This opponent (Orebro SK) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Orebro SK
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.2
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
1.1
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.00
1.18
1.00
1.08
1.00
1.30
vs Stronger (5)
1.00
1.60
1.00
1.50
1.00
1.67
vs Similar (17)
1.00
1.06
1.00
1.00
1.00
1.14
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
32% (+7pp vs league)
This opponent (Ostersunds FK) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.7 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (26%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
75.6%
Under 1.5
24.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
49.6%
Under 2.5
50.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
27.7%
Under 3.5
72.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
55.2%
No
44.8%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
13.6%
1-2
8.5%
0-1
8.4%
0-0
8.2%
2-1
7.9%
1-0
7.8%
0-2
6.6%
2-0 ✓
5.8%
Ostersunds FK goals ↓
Orebro SK goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
8.2%
8.4%
6.6%
3.0%
1.0%
1
7.8%
14%
8.5%
3.9%
1.3%
2
5.8%
7.9%
5.5%
2.5%
0.9%
3
2.5%
3.4%
2.3%
1.1%
0.4%
4
0.8%
1.1%
0.7%
0.3%
0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Ostersunds FK goals (down), columns = Orebro SK goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
IF Brommapojkarna
2.07
Halmstad
1.87
Osters IF
1.60
Sandviken
1.50
Trelleborg
1.50
Skövde AIK
1.47
Landskrona BoIS
1.47
IK brage
1.40
AFC Eskilstuna
1.33
Vasteras SK FK
1.33
Utsikten
1.23
Orebro SK
1.23
Jonkopings Sodra
1.20
Orgryte IS
1.19
Ostersunds FK
1.09
Norrby IF
1.03
Dalkurd FF
0.97
Falkenbergs FF
0.50
Ostersunds FK is 0.14 points worse than Orebro SK in terms of average points per game (1.09 vs 1.23).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
IF Brommapojkarna
2.13
Halmstad
1.90
Vasteras SK FK
1.67
AFC Eskilstuna
1.60
Osters IF
1.57
Trelleborg
1.53
Orgryte IS
1.53
Sandviken
1.50
IK brage
1.47
Jonkopings Sodra
1.37
Skövde AIK
1.33
Landskrona BoIS
1.33
Utsikten
1.33
Dalkurd FF
1.23
Norrby IF
1.10
Orebro SK
1.10
Ostersunds FK
1.09
Falkenbergs FF
0.50
Ostersunds FK is 0.01 goals worse than Orebro SK in terms of goals scored per game (1.09 vs 1.10).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Halmstad
1.07
Osters IF
1.17
Orebro SK
1.27
Skövde AIK
1.30
IF Brommapojkarna
1.33
IK brage
1.33
Landskrona BoIS
1.40
Ostersunds FK
1.41
Orgryte IS
1.47
Falkenbergs FF
1.50
AFC Eskilstuna
1.53
Utsikten
1.53
Norrby IF
1.57
Vasteras SK FK
1.63
Trelleborg
1.63
Jonkopings Sodra
1.70
Dalkurd FF
1.83
Sandviken
2.00
Ostersunds FK is 0.14 goals worse than Orebro SK in terms of goals conceded per game (1.41 vs 1.27).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
Utsikten
54%
Trelleborg
53%
Landskrona BoIS
52%
Vasteras SK FK
52%
Ostersunds FK
52%
Dalkurd FF
51%
Osters IF
51%
AFC Eskilstuna
51%
IF Brommapojkarna
51%
Jonkopings Sodra
50%
IK brage
49%
Halmstad
48%
Orebro SK
48%
Skövde AIK
48%
Norrby IF
47%
Orgryte IS
43%
Ostersunds FK is 3.1 percentage points better than Orebro SK in terms of average possession (52% vs 48%).
