This opponent (Felgueiras 1932) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Felgueiras 1932
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.1
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.27
1.20
1.43
1.14
1.12
1.25
vs Stronger (5)
1.20
1.20
1.33
1.33
1.00
1.00
vs Similar (25)
1.28
1.20
1.45
1.09
1.14
1.29
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
30% (+2pp vs league)
This opponent (Pacos Ferreira) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.5 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (27%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
72.0%
Under 1.5
28.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
44.9%
Under 2.5
55.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
23.6%
Under 3.5
76.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
51.5%
No
48.5%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
14.1%
0-0
9.7%
0-1
9.7%
1-0
8.6%
1-2 ✓
8.4%
2-1
7.5%
0-2
7.2%
2-0
5.8%
Pacos Ferreira goals ↓
Felgueiras 1932 goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
9.7%
9.7%
7.2%
3.1%
1.0%
1
8.6%
14%
8.4%
3.6%
1.2%
2
5.8%
7.5%
4.9%
2.1%
0.7%
3
2.2%
2.9%
1.9%
0.8%
0.3%
4
0.7%
0.9%
0.6%
0.2%
0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Pacos Ferreira goals (down), columns = Felgueiras 1932 goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Tondela
1.88
Alverca
1.85
Vizela
1.82
Benfica B
1.62
Torreense
1.59
União de Leiria
1.53
Chaves
1.50
CF Os Belenenses
1.50
Feirense
1.44
Felgueiras 1932
1.35
Academico Viseu
1.32
Penafiel
1.32
Maritimo
1.26
Leixoes
1.21
FC Porto B
1.03
Portimonense
1.00
Pacos Ferreira
1.00
Oliveirense
0.85
Mafra
0.79
Pacos Ferreira is 0.35 points worse than Felgueiras 1932 in terms of average points per game (1.00 vs 1.35).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Alverca
1.71
Tondela
1.71
Benfica B
1.56
Vizela
1.47
Torreense
1.44
União de Leiria
1.44
Penafiel
1.32
Academico Viseu
1.26
Felgueiras 1932
1.26
Maritimo
1.24
Chaves
1.18
Portimonense
1.12
Leixoes
1.09
FC Porto B
1.06
Feirense
1.03
Pacos Ferreira
1.03
CF Os Belenenses
1.00
Oliveirense
0.88
Mafra
0.85
Pacos Ferreira is 0.24 goals worse than Felgueiras 1932 in terms of goals scored per game (1.03 vs 1.26).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Vizela
0.88
Chaves
1.00
Alverca
1.00
Feirense
1.00
Tondela
1.03
União de Leiria
1.09
Benfica B
1.12
Felgueiras 1932
1.12
Academico Viseu
1.21
Torreense
1.24
Leixoes
1.24
Penafiel
1.38
FC Porto B
1.38
Maritimo
1.41
Pacos Ferreira
1.44
CF Os Belenenses
1.50
Portimonense
1.59
Mafra
1.59
Oliveirense
1.88
Pacos Ferreira is 0.33 goals worse than Felgueiras 1932 in terms of goals conceded per game (1.44 vs 1.12).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
Vizela
62%
Felgueiras 1932
57%
Chaves
56%
União de Leiria
55%
Benfica B
53%
Oliveirense
51%
Maritimo
51%
FC Porto B
51%
Leixoes
51%
Mafra
50%
Torreense
50%
Feirense
50%
Academico Viseu
48%
Alverca
48%
Penafiel
47%
Tondela
47%
Portimonense
40%
Pacos Ferreira
39%
Pacos Ferreira is 18.2 percentage points worse than Felgueiras 1932 in terms of average possession (39% vs 57%).
