niklas Söderberg25%
Daniel Ljung15%
Sebastian Hedlund11%
Albin Mörfelt8%
Tatu Varmanen7%
Lukas Bergquist7%
Þorri Mar Þórisson0%
Adam Bergmark Wiberg0%
Vladimir Rodić0%
Martin Andersen0%
David Seger0%
Robin Wallinder0%
Theodor Johansson0%
Raymond Adjei0%
Adam Herdonsson0%
Hannes Bladh-Pijaca0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Adam Bergmark Wiberg50%
Martin Andersen25%
David Seger25%
Alibek Aliev17%
Lukas Bergquist14%
Manasse Kusu11%
Albin Mörfelt8%
Ivan Kričak8%
Þorri Mar Þórisson0%
Sebastian Hedlund0%
Vladimir Rodić0%
Tatu Varmanen0%
Kevin Höög Jansson0%
Daniel Ljung0%
Robin Wallinder0%
Niklas Söderberg0%
Theodor Johansson0%
Mattis Adolfsson0%
Raymond Adjei0%
Adam Herdonsson0%
Hannes Bladh-Pijaca0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Adam Bergmark Wiberg57%
Alibek Aliev42%
David Seger25%
Vladimir Rodić17%
Albin Mörfelt17%
Theodor Johansson17%
Daniel Ljung15%
Þorri Mar Þórisson0%
Sebastian Hedlund0%
Ivan Kričak0%
Manasse Kusu0%
Tatu Varmanen0%
Martin Andersen0%
Kevin Höög Jansson0%
Lukas Bergquist0%
Robin Wallinder0%
Niklas Söderberg0%
Mattis Adolfsson0%
Raymond Adjei0%
Adam Herdonsson0%
Hannes Bladh-Pijaca0%
Varbergs BoIS FC
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Jonas Alexander Johansson50%
Isak Bjerkebo33%
Kevin Appiah Nyarko29%
Aulon Bitiqi27%
Olle Edlund17%
Kevin Custovic17%
Anton Kurochkin17%
Gustav Broman14%
Leo Frigell Jansson12%
Marc Tokich0%
Diego Montiel0%
Hampus Zackrisson0%
Erion Sadiku0%
Fredrik Andersson0%
Robin Tranberg0%
Oskar Sverrisson0%
David Olsson0%
Niklas Dahlström0%
Emil Hellman0%
Liam Olausson0%
Oliver Alfonsi0%
Azeez Temitope Yusuf0%
Diego Alfonsi0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Gustav Broman43%
Hampus Zackrisson33%
Diego Alfonsi33%
Robin Tranberg30%
Kevin Appiah Nyarko29%
David Olsson25%
Oskar Sverrisson20%
Oliver Alfonsi20%
Diego Montiel17%
Olle Edlund17%
Kevin Custovic17%
Liam Olausson17%
Anton Kurochkin17%
Marc Tokich14%
Leo Frigell Jansson12%
Azeez Temitope Yusuf12%
Niklas Dahlström10%
Aulon Bitiqi9%
Erion Sadiku0%
Fredrik Andersson0%
Jonas Alexander Johansson0%
Emil Hellman0%
Isak Bjerkebo0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Diego Montiel33%
Erion Sadiku33%
Anton Kurochkin33%
Isak Bjerkebo25%
Azeez Temitope Yusuf12%
Robin Tranberg10%
Oskar Sverrisson10%
Marc Tokich0%
Hampus Zackrisson0%
Fredrik Andersson0%
Olle Edlund0%
Jonas Alexander Johansson0%
David Olsson0%
Kevin Custovic0%
Niklas Dahlström0%
Emil Hellman0%
Gustav Broman0%
Liam Olausson0%
Oliver Alfonsi0%
Leo Frigell Jansson0%
Diego Alfonsi0%
Kevin Appiah Nyarko0%
Aulon Bitiqi0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Jonas Alexander Johansson17%
Kevin Custovic17%
Isak Bjerkebo17%
Anton Kurochkin17%
Marc Tokich14%
Robin Tranberg10%
Diego Montiel0%
Hampus Zackrisson0%
Erion Sadiku0%
Fredrik Andersson0%
Olle Edlund0%
Oskar Sverrisson0%
David Olsson0%
Niklas Dahlström0%
Emil Hellman0%
Gustav Broman0%
Liam Olausson0%
Oliver Alfonsi0%
Leo Frigell Jansson0%
Azeez Temitope Yusuf0%
Diego Alfonsi0%
Kevin Appiah Nyarko0%
Aulon Bitiqi0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
OI (26)
€8m
HEL (25)
€7m
LB (20)
€6m
VBF (24)
€6m
DI (23)
€6m
OI (23)
€5m
ODD (23)
€5m
OS (23)
€5m
IB (23)
€5m
SAN (20)
€4m
GS (22)
€4m
OF (21)
€4m
Osters IF's squad is €1m less valuable than Varbergs BoIS FC's (€5m vs €6m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
OI (7)
€2m
HEL (8)
€2m
LB (5)
€2m
VBF (7)
€2m
OI (7)
€2m
ODD (6)
€1m
SAN (5)
€1m
OS (6)
€1m
GS (8)
€1m
DI (5)
€1m
IB (5)
€1m
OF (5)
€1m
Osters IF and Varbergs BoIS FC have a similar attack value (both €2m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
DI (7)
€3m
HEL (7)
€2m
VBF (8)
€2m
LB (7)
€2m
OI (7)
€2m
OF (6)
€2m
OI (6)
€2m
IB (7)
€1m
ODD (7)
€1m
GS (5)
€1m
SAN (6)
€1m
OS (5)
€1m
Osters IF and Varbergs BoIS FC have a similar midfield value (both €2m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
OI (12)
€4m
OS (12)
€3m
DI (11)
€3m
ODD (10)
€3m
HEL (10)
€2m
LB (8)
€2m
IB (11)
€2m
VBF (9)
€2m
OI (10)
€2m
SAN (9)
€2m
OF (10)
€2m
GS (9)
€2m
Osters IF and Varbergs BoIS FC have a similar defence value (both €2m).
Sweden: Superettan 2024/25 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Sweden: Superettan stats & trends →