This opponent (Palermo) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Palermo
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.5
Avg scored
1.8
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.60
0.87
1.87
0.60
1.33
1.13
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (14)
1.29
1.00
1.30
0.60
1.25
2.00
vs Weaker (16)
1.88
0.75
3.00
0.60
1.36
0.82
Clean sheet %
40% (+12pp vs league)
This opponent (Padova) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.0 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (28%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
59.6%
Under 1.5
40.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
31.2%
Under 2.5
68.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
13.6%
Under 3.5
86.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
38.8%
No
61.2%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
0-0
15.4%
0-1
15.3%
1-1
14.3%
0-2
9.8%
1-0
9.7%
1-2
7.6%
2-1
5.1%
2-0
4.3%
Padova goals ↓
Palermo goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
15%
15%
9.8%
3.8%
1.1%
1
9.7%
14%
7.6%
3.0%
0.9%
2
4.3%
5.1%
3.0%
1.2%
0.3%
3
1.1%
1.3%
0.8%
0.3%
0.1%
4
0.2%
0.3%
0.2%
0.1%
0.0%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Padova goals (down), columns = Palermo goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Brescia
1.86
Lecce
1.83
Palermo
1.75
Benevento
1.67
Pescara
1.53
Hellas Verona
1.44
Spezia
1.42
Cittadella
1.42
Perugia
1.39
Cremonese
1.36
Cosenza
1.28
Ascoli
1.19
Foggia
1.19
Crotone
1.19
Livorno
1.08
Salernitana
1.06
Venezia
1.06
Padova
0.86
Carpi
0.81
Padova is 0.89 points worse than Palermo in terms of average points per game (0.86 vs 1.75).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Brescia
1.92
Lecce
1.83
Benevento
1.69
Palermo
1.58
Spezia
1.47
Pescara
1.39
Perugia
1.36
Hellas Verona
1.36
Cittadella
1.36
Foggia
1.22
Salernitana
1.14
Ascoli
1.11
Crotone
1.11
Carpi
1.08
Livorno
1.06
Cremonese
1.03
Padova
1.00
Venezia
0.97
Cosenza
0.94
Padova is 0.58 goals worse than Palermo in terms of goals scored per game (1.00 vs 1.58).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Cremonese
0.92
Palermo
1.06
Cittadella
1.06
Brescia
1.17
Cosenza
1.17
Crotone
1.17
Lecce
1.25
Benevento
1.25
Pescara
1.28
Spezia
1.28
Hellas Verona
1.28
Venezia
1.28
Foggia
1.36
Perugia
1.36
Padova
1.36
Livorno
1.42
Ascoli
1.56
Salernitana
1.58
Carpi
1.86
Padova is 0.31 goals worse than Palermo in terms of goals conceded per game (1.36 vs 1.06).
⏱️ Possession
Not available for this league.
Not enough data to compare these two teams.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Padova
For 3.8 · Against 5.5 · Total 9.3
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.7 · Against 2.9 · Total 5.6
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 15.2 · Against 18.2 · Total 33.4
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Palermo
For 4.0 · Against 5.0 · Total 9.0
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.8 · Against 2.2 · Total 5.0
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 14.4 · Against 13.9 · Total 28.3
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Padova
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (14)
10.0
11.3
9.0
5.3
5.5
5.1
30.2
31.5
29.2
vs Stronger (4)
11.2
12.0
9.0
4.5
4.3
5.0
28.0
26.3
33.0
vs Similar (10)
9.5
10.7
9.0
5.6
6.7
5.1
31.1
36.7
28.7
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
43%
67%
25%
86%
83%
88%
86%
83%
88%
% under line
57%
33%
75%
14%
17%
12%
14%
17%
12%
This opponent (Palermo) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Palermo
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.7
9.9
9.5
4.3
4.8
3.8
29.1
28.0
30.2
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (24)
11.0
10.9
11.0
4.2
5.1
3.2
29.0
28.4
29.5
vs Weaker (26)
8.5
8.9
8.2
4.4
4.5
4.2
29.2
27.5
30.9
% over line
50%
48%
52%
58%
68%
48%
92%
92%
92%
% under line
50%
52%
48%
42%
32%
52%
8%
8%
8%
This opponent (Padova) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Livorno
11.9
Cremonese
10.8
Foggia
10.7
Venezia
10.6
Crotone
10.4
Cittadella
10.3
Hellas Verona
10.2
Spezia
10.1
Brescia
10.1
Pescara
10.1
Padova
10.0
Salernitana
9.8
Palermo
9.7
Cosenza
9.7
Lecce
9.6
Benevento
9.5
Carpi
9.2
Ascoli
9.1
Perugia
9.1
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Padova
5.3
Cosenza
5.2
Livorno
5.2
Ascoli
5.0
Cittadella
5.0
Lecce
5.0
Brescia
4.8
Cremonese
4.7
Salernitana
4.6
Pescara
4.6
Benevento
4.5
Hellas Verona
4.5
Perugia
4.5
Venezia
4.5
Palermo
4.3
Spezia
4.2
Carpi
4.1
Crotone
4.1
Foggia
4.1
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Cittadella
32.5
Brescia
32.4
Ascoli
31.6
Perugia
31.2
Salernitana
31.0
Carpi
31.0
Cremonese
30.4
Venezia
30.3
Cosenza
30.3
Padova
30.2
Lecce
30.1
Spezia
29.6
Pescara
29.4
Palermo
29.1
Foggia
28.8
Livorno
28.5
Benevento
27.7
Hellas Verona
26.1
Crotone
26.1
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Over
Over 9.5
55.4%
Under 9.5
44.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
71.9%
Under 3.5
28.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
96.3%
Under 21.5
3.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Padova
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.57
0.50
0.33
0.33
0.75
0.62
vs Stronger (4)
0.75
0.25
0.67
0.00
1.00
1.00
vs Similar (10)
0.50
0.60
0.00
0.67
0.71
0.57
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
50% (+22pp vs league)
This opponent (Palermo) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Palermo
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.9
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.43
0.40
0.47
0.13
0.40
