The match between Ostersunds FK and Ljungskile SK is a tight one, with the model favouring a home win. The probabilities are 41 % for Ostersunds, 27 % for a draw, and 32 % for Ljungskile. The expected total is 2.9 goals, with the most likely total being two goals at 24 %. The single most probable scoreline is 1-1, with a 12.8 % chance. Ostersunds, playing at home against a similar-strength opponent, averages 1.67 goals scored and 0.92 conceded, while Ljungskile, on the road, averages 1.5 scored and 1.38 conceded. The model’s selections include Under 7.5 (99.1 %), Away under 2.5 HT goals (98.2 % with a 2 % edge), Home under 2.5 HT goals (97.7 % with a 6 % edge), Under 6.5 (97.2 % with a 2 % edge), Away under 2.5 2H goals (96.4 % with a 5 % edge), Away under 3.5 goals (95.3 % with a 1 % edge), Home under 2.5 2H goals (95.3 % with a 6 % edge), and Home under 3.5 goals (93.0 % with a 4 % edge). Both sides have shown resilience in recent form, making this a contest that could swing either way.
Results analysis
The 0-0 draw surprised everyone, especially after Ostersunds FK’s unbeaten run of five games and Ljungskile SK’s recent draw. The pre-match favourite was a home win with a 41 % probability, but the model’s call was wrong. The match finished as a draw, matching the model’s 27 % draw probability. The model’s selections all hit: Under 7.5 goals at 99.1 %, Away under 2.5 HT goals at 98.2 %, Home under 2.5 HT goals at 97.7 %, Under 6.5 goals at 97.2 %, Away under 2.5 2H goals at 96.4 %, Away under 3.5 goals at 95.3 %, Home under 2.5 2H goals at 95.3 %, and Home under 3.5 goals at 93.0 %. All eight picks were correct, confirming the model’s strong low-goal predictions.
🎯 1. Model Analysis
Ostersunds FK win✗ Miss
40.9%
Avg Implied 47.9% · @ 1.92
Edge
-7.0%
Best 5 market prices
Superbet
1.95
10Bet
1.95
SBO
1.95
Betano
1.95
Dafabet
1.94
Draw✓ Hit
27.1%
Avg Implied 26.1% · @ 3.52
Edge
+1.0%
Best 5 market prices
Pinnacle
3.79
Betfair
3.70
Marathonbet
3.62
1xBet
3.62
BetVictor
3.60
Ljungskile SK win✗ Miss
32.0%
Avg Implied 25.9% · @ 3.55
Edge
+6.0%
Best 5 market prices
Pinnacle
3.80
Dafabet
3.70
Marathonbet
3.65
1xBet
3.65
BetVictor
3.60
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
Ostersunds FK
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.1
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.37
1.33
1.71
1.21
1.06
1.44
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (30)
1.37
1.33
1.71
1.21
1.06
1.44
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
30% (+5pp vs league)
This opponent (Ljungskile SK) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Ljungskile SK
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.0
Avg scored
1.6
Avg conceded
1.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.40
1.35
1.40
1.50
1.40
1.20
vs Stronger (3)
2.00
1.67
1.00
2.00
4.00
1.00
vs Similar (16)
1.31
1.38
1.50
1.38
1.12
1.38
vs Weaker (1)
1.00
0.00
-
-
1.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
15% (-10pp vs league)
This opponent (Ostersunds FK) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.9 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (24%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
79.3%
@ 1.21+2.6%
Under 1.5
20.7%
@ 3.99-2.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
