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Ostrovets FC vs Torpedo BelAZ II Result & Analysis

Date: 22/06/2024
Time: 14:00
Final 3-0
Ostrovets FC
Ostrovets FC
Vs
37%
25%
38%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Torpedo BelAZ II
Torpedo BelAZ II
Belarus: 1. Division
Referee: -
1 Model Analysis2 Goal Analysis3 Team Strengths Analysis4 Props Analysis5 Double Chance6 Home & Away Over/Under7 Handicap8 Half Time Goals O/U9 Half Time Home & Away O/U10 Second Half Goals O/U11 Second Half Home & Away O/U
12 Top picks for this game14 Squad value15 Games History16 Overall Statistics17 League Table

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Ostrovets FC win✓ Hit
36.5%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
25.4%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Torpedo BelAZ II win✗ Miss
38.1%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

Ostrovets FCOstrovets FC

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-310W23L11D03L02L11D32W31W00D11DH·SHA13/04A·BAT20/04H·LOK28/04A·DIN03/05H·LID11/05A·ORS17/05H·SLO25/05A·ABF01/06H·BUM09/06A·BEL15/06
Avg total
2.6
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
1.4
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.531.801.271.871.801.73
vs Stronger (6)0.672.670.752.750.502.50
vs Similar (21)1.481.671.301.501.641.82
vs Weaker (3)3.671.003.002.004.000.50
Clean sheet %23% (-3pp vs league)
This opponent (Torpedo BelAZ II) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Torpedo BelAZ IITorpedo BelAZ II

Last 10 – goals for & against
80-823L40W18L12L20W11D17L21W12L02LH·SLO14/04A·ABF19/04H·BUM28/04A·BEL04/05A·FC 10/05H·VOL19/05A·NIV26/05H·ML 03/06A·BAR09/06H·MOL14/06
Avg total
4.1
Avg scored
1.5
Avg conceded
2.6
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.452.451.172.671.802.20
vs Stronger (3)1.672.672.001.001.503.50
vs Similar (7)1.292.290.753.002.001.33
vs Weaker (1)2.003.002.003.00--
Clean sheet %18% (-8pp vs league)
This opponent (Ostrovets FC) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%11%17%22%5%011%122%222%318%412%511%6+
The model estimates around 3.2 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 3 (22%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
84.2%
Under 1.5
15.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
62.5%
Under 2.5
37.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
40.3%
Under 3.5
59.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
65.1%
No
34.9%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
11.4%
1-2
8.4%
2-1
8.2%
2-2
6.7%
0-1
5.5%
1-0
5.3%
0-2
5.3%
2-0
5.1%
Ostrovets FC goals ↓
Torpedo BelAZ II goals →
01234
05.0%5.5%5.3%2.9%1.2%
15.3%11%8.4%4.6%1.9%
25.1%8.2%6.7%3.7%1.5%
32.7%4.4%3.6%1.9%0.8%
41.1%1.7%1.4%0.8%0.3%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Ostrovets FC goals (down), columns = Torpedo BelAZ II goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Molodechno-DYuSSh 4
2.24
Belshina
2.18
ML Vitebsk
2.15
Niva
2.06
Volna
1.94
Dinamo Minsk II
1.53
Lida
1.53
BATE II
1.44
Bumprom
1.41
Orsha
1.32
Ostrovets FC
1.26
Lokomotiv Gomel
1.03
Baranovichi
1.00
ABFF U17
0.97
Shakhtyor Petrikov
0.91
FC Energetik-Bgu Minsk
0.85
Slonim
0.76
Torpedo BelAZ II
0.62
Ostrovets FC is 0.65 points better than Torpedo BelAZ II in terms of average points per game (1.26 vs 0.62).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Belshina
2.47
ML Vitebsk
2.21
Niva
2.15
Volna
2.06
Molodechno-DYuSSh 4
1.82
Dinamo Minsk II
1.59
Bumprom
1.47
Lida
1.41
Orsha
1.35
BATE II
1.35
Ostrovets FC
1.29
Lokomotiv Gomel
1.24
FC Energetik-Bgu Minsk
1.06
Torpedo BelAZ II
1.00
Shakhtyor Petrikov
0.97
ABFF U17
0.91
Baranovichi
0.88
Slonim
0.76
Ostrovets FC is 0.29 goals better than Torpedo BelAZ II in terms of goals scored per game (1.29 vs 1.00).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Molodechno-DYuSSh 4
0.76
ML Vitebsk
0.79
Niva
1.00
Bumprom
1.09
Dinamo Minsk II
1.15
Lida
1.18
Belshina
1.24
Volna
1.26
Lokomotiv Gomel
1.47
Orsha
1.50
ABFF U17
1.53
BATE II
1.59
FC Energetik-Bgu Minsk
1.62
Ostrovets FC
1.68
Baranovichi
1.76
Shakhtyor Petrikov
1.79
Slonim
1.91
Torpedo BelAZ II
2.68
Ostrovets FC is 1.00 goals better than Torpedo BelAZ II in terms of goals conceded per game (1.68 vs 2.68).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