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Pacos Ferreira
For 6.3 · Against 5.0 · Total 11.3
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.9 · Against 2.4 · Total 5.3
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 5.5 · Against 4.7 · Total 10.2
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Felgueiras 1932
For 4.3 · Against 4.3 · Total 8.7
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.7 · Against 2.8 · Total 5.5
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 4.1 · Against 4.4 · Total 8.5
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Pacos Ferreira
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
10.2
11.2
9.1
3.8
4.1
3.4
20.0
22.8
17.6
vs Stronger (15)
9.0
12.0
7.5
3.7
4.0
3.5
15.6
18.0
14.0
vs Similar (35)
10.5
11.1
9.7
3.8
4.2
3.4
21.0
23.7
18.6
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
62%
75%
50%
60%
68%
52%
54%
67%
43%
% under line
38%
25%
50%
40%
32%
48%
46%
33%
57%
This opponent (Felgueiras 1932) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Felgueiras 1932
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (33)
8.8
8.5
9.0
3.2
3.6
2.9
8.8
8.0
9.6
vs Stronger (6)
-
-
-
4.5
3.7
5.3
1.0
1.0
-
vs Similar (27)
8.8
8.5
9.0
3.0
3.6
2.4
9.3
9.0
9.6
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
25%
0%
50%
45%
50%
41%
24%
25%
22%
% under line
75%
100%
50%
55%
50%
59%
76%
75%
78%
This opponent (Pacos Ferreira) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Torreense
11.4
FC Porto B
11.3
Portimonense
11.2
Oliveirense
11.2
Chaves
10.8
Tondela
10.7
Pacos Ferreira
10.5
União de Leiria
10.4
Benfica B
10.4
Penafiel
10.2
Academico Viseu
10.2
Vizela
10.0
Feirense
9.8
Maritimo
9.6
CF Os Belenenses
9.3
Leixoes
9.2
Mafra
8.8
Felgueiras 1932
8.8
Alverca
7.7
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Felgueiras 1932
5.9
Oliveirense
5.4
Leixoes
5.4
Maritimo
5.3
Chaves
5.2
Benfica B
5.2
Torreense
5.2
União de Leiria
5.2
Penafiel
5.1
Pacos Ferreira
5.0
Tondela
4.9
Portimonense
4.9
Vizela
4.8
Feirense
4.5
FC Porto B
4.5
Academico Viseu
4.5
Alverca
4.3
CF Os Belenenses
4.1
Mafra
3.7
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
CF Os Belenenses
25.0
Leixoes
24.3
Tondela
21.8
Pacos Ferreira
20.6
Vizela
19.8
União de Leiria
19.3
Feirense
19.1
Chaves
18.9
Portimonense
18.6
Oliveirense
18.6
Academico Viseu
18.5
Torreense
18.4
Penafiel
17.8
Maritimo
17.7
FC Porto B
17.4
Benfica B
15.6
Mafra
15.5
Felgueiras 1932
8.8
Alverca
6.6
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Under
Over 9.5
55.3%
Under 9.5
44.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
81.0%
Under 3.5
19.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
5.1%
Under 21.5
94.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Pacos Ferreira
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.8
Avg scored
0.1
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.53
0.80
0.47
0.67
0.60
0.93
vs Stronger (10)
0.50
0.90
0.83
1.00
0.00
0.75
vs Similar (20)
0.55
0.75
0.22
0.44
0.82
1.00
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
43% (+15pp vs league)
This opponent (Felgueiras 1932) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Felgueiras 1932
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.7
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.57
0.47
0.57
0.64
0.56
0.31
vs Stronger (5)
0.40
0.60
0.67
0.67
0.00
0.50
vs Similar (25)
0.60
0.44
0.55
0.64
0.64
0.29
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
60% (+32pp vs league)
This opponent (Pacos Ferreira) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Pacos Ferreira over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Pacos Ferreira over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Pacos Ferreira over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Felgueiras 1932 over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Felgueiras 1932 over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Felgueiras 1932 over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Pacos Ferreira
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.43
0.63
0.67
0.93
0.20
0.33
vs Stronger (10)
0.40
1.00
0.67
1.33
0.00
0.50
vs Similar (20)
0.45
0.45
0.67
0.67
0.27
0.27
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
50% (+22pp vs league)
This opponent (Felgueiras 1932) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Felgueiras 1932
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.70
0.73
0.86
0.50
0.56
0.94
vs Stronger (5)
0.80
0.60
0.67
0.67
1.00
0.50
vs Similar (25)
0.68
0.76
0.91
0.45
0.50
1.00
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
43% (+15pp vs league)
This opponent (Pacos Ferreira) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Pacos Ferreira over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Pacos Ferreira over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Pacos Ferreira over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Felgueiras 1932 over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Felgueiras 1932 over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Felgueiras 1932 over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Under 25.5 fouls