1.25
Betano
1.24
888Sport
1.22
Betfair
1.22
Bet365
1.22
Under
Pinnacle
4.26
Betfair
4.20
BetVictor
4.10
Bet365
4.00
10Bet
4.00
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
54.8%
@ 1.71-0.0%
Under 2.5
45.2%
@ 2.07+0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
1.75
SBO
1.74
Betfair
1.73
888Sport
1.73
Betano
1.72
Under
Pinnacle
2.14
SBO
2.11
Bet365
2.10
10Bet
2.10
Betfair
2.10
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
32.4%
@ 2.73-1.6%
Under 3.5
67.6%
@ 1.41+1.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
2.88
Betfair
2.88
Pinnacle
2.82
888Sport
2.80
BetVictor
2.75
Under
Bet365
1.44
Pinnacle
1.43
Betano
1.42
10Bet
1.42
Unibet
1.41
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
59.0%
@ 1.62+1.9%
No
41.0%
@ 2.16-1.9%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
Bet365
1.70
William Hil
1.67
Superbet
1.65
Betfair
1.65
Betano
1.62
No
Unibet
2.23
BetVictor
2.20
Betfair
2.20
888Sport
2.20
1xBet
2.19
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
12.8%@ 6.55+6.0%
2-1
8.9%@ 7.80+3.2%
1-2
7.8%@ 11.03+3.7%
1-0
7.5%@ 8.05+2.0%
0-0 ✓
6.8%@ 11.23+2.8%
2-0
6.7%@ 9.70+2.1%
0-1
6.4%@ 11.18+2.4%
2-2
6.0%@ 11.85+2.2%
Ostersunds FK goals ↓
Ljungskile SK goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
6.8%
6.4%
5.0%
2.2%
0.8%
1
7.5%
13%
7.8%
3.5%
1.2%
2
6.7%
8.9%
6.0%
2.7%
0.9%
3
3.4%
4.6%
3.1%
1.4%
0.5%
4
1.3%
1.8%
1.2%
0.5%
0.2%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Ostersunds FK goals (down), columns = Ljungskile SK goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
IFK Norrkoping
2.24
Falkenbergs FF
1.81
Varbergs BoIS FC
1.76
Ostersunds FK
1.67
Osters IF
1.57
United Nordic
1.52
Landskrona BoIS
1.48
Oddevold
1.38
Sandviken
1.29
Helsingborg
1.24
Ljungskile SK
1.14
Norrby IF
1.10
IFK Varnamo
1.05
IK brage
1.00
Orebro SK
0.95
GIF Sundsvall
0.62
Ostersunds FK is 0.52 points better than Ljungskile SK in terms of average points per game (1.67 vs 1.14).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Falkenbergs FF
1.95
IFK Norrkoping
1.95
Varbergs BoIS FC
1.81
IK brage
1.67
Sandviken
1.62
Oddevold
1.62
Helsingborg
1.62
United Nordic
1.52
Osters IF
1.52
Ostersunds FK
1.43
Ljungskile SK
1.29
Landskrona BoIS
1.29
Norrby IF
1.19
IFK Varnamo
1.19
Orebro SK
1.00
GIF Sundsvall
0.71
Ostersunds FK is 0.14 goals better than Ljungskile SK in terms of goals scored per game (1.43 vs 1.29).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
IFK Norrkoping
0.62
Landskrona BoIS
1.05
Ostersunds FK
1.10
Varbergs BoIS FC
1.29
Norrby IF
1.33
Ljungskile SK
1.33
United Nordic
1.43
Osters IF
1.43
Falkenbergs FF
1.43
Sandviken
1.48
Oddevold
1.48
Orebro SK
1.57
IFK Varnamo
1.81
Helsingborg
1.95
IK brage
2.00
GIF Sundsvall
2.10
Ostersunds FK is 0.24 goals better than Ljungskile SK in terms of goals conceded per game (1.10 vs 1.33).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
Landskrona BoIS
57%
Sandviken
55%
IFK Norrkoping
55%
IFK Varnamo
53%
Ostersunds FK
53%
Osters IF
50%
Orebro SK
50%
Falkenbergs FF
50%
Ljungskile SK
50%
Oddevold
50%
United Nordic
49%
IK brage
48%
Varbergs BoIS FC
47%
Helsingborg
44%
Norrby IF
44%
GIF Sundsvall
41%
Ostersunds FK is 3.3 percentage points better than Ljungskile SK in terms of average possession (53% vs 50%).