Ostrovets FCOstrovets FC

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-300D10W01L01L01L01L22D31W00D01LH·SHA13/04A·BAT20/04H·LOK28/04A·DIN03/05H·LID11/05A·ORS17/05H·SLO25/05A·ABF01/06H·BUM09/06A·BEL15/06
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.670.800.531.000.800.60
vs Stronger (6)0.001.330.001.500.001.00
vs Similar (21)0.710.620.600.700.820.55
vs Weaker (3)1.671.002.002.001.500.50
Clean sheet %37% (+11pp vs league)
This opponent (Torpedo BelAZ II) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Torpedo BelAZ IITorpedo BelAZ II

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
50-511D20W05L01L00D10W04L00D00D02LH·SLO14/04A·ABF19/04H·BUM28/04A·BEL04/05A·FC 10/05H·VOL19/05A·NIV26/05H·ML 03/06A·BAR09/06H·MOL14/06
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
1.3
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.451.270.501.500.401.00
vs Stronger (3)0.001.330.000.000.002.00
vs Similar (7)0.571.290.502.000.670.33
vs Weaker (1)1.001.001.001.00--
Clean sheet %45% (+20pp vs league)
This opponent (Ostrovets FC) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Ostrovets FC over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ostrovets FC over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ostrovets FC over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Torpedo BelAZ II over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Torpedo BelAZ II over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Torpedo BelAZ II over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

Ostrovets FCOstrovets FC

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-310W13L10W02L01L10W10W00D00D10WH·SHA13/04A·BAT20/04H·LOK28/04A·DIN03/05H·LID11/05A·ORS17/05H·SLO25/05A·ABF01/06H·BUM09/06A·BEL15/06
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.871.000.730.871.001.13
vs Stronger (6)0.671.330.751.250.501.50
vs Similar (21)0.761.050.700.800.821.27
vs Weaker (3)2.000.001.000.002.500.00
Clean sheet %50% (+24pp vs league)
This opponent (Torpedo BelAZ II) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Torpedo BelAZ IITorpedo BelAZ II

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-312L20W13L11D20W01L13L21W12L00DH·SLO14/04A·ABF19/04H·BUM28/04A·BEL04/05A·FC 10/05H·VOL19/05A·NIV26/05H·ML 03/06A·BAR09/06H·MOL14/06
Avg total
2.4
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
1.3
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.001.180.671.171.401.20
vs Stronger (3)1.671.332.001.001.501.50
vs Similar (7)0.711.000.251.001.331.00
vs Weaker (1)1.002.001.002.00--
Clean sheet %36% (+10pp vs league)
This opponent (Ostrovets FC) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Ostrovets FC over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ostrovets FC over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ostrovets FC over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Torpedo BelAZ II over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Torpedo BelAZ II over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Torpedo BelAZ II over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 1.584.2%-------✓ Hit

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MV (26)
€14m
BAR (21)
€2m
BEL (16)
€2m
NIV (21)
€2m
BUM (20)
€2m
DMI (27)
€1m
M4 (22)
€1m
VOL (18)
€1m
OF (22)
€1m
LID (18)
€1m
SLO (20)
€1m
BI (20)
€1m
ORS (19)
€1m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MV (9)
€6m
BAR (8)
€1m
BEL (6)
€1m
NIV (5)
€1m
BUM (7)
€1m
VOL (6)
€0m
ORS (5)
€0m
M4 (6)
€0m
OF (6)
€0m
SLO (6)
€0m
BI (4)
€0m
LID (2)
€0m
DMI (2)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MV (6)
€3m
DMI (11)
€1m
LID (7)
€1m
NIV (7)
€1m
BAR (4)
€0m
M4 (7)
€0m
BI (7)
€0m
VOL (6)
€0m
OF (7)
€0m
ORS (9)
€0m
SLO (6)
€0m
BEL (2)
€0m
BUM (4)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MV (11)
€5m
BAR (9)
€1m
BEL (8)
€1m
DMI (14)
€1m
BUM (9)
€1m
OF (9)
€1m
NIV (9)
€1m
M4 (9)
€1m
VOL (6)
€0m
LID (9)
€0m
SLO (8)
€0m
BI (9)
€0m
ORS (5)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

No previous meetings
0
OF wins
0
Draws
0
TBI wins

Head-to-head

Ostrovets FC vs Torpedo BelAZ II · H/A from OF
DateH/AGameScore
No games.