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Ostersunds FK
For 5.0 · Against 5.9 · Total 10.9
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.4 · Against 2.3 · Total 4.7
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 11.8 · Against 14.3 · Total 26.1
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Orebro SK
For 6.4 · Against 4.7 · Total 11.1
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.3 · Against 2.7 · Total 5.0
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 14.0 · Against 13.2 · Total 27.2
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Ostersunds FK
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (22)
10.6
12.0
9.6
3.8
3.6
4.0
26.5
26.7
26.4
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (22)
10.6
12.0
9.6
3.8
3.6
4.0
26.5
26.7
26.4
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
67%
71%
64%
55%
50%
58%
80%
86%
75%
% under line
33%
29%
36%
45%
50%
42%
20%
14%
25%
This opponent (Orebro SK) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Orebro SK
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (22)
11.1
11.4
10.8
3.8
3.9
3.6
24.8
26.4
22.2
vs Stronger (5)
9.2
7.0
11.5
4.4
7.0
2.7
21.8
27.0
16.5
vs Similar (17)
11.6
12.5
10.5
3.6
3.3
4.0
25.8
26.2
25.0
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
67%
60%
75%
50%
42%
60%
69%
80%
50%
% under line
33%
40%
25%
50%
58%
40%
31%
20%
50%
This opponent (Ostersunds FK) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Dalkurd FF
11.9
Halmstad
11.4
Vasteras SK FK
11.1
Orebro SK
11.1
Skövde AIK
10.8
Utsikten
10.8
Landskrona BoIS
10.6
Ostersunds FK
10.6
Trelleborg
10.4
Orgryte IS
10.3
Osters IF
10.2
Norrby IF
10.0
IF Brommapojkarna
9.8
AFC Eskilstuna
9.4
Jonkopings Sodra
9.1
IK brage
7.9
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Utsikten
5.6
Osters IF
4.8
Ostersunds FK
4.7
Orebro SK
4.6
Norrby IF
4.4
Trelleborg
4.4
AFC Eskilstuna
4.3
Orgryte IS
4.3
Jonkopings Sodra
3.9
Landskrona BoIS
3.8
Dalkurd FF
3.8
IK brage
3.7
Vasteras SK FK
3.5
IF Brommapojkarna
3.5
Skövde AIK
3.3
Halmstad
3.0
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Utsikten
29.5
Trelleborg
27.6
Orgryte IS
27.3
AFC Eskilstuna
26.9
Ostersunds FK
26.5
IK brage
26.5
Osters IF
26.3
Skövde AIK
26.2
Jonkopings Sodra
25.9
Landskrona BoIS
25.5
Orebro SK
24.8
Norrby IF
24.4
IF Brommapojkarna
24.2
Dalkurd FF
23.9
Halmstad
22.7
Vasteras SK FK
21.9
Corners O/U 9.5
Over 9.5
64.6%
Under 9.5
35.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5
Over 3.5
69.1%
Under 3.5
30.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
77.5%
Under 21.5
22.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Ostersunds FK
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.50
0.45
0.60
0.40
0.42
0.50
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (22)
0.50
0.45
0.60
0.40
0.42
0.50
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
55% (+29pp vs league)
This opponent (Orebro SK) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Orebro SK
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.45
0.77
0.25
0.67
0.70
0.90
vs Stronger (5)
0.60
0.80
0.50
0.50
0.67
1.00
vs Similar (17)
0.41
0.76
0.20
0.70
0.71
0.86
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
41% (+16pp vs league)
This opponent (Ostersunds FK) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Ostersunds FK over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ostersunds FK over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ostersunds FK over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Orebro SK over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Orebro SK over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Orebro SK over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Ostersunds FK
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
1.0
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.50
1.27
0.70
1.30
0.33
1.25
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (22)
0.50
1.27
0.70
1.30
0.33
1.25
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
14% (-12pp vs league)
This opponent (Orebro SK) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Orebro SK
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.9
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.55
0.41
0.75
0.42
0.30
0.40
vs Stronger (5)
0.40
0.80
0.50
1.00
0.33
0.67
vs Similar (17)
0.59
0.29
0.80
0.30
0.29
0.29
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
59% (+34pp vs league)