0.67
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (14)
0.36
0.50
0.40
0.10
0.25
1.50
vs Weaker (16)
0.50
0.31
0.60
0.20
0.45
0.36
Clean sheet %
70% (+42pp vs league)
This opponent (Padova) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Padova over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Padova over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Padova over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Palermo over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Palermo over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Palermo over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Padova
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.9
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
1.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.43
1.14
0.33
0.33
0.50
1.75
vs Stronger (4)
0.00
0.25
0.00
0.33
0.00
0.00
vs Similar (10)
0.60
1.50
0.67
0.33
0.57
2.00
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
36% (+7pp vs league)
This opponent (Palermo) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Palermo
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
0.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.17
0.47
1.40
0.47
0.93
0.47
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (14)
0.93
0.50
0.90
0.50
1.00
0.50
vs Weaker (16)
1.38
0.44
2.40
0.40
0.91
0.45
Clean sheet %
60% (+32pp vs league)
This opponent (Padova) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Padova over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Padova over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Padova over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Palermo over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Palermo over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Palermo over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 19.5 fouls
98.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 21.5 fouls
96.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 23.5 fouls
91.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards
86.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 3.5
86.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Over 25.5 fouls
84.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 3.5 cards
71.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Padova · 2026/27
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Pietro Fusi33%
Gianluca Caprari0%
Kevin Lasagna0%
Lorenzo Carissoni0%
Mattia Bortolussi0%
Christian Pastina0%
Alessandro Sorrentino0%
Marco Pompetti0%
Emanuele Zuelli0%
Alessandro Dellavalle0%
Matteo Cocchi0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Christian Pastina33%
Pietro Fusi33%
Alessandro Dellavalle33%
Gianluca Caprari0%
Kevin Lasagna0%
Lorenzo Carissoni0%
Mattia Bortolussi0%
Alessandro Sorrentino0%
Marco Pompetti0%
Emanuele Zuelli0%
Matteo Cocchi0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Gianluca Caprari0%
Kevin Lasagna0%
Lorenzo Carissoni0%
Mattia Bortolussi0%
Christian Pastina0%
Pietro Fusi0%
Alessandro Sorrentino0%
Marco Pompetti0%
Emanuele Zuelli0%
Alessandro Dellavalle0%
Matteo Cocchi0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Gianluca Caprari0%
Kevin Lasagna0%
Lorenzo Carissoni0%
Mattia Bortolussi0%
Christian Pastina0%
Pietro Fusi0%
Alessandro Sorrentino0%
Marco Pompetti0%
Emanuele Zuelli0%
Alessandro Dellavalle0%
Matteo Cocchi0%
Palermo · 2026/27
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Dennis Johnsen67%
Joel Pohjanpalo33%
Tommaso Augello33%
Filippo Ranocchia33%
Dominic Vavassori33%
Hernani0%
Nahuel Estévez0%
Jacopo Segre0%
Pietro Ceccaroni0%
Gabriel Strefezza0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Nahuel Estévez33%
Tommaso Augello33%
Jacopo Segre33%
Gabriel Strefezza33%
Joel Pohjanpalo0%
Hernani0%
Filippo Ranocchia0%
Pietro Ceccaroni0%
Dennis Johnsen0%
Dominic Vavassori0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Dennis Johnsen67%
Joel Pohjanpalo33%
Hernani33%
Nahuel Estévez0%
Tommaso Augello0%
Jacopo Segre0%
Filippo Ranocchia0%
Pietro Ceccaroni0%
Gabriel Strefezza0%
Dominic Vavassori0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Filippo Ranocchia67%
Joel Pohjanpalo0%
Hernani0%
Nahuel Estévez0%
Tommaso Augello0%
Jacopo Segre0%
Pietro Ceccaroni0%
Gabriel Strefezza0%
Dennis Johnsen0%
Dominic Vavassori0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
VEN (36)
€117m
LEC (31)
€72m
HV (34)
€57m
PAL (27)
€54m
CRE (30)
€49m
PAD (31)
€25m
BEN (30)
€12m
SPE (34)
€11m
ASC (29)
€11m
PES (27)
€8m
Padova's squad is €29m less valuable than Palermo's (€25m vs €54m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
VEN (9)
€39m
PAL (7)
€23m
LEC (9)
€20m
HV (10)
€13m
CRE (7)
€12m
PAD (9)
€6m
ASC (11)
€5m
PES (10)
€4m
BEN (8)
€4m
SPE (10)
€3m
Padova's attack is €17m less valuable than Palermo's (€6m vs €23m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
VEN (11)
€31m
LEC (8)
€16m
CRE (10)
€15m
HV (9)
€14m
PAL (7)
€12m
PAD (9)
€7m
SPE (11)
€4m
BEN (9)
€3m
ASC (6)
€3m
PES (6)
€1m
Padova's midfield is €4m less valuable than Palermo's (€7m vs €12m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
VEN (16)
€47m
LEC (14)
€37m
HV (15)
€30m
CRE (13)
€22m
PAL (13)
€19m
PAD (13)
€12m
BEN (13)
€5m
SPE (13)
€4m
PES (11)
€3m
ASC (12)
€3m
Padova's defence is €8m less valuable than Palermo's (€12m vs €19m).
Italy: Serie B 2018/19 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Italy: Serie B stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
Brescia
Lecce
Benevento
Pescara
Hellas Verona
Cittadella
Spezia
Perugia
Cremonese
Cosenza
Ascoli
Venezia
Salernitana