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Ostersunds FK
For 5.5 · Against 3.0 · Total 8.5
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.8 · Against 1.7 · Total 3.5
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 12.0 · Against 13.0 · Total 25.0
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Ljungskile SK
For 5.1 · Against 5.1 · Total 10.2
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.7 · Against 2.1 · Total 3.8
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 14.0 · Against 12.6 · Total 26.6
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Ostersunds FK
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.0
9.4
8.7
1.3
1.2
1.3
23.7
22.0
25.7
vs Stronger (1)
-
-
-
0.0
-
0.0
-
-
-
vs Similar (48)
9.0
9.4
8.7
1.3
1.3
1.4
23.7
22.0
25.7
vs Weaker (1)
-
-
-
0.0
0.0
-
-
-
-
% over line
43%
36%
50%
16%
17%
15%
73%
62%
86%
% under line
57%
64%
50%
84%
83%
85%
27%
38%
14%
This opponent (Ljungskile SK) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Ljungskile SK
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (20)
10.2
8.5
11.6
1.9
1.5
2.3
26.6
25.0
27.7
vs Stronger (3)
16.0
-
16.0
0.3
0.0
1.0
-
-
-
vs Similar (16)
9.5
8.5
10.5
2.3
1.9
2.8
26.6
25.0
27.7
vs Weaker (1)
-
-
-
0.0
-
0.0
-
-
-
% over line
56%
50%
60%
25%
20%
30%
100%
100%
100%
% under line
44%
50%
40%
75%
80%
70%
0%
0%
0%
This opponent (Ostersunds FK) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Osters IF
11.8
IFK Norrkoping
11.5
IFK Varnamo
11.0
Helsingborg
10.4
Landskrona BoIS
10.3
IK brage
10.3
Ljungskile SK
10.2
Varbergs BoIS FC
10.1
GIF Sundsvall
10.0
Sandviken
9.9
Oddevold
9.5
Ostersunds FK
9.4
Orebro SK
9.4
United Nordic
9.1
Norrby IF
9.0
Falkenbergs FF
8.8
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
IFK Norrkoping
4.2
Helsingborg
4.1
Landskrona BoIS
4.0
Osters IF
3.9
Ljungskile SK
3.8
Norrby IF
3.8
Varbergs BoIS FC
3.7
Orebro SK
3.7
IK brage
3.6
Ostersunds FK
3.4
IFK Varnamo
3.3
Sandviken
3.3
GIF Sundsvall
3.0
Oddevold
2.9
United Nordic
2.7
Falkenbergs FF
2.7
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
United Nordic
29.8
IFK Norrkoping
27.0
Ljungskile SK
26.6
Varbergs BoIS FC
26.6
Osters IF
25.2
Ostersunds FK
25.1
Norrby IF
24.3
Helsingborg
24.2
IK brage
24.1
Landskrona BoIS
23.9
Orebro SK
23.7
Sandviken
23.5
Falkenbergs FF
23.3
IFK Varnamo
22.8
Oddevold
21.4
GIF Sundsvall
21.1
Corners O/U 9.5
Over 9.5
53.8%
@ 1.54-6.2%
Under 9.5
46.2%
@ 2.31+6.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
1.58
Pinnacle
1.57
1xBet
1.56
Marathonbet
1.54
Unibet
1.50
Under
Betano
2.50
Unibet
2.35
Pinnacle
2.28
1xBet
2.26
Marathonbet
2.22
Cards O/U 3.5
Over 3.5
43.5%
Under 3.5
56.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
76.1%
Under 21.5
23.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Ostersunds FK or Draw✓ Hit
68.0%
Avg Implied 74.0% · @ 1.26
Edge
-5.9%
41%
27%
32%
covers Ostersunds FK + Draw
Best 5 market prices
Betano
1.30
888Sport
1.29
Betfair
1.29
Bet365
1.28
10Bet
1.28
Ostersunds FK or Ljungskile SK✗ Miss
72.9%
Avg Implied 74.3% · @ 1.26
Edge
-1.3%
41%
27%
32%
covers Ostersunds FK + Ljungskile SK
Best 5 market prices
888Sport
1.30
William Hil
1.30
Bet365
1.28
Betano
1.27
Superbet
1.26
Draw or Ljungskile SK✓ Hit
59.1%
Avg Implied 51.8% · @ 1.80
Edge
+7.3%
41%
27%
32%
covers Draw + Ljungskile SK
Best 5 market prices
SBO
1.86
Betano
1.85
Betfair
1.83
Marathonbet
1.82
1xBet
1.82
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