This opponent (Ostersunds FK) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Ostersunds FK over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ostersunds FK over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ostersunds FK over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Orebro SK over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Orebro SK over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Orebro SK over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 19.5 fouls
88.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 2.5 cards
84.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 21.5 fouls
77.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 8.5 corners
75.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 1.5
75.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 3.5
72.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Ostersunds FK · 2026/27
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Emil Özkan33%
Curtis Edwards0%
Dennis Widgren0%
Daniel Miljanovic0%
Simon Marklund0%
Amar Begić0%
Abel Stensrud0%
Yannick Adjoumani0%
Melker Uppenberg0%
Edgar Sarkis Navassardian0%
Hugo Azzi0%
Sunday Anyanwu0%
Mario Palomino Delgado0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Hugo Azzi67%
Daniel Miljanovic33%
Abel Stensrud33%
Emil Özkan33%
Sunday Anyanwu33%
Curtis Edwards0%
Dennis Widgren0%
Simon Marklund0%
Amar Begić0%
Yannick Adjoumani0%
Melker Uppenberg0%
Edgar Sarkis Navassardian0%
Mario Palomino Delgado0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Simon Marklund33%
Curtis Edwards0%
Dennis Widgren0%
Daniel Miljanovic0%
Amar Begić0%
Abel Stensrud0%
Yannick Adjoumani0%
Emil Özkan0%
Melker Uppenberg0%
Edgar Sarkis Navassardian0%
Hugo Azzi0%
Sunday Anyanwu0%
Mario Palomino Delgado0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Curtis Edwards0%
Dennis Widgren0%
Daniel Miljanovic0%
Simon Marklund0%
Amar Begić0%
Abel Stensrud0%
Yannick Adjoumani0%
Emil Özkan0%
Melker Uppenberg0%
Edgar Sarkis Navassardian0%
Hugo Azzi0%
Sunday Anyanwu0%
Mario Palomino Delgado0%
Orebro SK · 2026/27
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Ahmed Yasin33%
Karl Holmberg33%
Antonio Yakoub33%
Jacob Ortmark0%
John Stenberg0%
Jakub Ojrzyński0%
Christopher Redenstrand0%
Hampus Söderstrom0%
Giuseppe Bovalina0%
Victor Sandberg0%
Erman Hrastovina0%
Hasan Dana0%
Fabian Walhström0%
Edwin Ibrahimbegovic0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
John Stenberg33%
Jakub Ojrzyński33%
Hampus Söderstrom33%
Edwin Ibrahimbegovic33%
Jacob Ortmark0%
Ahmed Yasin0%
Karl Holmberg0%
Antonio Yakoub0%
Christopher Redenstrand0%
Giuseppe Bovalina0%
Victor Sandberg0%
Erman Hrastovina0%
Hasan Dana0%
Fabian Walhström0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Karl Holmberg33%
Jacob Ortmark0%
Ahmed Yasin0%
John Stenberg0%
Jakub Ojrzyński0%
Antonio Yakoub0%
Christopher Redenstrand0%
Hampus Söderstrom0%
Giuseppe Bovalina0%
Victor Sandberg0%
Erman Hrastovina0%
Hasan Dana0%
Fabian Walhström0%
Edwin Ibrahimbegovic0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Antonio Yakoub33%
Jacob Ortmark0%
Ahmed Yasin0%
Karl Holmberg0%
John Stenberg0%
Jakub Ojrzyński0%
Christopher Redenstrand0%
Hampus Söderstrom0%
Giuseppe Bovalina0%
Victor Sandberg0%
Erman Hrastovina0%
Hasan Dana0%
Fabian Walhström0%
Edwin Ibrahimbegovic0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
VSF (24)
€10m
IB (25)
€9m
HAL (20)
€8m
OI (26)
€8m
LB (20)
€6m
FF (19)
€5m
OI (23)
€5m
OS (23)
€5m
IB (23)
€5m
SAN (20)
€4m
OF (21)
€4m
NI (17)
€3m
Ostersunds FK and Orebro SK have a similar squad value (both €4m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
HAL (7)
€4m
IB (10)
€3m
VSF (8)
€3m
OI (7)
€2m
FF (8)
€2m
LB (5)
€2m
OI (7)
€2m
SAN (5)
€1m
OS (6)
€1m
NI (6)
€1m
IB (5)
€1m
OF (5)
€1m
Ostersunds FK and Orebro SK have a similar attack value (both €1m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
VSF (6)
€3m
LB (7)
€2m
OI (7)
€2m
IB (4)
€2m
OF (6)
€2m
OI (6)
€2m
IB (7)
€1m
HAL (4)
€1m
SAN (6)
€1m
OS (5)
€1m
FF (2)
€1m
NI (3)
€0m
Ostersunds FK and Orebro SK have a similar midfield value (both €2m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
OI (12)
€4m
IB (11)
€4m
VSF (10)
€4m
HAL (9)
€3m
FF (9)
€3m
OS (12)
€3m
LB (8)
€2m
IB (11)
€2m
OI (10)
€2m
SAN (9)
€2m
OF (10)
€2m
NI (8)
€1m
Ostersunds FK and Orebro SK have a similar defence value (both €2m).
Sweden: Superettan 2022/23 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Sweden: Superettan stats & trends →