99.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Under 23.5 fouls
98.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Under 21.5 fouls
94.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Over 2.5 cards
91.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 19.5 fouls
88.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Over 3.5 cards
81.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 3.5
76.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 1.5
72.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Pacos Ferreira
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Vitorino Antunes40%
Vladislav Morozov25%
Diego Damasceno20%
Rui Fonte17%
João Caiado17%
Ivan Pavlić17%
Marcos Paulo0%
Erick Ferigra0%
Marafona0%
Gonçalo Cardoso0%
Ícaro0%
Welton0%
Anilson0%
Ronaldo Afonso0%
Costinha0%
Gonçalo Nogueira0%
Miguel Mota0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Welton50%
João Caiado50%
Gonçalo Nogueira50%
Vitorino Antunes40%
Diego Damasceno40%
Rui Fonte33%
Gonçalo Cardoso33%
Marafona25%
Costinha25%
Anilson20%
Erick Ferigra17%
Ronaldo Afonso17%
Ivan Pavlić17%
Marcos Paulo0%
Ícaro0%
Vladislav Morozov0%
Miguel Mota0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Welton25%
Anilson20%
Rui Fonte17%
João Caiado17%
Marcos Paulo0%
Erick Ferigra0%
Marafona0%
Gonçalo Cardoso0%
Ícaro0%
Vitorino Antunes0%
Vladislav Morozov0%
Diego Damasceno0%
Ronaldo Afonso0%
Ivan Pavlić0%
Costinha0%
Gonçalo Nogueira0%
Miguel Mota0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Ronaldo Afonso33%
Vitorino Antunes20%
Rui Fonte17%
Ivan Pavlić17%
Marcos Paulo0%
Erick Ferigra0%
Marafona0%
Gonçalo Cardoso0%
Ícaro0%
Vladislav Morozov0%
Welton0%
João Caiado0%
Diego Damasceno0%
Anilson0%
Costinha0%
Gonçalo Nogueira0%
Miguel Mota0%
Felgueiras 1932
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
João Silva50%
Pedro Ribeiro33%
Afonso Silva25%
Aílson Tavares20%
Feliz Vaz0%
Landinho0%
Rodrigo Valente0%
Edwin Banguera0%
Rui Rampa0%
Bruno Pinto0%
Léo Teixeira0%
Guilherme Ferreira0%
João Santos0%
Gabi Pereira0%
David Veiga0%
Vasco Moreira0%
Eirô0%
Berna0%
Pedro Rosas0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Edwin Banguera60%
Aílson Tavares60%
Feliz Vaz40%
Vasco Moreira40%
Pedro Rosas25%
Landinho20%
Léo Teixeira20%
Bruno Pinto17%
João Santos17%
Gabi Pereira17%
João Silva0%
Rodrigo Valente0%
Pedro Ribeiro0%
Rui Rampa0%
Guilherme Ferreira0%
David Veiga0%
Eirô0%
Berna0%
Afonso Silva0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
João Silva25%
Pedro Rosas25%
Feliz Vaz20%
Landinho20%
Rodrigo Valente0%
Edwin Banguera0%
Pedro Ribeiro0%
Rui Rampa0%
Bruno Pinto0%
Léo Teixeira0%
Aílson Tavares0%
Guilherme Ferreira0%
João Santos0%
Gabi Pereira0%
David Veiga0%
Vasco Moreira0%
Eirô0%
Berna0%
Afonso Silva0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
João Silva50%
Landinho20%
João Santos17%
Feliz Vaz0%
Rodrigo Valente0%
Edwin Banguera0%
Pedro Ribeiro0%
Rui Rampa0%
Bruno Pinto0%
Léo Teixeira0%
Aílson Tavares0%
Guilherme Ferreira0%
Gabi Pereira0%
David Veiga0%
Vasco Moreira0%
Eirô0%
Berna0%
Pedro Rosas0%
Afonso Silva0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ALV (30)
€39m
BB (26)
€31m
FPB (28)
€29m
TOR (32)
€19m
AV (27)
€16m
MAR (27)
€16m
VIZ (29)
€12m
TON (20)
€10m
UDL (25)
€10m
CHA (22)
€9m
POR (20)
€6m
LEI (21)
€6m
PEN (23)
€5m
F1 (20)
€5m
FEI (17)
€4m
PF (13)
€2m
OLI (7)
€1m
Pacos Ferreira's squad is €3m less valuable than Felgueiras 1932's (€2m vs €5m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ALV (8)
€15m
FPB (10)
€13m
BB (9)
€9m
AV (11)
€8m
TOR (12)
€7m
MAR (10)
€7m
VIZ (13)
€5m
UDL (9)
€4m
CHA (5)
€3m
TON (7)
€2m
POR (7)
€2m
LEI (7)
€2m
PEN (8)
€1m
F1 (4)
€1m
FEI (6)
€1m
PF (3)
€1m
OLI (1)
€0m
Pacos Ferreira and Felgueiras 1932 have a similar attack value (both €1m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BB (7)
€10m
FPB (6)
€7m
ALV (8)
€6m
MAR (6)
€3m
AV (6)
€3m
CHA (5)
€2m
TOR (5)
€2m
VIZ (5)
€2m
UDL (7)
€2m
TON (4)
€1m
F1 (6)
€1m
LEI (3)
€1m
POR (5)
€1m
FEI (3)
€1m
PF (2)
€0m
PEN (2)
€0m
OLI (1)
€0m
Pacos Ferreira and Felgueiras 1932 have a similar midfield value (both €0m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ALV (14)
€18m
BB (10)
€13m
TOR (15)
€10m
FPB (12)
€9m
TON (9)
€6m
MAR (11)
€6m
AV (10)
€6m
VIZ (11)
€4m
CHA (12)
€4m
UDL (9)
€4m
PEN (13)
€3m
FEI (8)
€3m
LEI (11)
€3m
POR (8)
€3m
F1 (10)
€2m
OLI (5)
€1m
PF (8)
€1m
Pacos Ferreira's defence is €1m less valuable than Felgueiras 1932's (€1m vs €2m).
Portugal: Segunda Liga 2024/25 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Portugal: Segunda Liga stats & trends →
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Tondela
Alverca
Vizela
Benfica B
Torreense
União de Leiria
Chaves
Feirense
Academico Viseu
Penafiel
Maritimo
Leixoes
FC Porto B
Portimonense
Oliveirense
Mafra
CF Os Belenenses