Home & Away Over/Under
How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Ostersunds FK over/under 0.5Actual: Under
Over
78.5%
@ 1.16-1.3%
Under
21.5%
@ 4.60+1.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.19
Bet365
1.18
Superbet
1.17
10Bet
1.17
888Sport
1.17
Under
Betfair
5.00
BetVictor
4.75
1xBet
4.70
888Sport
4.60
10Bet
4.50
Ostersunds FK over/under 1.5Actual: Under
Over
45.4%
@ 1.83-5.3%
Under
54.6%
@ 1.88+5.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
888Sport
1.85
Betano
1.85
10Bet
1.85
Superbet
1.85
Pinnacle
1.84
Under
Pinnacle
1.96
Marathonbet
1.92
Betfair
1.91
BetVictor
1.90
Betano
1.90
Ostersunds FK over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
20.0%
@ 3.59-5.8%
Under
80.0%
@ 1.25+5.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
888Sport
3.80
Bet365
3.75
10Bet
3.70
Pinnacle
3.69
Superbet
3.65
Under
1xBet
1.30
Pinnacle
1.27
Betano
1.27
Marathonbet
1.25
BetVictor
1.25
Ostersunds FK over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
7.0%
@ 8.16-4.5%
Under
93.0%
@ 1.07+4.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
10.00
888Sport
9.00
Betfair
8.00
Betano
7.00
1xBet
6.80
Under
Betano
1.08
1xBet
1.07
888Sport
1.06
Bet365
1.06
Betfair
1.06
Ljungskile SK over/under 0.5Actual: Under
Over
73.7%
@ 1.36+5.5%
Under
26.3%
@ 2.92-5.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
1.40
1xBet
1.40
Superbet
1.37
Betano
1.37
Pinnacle
1.36
Under
Pinnacle
3.05
888Sport
3.00
BetVictor
3.00
Betfair
3.00
10Bet
2.95
Ljungskile SK over/under 1.5Actual: Under
Over
38.6%
@ 2.73+4.6%
Under
61.4%
@ 1.41-4.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.91
Superbet
2.77
Marathonbet
2.77
BetVictor
2.75
Betfair
2.75
Under
Unibet
1.43
Betano
1.42
10Bet
1.42
Pinnacle
1.41
BetVictor
1.40
Ljungskile SK over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
15.1%
@ 6.73+1.3%
Under
84.9%
@ 1.08-1.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
8.00
888Sport
7.00
Marathonbet
6.85
1xBet
6.60
Betfair
6.50
Under
Betano
1.10
BetVictor
1.08
Superbet
1.08
Betfair
1.08
1xBet
1.08
Ljungskile SK over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
4.7%
@ 17.75-0.7%
Under
95.3%
@ 1.01+0.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
888Sport
21.00
Bet365
21.00
Betano
11.25
Under
Betano
1.02
888Sport
1.01
Bet365
1.01
⚖️ 7. Handicap
Handicap
The handicap is applied to Ostersunds FK, so a minus line means Ostersunds FK give that many goals of a start and Ljungskile SK receive them. At -1, Ostersunds FK must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Ostersunds FK win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Ostersunds FK)Actual: Ljungskile SK
Ostersunds FK -2
8.3%
@ 7.16-4.2%
Draw -2
12.6%
@ 5.46-3.8%
Ljungskile SK +2
79.1%
@ 1.26+8.1%
Best 5 market prices
Home
10Bet
7.50
Bet365
7.50
Betfair
7.50
Unibet
6.75
Marathonbet
6.55
Draw
Marathonbet
5.60
Betfair
5.50
10Bet
5.50
Bet365
5.50
Unibet
5.20
Away
Bet365
1.28
Unibet
1.26
Marathonbet
1.26
Betfair
1.25
10Bet
1.25
Handicap -1 (Ostersunds FK)Actual: Ljungskile SK
Ostersunds FK -1
20.9%
@ 3.37-5.7%
Draw -1
20.1%
@ 3.75-3.8%
Ljungskile SK +1
59.1%
@ 1.80+9.4%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
3.50
10Bet
3.45
Betfair
3.40
Unibet
3.30
Marathonbet
3.20
Draw
Bet365
4.00
Betfair
3.75
Marathonbet
3.74
10Bet
3.65
Unibet
3.60
Away
Marathonbet
1.82
Bet365
1.80
Betfair
1.80
10Bet
1.80
Unibet
1.78
Handicap +1 (Ostersunds FK)Actual: Ostersunds FK
Ostersunds FK +1
68.0%
@ 1.27-2.5%