Ostrovets FCOstrovets FC

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
15/06/24ABelshina Vs OF1-1
09/06/24HOF Vs Bumprom0-0
01/06/24AABFF U17 Vs OF1-3
25/05/24HOF Vs Slonim3-2
17/05/24AOrsha Vs OF1-1
11/05/24HOF Vs Lida0-2
03/05/24ADinamo Minsk II Vs OF3-0
28/04/24HOF Vs Lokomotiv Gomel1-1
20/04/24ABATE II Vs OF3-2
13/04/24HOF Vs Shakhtyor Petrikov1-0

Torpedo BelAZ IITorpedo BelAZ II

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
14/06/24HTBI Vs Molodechno-DYuSSh 40-2
09/06/24ABaranovichi Vs TBI2-1
03/06/24HTBI Vs ML Vitebsk2-1
26/05/24ANiva Vs TBI7-1
19/05/24HTBI Vs Volna1-1
10/05/24AFC Energetik-Bgu Minsk Vs TBI0-2
04/05/24ABelshina Vs TBI2-1
28/04/24HTBI Vs Bumprom1-8
19/04/24AABFF U17 Vs TBI0-4
14/04/24HTBI Vs Slonim2-3

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Ostrovets FC
Ostrovets FC
Belarus: 1. Division
Recent: 3 Wins / 4 Draws / 3 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDWWDD1.28
HomeWDLWD1.19
AwayLLDWD1.38
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %32%31%33%
AVG goals3.183.003.38
Over 1.5 %80%73%88%
Over 2.5 %56%46%67%
Over 3.5 %42%35%50%
Scored1.441.151.75
Conceded1.741.851.62
BTTS56%50%62%
Clean Sheet24%27%21%
Corners---
Cards---
Torpedo BelAZ II
Torpedo BelAZ II
Belarus: 1. Division
Recent: 3 Wins / 1 Draws / 6 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDLWLL1.00
HomeLLDWL0.83
AwayWLWLL1.20
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %27%17%40%
AVG goals3.913.834.00
Over 1.5 %100%100%100%
Over 2.5 %64%50%80%
Over 3.5 %36%33%40%
Scored1.451.171.80
Conceded2.452.672.20
BTTS73%83%60%
Clean Sheet18%0%40%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1Molodechno-DYuSSh 4Molodechno-DYuSSh 43476
68%
2.2
6226+36
2.6
71%
44%
24%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0011.80.8
-
2BelshinaBelshina3474
68%
2.2
8442+42
3.7
88%
68%
56%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1012.51.2
-
3ML VitebskML Vitebsk3473
68%
2.1
7527+48
3.0
71%
59%
32%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
14
6352.20.8
-
4NivaNiva3470
62%
2.1
7334+39
3.1
71%
56%
35%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1112.11.0
-
5VolnaVolna3466
62%
1.9
7043+27
3.3
94%
74%
35%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0002.11.3
-
6Dinamo Minsk IIDinamo Minsk II3452
44%
1.5
5439+15
2.7
76%
59%
26%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0111.61.1
-
7LidaLida3452
44%
1.5
4840+8
2.6
68%
41%
29%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0101.41.2
-
8BATE IIBATE II3449
41%
1.4
4654-8
2.9
76%
56%
35%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.41.6
-
9BumpromBumprom3448
38%
1.4
5037+13
2.6
62%
56%
24%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1011.51.1
-
10OrshaOrsha3445
32%
1.3
4651-5
2.9
82%
38%
32%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.41.5
-
11Ostrovets FCOstrovets FC3443
35%
1.3
4457-13
3.0
76%
59%
38%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0011.31.7
-
12Lokomotiv GomelLokomotiv Gomel3435
24%
1.0
4250-8
2.7
88%
47%
21%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.21.5
-
13BaranovichiBaranovichi3434
26%
1.0
3060-30
2.6
74%
56%
26%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1010.91.8
-
14ABFF U17ABFF U173433
26%
1.0
3152-21
2.4
74%
47%
21%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.91.5
-
15Shakhtyor PetrikovShakhtyor Petrikov3431
26%
0.9
3361-28
2.8
68%
53%
26%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.01.8
-
16FC Energetik-Bgu MinskFC Energetik-Bgu Minsk3429
21%
0.9
3655-19
2.7
65%
41%
32%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.11.6
-
17SlonimSlonim3426
18%
0.8
2665-39
2.7
65%
47%
35%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0000.81.9
-
18Torpedo BelAZ IITorpedo BelAZ II3421
18%
0.6
3491-57
3.7
85%
65%
41%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.02.7
-
Belarus: 1. Division 2024/25 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Belarus: 1. Division stats & trends →

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