Draw +1
17.3%
@ 5.20+0.1%
Ljungskile SK -1
14.7%
@ 7.34+2.5%
Best 5 market prices
Home
10Bet
1.28
Bet365
1.28
Unibet
1.27
Marathonbet
1.25
Draw
Bet365
5.50
Marathonbet
5.40
10Bet
5.00
Unibet
4.90
Away
Bet365
8.00
Marathonbet
7.60
10Bet
7.00
Unibet
6.75
Handicap +2 (Ostersunds FK)Actual: Ostersunds FK
Ostersunds FK +2
85.3%
@ 1.07-1.8%
Draw +2
9.5%
@ 11.00+1.1%
Ljungskile SK -2
5.1%
@ 21.00+0.7%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
1.07
Draw
Bet365
11.00
Away
Bet365
21.00
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Ostersunds FK
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.6
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
0.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.53
0.53
0.86
0.43
0.25
0.62
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (30)
0.53
0.53
0.86
0.43
0.25
0.62
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
60% (+35pp vs league)
This opponent (Ljungskile SK) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Ljungskile SK
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.50
0.55
0.60
0.80
0.40
0.30
vs Stronger (3)
1.00
1.00
1.00
1.50
1.00
0.00
vs Similar (16)
0.44
0.50
0.50
0.62
0.38
0.38
vs Weaker (1)
0.00
0.00
-
-
0.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
60% (+35pp vs league)
This opponent (Ostersunds FK) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
68.4%
@ 1.32-1.8%
Under 0.5
31.6%
@ 3.12+1.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.37
BetVictor
1.34
Bet365
1.33
Pinnacle
1.33
Marathonbet
1.32
Under
Betfair
3.30
Pinnacle
3.27
Bet365
3.25
10Bet
3.20
Superbet
3.10
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
34.9%
@ 2.50-2.1%
Under 1.5
65.1%
@ 1.47+2.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
2.62
Pinnacle
2.59
Betano
2.57
Betfair
2.55
William Hil
2.50
Under
10Bet
1.50
Pinnacle
1.50
Unibet
1.49
BetVictor
1.48
1xBet
1.47
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
12.4%
@ 6.00-3.1%
Under 2.5
87.6%
@ 1.09+3.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
6.50
BetVictor
6.50
Betfair
6.50
William Hil
6.00
Marathonbet
5.75
Under
Betano
1.12
Bet365
1.11
Superbet
1.11
William Hil
1.11
BetVictor
1.08
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Ostersunds FK over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
47.6%
@ 1.75-5.6%
Under
52.4%
@ 1.98+5.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.80
Pinnacle
1.78
10Bet
1.77
Superbet
1.75
Marathonbet
1.74
Under
1xBet
2.10
Pinnacle
2.03
Unibet
1.98
Superbet
1.97
10Bet
1.95
Ostersunds FK over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
12.5%
@ 4.80-6.8%
Under
87.5%
@ 1.15+6.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
5.00
Marathonbet
4.90
10Bet
4.75
Betano
4.55
Under
Betano
1.16
10Bet
1.15
1xBet
1.14
Marathonbet
1.14
Ostersunds FK over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
2.3%
@ 11.25-6.1%
Under
97.7%
@ 1.02+6.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
13.00
Betano
9.50
Under
Betano
1.03
10Bet
1.02
Ljungskile SK over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
42.6%
@ 2.24+1.3%
Under
57.4%
@ 1.58-1.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.33
Superbet
2.30
Betano
2.27
Marathonbet
2.26
1xBet
2.25
Under
10Bet
1.62
Pinnacle
1.60
Unibet
1.60
Betano
1.57
1xBet
1.57
Ljungskile SK over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
11.0%
@ 7.38-1.6%
Under
89.0%
@ 1.06+1.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
8.30
1xBet
7.50
10Bet
7.00
Betano
6.70
Under
Betano
1.07
10Bet
1.07
1xBet
1.06
Marathonbet
1.04
Ljungskile SK over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
1.8%
@ 29.00-1.5%
Under
98.2%
@ 1.01+1.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
29.00
Under
10Bet
1.01
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Ostersunds FK
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.83
0.80
0.86
0.79
0.81
0.81
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (30)
0.83
0.80
0.86
0.79
0.81
0.81
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
47% (+21pp vs league)
This opponent (Ljungskile SK) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Ljungskile SK
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.90
0.80
0.80
0.70
1.00
0.90
vs Stronger (3)
1.00
0.67
0.00
0.50
3.00
1.00
vs Similar (16)
0.88
0.88
1.00
0.75
0.75
1.00
vs Weaker (1)
1.00
0.00
-
-
1.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
40% (+15pp vs league)
This opponent (Ostersunds FK) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
77.7%
@ 1.19-0.3%
Under 0.5
22.3%
@ 4.20+0.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.20
William Hil
1.20
Bet365
1.20
Superbet
1.19
Marathonbet
1.16
Under
1xBet
4.33
Bet365
4.33
Marathonbet
4.33
Superbet
4.10
Betano
4.10
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
45.3%
@ 1.92-2.9%
Under 1.5
54.7%
@ 1.79+2.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
2.00
Superbet
1.95
William Hil
1.95
1xBet
1.90
Marathonbet
1.90
Under
Betano
1.83
1xBet
1.83
Marathonbet
1.83
Unibet
1.81
Superbet
1.77
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
19.2%
@ 3.80-5.1%
Under 2.5
80.8%
@ 1.22+5.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
4.00
William Hil
4.00
Superbet
3.90
Marathonbet
3.68
1xBet
3.68
Under
Betano
1.25
Bet365
1.22
Superbet
1.22
Marathonbet
1.21
1xBet
1.21
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Ostersunds FK over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
55.2%
@ 1.53-5.4%
Under
44.8%
@ 2.35+5.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
1.55
Betano
1.52
1xBet
1.51
Under
1xBet
2.38
Betano
2.37
Superbet
2.30
Ostersunds FK over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
18.4%
@ 3.37-9.1%
Under
81.6%
@ 1.27+9.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
3.40
1xBet
3.40
Betano
3.30
Under
Betano
1.29
Marathonbet
1.27
1xBet
1.26
Ostersunds FK over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
4.7%
@ 8.40-6.3%
Under
95.3%
@ 1.03+6.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
9.50
Betano
7.30
Under
Betano
1.06
1xBet
1.01
Ljungskile SK over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
50.3%
@ 1.90+1.7%
Under
49.7%
@ 1.80-1.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.94
Superbet
1.92
Marathonbet
1.88
Betano
1.85
Under
Betano
1.85
Marathonbet
1.80
Superbet
1.78
1xBet
1.77
Ljungskile SK over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
16.4%
@ 5.50-0.3%
Under
83.6%
@ 1.11+0.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
5.80
1xBet
5.80
Betano
4.90
Under
Betano
1.14
Marathonbet
1.10
1xBet
1.09
Ljungskile SK over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
3.6%
@ 10.00-5.6%
Under
96.4%
@ 1.02+5.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
10.00
Under
Betano
1.02
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Under 7.5
99.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 HT goals
98.2%
1.01
10Bet
1.01
-
-
-
-
+1.5%
✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 HT goals
97.7%
1.02
Betano
1.03
10Bet
1.02
-
-
-
+6.1%
✓ Hit
Under 6.5
97.2%
1.01
Betano
1.02
Bet365
1.01
1xBet
1.01
-
-
+2.7%
✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 2H goals
96.4%
1.02
Betano
1.02
-
-
-
-
+5.6%
✓ Hit
Away under 3.5 goals
95.3%
1.01
Betano
1.02
888Sport
1.01
Bet365
1.01
-
-
+0.7%
✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 2H goals
95.3%
1.03
Betano
1.06
1xBet
1.01
-
-
-
+6.3%
✓ Hit
Home under 3.5 goals
93.0%
1.07
Betano
1.08
1xBet
1.07
888Sport
1.06
Bet365
1.06
Betfair
1.06
+4.5%
✓ Hit
Under 5.5
92.8%
1.04
Betano
1.06
Bet365
1.05
888Sport
1.05
Betfair
1.04
BetVictor
1.02
+2.7%
✓ Hit
Away under 1.5 HT goals
89.0%
1.06
Betano
1.07
10Bet
1.07
1xBet
1.06
Marathonbet
1.04
-
+1.6%
✓ Hit
Under 2.5 HT goals
87.6%
1.09
Betano
1.12
Bet365
1.11
Superbet
1.11
William Hil
1.11
BetVictor
1.08
+3.1%
✓ Hit
Home under 1.5 HT goals
87.5%
1.15
Betano
1.16
10Bet
1.15
1xBet
1.14
Marathonbet
1.14
-
+6.8%
✓ Hit
Under 5.5 cards
87.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 19.5 fouls
87.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home +2 handicap
85.3%
1.07
Bet365
1.07
-
-
-
-
-1.8%
✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 goals
84.9%
1.08
Betano
1.10
BetVictor
1.08
Superbet
1.08
Betfair
1.08
1xBet
1.08
-1.3%
✓ Hit
Under 4.5
83.6%
1.14
10Bet
1.17
Bet365
1.17
Pinnacle
1.16
Betano
1.16
Unibet
1.14
+2.2%
✓ Hit
Away under 1.5 2H goals
83.6%
1.11
Betano
1.14
Marathonbet
1.10
1xBet
1.09
-
-
+0.3%
✓ Hit
Home under 1.5 2H goals
81.6%
1.27
Betano
1.29
Marathonbet
1.27
1xBet
1.26
-
-
+9.1%
✓ Hit
Under 2.5 2H goals
80.8%
1.22
Betano
1.25
Bet365
1.22
Superbet
1.22
Marathonbet
1.21
1xBet
1.21
+5.1%
✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 goals
80.0%
1.25
1xBet
1.30
Pinnacle
1.27
Betano
1.27
Marathonbet
1.25
BetVictor
1.25
+5.8%
✓ Hit
Over 1.5
79.3%
1.21
10Bet
1.25
Betano
1.24
888Sport
1.22
Betfair
1.22
Bet365
1.22
+2.6%
✗ Miss
Away +2 handicap
79.1%
1.26
Bet365
1.28
Unibet
1.26
Marathonbet
1.26
Betfair
1.25
10Bet
1.25
+8.1%
✓ Hit
Home over 0.5 goals
78.5%
1.16
Betano
1.19
Bet365
1.18
Superbet
1.17
10Bet
1.17
888Sport
1.17
-1.3%
✗ Miss
Over 0.5 2H goals
77.7%
1.19
Betano
1.20
William Hil
1.20
Bet365
1.20
Superbet
1.19
Marathonbet
1.16
-0.3%
✗ Miss
Over 21.5 fouls
76.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 4.5 cards
75.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away over 0.5 goals
73.7%
1.36
Bet365
1.40
1xBet
1.40
Superbet
1.37
Betano
1.37
Pinnacle
1.36
+5.5%
✗ Miss
Home or Away
72.9%
1.26
888Sport
1.30
William Hil
1.30
Bet365
1.28
Betano
1.27
Superbet
1.26
-1.3%
✗ Miss
Under 11.5 corners
70.1%
1.51
Unibet
1.57
Betano
1.55
Superbet
1.54
Pinnacle
1.50
1xBet
1.48
+9.2%
-
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Ostersunds FK
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Emil Özkan33%
Curtis Edwards0%
Dennis Widgren0%
Daniel Miljanovic0%
Simon Marklund0%
Amar Begić0%
Abel Stensrud0%
Yannick Adjoumani0%
Melker Uppenberg0%
Edgar Sarkis Navassardian0%
Hugo Azzi0%
Sunday Anyanwu0%
Mario Palomino Delgado0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Hugo Azzi67%
Daniel Miljanovic33%
Abel Stensrud33%
Emil Özkan33%
Sunday Anyanwu33%
Curtis Edwards0%
Dennis Widgren0%
Simon Marklund0%
Amar Begić0%
Yannick Adjoumani0%
Melker Uppenberg0%
Edgar Sarkis Navassardian0%
Mario Palomino Delgado0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Simon Marklund33%
Curtis Edwards0%
Dennis Widgren0%
Daniel Miljanovic0%
Amar Begić0%
Abel Stensrud0%
Yannick Adjoumani0%
Emil Özkan0%
Melker Uppenberg0%
Edgar Sarkis Navassardian0%
Hugo Azzi0%
Sunday Anyanwu0%
Mario Palomino Delgado0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Curtis Edwards0%
Dennis Widgren0%
Daniel Miljanovic0%
Simon Marklund0%
Amar Begić0%
Abel Stensrud0%
Yannick Adjoumani0%
Emil Özkan0%
Melker Uppenberg0%
Edgar Sarkis Navassardian0%
Hugo Azzi0%
Sunday Anyanwu0%
Mario Palomino Delgado0%
Ljungskile SK
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Mehmet Uzel33%
Jonathan Liljedahl33%
Isaac Shears25%
Gideon Mensah20%
Filip Ambroz20%
Lukas Lindholm Corner20%
Daniel Ljung0%
David Frisk0%
William Nilsson0%
Issaka Seidu0%
Alfons Boren0%
Ivan Marić0%
Emilio Reljanovic0%
Hugo Borstam0%
Daniel Lagerlöf0%
Shakur Omar0%
Lukas Eriksson0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Daniel Lagerlöf40%
William Nilsson33%
Daniel Ljung25%
Isaac Shears25%
Gideon Mensah20%
Lukas Lindholm Corner20%
Issaka Seidu20%
Ivan Marić20%
David Frisk0%
Filip Ambroz0%
Mehmet Uzel0%
Alfons Boren0%
Jonathan Liljedahl0%
Emilio Reljanovic0%
Hugo Borstam0%
Shakur Omar0%
Lukas Eriksson0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Daniel Ljung25%
Filip Ambroz20%
Lukas Lindholm Corner20%
Daniel Lagerlöf20%
Lukas Eriksson20%
Gideon Mensah0%
David Frisk0%
Isaac Shears0%
William Nilsson0%
Mehmet Uzel0%
Issaka Seidu0%
Alfons Boren0%
Ivan Marić0%
Jonathan Liljedahl0%
Emilio Reljanovic0%
Hugo Borstam0%
Shakur Omar0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Isaac Shears50%
Lukas Lindholm Corner40%
Gideon Mensah20%
Daniel Lagerlöf20%
Daniel Ljung0%
David Frisk0%
Filip Ambroz0%
William Nilsson0%
Mehmet Uzel0%
Issaka Seidu0%
Alfons Boren0%
Ivan Marić0%
Jonathan Liljedahl0%
Emilio Reljanovic0%
Hugo Borstam0%
Shakur Omar0%
Lukas Eriksson0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
IN (25)
€9m
HEL (25)
€7m
LB (20)
€6m
VBF (24)
€6m
FF (19)
€5m
OI (23)
€5m
ODD (23)
€5m
IV (21)
€5m
OS (23)
€5m
IB (23)
€5m
SAN (20)
€4m
GS (22)
€4m
OF (21)
€4m
LS (22)
€3m
UN (17)
€3m
NI (17)
€3m
Ostersunds FK and Ljungskile SK have a similar squad value (both €4m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
IN (8)
€3m
IV (7)
€2m
HEL (8)
€2m
FF (8)
€2m
LB (5)
€2m
VBF (7)
€2m
OI (7)
€2m
ODD (6)
€1m
SAN (5)
€1m
OS (6)
€1m
GS (8)
€1m
NI (6)
€1m
LS (7)
€1m
IB (5)
€1m
OF (5)
€1m
UN (4)
€0m
Ostersunds FK and Ljungskile SK have a similar attack value (both €1m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
IN (8)
€3m
HEL (7)
€2m
VBF (8)
€2m
LB (7)
€2m
OF (6)
€2m
OI (6)
€2m
IB (7)
€1m
ODD (7)
€1m
GS (5)
€1m
SAN (6)
€1m
OS (5)
€1m
LS (4)
€1m
UN (4)
€1m
IV (4)
€1m
FF (2)
€1m
NI (3)
€0m
Ostersunds FK and Ljungskile SK have a similar midfield value (both €2m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
IN (9)
€3m
FF (9)
€3m
OS (12)
€3m
ODD (10)
€3m
HEL (10)
€2m
LB (8)
€2m
IB (11)
€2m
VBF (9)
€2m
OI (10)
€2m
UN (9)
€2m
SAN (9)
€2m
IV (10)
€2m
OF (10)
€2m
GS (9)
€2m
LS (11)
€2m
NI (8)
€1m
Ostersunds FK and Ljungskile SK have a similar defence value (both €2m).
Sweden: Superettan 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Sweden: Superettan stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
IFK Norrkoping
Falkenbergs FF
Varbergs BoIS FC
Osters IF
United Nordic
Landskrona BoIS
Oddevold
Sandviken
Helsingborg
Norrby IF
IFK Varnamo
IK brage
Orebro SK
GIF Sundsvall